• Title/Summary/Keyword: groundwater level change

Search Result 215, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Time-series Analysis and Prediction of Future Trends of Groundwater Level in Water Curtain Cultivation Areas Using the ARIMA Model (ARIMA 모델을 이용한 수막재배지역 지하수위 시계열 분석 및 미래추세 예측)

  • Baek, Mi Kyung;Kim, Sang Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.65 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-11
    • /
    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the impact of greenhouse cultivation area and groundwater level changes due to the water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complexes. The groundwater observation data in the Miryang study area were used and classified into greenhouse and field cultivation areas to compare the groundwater impact of water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complex. We identified the characteristics of the groundwater time series data by the terrain of the study area and selected the optimal model through time series analysis. We analyzed the time series data for each terrain's two representative groundwater observation wells. The Seasonal ARIMA model was chosen as the optimal model for riverside well, and for plain and mountain well, the ARIMA model and Seasonal ARIMA model were selected as the optimal model. A suitable prediction model is not limited to one model due to a change in a groundwater level fluctuation pattern caused by a surrounding environment change but may change over time. Therefore, it is necessary to periodically check and revise the optimal model rather than continuously applying one selected ARIMA model. Groundwater forecasting results through time series analysis can be used for sustainable groundwater resource management.

Proposal of Agricultural Drought Re-evaluation Method using Long-term Groundwater Level Monitoring Data (장기 지하수위 관측자료를 활용한 농업가뭄 재평가 방안 제언)

  • Jeong, ChanDuck;Lee, ByungSun;Lee, GyuSang;Kim, JunKyum
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.27-43
    • /
    • 2021
  • Since climate factors, such as precipitation, temperature, etc., show repeated patterns every year, it can be said that future changes can be predicted by analyzing past climate data. As with groundwater, seasonal variations predominate. Therefore, when a drought occurs, the groundwater level is also lowered. Thus, a change in the groundwater level can represent a drought. Like precipitation, groundwater level changes also have a high correlation with drought, so many researchers use Standard Groundwater Level Index (SGI) to which the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) method is applied to evaluate the severity of droughts and predict drought trends. However, due to the strong interferences caused by the recent increase in groundwater use, it is difficult to represent the droughts of regions or entire watersheds by only using groundwater level change data using the SPI or SGI methods, which analyze data from one representative observation station. Therefore, if the long-term groundwater level changes of all the provinces of a watershed are analyzed, the overall trend can be shown even if there is use interference. Thus, future groundwater level changes and droughts can be more accurately predicted. Therefore, in this study, it was confirmed that the groundwater level changes in the last 5 years compared with the monthly average groundwater level changes of the monitoring wells installed before 2015 appeared similar to the drought occurrence pattern. As a result of analyzing the correlation with the water storage yields of 3,423 agricultural reservoirs that do not immediately open their sluice gates in the cases of droughts or floods, it was confirmed that the correlation was higher than 56% in the natural state. Therefore, it was concluded that it is possible to re-evaluate agricultural droughts through long-term groundwater level change analyses.

유구지역에서의 누적강수량과 지하수수위강하를 이용한 지하수함양율 추정

  • 이주영;이기철;정형재;정성욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
    • /
    • 2003.09a
    • /
    • pp.515-518
    • /
    • 2003
  • Groundwater recharge rate can be estimated from groundwater head rebound due to rainfall. Groundwater level changes are monitored for 10 months at Yugu area. Difference between two recharge rates calculated by rainfall and by effective rainfall is 1.1%~1.6%. Since this method ignores soil water percolation during groundwater level regression, the actual recharge rate may be higher than estimated one by cumulative rainfall and groundwater level change.

  • PDF

Basin specific yield calculation which consider groundwater level change (지하수위 변화를 고려한 유역 비산출율 산정)

  • Jeoung, Jae-Hoon;Park, Seung-Ki;Lee, Seung-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 2003.10a
    • /
    • pp.311-314
    • /
    • 2003
  • This research recognized change of the specific yield(Sy) by groundwater level in small size tube well of the farm village area. The result research basin aquifer could quality that the specific yield according to geological quality of aquifer changes showed value of $0.0004{\sim}0.081$ extents according to groundwater level decline.

  • PDF

Effect of groundwater level change on piled raft foundation in Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam using 3D-FEM

  • Kamol Amornfa;Ha T. Quang;Tran V. Tuan
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.387-396
    • /
    • 2023
  • Ground subsidence, which is a current concern that affects piled raft foundations, has occurred at a high rate in Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam, due primarily to groundwater pumping for water supply. In this study, the groundwater level (GWL) change affect on a piled raft foundation was investigated based on the three-dimensional finite element method (3D-FEM) using the PLAXIS 3D software. The GWL change due to global groundwater pumping and dewatering were simulated in PLAXIS 3D based on the GWL reduction and consolidation. Settlement and the pile axial force of the piled raft foundation in Ho Chi Minh subsoil were investigated based on the actual design and the proposed optimal case. The actual design used the piled foundation concept, while the optimal case applied a pile spacing of 6D using a piled raft concept to reduce the number of piles, with little increased settlement. The results indicated that the settlement increased with the GWL reduction, caused by groundwater pumping and dewatering. The subsidence started to affect the piled raft foundation 2.5 years after construction for the actual design and after 3.4 years for the optimal case due to global groundwater pumping. The pile's axial force, which was affected by negative skin friction, increased during that time.

Analysis of Changes in Groundwater Level according to Tunnel Passage in Geological Vulnerable Zone (지질취약구간 터널통과에 따른 지하수위 변화량 분석)

  • Choi, Jung-Youl;Yang, Gyu-Nam;Kim, Tae-Jun;Chung, Jee Seung
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.6 no.3
    • /
    • pp.369-375
    • /
    • 2020
  • The section of this study is the geological vulnerable zone where groundwater leakage occurred through the tunnel barrier during excavation of the shield tunnel boring machine(TBM) for the construction of the electric power unit. Therefore, a Three D imensions(3D) numerical analysis was performed to analyze the actual situation from before construction to the time when the change in groundwater level occurred, and to reflect the surrounding ground conditions based on the observed change in groundwater level during construction. As a result of the study, the correlation between groundwater level change and tunnel construction around the site was identified. Therefore, it was similar to the measurement result of groundwater level at the target ground. The amount of groundwater discharge to the entrance of the tunnel construction was also similar to the actual measured result, and the numerical analysis method and modeling in this study were analyzed to reflect the site conditions.

Groundwater Level Trend Analysis for Long-term Prediction Basedon Gaussian Process Regression (가우시안 프로세스 회귀분석을 이용한 지하수위 추세분석 및 장기예측 연구)

  • Kim, Hyo Geon;Park, Eungyu;Jeong, Jina;Han, Weon Shik;Kim, Kue-Young
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.30-41
    • /
    • 2016
  • The amount of groundwater related data is drastically increasing domestically from various sources since 2000. To justify the more expansive continuation of the data acquisition and to derive valuable implications from the data, continued employments of sophisticated and state-of-the-arts statistical tools in the analyses and predictions are important issue. In the present study, we employed a well established machine learning technique of Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) model in the trend analyses of groundwater level for the long-term change. The major benefit of GPR model is that the model provide not only the future predictions but also the associated uncertainty. In the study, the long-term predictions of groundwater level from the stations of National Groundwater Monitoring Network located within Han River Basin were exemplified as prediction cases based on the GPR model. In addition, a few types of groundwater change patterns were delineated (i.e., increasing, decreasing, and no trend) on the basis of the statistics acquired from GPR analyses. From the study, it was found that the majority of the monitoring stations has decreasing trend while small portion shows increasing or no trend. To further analyze the causes of the trend, the corresponding precipitation data were jointly analyzed by the same method (i.e., GPR). Based on the analyses, the major cause of decreasing trend of groundwater level is attributed to reduction of precipitation rate whereas a few of the stations show weak relationship between the pattern of groundwater level changes and precipitation.

Effect of the climate change on groundwater recharging in Bangga watershed, Central Sulawesi, Indonesia

  • Sutapa, I Wayan
    • Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-94
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study was conducted to determine the effect of the climate change to the level of groundwater recharging. This research was conducted on the watershed of Bangga by using the Soil Water Balance of MockWyn-UB model. Input data compose of evapotranspiration, monthly rainfall, watershed area, canopy interception, heavy rain factor and the influence of climate change factors (rainfall and temperature). The conclusion of this study indicates that there is a decreasing trend in annual groundwater recharge observed from 1995 to 2011. The amount of groundwater recharge varied linearly with monthly rainfall and between 3% to 25% of the rainfall. This result implies that rain contributed more than groundwater recharge to runoff and evaporation and the groundwater recharge and Bangga River discharge depends largely on the rainfall. In order to increase the groundwater recharge in the study area, reforestation programmes should be intensified.

Study of Groundwater Recharge Rate Change by Using Groundwater Level and GRACE Data in Korea (지하수위와 GRACE 자료를 이용한 국내 지하수 함양량 변화 연구)

  • Jeon, Hang-Tak;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Jo, Young-Heon;Kim, Jinsoo;Park, Soyoung;Cheong, Jae-Yeol
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.265-277
    • /
    • 2019
  • Changes in the amount, intensity, frequency, and type of precipitation, in conjunction with global warming and climate change, critically impact groundwater recharge and associated groundwater level fluctuations. Monthly gravity levels by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) are acquired to monitor total water storage changes at regional and global scales. However, there are inherent difficulties in quantitatively relating the GRACE observations to groundwater level data due to the difficulties in spatially representing groundwater levels. Here three local interpolation methods (kriging, inverse distance weighted, and natural neighbor) were implemented to estimate the areal distribution of groundwater recharge changes in South Korea during the 2002-2016 period. The interpolated monthly groundwater recharge changes are compared with the GRACE-derived groundwater storage changes. There is a weak decrease in the groundwater recharge changes over time in both the GRACE observations and groundwater measurements, with the rate of groundwater recharge change exhibiting mean and median values of -0.01 and -0.02 cm/month, respectively.

Analysis of Groundwater Level Changes Near the Greenhouse Complex Area Using Groundwater Monitoring Network (지하수관측망을 이용한 강변 시설재배지역 지하수위 변화 특성 분석)

  • Baek, Mi Kyung;Kim, Sang Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.64 no.6
    • /
    • pp.13-23
    • /
    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the impact of greenhouse cultivation area and groundwater level changes due to the water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complexes, which are mainly situated along rivers where water resources are easy to secure. The groundwater observation network in Miryang, Gyeongsangnam-do, located downstream of the Nakdong River, was selected for the study area. We classified the groundwater monitoring well into the greenhouse (riverside) and field cultivation areas (plain and mountain) to compare the groundwater impact of water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complex. The characteristics of groundwater level changes classified by terrain type were analyzed using the observed data. Riverside wells have significant permeability coefficients and are close to rivers, so they are greatly affected by river flow and precipitation changes so that water level shows a specific pattern of annual changes. Most plain wells do not show a constant annual change, but observation wells near small rivers and small-scale greenhouse cultivation areas sometimes show annual and daily changes in which the water level drops during winter. Compared to other observation wells, mountain wells do not show significant yearly changes in water level and show general characteristics of bedrock aquifer well with a low permeability coefficient.