• Title/Summary/Keyword: growth of population

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Dynamic Customer Population Management Model at Aggregate Level

  • Kim, Geon-Ha
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.49-70
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    • 2010
  • Customer population management models can be classified into three categories: the first category includes the models that analyze the customer population at cohort level; the second one deals with the customer population at aggregate level; the third one has interest in the interactions among the customer populations in the competitive market. Our study proposes a model that can analyze the dynamics of customer population in consumer-durables market at aggregate level. The dynamics of customer population includes the retention curves from the purchase or at a specific duration time, the duration time expectancy at a specific duration time, and customer population growth or decline including net replacement rate, intrinsic rate of increase, and the generation time of customer population. For this study, we adopt mathematical ecology models, redefine them, and restructure interdisciplinary models to analyze the dynamics of customer population at aggregate level. We use the data of previous research on dynamic customer population management at cohort level to compare its results with those of ours and to demonstrate the useful analytical effects which the precious research cannot provide for marketers.

Korea's Aging Population and Household Saving Rate: Evidence for an Extended Life Cycle Income Hypothesis

  • Kwack, Sung Yeung
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.105-140
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    • 2004
  • Korea is entering the class of aging population nations. This paper investigates the extent demographic factors and the aging population affect the saving rate, using an extended life-cycle/permanent-income hypothesis on saving. The results of the tests with Korean household survey data from 1977 to 2002 reveal that real saving rates increase when the duration of lifetime and per household real disposable income rise, and decrease when the growth rate of income and net worth-to-GDP ratio rises. The growth rate of per household real disposable income has negative effects, suggesting that households calculate their life cycle income in a forward looking manner. The elasticities with respect to a change in the lifetime horizon and the growth rate of per household income are 0.58 and -0.03, respectively. A one percent rise in the net worth to GDP ratio reduces the saving rate by 0.3 percent. A one percent rise in per household income increases it by 0.33 percent. The younger-age and the elder-age dependency ratios have insignificant effects on the household saving rate behavior. When Korean life expectancy rises, the private saving rate declines modestly and the government saving rate declines substantially. The economy's real net saving rate declines from 33 percent in 2002 to 30 percent by the year 2030.

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Establishment of the Measurement Model about the Adequate Urban Development Density using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 도시개발밀도의 적정성 평가 모델 구축 연구)

  • 전유신;문태훈
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.71-94
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this dissertation is to build a development density control model and estimate optimum developmental density level for a sustainable urban growth management. To develop the model, system dynamics modeling approach was used. The model was developed to analyze how urban growth, transition, and decay occur depending on the interaction among population, houses, industry structure, land and urban infrastructure such as road, water supply, and sewage treatment facilities. The model was applied to Anyang city to estimate optimum density level. Extensive computer simulation was conducted to find out the maximum numbers of population, industry structure, houses, and cars that can be adequately sustained with the current Anyang city's infrastructure capacity. The computer simulation result shows that the city is overpopulated by some 90,000 people. It nab analyzed that 20% increase of existing capacity of urban infrastructure is necessary to support current population of Anyang city. To reduce the population to the adequate level whereby the current urban infrastructure can sustain, the current city regulation on floor area ratio needs be strengthened at least 20% to 35%.

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Trends and Prospects for Demographic Structure and Labor Supply in Korea (우리 나라 인구 및 학력의 구조변화와 노동력 수급전망)

  • 구성열;강병규
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.5-41
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    • 1998
  • Over the past 30 years, Korea experienced demographic transition which typically substitutes quality(education) for quantity(number) of population. This paper decomposed labor supply into quantity and quality aspects and estimated the respective employment elasticities of economic growth in the past. Then, based on the assumptions about the future population (by age, sex and education) and labor force participation rates, the future labor supply(both quantity and quality) is projected and growth potential of the Korean economy is evaluated. The result shows that labor supply in Korea is relying gradually more on the qualitative rather than the quantitative aspect but since the increase in the former will not fully compensate the decrease in the latter, the potential growth rate of the Korean economy will be substantially reduced in the futrue.

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A Study on the Relationship between Urban Disaster and Urban Growth (도시재난과 도시성장과의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Jonggook
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.221-232
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    • 2017
  • We analyzed the effect of urban disaster on urban growth in 82 cities in Korea. It is interesting to note that violent crime has a positive (+) relationship with income growth, and other theft crime and violent crimes have a negative relationship with anticipated crime. Disaster accidents and incidents do not have a direct effect on employment and population growth, and are the result of rejecting hypotheses presented in previous studies. Finally, although the three indicators representing urban growth, that is, income, employment, and population, have different characteristics of statistical data basically, they show significant differences in explanatory power even though they use the same explanatory variables. This result suggests a new research task in addition to suggesting the use of the three indicators.

Relationship between Population Growth and Digestive Enzyme Activity of Rotifer Brachionus rotundiformis (Rotifer Brachionus rotundiformis의 개체군 성장과 소화효소 활성의 관계)

  • Kwon, O-Nam;Park, Heum-Gi
    • Journal of Aquaculture
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to suggest that selecting method of rotifer with high activity of digestive enzymes for the enrichment effect of rotifer and the increasing of digestive enzymes of fish larvae. the populations assayed the activities of the digestive enzymes were randomly selected out of several population communities cultured with freshwater condensed Chlorella. The relationship with the population density and the growth rate of selected populations was shown to RD=5865 SGR-350.08(P<0.001). The relationships with fecundity of the growth rate and the population density were shown to F=-36.147 SGR+61.652(P<0.05) and F=-0.0085 RD+66.38(P<0.001), respectively. The relationships of the growth rate and the individual activities of digestive enzymes in rotifer were assayed to Amyl=-1.6482 SGR+3.2498(P<0.05), TAP=-0.8115 SGR+1.1361(P<0.001) and TGL+0.0055 SGR+0.0079(P=0.239), respectively. But in TG-lipase was not related significantly with the growth rate. Also the relationships of the fecundity and the individual activities of digestive enzymes in rotifer were shown to Amyl=0.0296 F+1.0981(P<0.001), TAP=0.0252 F+0.0975(P<0.001) and TGL=-6E-06 F+0.0113(P=0.915), respectively. But in TG-lipase was not related significantly with the fecundity. And the relationships with the specific activity of TG-lipase of the fecundity, the growth rate and the population density were TGL=-0.024 F+0.2332(P=0.132), TGL=0.1267 SGR+0.005(P<0.01) and TGL=0.0002 F-0.0594(P<0.001), respectively. In this case, specific activity of TG-lipase was shown the significant relationship with the population density and the growth rate, but it was not related significantly with fecundity. Therefore, Because a population shown the high activity of digestive enzymes for increasing a lipid enrichment effect of a rotifers and receiving the many exogenous digestive enzymes to fish larvae was the population of high fecundity than the population of high rotifer density, to select the population of a high fecundity was suggested to benefit than a high growth rate for fish larvae.

Migration Characteristics by the Regional Population Scale and Network Analysis of Population Movement Rate (인구 규모별 인구이동 특성과 인구이동률 네트워크 분석)

  • Lee, Jimin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.127-135
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    • 2018
  • In countries and regions population plays an important role. Recently the importance of population migration increased as population growth slowed. Researches on population migration are mainly focused on the analysis of the population movement factors and the regional structure analysis using the network analysis method. Analysis of regional structure through population movement is not enough to explain the phenomenon of migration of small cities and rural regions. In this study, to overcome the limit of previous studies the characteristics of the population movement rate according to the size of the population were analyzed. Also network analysis using the population movement OD (Origin and Destination) and population movement rate OD were conducted and the results of them were compared. As the results of analysis by the regional population scale, the population movement by population size showed a big difference in the areas with more than 100 thousand people and less than 100 thousand people. Migration to the outside of the province was the most frequent in regions with 30,000~50,000 people. The population migration rate network analysis result showed that the new area with large population inflow capacity was identified, which could not be found in the population movement network analysis because population movement number is small. The population movement rate irate is expected to be used to identify the central regions of the province and to analyze the difference in resident attractiveness.

Effect of Bacteriophages on Viability and Growth of Co-cultivated Weissella and Leuconostoc in Kimchi Fermentation

  • Kong, Se-Jin;Park, Jong-Hyun
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.558-561
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    • 2019
  • This study aimed to understand the survival and growth patterns of bacteriophage-sensitive Weissella and Leuconostoc strains involved in kimchi fermentation. Dongchimi kimchi was prepared, and Weissella and Leuconostoc were co-cultivated in the dongchimi broth. Weissella cibaria KCTC 3807 growth was accompanied by rapid lysis with an increase in the bacteriophage quantity. Leuconostoc citreum KCCM 12030 followed the same pattern. The bacteriophage-insensitive strains W. cibaria KCTC 3499 and Leuconostoc mesenteroides KCCM 11325 survived longer under low pH as their growth was not accompanied by bacteriophages. The bacteriophage lysate of W. cibaria KCTC 3807 accelerated and promoted the growth of Leuconostoc. Overall, our results show that bacteriophages might affect the viability and population dynamics of lactic acid bacteria during kimchi fermentation.

Analyzing Factors and Impacts of Regional Characteristics to Regional Economic Growth in South Korea (우리나라의 지역 특성이 지역 경제 성장에 미치는 요인과 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Geunyoung
    • Journal of Urban Science
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the factors affecting economic growth using multiple regression model and Geographically Weighted Regression in consideration of population, industry and employment, housing and political characteristics on economic growth by region. The analysis results are summarized as follows. First, the total employment growth rate, manufacturing employment growth rate, local election turnout and the level of party consensus between the central and local governments are having a positive impact on regional economic growth. Second, according to the GWR analysis, the population has a positive impact on economic growth in the southern region of Korea, and the increase in the total number of employees has a positive impact on the southern region of Gyeonggi Province, Gangwon Province, North Chungcheong Province and North Gyeongsang Province. Finally, the voter turnout of urbanites is positively affecting economic growth in South Chungcheong Province, Gangwon Province and the southern coast, while North Jeolla and South Jeolla provinces have a positive impact on economic growth as the parties of the central and local governments are equal. The results of this study may suggest the role of local government for regional economic development.

Evaluation of Sesquiterpenoids Content and Growth Characters in Clonal Lines from a Cross between Atractylodes japonica Koidz. ex Kitam. and A. macrocephala Koidz

  • Kim, Kwan-Su;Park, Chun-Geun;Kim, Dong-Hwi;Park, Si-Hyung;Choung, Myoung-Gun
    • Korean Journal of Medicinal Crop Science
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2006
  • Two Atractylodes species, A. japonica Koidz. ex Kitam. (AJ) and A. macrocephala Koidz (AM) were used in this study. AJ population had higher amounts of Sesquiterpenoids and stronger tolerance to root rot but less vigor of root growth than AM population. Two populations (AJ and AM) were crossed to make interspecific hybrid population. A total of 98 lines propagated clonally were selected from a cross of AJ and AM, and evaluated for contents of sesquiterpenoids, atractylon (ATLN) and atractylenolide III (AT3) using high performance liquid chromatography (HPLC), and growth characters such as plant height, stem number and root weight. HPLC profiles of the hybrids were compared with those of parent plants, and it demonstrated the production of introgression hybrid by crossing between AJ and AM. Of 98 clonal lines,10 lines were selected by 10% level based on the growth vigor and tolerance to root rot, and AJM2102-51 line showed the heaviest root weight (117.1 g/plant) among them. A total of 98 hybrid lines contained on average $0.16\;{\pm}\;0.10\;mg/g$ of $AT3,\;2.00\;{\pm}\;1.37\;mg/g$ of ATLN, and $2.16\;{\pm}\;1.40\;mg/g$ of total sesquiterpenoids, showing high coefficients of variation (above 65%). Ten lines having high contents of sesquiterpenoids were selected, and AJM2101-15 had the highest amount (9.83 mg/g) of ATLN, and showed 40.8 g/plant of root weight similar to mean value (39.9 g/plant) of hybrid lines. The result showed that the introgression of both characters of vigorous growth from AM and high sesquiterpenoids content from AJ could be possible to make new hybrid lines by crossing between AJ and AM.