• 제목/요약/키워드: global carbon cycle

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탄소순환모델을 이용한 지구 규모의 탄소 수지 연구 (Global Carbon Budget Study using Global Carbon Cycle Model)

  • 권오열;정재형
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제27권12호
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    • pp.1169-1178
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    • 2018
  • Two man-made carbon emissions, fossil fuel emissions and land use emissions, have been perturbing naturally occurring global carbon cycle. These emitted carbons will eventually be deposited into the atmosphere, the terrestrial biosphere, the soil, and the ocean. In this study, Simple Global Carbon Model (SGCM) was used to simulate global carbon cycle and to estimate global carbon budget. For the model input, fossil fuel emissions and land use emissions were taken from the literature. Unlike fossil fuel use, land use emissions were highly uncertain. Therefore land use emission inputs were adjusted within an uncertainty range suggested in the literature. Simulated atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations were well fitted to observations with a standard error of 0.06 ppm. Moreover, simulated carbon budgets in the ocean and terrestrial biosphere were shown to be reasonable compared to the literature values, which have considerable uncertainties. Simulation results show that with increasing fossil fuel emissions, the ratios of carbon partitioning to the atmosphere and the terrestrial biosphere have increased from 42% and 24% in the year 1958 to 50% and 30% in the year 2016 respectively, while that to the ocean has decreased from 34% in the year 1958 to 20% in the year 2016. This finding indicates that if the current emission trend continues, the atmospheric carbon partitioning ratio might be continuously increasing and thereby the atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations might be increasing much faster. Among the total emissions of 399 gigatons of carbon (GtC) from fossil fuel use and land use during the simulation period (between 1960 and 2016), 189 GtC were reallocated to the atmosphere (47%), 107 GtC to the terrestrial biosphere (27%), and 103GtC to the ocean (26%). The net terrestrial biospheric carbon accumulation (terrestrial biospheric allocations minus land use emissions) showed positive 46 GtC. In other words, the terrestrial biosphere has been accumulating carbon, although land use emission has been depleting carbon in the terrestrial biosphere.

Global Carbon Budget and Ocean Buffering against Rising Atmospheric CO2 Concentration

  • Kwon, O-Yul
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제11권8호
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    • pp.773-781
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    • 2002
  • The natural carbon cycle has been perturbed since the mid-19th century by anthropogenic CO$_2$emissions from fossil fuel combustion and deforestation due to population growth and industrialization. The current study simulated the global carbon cycle for the past 42 years using an eight-box carbon cycle model. The results showed that since the terrestrial biospheric carbon sink was roughly offset by the deforestation source, the fossil fuel emission source was partitioned between the atmospheric and oceanic sinks. However, the partitioning ratio between the atmosphere and the ocean exhibited a change, that is, the carbon accumulation rate was faster in the atmosphere than in the ocean, due to a decrease in the so-called ocean buffering capacity. It was found that the ocean buffering capacity to take up excess CO$_2$decreased by 50% in terms of the buffer factor over the past 42 years. Accordingly, these results indicate that if the current CO$_2$emission trend continues, the future rate of increase in the atmospheric CO$_2$concentration will accelerate.

지구규모의 탄소 순환 및 물질수지 연구 (Global Carbon Cycle and Budget Study)

  • 권오열
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.429-440
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    • 1996
  • A global carbon cycle model (GCCM), that incorporates interaction among the terrestrial biosphere, ocean, and atmosphere, was developed to study the carbon cycling aid global carbon budget, especially due to anthropogenic $CO_2$ emission. The model that is based on C, 13C and 14C mass balance, was calibrated with the observed $CO_2$ concentration, $\delta$13C and $\Delta$14C in the atmosphere, Δ14C in the soil, and $\Delta$14C in the ocean. Also, GCCM was constrained by the literature values of oceanic carbon uptake and CO, emissions from deforestation. Inputs (forcing functions in the model) were the C, 13C and 14C as $CO_2$ emissions from fossil fuel use, and 14C injection into the stratosphere by bomb-tests. The simulated annual carbon budget of 1980s due to anthropoRenic $CO_2$ shows that the global sources were 5.43 Gt-C/yr from fossil fuel use and 0.91 Gt-C/yr from deforestation, and the sinks were 3.29 Gt-C/yr in the atmosphere, 0.90 Gt-C/yr in the terrestrial biosphere and 2.15 Gt-C/yr in the ocean. The terrestrial biosphere is currently at zero net exchange with the atmosphere, but carbon is lost cia organic carbon runoff to the ocean. The model could be utilized for a variety of studies in $CO_2$ policy and management, climate modeling, $CO_2$ impacts, and crop models.

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IPCC 배출시나리오에 따른 지구 규모의 탄소 이동 연구 (Global Carbon Cycle Under the IPCC Emissions Scenarios)

  • 권오열
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.287-297
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    • 2007
  • Increasing carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel use and land-use change has been perturbing the balanced global carbon cycle and changing the carbon distribution among the atmosphere, the terrestrial biosphere, the soil, and the ocean. SGCM(Simple Global Carbon Model) was used to simulate global carbon cycle for the IPCC emissions scenarios, which was six future carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel use and land-use change set by IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Atmospheric $CO_2$ concentrations for four scenarios were simulated to continuously increase to $600{\sim}1050ppm$ by the year 2100, while those for the other two scenarios to stabilize at $400{\sim}600ppm$. The characteristics of these two $CO_2$-stabilized scenarios are to suppress emissions below $12{\sim}13$ Gt C/yr by tile year 2050 and then to decrease emissions up to 5 Gt C/yr by the year 2100, which is lower than the current emissions of $6.3{\pm}0.4$ Gt C/yr. The amount of carbon in the atmosphere was simulated to continuously increase for four scenarios, while to increase by the year $2050{\sim}2070$ and then decrease by the year 2100 for the other two scenarios which were $CO_2$-stabilized scenarios. Even though the six emission scenarios showed different simulation results, overall patterns were such similar that the amount of carbon was in the terrestrial biosphere to decrease first several decades and then increase, while in the soil and the ocean to continuously increase. The ratio of carbon partitioning to tile atmosphere for the accumulated total emissions was higher for tile emission scenario having higher atmospheric $CO_2$, however that was decreasing as time elapsed. The terrestrial biosphere and the soil showed reverse pattern to the atmosphere.

Study on the introduction and assessment of the Life Cycle Carbon Emissions in Office Buildings

  • Park, Mincho;Lee, Byeongho;Shin, Sung-Woo
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2014
  • Global warming has become a major issue all over the world. Noting the carbon dioxide emissions as a main contributor to global warming, we studied on the methods to reduce the life cycle building carbon emissions. Green Building Certification Criteria(GBCC) has been implemented since 2002 in Korea, but it doesn't estimate the quantities of the $CO_2$ emissions. Therefore, we studied the ways to implement the $CO_2$ emissions in quantity to GBCC. We select a government building which was rated excellent by the GBCC. This office building was regarded to excellent building by GBCC but not good for energy consumption. It was found energy glutton buildings for research by the Ministry of Public Administration and Security in 2010. This part of GBCC is need to be improved.. Also LCA (Life Cycle assessment) was carried out to estimate on carbon footprint on this office building. So we need to implementing quantitative evaluation on the amount of carbon emissions by GBCC. And it is possible to implementing quantitative evaluation on the amount of carbon emissions. Through this study, we expect that quantitative assessment of life cycle carbon emissions of buildings by the GBCC. Also expect to reduce the carbon emissions of the building by improving the GBCC.

환경 문제의 통합적 이해를 위한 국내외 연구 동향 분석 -탄소 순환 주제의 과학 교육을 중심으로- (An Analysis of Research Trend for Integrated Understanding of Environmental Issues: Focusing on Science Education Research on Carbon Cycle)

  • 박병열;전재돈;이현동;이효녕
    • 한국과학교육학회지
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    • 제40권3호
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    • pp.237-251
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    • 2020
  • 인류가 직면한 지구온난화와 같은 기후 변화에 대한 이슈는 우리의 삶에 직접적인 영향을 미치는 매우 중요한 문제로 이를 극복하기 위해서는 탄소 순환에 대한 통합적 이해를 바탕으로 대기 중 이산화탄소 등의 온실기체 방출량 감축이 필수적이다. 이 연구의 목적은 탄소 순환 교육에 대한 국내외 연구동향을 분석하여, 미래 시민으로 성장할 학생들을 위한 탄소 순환 교육의 가치와 방향을 제시하는데 있다. 이를 위해 '탄소 순환 교육'과 관련하여 국내외 다양한 학술연구 데이터베이스 (RISS, KCI, Google 학술검색, ERIC 등)에서 수집된 52편의 연구들을 대상으로 분석하였다. 그 결과, 탄소 순환 교육을 위해 많은 연구들이 다양한 형태로 이루어져 왔으나, 개발된 프로그램의 낮은 활용 가능성과 검증의 필요성, 정밀하고 일괄적인 학생인식과 수준 조사 도구 개발의 필요성, 교수·학습 모형과 교사를 대상으로 한 관련 연구의 필요성, 교사의 탄소 순환 교육을 위한 자료의 필요성, 그리고 다양한 주제와 소재의 활용이 필요한 것으로 확인되었다. 지구온난화를 포함한 지구 환경 변화에 능동적으로 대처하기 위해서는 학생들의 탄소 순환에 대한 통합적인 이해가 중요하다. 이러한 학습 기회를 지원하기 위해 기존에 개발된 프로그램의 검증을 바탕으로 교육 현장에서 활용할 수 있도록 제공하고, 학생들의 탄소 순환에 대한 이해 수준을 높이고 오개념을 개선할 수 있도록 생활속에서 적용할 수 있는 실질적인 형태의 내용을 교육과정에 포함할 필요가 있다. 또한 교사의 전문성 향상을 위해 다양한 소재와 주제를 포함하는 탄소 순환 교육 사례에 대해 교사 연수를 통해 제공되어야 할 것이다.

HadGEM-CC 모델의 RCP 시나리오에 따른 전지구 탄소수지 변화 전망 (Global Carbon Budget Changes under RCP Scenarios in HadGEM2-CC)

  • 허태경;부경온;심성보;홍진규;홍제우
    • 대기
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2015
  • This study is to investigate future changes in carbon cycle using the HadGEM2-Carbon Cycle simulations driven by $CO_2$ emissions. For experiment, global carbon budget is integrated from the two (8.5/2.6) representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for the period of 1860~2100 by Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model, version 2, Carbon Cycle (Had-GEM2-CC). From 1985 to 2005, total cumulative $CO_2$ amount of anthropogenic emission prescribed as 156 GtC. The amount matches to the observed estimates (CDIAC) over the same period (136 GtC). As $CO_2$ emissions into the atmosphere increase, the similar increasing tendency is found in the simulated atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration and temperature. Atmospheric $CO_2$ concentration in the simulation is projected to be 430 ppm for RCP 2.6 at the end of the twenty-first century and as high as 931 ppm for RCP 8.5. Simulated global mean temperature is expected to rise by $1.6^{\circ}C$ and $3.5^{\circ}C$ for RCP 2.6 and 8.5, respectively. Land and ocean carbon uptakes also increase in proportion to the $CO_2$ emissions of RCPs. The fractions of the amount of $CO_2$ stored in atmosphere, land, and ocean are different in RCP 8.5 and 2.6. Further study is needed for reducing the simulation uncertainty based on multiple model simulations.

국제 공동 연구를 통한 태양에너지 활용 열화학 물분해 그린 수소 생산 연구 및 E-fuel 생산 연구 동향 보고 (Hydrogen and E-Fuel Production via Thermo-chemical Water Splitting Using Solar Energy)

  • 조현석
    • 신재생에너지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.110-115
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    • 2024
  • Global sustainable energy needs and carbon neutrality goals make hydrogen a key future energy source. South Korea and Japan lead with proactive hydrogen policies, including South Korea's Hydrogen Law and Japan's strategy updates aiming for a hydrogen-centric society by 2050. A notable advance is the solar thermal chemical water-splitting cycle for green hydrogen production, spotlighted by Korea Institute of Energy Research (KIER) and Niigata University's joint initiative. This method uses solar energy to split water into hydrogen and oxygen, offering a carbon-neutral hydrogen production route. The study focuses on international collaboration in solar energy for thermochemical water-splitting and E-fuel production, highlighting breakthroughs in catalyst and reactor design to enhance solar thermal technology's commercial viability for sustainable fuel production. Collaborations, like ARENA in Australia, target global carbon emission reduction and energy system sustainability, contributing to a cleaner, sustainable energy future.

탄소순환 모델기반 탄소중립 평가방법 (A Carbon Cycle Model Based Method for Carbon Neutrality Assessment)

  • 최수형
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • 제60권3호
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    • pp.433-438
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    • 2022
  • 탄소중립을 달성하기 위한 다양한 정책 및 프로젝트의 실효성을 평가하기 위하여 탄소순환 모델에 기반을 둔 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 모델은 산업혁명 이후 인류에 의한 탄소배출 및 삼림파괴 데이터로부터 대기 중 이산화탄소 농도 증가와 지구평균기온 상승을 적절히 재현함으로써 유효성이 검증되었다. 사례연구로는 삼림벌채, 재식림 및 추가식림에 대한 탄소순환 영향평가를 수행하였다. 대기 중 이산화탄소의 증가는 화석연료사용뿐 아니라 삼림벌채의 영향도 크며, 벌채 직후 재식림을 해도 초기농도로의 복귀는 매우 오래 걸린다는 것이 확인되었다. 제안된 방법은 궁극적으로 미래의 잠재적 기후제어 시뮬레이션에 활용됨으로써 다양한 기후공학 기술의 안전성 검증에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

Adjustment of A Simplified Satellite-Based Algorithm for Gross Primary Production Estimation Over Korea

  • Pi, Kyoung-Jin;Han, Kyung-Soo;Kim, In-Hwan;Lee, Tae-Yoon;Jo, Jae-Il
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.275-291
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    • 2013
  • Monitoring the global Gross Primary Pproduction (GPP) is relevant to understanding the global carbon cycle and evaluating the effects of interannual climate variation on food and fiber production. GPP, the flux of carbon into ecosystems via photosynthetic assimilation, is an important variable in the global carbon cycle and a key process in land surface-atmosphere interactions. The Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) is one of the primary global monitoring sensors. MODIS GPP has some of the problems that have been proven in several studies. Therefore this study was to solve the regional mismatch that occurs when using the MODIS GPP global product over Korea. To solve this problem, we estimated each of the GPP component variables separately to improve the GPP estimates. We compared our GPP estimates with validation GPP data to assess their accuracy. For all sites, the correlation was close with high significance ($R^2=0.8164$, $RMSE=0.6126g{\cdot}C{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}d^{-1}$, $bias=-0.0271g{\cdot}C{\cdot}m^{-2}{\cdot}d^{-1}$). We also compared our results to those of other models. The component variables tended to be either over- or under-estimated when compared to those in other studies over the Korean peninsula, although the estimated GPP was better. The results of this study will likely improve carbon cycle modeling by capturing finer patterns with an integrated method of remote sensing.