• Title/Summary/Keyword: generalized distributions

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Probabilistic analysis of gust factors and turbulence intensities of measured tropical cyclones

  • Tianyou Tao;Zao Jin;Hao Wang
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.309-323
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    • 2024
  • The gust factor and turbulence intensity are two crucial parameters that characterize the properties of turbulence. In tropical cyclones (TCs), these parameters exhibit significant variability, yet there is a lack of established formulas to account for their probabilistic characteristics with consideration of their inherent connection. On this condition, a probabilistic analysis of gust factors and turbulence intensities of TCs is conducted based on fourteen sets of wind data collected at the Sutong Cable-stayed Bridge site. Initially, the turbulence intensities and gust factors of recorded data are computed, followed by an analysis of their probability densities across different ranges categorized by mean wind speed. The Gaussian, lognormal, and generalized extreme value (GEV) distributions are employed to fit the measured probability densities, with subsequent evaluation of their effectiveness. The Gumbel distribution, which is a specific instance of the GEV distribution, has been identified as an optimal choice for probabilistic characterizations of turbulence intensity and gust factor in TCs. The corresponding empirical models are then established through curve fitting. By utilizing the Gumbel distribution as a template, the nexus between the probability density functions of turbulence intensity and gust factor is built, leading to the development of a generalized probabilistic model that statistically describe turbulence intensity and gust factor in TCs. Finally, these empirical models are validated using measured data and compared with suggestions recommended by specifications.

Observational study of wind characteristics from 356-meter-high Shenzhen Meteorological Tower during a severe typhoon

  • He, Yinghou;Li, Qiusheng;Chan, Pakwai;Zhang, Li;Yang, Honglong;Li, Lei
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.575-595
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    • 2020
  • The characteristics of winds associated with tropical cyclones are of great significance in many engineering fields. This paper presents an investigation of wind characteristics over a coastal urban terrain based on field measurements collected from multiple cup anemometers and ultrasonic anemometers equipped at 13 height levels on a 356-m-high meteorological tower in Shenzhen during severe Typhoon Hato. Several wind quantities, including wind spectrum, gust factor, turbulence intensity and length scale as well as wind profile, are presented and discussed. Specifically, the probability distributions of fluctuating wind speeds are analyzed in connection with the normal distribution and the generalized extreme value distribution. The von Karman spectral model is found to be suitable to depict the energy distributions of three-dimensionally fluctuating winds. Gust factors, turbulence intensity and length scale are determined and discussed. Moreover, this paper presents the wind profiles measured during the typhoon, and a comparative study of the vertical distribution of wind speeds from the field measurements and existing empirical models is performed. The influences of the topography features and wind speeds on the wind profiles were investigated based on the field-measured wind records. In general, the empirical models can provide reasonable predictions for the measured wind speed profiles over a typical coastal urban area during a severe typhoon.

Finite Element Analysis for Time Response of a Flexible Spinning Disk with Translating Misalignment (회전축 정렬불량을 가지는 유연회전디스크의 유한요소법을 이용한 시간응답해석)

  • Heo, Jin-Uk;Jeong, Jin-Tae
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.26 no.9
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    • pp.1905-1913
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    • 2002
  • Using the finite element method, this study investigates the dynamic time responses of a flexible spinning disk of which axis of rotation is misaligned with the axis of symmetry. The misalignment between the axes of symmetry and rotation is one of the major vibration sources in optical disk drives such as CD-ROM, CD-R, CD-RW and DVD drives. Based upon the Kirchhoff plate theory and the von-Karman strain theory, three coupled equations of motion for the misaligned disk are obtained: two of the equations are for the in-plane motion while the other is for the out-of-plane motion. After transforming these equations into two weak forms for the in-plane and out-of-plane motions, the weak forms are discretized by using newly defined annular sector finite elements. Applying the generalized-$\alpha$ time integration method to the discretized equations, the time responses and the displacement distributions are computed and then the effects of the misalign ment on the responses and the distributions are analyzed. The computation results show that the misalignment has an influence on the magnitudes of the in-plane displacements and it results in the amplitude modulation or the beat phenomenon in the time responses of the out-of-plane displacement.

Asymptotic Relative Efficiency for New Score Functions in Rank Regression Models (순위회귀모형의 새로운 스코어 함수의 효율성 연구)

  • 최영훈
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.269-280
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    • 2004
  • We explore the selection of r and s that provides improvement over the Wilcoxon scores under the asymmetric distributions we encounter in practice. We select 0 〈 r 〈 1, s 〉 1 for right-skewed distribution and r 〉 1,0 〈 s 〈 1 for left-skewed distributions from the perspective plots. We also study the association between the desirable r and s and the test statistic for skewness.

An Estimation of Probable Precipitation and an Analysis of Its Return Period and Distributions in Busan (부산지역 확률강수량 결정에 따른 재현기간 및 분포도 분석)

  • Lim, Yun-Kyu;Moon, Yun-Seob;Kim, Jin-Seog;Song, Sang-Keun;Hwang, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2012
  • In this study, a statistical estimation of probable precipitation and an analysis of its return period in Busan were performed using long-term precipitation data (1973-2007) collected from the Busan Regional Meteorological Administration. These analyses were based on the method of probability weighted moments for parameter estimation, the goodness-of-fit test of chi-square ($x^2$) and the probability plot correlation coefficient (PPCC), and the generalized logistics (GLO) for optimum probability distribution. Moreover, the spatial distributions with the determination of probable precipitation were also investigated using precipitation data observed at 15 Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) in the target area. The return periods for the probable precipitation of 245.2 and 280.6 mm/6 hr with GLO distributions in Busan were estimated to be about 100 and 200 years, respectively. In addition, the high probable precipitation for 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-hour durations was mostly distributed around Dongrae-gu site, all coastal sites in Busan, Busanjin and Yangsan sites, and the southeastern coastal and Ungsang sites, respectively.

Testing Exponentiality Based on EDF Statistics for Randomly Censored Data when the Scale Parameter is Unknown (척도모수가 미지인 임의중도절단자료의 EDF 통계량을 이용한 지수 검정)

  • Kim, Nam-Hyun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2012
  • The simplest and the most important distribution in survival analysis is exponential distribution. Koziol and Green (1976) derived Cram$\acute{e}$r-von Mises statistic's randomly censored version based on the Kaplan-Meier product limit estimate of the distribution function; however, it could not be practical for a real data set since the statistic is for testing a simple goodness of fit hypothesis. We generalized it to the composite hypothesis for exponentiality with an unknown scale parameter. We also considered the classical Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic and generalized it by the exact same way. The two statistics are compared through a simulation study. As a result, we can see that the generalized Koziol-Green statistic has better power in most of the alternative distributions considered.

Elastic-Plastic Stress Distributions Behavior in the Interface of SiC/Ti-15-3 MMC under Transverse Loading(II) (횡하중을 받는 SiC/Ti-15-3 MMC 복합재 계면영역에서의 탄소성 응력장분포거동(II))

  • Kang Ji-Woong;Kwon Oh-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.20 no.2 s.70
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    • pp.26-31
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    • 2005
  • The strong continuous fiber reinforced metal matrix composites (MMCs) are recently used in aerospace and transportation applications as an advanced material due to its high strength and light weight. Unidirectional fiber-metal matrix composites have superior mechanical properties along the longitudinal direction. However, the applicability of continuous fiber reinforced MMCs is somewhat limited due to their relatively poor transverse properties. Therefore, the transverse properties of MMCs are significantly influenced by the properties of the fiber/matrix interface. In order to be able to utilize these MMCs effectively and with safety, it must be determined their elastic plastic behaviors at the interface. In this study, the interfacial stress states of transversely loaded unidirectional fiber reinforced metal matrix composites investigated by using elastic-plastic finite element analysis. Different fiber volume fractions $(5-60\%)$ were studied numerically. The interlace was treated as three thin layer (with different properties) with a finite thickness between the fiber and the matrix. The fiber is modeled as transversely isotropic linear-elastic, and the matrix as isotropic elastic-plastic material. Using proposed model, the effects of the interface region and fiber arrangement in MMCs on the distributions of stress and strain are evaluated. The stress distributions of a thin multi layer interface have much less changes compared with conventional perfect interface. The analyses were based on a two-dimensional generalized plane strain model of a cross-section of an unidirectional composite by the ANSYS finite element analysis code.

Interband Transition and Confinement of Charge Carriers in CdS and CdS/CdSe Quantum Dots

  • Man, Minh Tan;Lee, Hong Seok
    • Applied Science and Convergence Technology
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.167-171
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    • 2015
  • Quantum-confined nanostructures open up additional perspectives in engineering materials with different electronic and optical properties. We have fabricated unique cation-exchanged CdS and CdS/CdSe quantum dots and measured their first four exciton transitions. We demonstrate that the relationship between electronic transitions and charge-carrier distributions is generalized for a broad range of core-shell nanostructures. These nanostructures can be used to further improve the performance in the fields of bio-imaging, light-emitting devices, photovoltaics, and quantum computing.

Numerical Analysis of Unsteady Viscous Flow Through a Weis-Fogh Type Ship Propulsion Mechanism Using the Advanced Vortex Method

  • Ro Ki-Deok;Kang Myeong-Hun;Kong Tae-Hee
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.769-778
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    • 2005
  • The velocity and pressure fields of a ship's Weis-Fogh type propulsion mechanism are studied in this paper using an advanced vortex method. The wing (NACA0010 airfoil) and channel are approximated by source and vortex panels. and free vortices are introduced away from the body surfaces. The viscous diffusion of fluid is represented using the core-spreading model to the discrete vortices. The velocity is calculated on the basis of the generalized Biot-Savart law and the pressure field is calculated from an integral, based on the instantaneous velocity and vorticity distributions in the flow field. Two-dimensional unsteady viscous flow calculations of this propulsion mechanism are shown. and the calculated results agree qualitatively with the measured thrust and drag due to un-modeled large fluctuations in the measured data.

Restricted Bayesian Optimal Designs in Turning Point Problem

  • Seo, Han-Son
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.163-178
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    • 2001
  • We consider the experimental design problem of selecting values of design variables x for observation of a response y that depends on x and on model parameters $\theta$. The form of the dependence may be quite general, including all linear and nonlinear modeling situations. The goal of the design selection is to efficiently estimate functions of $\theta$. Three new criteria for selecting design points x are presented. The criteria generalized the usual Bayesian optimal design criteria to situations n which the prior distribution for $\theta$ amy be uncertain. We assume that there are several possible prior distributions,. The new criteria are applied to the nonlinear problem of designing to estimate the turning point of a quadratic equation. We give both analytic and computational results illustrating the robustness of the optimal designs based on the new criteria.

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