• 제목/요약/키워드: hazard curves

검색결과 126건 처리시간 0.024초

Earthquake risk assessment of seismically isolated extradosed bridges with lead rubber bearings

  • Kim, Dookie;Yi, Jin-Hak;Seo, Hyeong-Yeol;Chang, Chunho
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.689-707
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    • 2008
  • This study presents a method to evaluate the seismic risk of an extradosed bridge with seismic isolators of lead rubber bearings (LRBs), and also to show the effectiveness of the LRB isolators on the extradosed bridge, which is one of the relatively flexible and lightly damped structures in terms of seismic risk. Initially, the seismic vulnerability of a structure is evaluated, and then the seismic hazard of a specific site is rated using an earthquake data set and seismic hazard maps in Korea. Then, the seismic risk of the structure is assessed. The nonlinear seismic analyses are carried out to consider plastic deformation of bridge columns and the nonlinear characteristics of soil foundation. To describe the nonlinear behaviour of a column, the ductility demand is adopted, and the moment-curvature relation of a column is assumed to be bilinear hysteretic. The fragility curves are represented as a log-normal distribution function for column damage, movement of superstructure, and cable yielding. And the seismic hazard at a specific site is estimated using the available seismic hazard maps. The results show that in seismically-isolated extradosed bridges under earthquakes, the effectiveness of the isolators is much more noticeable in the columns than the cables and girders.

단층 파라미터에 따른 확률론적 지진해일 재해곡선의 민감도 분석 (Sensitivity Analysis According to Fault Parameters for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Curves)

  • 조명환;김건형;윤성범
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.368-378
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    • 2019
  • 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 평가를 위한 로직트리는 지진발생 패턴의 다양성을 고려하기 위해 많은 변수를 고려하여 구성된다. 고려되는 변수가 많아질수록 재해도 평가 결과는 다양한 패턴으로 변화한다. 본 연구에서는 로직트리에 제시되어 있는 다양한 단층 파라미터 변수와 스케일링 규칙이 부산 근해에서의 지진해일 재해도에 미치는 영향을 평가하였다. 로직트리에 제시된 변수 중 주향각, 경사각 및 단층변위분포 변수의 값을 변화시켜가며 지진해일 전파모의를 수행하고, 그 결과를 이용하여 민감도 분석을 수행하였다. 그 결과 주향각 변수가 재해도 평가 결과에 미치는 영향은 예상보다 크지 않은 반면, 초기수면의 공간적 분포에 영향을 줄 수 있는 경사각과 단층변위분포의 영향이 크게 나타났다. 이는 주향각보다는 초기수면의 형상을 결정하는 경사각과 단층변위의 공간분포가 동해 지진해일의 재해도 평가에서 중요인자임을 보여준다.

A novel risk assessment approach for data center structures

  • Cicek, Kubilay;Sari, Ali
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.471-484
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    • 2020
  • Previous earthquakes show that, structural safety evaluations should include the evaluation of nonstructural components. Failure of nonstructural components can affect the operational capacity of critical facilities, such as hospitals and fire stations, which can cause an increase in number of deaths. Additionally, failure of nonstructural components may result in economic, architectural, and historical losses of community. Accelerations and random vibrations must be under the predefined limitations in structures with high technological equipment, data centers in this case. Failure of server equipment and anchored server racks are investigated in this study. A probabilistic study is completed for a low-rise rigid sample structure. The structure is investigated in two versions, (i) conventional fixed-based structure and (ii) with a base isolation system. Seismic hazard assessment is completed for the selected site. Monte Carlo simulations are generated with selected parameters. Uncertainties in both structural parameters and mechanical properties of isolation system are included in simulations. Anchorage failure and vibration failures are investigated. Different methods to generate fragility curves are used. The site-specific annual hazard curve is used to generate risk curves for two different structures. A risk matrix is proposed for the design of data centers. Results show that base isolation systems reduce the failure probability significantly in higher floors. It was also understood that, base isolation systems are highly sensitive to earthquake characteristics rather than variability in structural and mechanical properties, in terms of accelerations. Another outcome is that code-provided anchorage failure limitations are more vulnerable than the random vibration failure limitations of server equipment.

Seismic reliability of precast concrete frame with masonry infill wall

  • Mahdi Adibi;Roozbeh Talebkhah;Hamid Farrokh Ghatte
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.141-153
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    • 2023
  • The presented paper considers infill masonry walls' influence on the seismic reliability of precast concrete frames. The recent Bojnord earthquake on May 13th, 2017 in Iran (MW 5.4) illustrated that the infill masonry walls play a crucial role in the damage extent and life safety issues of inhabitants in the precast concrete buildings. The incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) approach was used to determine the fragility curves of the represented damaged precast frame. Then, by integrating site hazard and structural fragilities, the seismic reliability of the represented precast frame was evaluated in different damage limit states. Additionally, the static pushover analysis (SPA) approach was used to assess the seismic performance assessment of the precast frame. Bare and infilled frames were modeled as 2D frames employing the OpenSees software platform. The multi-strut macro-model method was employed for infill masonry simulation. Also, a relatively efficient and straightforward nonlinear model was used to simulate the nonlinear behavior of the precast beam-column joint. The outputs show that consideration of the masonry infilled wall effect in all spans of the structural frame leads to a decrease in the possibility of exceedance of specified damage limit states in the structures. In addition, variation of hazard curves for buildings with and without consideration of infilled walls leads to a decrease in the reliability of the building's frames with masonry infilled walls. Furthermore, the lack of infill walls in the first story significantly affects the precast concrete frame's seismic reliability and performance.

확률론적 지진해일 재해도평가를 위한 로직트리 작성 및 재해곡선 산출 방법 (Construction of Logic Trees and Hazard Curves for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis)

  • 조명환;김건형;윤성범
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 2019
  • 지진해일 규모와 발생시기 예측의 어려움으로 인해 결정론적 방법으로 얻은 결과가 실제 재난을 반영하지 못하는 사례가 발생하고 있다. 따라서 지진해일의 불확실성을 확률론적으로 접근하는 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 분석(Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis) 연구의 중요성이 점차 증가하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 과거 동해안에 피해를 유발한 동해 동연부 지진에 대하여 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 분석을 위한 기초연구를 수행하였다. 초기수면변위와 해일고분포의 불확실성을 고려하기 위해 로직트리 기법을 사용하였으며, 우리나라에 내습하는 지진해일의 특성을 반영하여 분기를 구성하였다. 프랙타일 곡선을 산출하는 과정에서 분기의 수가 증가하면 시간소요가 비선형적으로 증가하므로 모든 분기를 고려하면서도 계산시간을 줄일 수 있는 개선된 방법을 제안하였다. 새로 제안된 이산가중치분포법(Discrete Weight Distribution)과 정렬기법 및 몬테카를로법으로 얻은 결과의 일관성과 소요시간을 비교하였다. 이산가중치분포법은 정렬기법을 적용한 경우보다 계산시간이 짧아 효율적인 것으로 평가되었으나, 다수의 분기나 세그먼트를 고려할 경우 몬테카를로 방법이 더 효율적인 것으로 판단된다.

Intensity measure-based probabilistic seismic evaluation and vulnerability assessment of ageing bridges

  • Yazdani, Mahdi;Jahangiri, Vahid
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.379-393
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to first evaluate the seismic behavior of ageing arch bridges by using the Intensity Measure - based demand and DCFD format, which is referred to as the fragility-hazard format. Then, an investigation is performed for their seismic vulnerability. Analytical models are created for bridges concerning different features and these models are subjected to Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) analysis using a set of 22 earthquake records. The hazard curve and results of IDA analysis are employed to evaluate the return period of exceeding the limit states in the IM-based probabilistic performance-based context. Subsequently, the fragility-hazard format is used to assess factored demand, factored capacity, and the ratio of the factored demand to the factored capacity of the models with respect to different performance objectives. Finally, the vulnerability curves are obtained for the investigated bridges in terms of the loss ratio. The results revealed that decreasing the span length of the unreinforced arch bridges leads to the increase in the return period of exceeding various limit states and factored capacity and decrease in the displacement demand, the probability of failure, the factored demand, as well as the factored demand to factored capacity ratios, loss ratio, and seismic vulnerability. Finally, it is derived that the probability of the need for rehabilitation increases by an increase in the span length of the models.

Logic tree approach for probabilistic typhoon wind hazard assessment

  • Choun, Young-Sun;Kim, Min-Kyu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제51권2호
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    • pp.607-617
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    • 2019
  • Global warming and climate change are increasing the intensity of typhoons and hurricanes and thus increasing the risk effects of typhoon and hurricane hazards on nuclear power plants (NPPs). To reflect these changes, a new NPP should be designed to endure design-basis hurricane wind speeds corresponding to an exceedance frequency of $10^{-7}/yr$. However, the short typhoon and hurricane observation records and uncertainties included in the inputs for an estimation cause significant uncertainty in the estimated wind speeds for return periods of longer than 100,000 years. A logic-tree framework is introduced to handle the epistemic uncertainty when estimating wind speeds. Three key parameters of a typhoon wind field model, i.e., the central pressure difference, pressure profile parameter, and radius to maximum wind, are used for constructing logic tree branches. The wind speeds of the simulated typhoons and the probable maximum wind speeds are estimated using Monte Carlo simulations, and wind hazard curves are derived as a function of the annual exceedance probability or return period. A logic tree decreases the epistemic uncertainty included in the wind intensity models and provides reasonably acceptable wind speeds.

시간에 따른 부식열화가 고려된 피로취약도 곡선을 이용한 강교의 손상 평가 (Damage Estimation of Steel Bridge Members by Fatigue Vulnerability Curves Considering Deterioration due to Corrosion with Time)

  • 김효진;이형철;전석기;이상호
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 강교 부재를 대상으로 시간에 따른 부식과 교통량(트럭통행량)의 변화 영향을 반영한 피로 취약도 평가 방법을 제안하였다. 제안된 방법을 통해 부식과 교통량 변화를 고려할 수 있는 피로에 대한 한계상태함수를 설정하였다. 부식의 영향은 평균부식깊이와 피로강도감소계수와의 관계를 이용하여 한계상태함수에서 피로저항의 감소로써 반영되었다. 트럭통행량의 변화는 세 가지 대표적인 변화양상을 설정하여 기간별로 실제 변화에 맞게 모델링함으로써 한계상태함수에서 하중의 증가로 반영되었다. Monte-Carlo 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 신뢰성 해석을 수행하도록 하였으며, 이를 바탕으로 시간이력 피로 취약도 곡선을 도출하였다. 검증예제와 실제 국내 강교에 적용하여 제안된 피로 취약도 평가방법을 검증하였다.

Seismic fragility and risk assessment of an unsupported tunnel using incremental dynamic analysis (IDA)

  • Moayedifar, Arsham;Nejati, Hamid Reza;Goshtasbi, Kamran;Khosrotash, Mohammad
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.705-714
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    • 2019
  • Seismic assessment of underground structures is one of the challenging problems in engineering design. This is because there are usually many sources of uncertainties in rocks and probable earthquake characteristics. Therefore, for decreasing of the uncertainties, seismic response of underground structures should be evaluated by sufficient number of earthquake records which is scarcely possible in common seismic assessment of underground structures. In the present study, a practical risk-based approach was performed for seismic risk assessment of an unsupported tunnel. For this purpose, Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA) was used to evaluate the seismic response of a tunnel in south-west railway of Iran and different analyses were conducted using 15 real records of earthquakes which were chosen from the PEER ground motion database. All of the selected records were scaled to different intensity levels (PGA=0.1-1.7 g) and applied to the numerical models. Based on the numerical modeling results, seismic fragility curves of the tunnel under study were derived from the IDA curves. In the next, seismic risk curve of the tunnel were determined by convolving the hazard and fragility curves. On the basis of the tunnel fragility curves, an earthquake with PGA equal to 0.35 g may lead to severe damage or collapse of the tunnel with only 3% probability and the probability of moderate damage to the tunnel is 12%.

Seismic evaluation of self-centering energy dissipating braces using fragility curves

  • Kharrazi, Hossein;Zahrai, Seyed Mehdi
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.679-693
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    • 2020
  • This paper investigates the seismic response of buildings equipped with Self-Centering Energy Dissipating (SCED) braces. Two-dimensional models of 3, 6, 12 and 16-story SCED buildings considering both material and geometric nonlinearities are investigated by carrying out pushover and nonlinear time-history analyses. The response indicators of the buildings are studied for weight-scaled ground motions to represent the Design Basis Earthquake (DBE) level and the Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCE) event. The fragility curves of the buildings for two Immediate Occupancy (IO) and Life Safety (LS) performance levels are developed using Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA). Results of the nonlinear response history analyses indicate that the maximum inter-story drift occurs at the taller buildings. The mean peak inter-story drift is less than 2% in both hazard levels. High floor acceleration peaks are observed in all the SCED frames regardless of the building height. The overall ductility and ductility demand increase when the number of stories reduces. The results also showed the residual displacement is negligible for all of case study buildings. The 3 and 6-story buildings exhibit desirable performance in IO and LS performance levels according to fragility curves results, while 12 and 16-story frames show poor performance especially in IO level. The results indicated the SCED braces performance is generally better in lower-rise buildings.