• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제4권3호
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• pp.211-219
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• 2013

장기에너지 분석모형인 LEAP 모형을 활용하여 S시 가정 부문의 에너지 소비량 및 온실가스 배출 현황과 온실가스 저감대책에 따른 감축잠재량을 분석하였다. 2009년 S시의 에너지 소비량은 가정 상업부문에서 39.1%로 가장 많이 소비하고 있다. 또한, 가구수 증가로 인해 가정 부문의 에너지 및 온실가스 배출량이 증가할 것으로 전망되고 있어, 가정 부문의 온실가스 저감대책 마련이 시급한 상황이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 S시 가정 부문의 에너지 소비량을 파악하고, S시에 적합한 가정 부문 온실가스 저감대책을 수립하였다. 온실가스 감축 잠재량 예측을 위한 시나리오는 기준시나리오, LED 조명 보급, 에너지 대체, 녹색생활 실천, 통합 저감대책 등 총 5개 대책의 효과를 분석하였다. 2020년 기준 저감대책별 온실가스 배출량을 살펴보면, LED 조명 보급은 2020년 온실가스 배출량이 1,181.0천 $tonCO_2eq$로 기준시나리오 대비 약 6.1%의 감축효과가 나타났으며, 에너지 대체는 1,171.6천 $tonCO_2eq$으로 기준시나리오 대비 약 6.8%의 감축효과가 나타났다. 또한, 녹색생활 실천의 2020년 온실가스 배출량은 1,128.7천 $tonCO_2eq$로 기준시나리오 대비 약 10.2%의 온실가스 배출량을 줄일 수 있다는 결과를 도출할 수 있다. LED 조명 보급, 에너지 대체, 녹색생활 실천을 모두 통합한 통합 저감대책은 2020년 966.9천 $tonCO_2eq$로 기준시나리오 대비 약 23.1%의 온실가스 배출량을 줄일 수 있다는 것으로 나타났다.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.341-349
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• 2016

This study is intended to set a greenhouse gas emission scenario based on green remodeling pilot project (Annex building of Seoul Customs Office) using LEAP model, a long-term energy plan analysis model, to calculate the energy saving and greenhouse gas emission till year 2035 as well as to analyze the effect of electric power saving cost. Total 4 scenarios were made, Baseline scenario, assuming the past trend is to be maintained in the future, green remodeling scenario, reflecting actual green remodeling project of Seoul Customs Office, behavior improvement and renewable energy supply, and Total scenario. According to the analysis result, the energy demand in 2035 of Baseline scenario was 6.1% decreased from base year 2013, that of green remodeling scenario was 17.5%, that of behavior improvement and renewable energy supply scenario was 21.1% and that of total scenario was 27.3%. The greenhouse emission of base year 2013 was $878.2tCO_2eq$, and it was expected $826.3tCO_2eq$, approx. 5.9% reduced, in 2035 by Baseline scenario. the cumulative greenhouse gas emission saving of the analyzing period were $-26.5tCO_2eq$ by green remodeling scenario, $2.8k\;tCO_2eq$ by behavior improvement and renewable energy supply scenario, and $2.0k\;tCO_2eq$ by total scenario. In addition the effect of electricity saving cost through energy saving has been estimated, and it was approx. 634 million won by green remodeling scenario and appro. 726 million won by behavior improvement and renewable energy supply scenario. So it is analyzed that of behavior improvement and renewable energy supply scenario would be approx. 12.7% higher than that of green remodeling scenario.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제7권1호
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• pp.85-93
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• 2016

This study the efficiency of greenhouse gas reduction of 'low carbon car collaboration fund' and its alternative 'control of average fuel efficiency and greenhouse gas', and 'improving driving behavior' were analyzed by using LEAP, long term energy analysis model. Total 4 scenarios were set, baseline scenario, without energy-saving activity, 'low carbon car collaboration fund' scenario, 'fuel efficiency improving scenario', and 'improving driving behavior' scenario. The contents of analysis were forecast of energy demand by scenario and application as well as reduction of greenhouse gas emission volume, and the period taken for analysis was every 1 year during 2015~2030. Baseline scenario, greenhouse gas emission volume in 2015 would be 7,935,697 M/T and 13,081,986 M/T in 2030, increased 64.8%. The analysis result was average annual increase rate of 3.4%. The expected average annual increase rate of other scenarios was, 'low carbon car collaboration fund' scenario 1.7%, 'fuel efficiency improving' scenario 3.0%. and 'improving driving behavior' scenario 3.4%. and these were each 1.7%, 0.3%. 0.3% reduce from baseline scenario. The largest reduction was 'low carbon car collaboration fund' scenario, and there after were 'fuel efficiency improving scenario', and 'improving driving behavior' scenario.

• 한국도로학회논문집
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• 제16권6호
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• pp.129-136
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• 2014

PURPOSES : This study devotes its energies to estimate greenhouse gas emissions for types of horizontal highway designs. METHODS : This paper suggested two types of road scenarios, scenario 1 is made by the lack of road design consistency. Beside scenario 1, scenario 2 is made by good road design. For comparisons of greenhouse gas emissions, driving simulator was used. RESULTS : Emission rates of road scenario 1 are 1.4 times higher than scenario 2 in the driving simulator. CONCLUSIONS : This study may have important implications for contributing to the application of road alignment technology for reduction of greenhouse gases as quantifying the correlations between greenhouse emissions and various road alignments. Consequently, this study will help road designers determine which roads are best alternatives in the process of choosing the roads in the future in terms of environmental benefits.

• 유기물자원화
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• 제28권1호
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• pp.37-51
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• 2020

2015년 말 채택된 파리협정으로 2023년부터 5년 단위로 국제이행점검(Global stock-taking)이 진행될 예정이며, 국가 온실가스 인벤토리와 온실가스 감축 목표 달성 경과 등을 의무적으로 보고해야 한다. 이에 대비하여 온실가스 배출량 산정의 신뢰도를 향상시키고, 온실가스 배출원별 특성 파악과 배출량 관리가 중요한 시점이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 폐기물 매립 부문을 대상으로 2000 GPG, 2006 IPCC 가이드라인 및 2019 Refinement 산정방법에 따라 온실가스 배출량을 비교·분석하였다. 그 결과, 2016년 기준 시나리오 1에서는 2,287 Gg CO₂_eq, 시나리오 2-1은 1,870 Gg CO₂_eq, 시나리오 2-2는 10,886 Gg CO₂_eq, 시나리오 2-3은 10,629 Gg CO₂_eq, 시나리오 3은 12,468 Gg CO₂_eq으로 나타나 2000 GPG 대비 2006 IPCC 가이드라인 적용 시 온실가스 배출량이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 배출량 변화의 차이는 산정방식의 변화와 적용되는 배출계수 값에 기인하였으며, 이에 우리나라 특성에 따른 배출계수의 국가고유값 개발이 시급한 것으로 나타났다.

• 환경영향평가
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.667-676
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• 2013

This study analyzed the energy demand, greenhouse gas emission and greenhouse gas reduction potential of Electronic Electrical components company. The LEAP model targeting long term energy plan was used to establish the most efficient plan for the companies by examining the climate change policy of government and the countermeasures by companies. A scenario was created by having 11 greenhouse gases reduction plans to be introduced from 2011 as the basic plan. Regarding input data, energy consumption by business place and by use, number of employee from 2009 to 2012, land area and change in number of business places were utilized. The study result suggested that approximately 13,800 TJ of energy will be spent in 2020, which is more than 2 times of 2012 energy consumption. When the integrated scenario based on the reduction plan of companies would be enforced, approximately 3,000 TJ will be reduced in 2020. The emission of greenhouse gases until 2020 was forecasted as approximately 760,000 ton $CO_2eq$. When the integrated scenario would be enforced, the emission will be approximately 610,000 ton $CO_2eq$, which is decrease by approximately 150,000 ton $CO_2eq$. This study will help the efficient responding of eElectronic Electrical components company in preparing detail report on objective management system and enforcement plan. It will also contribute in their image as environment-friendly companies by properly responding to the regulation reinforcement of government and greenhouse gases emission target based on environment policy.

• 한국대기환경학회지
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.344-352
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• 2007

Quantifying the methane emission from landfills is important to evaluate measures for reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. To estimate methane emission for the entire landfills from 1990 through 2004 in Korea, Tier 1 and 2 methodologies were used. In addition, five different scenarios were adopted to identify the effect of important variables on methane emission. The trends of methane emission using Tier 1 were similar to the disposed waste amount. Methane emission using Tier 2 increased as the degradation of waste was gradually proceeded. This result indicates that disposed waste amount and methane generation rate are the important variables for the estimation of methane emission by Tier 1 and 2, respectively. As for the different scenarios, methane emission was highest with scenario I that the entire landfills in Korea were regarded as one landfill. Methane emissions by scenario III and IV considering different $DOC_F$ values with the waste type and different MCF values with the height of waste layer, respectively, were underestimated compared to scenario II. This result indicates that the method of scenario I employed to most previous studies may lead to the overestimation of methane emission. Therefore, more careful consideration of the variables should be needed to develop the methodologies of greenhouse gas emission in landfills along with the characteristics of disposed waste in Korea.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.127-147
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• 2023

본 연구는 정부의 탄소중립 정책 중 하나인 화력발전을 신재생에너지로 대체하는 경우 에 대한 경제적 파급효과를 분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이러한 분석을 위해 화력발전을 신재생에너지로 100% 대체하는 경우를 시나리오 A로 설정하고, 60%로 대체하는 경우를 시나리오 B로 설정한다. 또한 이렇게 화력발전을 신재생에너지로 대체할 때 비용이 발생하게 되는데 현행과 동일한 비용인 경우를 시나리오 1, 현행보다 비용이 120% 증가한 경우를 시나리오 2로 설정한다. 따라서 화력발전을 신재생에너지로 전환할 때 시나리오는 크게 이와 같이 4가지 경우로 정리된다. 화력발전을 신재생에너지로 전환하는 경우, 화력발전의 생산유발계수는 시나리오와 관계없이 현행 수준보다 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 화력발전을 신재생에너지로 100% 전환하는 경우 부가가치유발계수와 온실가스배출량 유발계수는 현행 수준보다 감소한 반면 화력발전을 신재생에너지로 60% 대체하는 경우 부가가치유발계수와 온실가스배출량 유발계수는 현행 수준보다 증가했다. 또한 대부분의 업종의 온실가스배출량 유발계수는 감소하는 것으로 나타난 반면 생산유발계수와 부가가치유발계수는 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 정부 정책의 목적은 화력발전을 신재생에너지로 전환시켜 온실가스배출량을 축소시키는 것이기 때문에 시나리오 화력발전을 신재생에너지로 100% 전환하는 경우가 더 적합한 것으로 보인다. 다만, 이로 인해 일부 업종의 생산유발계수와 부가가치유발계수가 감소하는 부작용이 발생하므로 이를 해결하기 위한 정부의 지원 정책이 필요하다.

• 한국기후변화학회지
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.213-220
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• 2017

The purpose of this study is to analyze effects of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reduction in district energy business mainly based on Combined Heat and Power (CHP) plants. Firstly this paper compares the actual carbon intensity of power production between conventional power plants and district energy plants. To allocate the GHG from CHP plants, two of different methods which were Alternative Generation Method and Power Bonus Method, have been investigated. The carbon intensity of power production in district energy plants ($0.43tonCO_2e/MWh$) was relatively lower than conventional gas-fired power plants ($0.52tonCO_2e/MWh$). Secondly we assessed the cost effectiveness of reduction by district energy sector compared to the other means using TIMES model method. We find that GHG marginal abatement cost of 'expand CHP' scenario (-$134/ton$CO_2$) is even below than renewable energy scenario such as photovoltaic power generation ($87/ton$CO_2$). Finally the GHG emission reduction potential was reviewed on the projected GHG emission emitted when the same amount of energy produced in combination of conventional power plants and individual boilers as substitution of district energy. It showed there were 10.1~41.8% of GHG emission reduction potential in district energy compared to the combination of conventional power plants and individual boilers.

• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제34권5호
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• pp.343-350
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• 2008

Quantifying greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the waste sector is important to evaluating measures for reduction of GHG emissions. To forecast GHG emissions and identify potential emission reduction for GHG emissions, scenarios applied with environmental policy such as waste reduction and structural change of waste treatment were developed. Scenario I estimated GHG emissions under the business as usual (BAU) baseline. Scenario II estimated GHG emissions with the application of the waste reduction policy while scenario III was based on the policy of structural change of waste treatment. Scenario IV was based on both the policies of waste reduction and structural change of waste treatment. As for the different scenarios, GHG emissions were highest under scenarios III, followed by scenarios IV, I, and II. In particular, GHG emissions increased under scenario III due to the increased GHG emissions from the enhanced waste incineration due to the structural change of waste treatment. This result indicated that the waste reduction is the primary policy for GHG reduction from waste. GHG emission from landfill was higher compared to those from incineration. However, the contribution of GHG emission from incineration increased under scenario III and IV. This indicated that more attention should be paid to the waste treatment for incineration to reduce GHG emissions.