• 제목/요약/키워드: global climate

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ON WELL-POSEDNESS AND BLOW-UP CRITERION FOR THE 2D TROPICAL CLIMATE MODEL

  • Zhou, Mulan
    • 대한수학회보
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    • 제57권4호
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    • pp.891-907
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we consider the Cauchy problem to the tropical climate model. We establish the global regularity for the 2D tropical climate model with generalized nonlocal dissipation of the barotropic mode and obtain a multi-logarithmical vorticity blow-up criterion for the 2D tropical climate model without any dissipation of the barotropic mode.

기후변화에 따른 동중국해 해양 순환 변화 예측에 대한 수치 실험 연구 (Numerical Experiment of Environmental Change in the East China Sea under Climate Change)

  • 민홍식;김철호
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.431-444
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    • 2012
  • We simulated and compared present and future ocean circulation in the East China Sea using an East Asia Regional Ocean model. Mean climate states for 1990~1999 and 2030~2039 were used as surface conditions for simulations of present and future ocean circulation, which were derived from the simulations of three different global climate models, ECHAM5-MPI, GFDL-CM2.0 and MIROC3.2_hires, for the 20th century and those of 21st century as projected by the IPCC SRES A1B. East Asia Regional Ocean model simulated the detailed patterns of temperature, salinity and current fields under present and future climate conditions and their changes instead of the simple structures of global climate models. To some extent, there are consistent ocean circulation changes derived from the three pairs corresponding to the global climate model in so much as the temperature increases not only in winter but summer at both the surface and bottom and that temperature and salinity changes are prominent near the Chinese coast and in the Changjiang bank. However, the simulated circulations are different among each other depending on the prescribed atmospheric conditions not only under present climate but also with regard to future climate conditions. There is not a coincident tendency in ocean circulation changes between present and future simulations derived from the three pairs. This suggests that more simulations with different pairs are needed.

기후변화대응을 위한 미국 포틀랜드시 기후변화 실천계획의 주요 특성 분석에 관한 연구 (Analysis on Climate Action Plans of Portland, Oregon, USA)

  • 최준성
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 2013
  • As climate change is increasingly recognised as an important global problem, a wide variety of policies and measures are emerging at global and local level to deal with the challenges from the anthropogenic global warming. While national and inter-national efforts characterized by limiting GHG emissions shows very little progress because of their expanse spatial scale and complicated political situations, local efforts have the potentials to ensure effective implementation, monitoring and continual improvement. In the context of local-scale climate policy, the city of Portland is known as one of the best leading cities for its progress of implementing climate change strategies. This paper will briefly discuss the city's efforts to solve the climate change problem and its achievements. The latest climate action plan is selected for the analysis on the followings; the framework of the action plan, the types of implementation methods, and the coordinating agencies. The progress status of each action plans is also reviewed. The purpose of this paper is to describe the main characteristics of the climate action plans and their implications from the intensive analysis on the city of Portland's case.

기후학적 물수지를 적용한 기후변화에 따른 농업기상지표 변동예측의 불확실성 (Uncertainty Characteristics in Future Prediction of Agrometeorological Indicators using a Climatic Water Budget Approach)

  • 남원호;홍은미;최진용;조재필
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권2호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2015
  • The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), coordinated by the World Climate Research Programme in support of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) AR5, is the most recent, provides projections of future climate change using various global climate models under four major greenhouse gas emission scenarios. There is a wide selection of climate models available to provide projections of future climate change. These provide for a wide range of possible outcomes when trying to inform managers about possible climate changes. Hence, future agrometeorological indicators estimation will be much impacted by which global climate model and climate change scenarios are used. Decision makers are increasingly expected to use climate information, but the uncertainties associated with global climate models pose substantial hurdles for agricultural resources planning. Although it is the most reasonable that quantifying of the future uncertainty using climate change scenarios, preliminary analysis using reasonable factors for selecting a subset for decision making are needed. In order to narrow the projections to a handful of models that could be used in a climate change impact study, we could provide effective information for selecting climate model and scenarios for climate change impact assessment using maximum/minimum temperature, precipitation, reference evapotranspiration, and moisture index of nine Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios.

기후변화에 따른 북극해 빙해역 변화 (Projected Sea-ice Changes in the Arctic Sea under Global Warming)

  • 권미옥;장찬주;이호진
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제32권4호
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    • pp.379-386
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    • 2010
  • This study examines changes in the Arctic sea ice associated with global warming by analyzing the climate coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) provided in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We selected nine models for better performance under 20th century climate conditions based on two different criteria, and then estimated the changes in sea ice extent under global warming conditions. Under projected 21st century climate conditions, all models, with the exception of the GISS-AOM model, project a reduction in sea ice extent in all seasons. The mean reduction in summer (-63%) is almost four times larger than that in winter (-16%), resulting an enhancement of seasonal variations in sea ice extent. The difference between the models, however, becomes larger under the 21st century climate conditions than under 20th century conditions, thus limiting the reliability of sea-ice projections derived from the current CGCMs.

우리나라의 기후변화 대응방안에 관한 정책 제언 (A Policy Suggestion for the Adaptation of Climate Change in Korea)

  • 신임철;김영신
    • 대기
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to describe the roles of carbon dioxide in the climate change, and carbon dioxide reduction policies in some countries. In addition, ways to cope with climate change in Korea are also discussed. Currently, global temperatures are rising due to the carbon dioxide produced by human beings. Global temperatures will rise approximately $6^{\circ}C$ until 2100 if we emit carbon dioxide at a present rate. Temperature rise will affect the terrestrial and oceanic resources, and ultimately influence the socio-economic structures including political stability. Most of the carbon dioxide comes from fossil fuels. Therefore, it is urgent to reduce the use of energy, which comes from fossil fuels. Solving the climate change due to the increases in carbon dioxide is a global problem. Korea should participate in the international community and cooperate with each other in order to reduce the carbon dioxide concentration. No policy was announced for the reduction of carbon dioxide so far. Korea should make a policy for the reduction of carbon dioxide in a specific year compared to that of certain standard year such as 1990 or 2005. Making policy should be based on the scientific result of the amount of carbon dioxide emitted and absorbed. Germanwatch announced the Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI) in order to evaluate an effort to reduce the carbon dioxide for 56 countries which emits 90 % of global carbon dioxide. Ranking for Korea is 51 among 56 countries. This clearly indicates that the appropriate carbon dioxide reduction has not been exercised yet in Korea. Researchers have a moral responsibility to provide updated new ideas and knowledges regarding climate change. Politicians should have a sharp insight to judge the ideas provided by researchers. People need an ethics to reduce the carbon dioxide in every day's life. Scientific research should not be influenced by stress caused by external budget and negative impact of capitalism. Science should be based on the pure curiosity.

해외 기후변화대응 철도 정책 분석을 통한 국내 기후변화대응 철도정책 방향 제시 (Railway transport climate change policy proposal by analysis of global railway transport climate change polity)

  • 강승우;김진용;장영종;김용기
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.349-354
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    • 2009
  • IPCC reported that 17% of the global GHGs emission is from transport sector. Road transport sector contributes to 70% of transport sector's GHGs emission. Nowadays, Climate change is a global issue and railway transport is marked as an environmental friendly transport mode. For decreasing the GHGs emission of road transport sector which occupies almost of transport sector's GHGs emission, railway transport is emphasized as a environment friendly alternative transport. In this paper, For the promotion of railway transport's role about climate change, I indicated the direction of South Korea's railway transport policy by analyzing some countries' modal shifts and railway transport's climate change policy.

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기후협정후의 배출감소와 환경변화이행에 관한 연구 (The Study on the Global Emission Reduction Commitments and Environment Change After Climate Agreement)

  • 김경우
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제19권12호
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    • pp.319-328
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    • 2014
  • 지구 기후 변화 정책에 대한 논쟁의 대부분은 그들의 정치적 호소에 대한 초점을 맞추고 있지만, 이 논문은 계약의 약속이 보다 효율적임을 제기한다. 이 목표에 부합하는 기후 정책은 상당한 배출 감축을 목표로 한다. 이러한 시나리오가 지구 평균 기온의 증가를 제한한다. 21세기 중반까지 2010에 비해 40~70%에 의해 세계 온실 가스 배출량을 낮추겠다는 의미이며, 대기로부터 이산화탄소를 제거할 수 있다는 결론에 이른다. 이 논문은 환경과 개발(UNCED)에 관한 유엔 회의 자료를 분석하여 이러한 비교를 제공한다. 분석내용은 결론적으로 각 나라들이 협정에서 제시한대로 배출오염 물질을 줄이는데 이행하고 지구 온난화의 지속적인 발전방안이 요구되는 협력체계가 중요하다는 것을 확인하였다.