• Title/Summary/Keyword: growth prediction

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Effects of Temperature and Salinity on Germination and Vegeative Growth of Enteromorpha multiramosa Bliding(Chlorophyceae, Ulvales) (해산 녹조 털가지파래(Enteromorpha multiramosa Bliding)의 발아와 생장에 대한 온도와 염분도의 효과)

  • 김광용
    • Journal of Plant Biology
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.141-146
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    • 1990
  • Germination and vegetative growth of Enteromorpha multiramosa Bliding from Pyoson, Cheju Island were investigated in laboratory under various combinations of temperature (5-$25^{\circ}C$) and salinity (8-48$^{\circ}C$). Percent level of germination was relatively high at all combinations of the two factors. The highest value among the combinations was revealed at 15$^{\circ}C$ and 32$\textperthousand$. Dry weight also was fairly high at all levels of combination with maximum value at 2$0^{\circ}C$ and 32$\textperthousand$. Analysis of variance for germination and growth was completed respectively and polynomial prediction models were constructed. F ratio revealed that all factors had a significant effect (p<0.001) on percentage of germination and dry weight, and their interactions also were significant (p<0.001), although the F ratio of interactions was far less than that for either the separate effect of temperature or salinity. Response surface of polynomial equation represented that temperature influenced less than salinity on germination, while it effected remarkably on vegetative growth, so the Enteromorpha multiramosa was kept to visible macrothalli from winter to spring in Cheju Island.

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A FRACTIONAL-ORDER TUMOR GROWTH INHIBITION MODEL IN PKPD

  • Byun, Jong Hyuk;Jung, Il Hyo
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2020
  • Many compartment models assume a kinetically homogeneous amount of materials that have well-stirred compartments. However, based on observations from such processes, they have been heuristically fitted by exponential or gamma distributions even though biological media are inhomogeneous in real environments. Fractional differential equations using a specific kernel in Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic (PKPD) model are recently introduced to account for abnormal drug disposition. We discuss a tumor growth inhibition (TGI) model using fractional-order derivative from it. This represents a tumor growth delay by cytotoxic agents and additionally show variations in the equilibrium points by the change of fractional order. The result indicates that the equilibrium depends on the tumor size as well as a change of the fractional order. We find that the smaller the fractional order, the smaller the equilibrium value. However, a difference of them is the number of concavities and this indicates that TGI over time profile for fitting or prediction should be determined properly either fractional order or tumor sizes according to the number of concavities shown in experimental data.

Fatigue Crack Growth Retardation after Single Overload Cycle in High Strengh Aluminium Weldments (고강도 알루미늄 합금 용접부에 있어서의 피로균열전파에 미치는 과하중 효과)

  • 이택순;김상태;김인식
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.46-52
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    • 1988
  • Retardation or delay in fatigue crack growth due to overloads are important for the accurate prediction of fatigue lives of structural materials. In this study, retardation of fatigue crack growth in Al 6061-T6 weldments and heat affected zones (HAZ) after single overload cycle had been investigated. Retardation in both weldments and HAZ was observed. It was concluded that retardation in both weldment and HAZ was greater than in base metal due to microstructural change and crack branching and crack closure were major governing factor in retardation.

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Development of Yield Forecast Models for Autumn Chinese Cabbage and Radish Using Crop Growth and Development Information (생육정보를 이용한 가을배추와 가을무 단수 예측 모형 개발)

  • Lee, Choon-Soo;Yang, Sung-Bum
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2017
  • This study suggests the yield forecast models for autumn chinese cabbage and radish using crop growth and development information. For this, we construct 24 alternative yield forecast models and compare the predictive power using root mean square percentage errors. The results shows that the predictive power of model including crop growth and development informations is better than model which does not include those informations. But the forecast errors of best forecast models exceeds 5%. Thus it is important to establish reliable data and improve forecast models.

Evaluation of Creep Crack Growth Failure Probability for High Temperature Pressurized Components Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로법을 이용한 고온 내압 요소의 크리프 균열성장 파손확률 평가)

  • Lee, Jin-Sang;Yoon, Kee-Bong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.21 no.1 s.73
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2006
  • A procedure of estimating failure probability is demonstrated for a pressurized pipe of CrMo steel used at $538^{\circ}C$. Probabilistic fracture mechanics were employed considering variations of pressure loading, material properties and geometry. Probability density functions of major material variables were determined by statistical analyses of implemented data obtained by previous experiments. Distributions of the major variables were reflected in Monte Carlo simulation and failure probability as a function of operating time was determined. The creep crack growth life assessed by conventional deterministic approach was shown to be conservative compared with those obtained by probabilistic one. Sensitivity analysis for each input variable was also conducted to understand the most influencing variables to the residual life analysis. Internal pressure, creep crack growth coefficient and creep coefficient were more sensitive to failure probability than other variables.

A Study on the Heat Transfer and Film Growth During the III-V MOCVD Processes (III-V 족 MOCVD 공정의 열전달 및 필름 성장에 대한 연구)

  • Im, Ik-Tae;Shimogaki, Yukihiro
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.1213-1218
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    • 2004
  • Film growth rate of InP and GaAs using TMI, TMG, TBA and TBP is numerically predicted and compared to the experimental results. Obtained results show that the film growth rate is very sensitive to the thermal condition in the reactor. To obtain exact thermal boundary conditions at the reactor walls, we analyzed the gas flow and heat transfer in the reactor including outer tube as well as the inner reactor parts using a full three-dimensional model. The results indicate that the exact thermal boundary conditions are important to get precise film growth rate prediction.

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Subway Congestion Prediction and Recommendation System using Big Data Analysis (빅데이터 분석을 이용한 지하철 혼잡도 예측 및 추천시스템)

  • Kim, Jin-su
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.289-295
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    • 2016
  • Subway is a future-oriented means of transportation that can be safely and quickly mass transport many passengers than buses and taxis. Congestion growth due to the increase of the metro users is one of the factors that hinder citizens' rights to comfortably use the subway. Accordingly, congestion prediction in the subway is one of the ways to maximize the use of passenger convenience and comfort. In this paper, we monitor the level of congestion in real time via the existing congestion on the metro using multiple regression analysis and big data processing, as well as their departure station and arrival station information More information about the transfer stations offer a personalized congestion prediction system. The accuracy of the predicted congestion shows about 81% accuracy, which is compared to the real congestion. In this paper, the proposed prediction and recommendation application will be a help to prediction of subway congestion and user convenience.

Framework for Efficient Web Page Prediction using Deep Learning

  • Kim, Kyung-Chang
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.12
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    • pp.165-172
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    • 2020
  • Recently, due to exponential growth of access information on the web, the importance of predicting a user's next web page use has been increasing. One of the methods that can be used for predicting user's next web page is deep learning. To predict next web page, web logs are analyzed by data preprocessing and then a user's next web page is predicted on the output of the analyzed web logs using a deep learning algorithm. In this paper, we propose a framework for web page prediction that includes methods for web log preprocessing followed by deep learning techniques for web prediction. To increase the speed of preprocessing of large web log, a Hadoop based MapReduce programming model is used. In addition, we present a web prediction system that uses an efficient deep learning technique on the output of web log preprocessing for training and prediction. Through experiment, we show the performance improvement of our proposed method over traditional methods. We also show the accuracy of our prediction.

Reliability Prediction of High Performance Mooring Platform in Development Stage Using Safety Integrity Level and MTTFd (안전무결성 수준 및 MTTFd를 활용한 개발단계의 고성능 지상체 신뢰도 예측 방안)

  • Min-Young Lee;Sang-Boo Kim;In-Hwa Bae;So-Yeon Kang;Woo-Yeong Kwak;Sung-Gun Lee;Keuk-Ki Oh;Dae-Rim Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.609-618
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    • 2024
  • System reliability prediction in the development stage is increasingly crucial to reliability growth management to satisfy its target reliability, since modern system usually takes a form of complex composition and various complicated functions. In most cases of development stage, however, the information available for system reliability prediction is very limited, making it difficult to predict system reliability more precisely as in the production and operating stages. In this study, a system reliability prediction process is considered when the reliability-related information such as SIL (Safety Integrity Level) and MTTFd (Mean Time to Dangerous Failure) is available in the development stage. It is suggested that when the SIL or MTTFd of a system component is known and the field operational data of similar system is given, the reliability prediction could be performed using the scaling factor for the SIL or MTTFd value of the component based on the similar system's field operational data analysis. Predicting a system reliability is then adjusted with the conversion factor reflecting the temperature condition of the environment in which the system actually operates. Finally, the case of applying the proposed system reliability prediction process to a high performance mooring platform is dealt with.

Evaluation of the Applicability of Rice Growth Monitoring on Seosan and Pyongyang Region using RADARSAT-2 SAR -By Comparing RapidEye- (RADARSAT-2 SAR를 이용한 서산 및 평양 지역의 벼 생육 모니터링 적용성 평가 -RapidEye와의 비교를 통해-)

  • Na, Sang Il;Hong, Suk Young;Kim, Yi Hyun;Lee, Kyoung Do
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.56 no.5
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2014
  • Radar remote sensing is appropriate for rice monitoring because the areas where this crop is cultivated are often cloudy and rainy. Especially, Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) can acquire remote sensing information with a high temporal resolution in tropical and subtropical regions due to its all-weather capability. This paper analyzes the relationships between backscattering coefficients of rice measured by RADARSAT-2 SAR and growth parameters during a rice growth period. And we applied the relationships to crop monitoring of paddy rice in North Korea. As a result, plant height and Leaf Area Index (LAI) increased until Day Of Year (DOY) 234 and then decreased, while fresh weight and dry weight increased until DOY 253. Correlation coefficients revealed that Horizontal transmit and Horizontal receive polarization (HH)-polarization backscattering coefficients were correlated highly with plant height (r=0.95), fresh weight (r=0.92), vegetation water content (r=0.91), LAI (r=0.90), and dry weight (r=0.89). Based on the observed relationships between backscattering coefficients and variables of cultivation, prediction equations were developed using the HH-polarization backscattering coefficients. Concerning the evaluation for the applicability of the LAI distribution from RADARSAT-2, the LAI statistic was evaluated in comparison with LAI distribution from RapidEye image. And LAI distributions in Pyongyang were presented to show spatial variability for unaccessible areas.