• 제목/요약/키워드: hydro-meteorological data

검색결과 46건 처리시간 0.033초

Applications of Harmony Search in parameter estimation of probability distribution models for non-homogeneous hydro-meteorological extreme events

  • Lee, Tae-Sam;Yoon, Suk-Min;Gang, Myung-Kook;Shin, Ju-Young;Jung, Chang-Sam
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2012년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.258-258
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    • 2012
  • In frequency analyses of hydrological data, it is necessary for the interested variables to be homogenous and independent. However, recent evidences have shown that the occurrence of extreme hydro-meteorological events is influenced by large-scale climate variability, and the assumption of homogeneity does not generally hold anymore. Therefore, in order to associate the non-homogenous characteristics of hydro-meteorological variables, we propose the parameter estimation method of probability models using meta-heuristic algorithms, specifically harmony search. All the weather stations in South Korea were employed to demonstrate the performance of the proposed approaches. The results showed that the proposed parameter estimation method using harmony search is a comparativealternative for the probability distribution of the non-homogenous hydro-meteorological variables data.

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Effect of Hydro-meteorological and Surface Conditions on Variations in the Frequency of Asian Dust Events

  • Ryu, Jae-Hyun;Hong, Sungwook;Lyu, Sang Jin;Chung, Chu-Yong;Shi, Inchul;Cho, Jaeil
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제34권1호
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    • pp.25-43
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    • 2018
  • The effects of hydro-meteorological and surface variables on the frequency of Asian dust events (FAE) were investigated using ground station and satellite-based data. Present weather codes 7, 8, and 9 derived from surface synoptic observations (SYNOP)were used for counting FAE. Surface wind speed (SWS), air temperature (Ta), relative humidity (RH), and precipitation were analyzed as hydro-meteorological variables for FAE. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), land surface temperature (LST), and snow cover fraction (SCF) were used to consider the effects of surface variables on FAE. The relationships between FAE and hydro-meteorological variables were analyzed using Z-score and empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. Although all variables expressed the change of FAE, the degrees of expression were different. SWS, LST, and Ta (indices applicable when Z-score was < 0) explained about 63.01, 58.00, and 56.17% of the FAE,respectively. For NDVI, precipitation, and RH, Asian dust events occurred with a frequency of about 55.38, 67.37, and 62.87% when the Z-scores were > 0. EOF analysis for the FAE showed the seasonal cycle, change pattern, and surface influences related to dryness condition for the FAE. The intensity of SWS was the main cause for change of FAE, but surface variables such as LST, SCF, and NDVI also were expressed because wet surface conditions suppress FAE. These results demonstrate that not only SWS and precipitation, but also surface variables, are important and useful precursors for monitoring Asian dust events.

수문기상자료의 웨이블렛 변환에 의한 비선형 동역학적 성분의 추출 (Extraction of Nonlinear Dynamical Component by Wavelet Transform in Hydro-meteorological Data)

  • 진영훈;박성천
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제26권5B호
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    • pp.439-446
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 강수량 및 기온과 같은 수문기상자료의 비선형 동역학적 성분을 추출하기 위해 웨이블렛 변환을 적용하여 대상자료를 재현기간별 성분으로 분리하였다. 변환을 위한 기저함수로는 Daubechies의 9번 ('db9') 웨이블렛 함수를 사용하였다. 또한 웨이블렛 변환의 스케일의 증가에 따른 각 분리단계에서 추출된 상세성분과 근사성분이 비선형 동역학적 특성을 지니는지를 판단하기 위하여 상관차원분석을 이용하였다. 즉 수문기상자료내에 비선형 동역학적 성질을 지니는 성분을 추출하기 위한 방법론으로써 웨이블렛 변환과 상관차원분석의 결합을 제안하였으며, 도출된 결과는 일반적으로 원자료를 이용할 경우에는 파악하기 어려운 대상자료의 시간에 따른 비선형적 변화를 분리 추출하기 위해 본 연구에서 제안한 방법이 적합함을 보이고 있다.

수문기상 정보에 따른 국내 가뭄판단기준 제시 및 평가 (Derivation & Evaluation of Drought Threshold Level Considering Hydro-meteorological Data on South Korea)

  • 배덕효;손경환;김헌애
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.287-299
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구의 목적은 기록된 관측가뭄자료를 이용하여 수문기상 기반의 국내 가뭄판단기준을 제시하는데 있다. 과거 1991년에서 2009년까지 기록된 가뭄사례를 수집한 후, 관측기상정보와 LSM(Land Surface Model)으로부터 생산된 수문정보를 이용하여 백분위 해석을 수행하였다. 기간별 가뭄판단기준을 도출하기 위해 객관적 가뭄평가 기법인 ROC(Relative Operating Characteristics) 분석을 이용하였다. 국내 가뭄기준은 대표적으로 강수 및 유출이 지속기간 3개월에 평년대비 35% 이하, 토양수분이 지속기간 2개월의 35% 이하 그리고 증발산량이 지속기간 3개월에 65% 이상으로 나타났다. 가뭄판단기준의 적용성 평가를 위해 SPI (3)와의 ROC 분석을 수행한 결과 SPI (3)에 비해 적용성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 또한 가뭄판단기준에 대한 지역별 분석을 수행한 결과 공간적으로 가뭄상황을 적절히 반영하는 것을 확인하였다.

격납건물종합누설률시험 주기연장을 위한 웹기반 소외결말분석 프로그램 개발 및 적용 (Development of Web-based Off-site Consequence Analysis Program and its Application for ILRT Extension)

  • 나장환;황석원;오지용
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.219-223
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    • 2012
  • For an off-site consequence analysis at nuclear power plant, MELCOR Accident Consequence Code System(MACCS) II code is widely used as a software tool. In this study, the algorithm of web-based off-site consequence analysis program(OSCAP) using the MACCS II code was developed for an Integrated Leak Rate Test (ILRT) interval extension and Level 3 probabilistic safety assessment(PSA), and verification and validation(V&V) of the program was performed. The main input data for the MACCS II code are meteorological, population distribution and source term information. However, it requires lots of time and efforts to generate the main input data for an off-site consequence analysis using the MACCS II code. For example, the meteorological data are collected from each nuclear power site in real time, but the formats of the raw data collected are different from each site. To reduce the efforts and time for risk assessments, the web-based OSCAP has an automatic processing module which converts the format of the raw data collected from each site to the input data format of the MACCS II code. The program also provides an automatic function of converting the latest population data from Statistics Korea, the National Statistical Office, to the population distribution input data format of the MACCS II code. For the source term data, the program includes the release fraction of each source term category resulting from modular accident analysis program(MAAP) code analysis and the core inventory data from ORIGEN. These analysis results of each plant in Korea are stored in a database module of the web-based OSCAP, so the user can select the defaulted source term data of each plant without handling source term input data.

플럭스 타워 관측 자료 및 통합수문모형을 이용한 순복사량 산정: 설마천, 청미천 유역을 대상으로 (Net Radiation Estimation Using Flux Tower Data and Integrated Hydrological Model: For the Seolmacheon and Chungmichen Watersheds)

  • 김다은;백종진;정성원;최민하
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제46권3호
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    • pp.301-314
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    • 2013
  • 기후변화로 야기될 수 있는 태양복사에너지의 공간적인 불균형은 수자원을 포함한 전반적인 생태 시스템에서의 에너지 불균형을 초래한다. 따라서 정확한 에너지의 흐름을 이해하기 위하여 정량적인 관측을 목적으로 하는 플럭스 타워가 세계 곳곳에 설치되어 운영되고 있다. 국내의 주역에서도 플럭스 타워를 통안 관측이 실시되고 있는 데, 본 연구에서는 이 중 설마천과 청미천 유역의 플럭스 타워의 자료를 대상으로 수문기상 및 생태학적으로 중요한 역할을 하는 에너지원인 하향 단파 및 장파 복사량과 순복사량을 기존의 연구에서 제안된 물리식을 기반으로 계산하고, 산정된 순복사량과 관측 자료를 비교 검증하였다. 이를 통하여 관측이 미흡한 수문기상인자에 대해 기존의 물리적인 방법의 사용 가능성 및 관측 자료의 활용 가능성을 확인하였다.

이기종-다중 기상레이더 자료의 실시간 통합 모니터링 기법 연구 (Study about Real-time Total Monitoring Technique for Various Kinds of Multi Weather Radar Data)

  • 장봉주;이건행;임상훈;이동률;권기룡
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.689-705
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposed an realtime total monitoring platform for various kind of multi weather radars to analyze and predict weather phenomenons and prevent meteorological disasters. Our platform is designed to process each weather radar data on each radar site to minimize overloads from conversion and transmission of large volumed radar data, and to set observers up the definitive radar data via public framework server separately. By proposed method, weather radar data having different spatial or temporal resolutions can be automatically synchronized with there own spatio-temporal domains on public GIS platform having only one spatio-temporal criterion. Simulation result shows that our method facilitates the realtime weather monitoring from weather radars having various spatio-temporal resolutions without other data synchronization or assimilation processes. Moreover, since this platform doesn't require some additional computer equipments or high-technical mechanisms it has economic efficiency for it's systemic constructions.

한국표준형원전의 격납건물종합누설률 시험 주기연장에 대한 리스크 평가 (Risk Assessment of Integrated Leak Rate Test(ILRT) Extension for Korea Standard Nuclear Power Plant)

  • 지문구;황석원;오지용
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2011
  • An ILRT Interval for a nuclear power plant in Korea was extended from once in five years to once in ten years. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate risk impact for ILRT interval extensions. In this paper, input data were generated for the reference plants, KSNP, using raw data such as meteorological data, population distribution data and source term data. And, using MACCS II code the risk impact assessment was performed based on the two methodologies of NUREG-1493 and NEI Interim Report. The risk impact derived from an ILRT interval extension was identified not to be significant. It is considered to apply this study and results to making an accident management plan and safety goal, and to the field of public acceptance.

MACCS II 코드를 이용한 국내 경수로 및 중수로형 원전의 소외결말분석 (Off-Site Consequence Analysis for PWR and PHWR Types of Nuclear Power Plants Using MACCS II Code)

  • 전호준;지문구;황석원
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.105-109
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    • 2011
  • Since a severe accident, which happens in low frequency, can cause serious damages, the interests in off-site consequence analysis for a nuclear power plant have been increased after Chernobyl, TMI and Fukushima accidents. Consequences, which are the effects on health and environment caused by released radioisotopes, are evaluated using MACCS II code based on the method of Level 3 PSA. To perform a consequence analysis for the reference plants, the input data of the code were generated such as meteorological data, population distribution, release fractions, and so on. Using these input data, acute and lifetime dose as an organ, CCDF for early fatalities and latent cancer fatalities, and average individual risk were analyzed by using MACCS II code in this study. These results might contribute to establishing accident management plan and quantitative health object.