• 제목/요약/키워드: historical earthquake

검색결과 137건 처리시간 0.028초

지진동 모사를 통한 역사지진 규모와 진앙 평가 (Assessment of Historical Earthquake Magnitudes and Epicenters Using Ground Motion Simulations)

  • 김성룡;이상준
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.59-69
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    • 2021
  • Historical records of earthquakes are generally used as a basis to extrapolate the instrumental earthquake catalog in time and space during the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA). However, the historical catalogs' input parameters determined through historical descriptions rather than any quantitative measurements are accompanied by considerable uncertainty in PSHA. Therefore, quantitative assessment to verify the historical earthquake parameters is essential for refining the reliability of PSHA. This study presents an approach and its application to constrain reliable ranges of the magnitude and corresponding epicenter of historical earthquakes. First, ranges rather than specific values of ground motion intensities are estimated at multiple locations with distances between each other for selected historical earthquakes by reviewing observed co-seismic natural phenomena, structural damage levels, or felt areas described in their historical records. Based on specific objective criteria, this study selects only one earthquake (July 24, 1643), which is potentially one of the largest historical earthquakes. Then, ground motion simulations are performed for sufficiently broadly distributed epicenters, with a regular grid to prevent one from relying on strong assumptions. Calculated peak ground accelerations and velocities in areas with the historical descriptions on corresponding earthquakes are converted to intensities with an empirical ground motion-intensity conversion equation to compare them with historical descriptions. For the ground motion simulation, ground motion prediction equations and a frequency-wavenumber method are used to consider the effects of possible source mechanisms and stress drop. From these quantitative calculations, reliable ranges of epicenters and magnitudes and the trade-off between them are inferred for the earthquake that can conservatively match the upper and lower boundaries of intensity values from historical descriptions.

역사지진 기록을 기초로한 지진규모와 위치 예측 방법 (Determination of epicenters and magnitudes of future earthquakes based on the historical earthquake catalogues)

  • 권오성;한상환
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2000년도 가을 학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.323-330
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    • 2000
  • Three historical earthquake catalogues were compared with each other in the view of frequency of events per century, cumulative magnitude distribution, and annual earthquake occurrence rate in each unit grid of 0.1°by 0.1°. And, a method to determine earthquake epicenters and magnitudes was proposed given the historical earthquake data. With this method, the epicenters and magnitudes of future earthquakes in Korean penninsula for 1,000 years were generated with each earthquake catalogue. Earthquake PGAs with 10% exceedance probability in Seoul were calculated for each catalogue and compared.

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On the complexity of earthquake sequences: a historical seismology perspective based on the L'Aquila seismicity (Abruzzo, Central Italy), 1315-1915

  • Guidoboni, Emanuela;Valensise, Gianluca
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.153-184
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    • 2015
  • Most damaging earthquakes come as complex sequences characterized by strong aftershocks, sometimes by foreshocks and often by multiple mainshocks. Complex earthquake sequences have enormous seismic hazard, engineering and societal implications as their impact on buildings and infrastructures may be much more severe at the end of the sequence than just after the mainshock. In this paper we examine whether historical sources can help characterizing the rare earthquake sequences of pre-instrumental times in full, including fore-, main- and aftershocks. Thanks to the its huge documentary heritage, Italy relies on one of the richest parametric earthquake catalogues worldwide. Unfortunately most current methods for assessing seismic hazard require that earthquake catalogues be declustered by removing all shocks that bear some dependency with those identified as mainshocks. We maintain that this requirement has led most modern historical seismologists to focus mainly on mainshocks rather than also on the fore- and aftershocks. To shed light onto major earthquake sequences of the past, rather than onto individual mainshocks, we investigated 10 damaging earthquake sequences ($M_w$ 4.7-7.0) that hit the L'Aquila area and central Abruzzo from the 14th to the 20th century. We find that most of the results of historical research are important for modern seismology, yet their rendering by the current parametric catalogues causes most information to be lost or not easily transferred to the potential users. For this reason we advocate a change in current strategies and the creation of a more flexible standard for storing and using all the information made available by historical seismology.

오대산 지진자료에 의한 거리감쇠식 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Presumption for Attenuation Relation by MT. O-dae earthquake data in Korea)

  • 권기혁;황완선;유혜란
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.33-36
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    • 2008
  • In Korean Building Code 2005(KBC-2005), the Seismic Zone Factor is regulated by separating the seismic zone into two part. This seismic zone factor is not matched to regional seismic characteristics of our country because the factor is based on International Building Code 2000 (IBC-2000) of USA. This study inquiry for having a sufficient grasp of the seismic characteristics of south Korea region and appling for the seismic cope plan. We have collected and analyzed earthquake record happened in domestic region. There are two kinds of earthquake record. One is Historical earthquake data, another is Instrumental earthquake data. I used Instrumental earthquake record data which reliance is higher than historical earthquake data for proposing attenuation formulas by analyzing a correlation the epicenter and the distance.

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Effect of near field earthquake on the monuments adjacent to underground tunnels using hybrid FEA-ANN technique

  • Jafarnia, Mohsen;Varzaghani, Mehdi Imani
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.757-768
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    • 2016
  • In the past decades, effect of near field earthquake on the historical monuments has attracted the attention of researchers. So, many analyses in this regard have been presented. Tunnels as vital arteries play an important role in management after the earthquake crisis. However, digging tunnels and seismic effects of earthquake on the historical monuments have always been a challenge between engineers and historical supporters. So, in a case study, effect of near field earthquake on the historical monument was investigated. For this research, Finite Element Analysis (FEM) in soil environment and soil-structure interaction was used. In Plaxis 2D software, different accelerograms of near field earthquake were applied to the geometric definition. Analysis validations were performed based on the previous numerical studies. Creating a nonlinear relationship with space parameter, time, angular and numerical model outputs was of practical and critical importance. Hence, artificial Neural Network (ANN) was used and two linear layers and Tansig function were considered. Accuracy of the results was approved by the appropriate statistical test. Results of the study showed that buildings near and far from the tunnel had a special seismic behavior. Scattering of seismic waves on the underground tunnels on the adjacent buildings was influenced by their distance from the tunnel. Finally, a static test expressed optimal convergence of neural network and Plaxis.

A STUDY OF THE HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE CATALOG AND GUTENBERG-RICHTER PARAMETER VALUES OF THE KOREAN PENINSULA

  • Seo, Jeong-Moon;Choi, In-Kil;Rhee, Hyun-Me
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2010
  • The KIER's Korean historical earthquake catalog was revised for MMI${\geq}$VI events recorded from the years 27 A.D. to 1904. the magnitude of each event was directly determined from the criteria suggested by Seo. The criteria incorporated the damage phenomena of the Japanese historical earthquake catalog, recent seismological studies, and the results of tests performed on ancient structures in Korea. Thus, the uncertainty of the magnitudes of the Korean historical earthquakes can be reduced. Also, the Gutenberg-Richter parameter values were estimated based on the revised catalog of this study. It was determined that the magnitudes of a maximum inland and minimum offshore event were approximately 6.3 and 6.5, respectively. The Gutenberg-Richter parameter pairs of the historical earthquake catalog were estimated to be a=5.32${\pm}$0.21, b=0.95${\pm}$0.19, which were somewhat lower than those obtained from recent complete instrumental earthquakes. No apparent change in the Gutenberg-Richter parameter is observed for the $16^{th}-17^{th}$ centuries of the seismically active period.

지진특성 및 가옥의 노후도를 고려한 역사지진의 지진규모 추정 (Estmation of Magnitude of Historical Earthquakes Considering Earthquake Characteristics and Aging of a House)

  • 서정문;최인길
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제2권4호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 1998
  • 지진규모, 진앙거리, 지반조건 및 가옥의 노후도를 고려하여 역사지진의 규모를 추정하였다. 진진규모 6-8, 진앙거리 5 km-350km, 단단한 지반 및 연약 지반 특성을 갖는 18개의 인공지진파를 작성하여 우리 나라 전통 초가삼간에 대한 비선형 동적해석을 수행하였다. 가옥의 경년에 따른 노후도는 목조 프레임의 수평내력에 관한 이력특성이 선형적으로 감소하는 것으로가정하였다. 초가삼간을 1질점계의 1자유도 모델로 모델링하였으며, 비선형 이력특성은 개량형 Double-Targe모델을 이용하였다. 해석결과 원거리 지진에 대해서는 지진규모, 지반조건 및 노후도에 상관없이 매우 적은 피해를 보였다. 중거리 지진의 경우 연약지반에서 규모 6.5 이상의 지진시 반파 이상의 피해가 발생하였다. 근거리 지진의 경우 지반조건 및 노후도에 상관없이 규모 6.5 이상에서 반파 이상의 피해를 나타내었다. 우리 나라 역사지진의 규모는 약 6.2로 추정된다. 우리 나라에 적합한 지반가속도-진도의 경험식을 제안하였다.

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3D seismic assessment of historical stone arch bridges considering effects of normal-shear directions of stiffness parameters between discrete stone elements

  • Cavuslu, Murat
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제83권2호
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    • pp.207-227
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    • 2022
  • In general, the interaction conditions between the discrete stones are not taken into account by structural engineers during the modeling and analyzing of historical stone bridges. However, many structural damages in the stone bridges occur due to ignoring the interaction conditions between discrete stones. In this study, it is aimed to examine the seismic behavior of a historical stone bridge by considering the interaction stiffness parameters between stone elements. For this purpose, Tokatli historical stone arch bridge was built in 1179 in Karabük-Turkey, is chosen for three-dimensional (3D) seismic analyses. Firstly, the 3D finite-difference model of the Tokatli stone bridge is created using the FLAC3D software. During the modeling processes, the Burger-Creep material model which was not used to examine the seismic behavior of historical stone bridges in the past is utilized. Furthermore, the free-field and quiet non-reflecting boundary conditions are defined to the lateral and bottom boundaries of the bridge. Thanks to these boundary conditions, earthquake waves do not reflect in the 3D model. After each stone element is modeled separately, stiffness elements are defined between the stone elements. Three situations of the stiffness elements are considered in the seismic analyses; a) for only normal direction b) for only shear direction c) for both normal and shear directions. The earthquake analyses of the bridge are performed for these three different situations of the bridge. The far-fault and near-fault conditions of 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake are taken into account during the earthquake analyses. According to the seismic analysis results, the directions of the stiffness parameters seriously changed the earthquake behavior of the Tokatli bridge. Moreover, the most critical stiffness parameter is determined for seismic analyses of historical stone arch bridges.

Characteristics of Korean Earthquakes and Research Activities for the Seismic Hazard Mitigation in Korea

  • Chang, Sung-Pil
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 1998
  • Korea is not considered to be one of the safe zones for earthquakes any more. According to the records of the historical records and recent earthquake events in Korea, the possibillty of disastrous seismic hazards cannot be ignored, Korea Earthquake Engineering Research Center (KEERC) and Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea(EESK) have been established by that consensus. In this paper, historical earthquake records and seismicity in Korea are reviewed. And the research activities and the research system for the earthquake hazards mitigation of KEERC are introduced and the efforts of ESSK to renovate seismic design code system and to optimize the protection levels against earthquake disasters is explained.

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