• Title/Summary/Keyword: fuzzy time series

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A Study on Fuzzy Set-based Polynomial Neural Networks Based on Evolutionary Data Granulation (Evolutionary Data Granulation 기반으로한 퍼지 집합 다항식 뉴럴 네트워크에 관한 연구)

  • 노석범;안태천;오성권
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2004.10a
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    • pp.433-436
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we introduce a new Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Networks (FPNNS)-like structure whose neuron is based on the Fuzzy Set-based Fuzzy Inference System (FS-FIS) and is different from that of FPNNS based on the Fuzzy relation-based Fuzzy Inference System (FR-FIS) and discuss the ability of the new FPNNS-like structure named Fuzzy Set-based Polynomial Neural Networks (FSPNN). The premise parts of their fuzzy rules are not identical, while the consequent parts of the both Networks (such as FPNN and FSPNN) are identical. This difference results from the angle of a viewpoint of partition of input space of system. In other word, from a point of view of FS-FIS, the input variables are mutually independent under input space of system, while from a viewpoint of FR-FIS they are related each other. The proposed design procedure for networks architecture involves the selection of appropriate nodes with specific local characteristics such as the number of input variables, the order of the polynomial that is constant, linear, quadratic, or modified quadratic functions being viewed as the consequent part of fuzzy rules, and a collection of the specific subset of input variables. On the parameter optimization phase, we adopt Information Granulation (IC) based on HCM clustering algorithm and a standard least square method-based learning. Through the consecutive process of such structural and parametric optimization, an optimized and flexible fuzzy neural network is generated in a dynamic fashion. To evaluate the performance of the genetically optimized FSPNN (gFSPNN), the model is experimented with using the time series dataset of gas furnace process.

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A Development of Fuzzy Logic-Based Evaluation Model for Traffic Accident Risk Level (퍼지 이론을 이용한 교통사고 위험수준 평가모형)

  • 변완희;최기주
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.119-136
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    • 1996
  • The evaluation of risk level or possibility of traffic accidents is a fundamental task in reducing the dangers associated with current transportation system. However, due to the lack of data and basic researches for identifying such factors, evaluations so far have been undertaken by only the experts who can use their judgements well in this regard. Here comes the motivation this thesis to evaluate such risk level more or less in an automatic manner. The purpose of this thesis is to test the fuzzy-logic theory in evaluating the risk level of traffic accidents. In modeling the process of expert's logical inference of risk level determination, only the geometric features have been considered for the simplicity of the modeling. They are the visibility of road surface, horizontal alignment, vertical grade, diverging point, and the location of pedestrain crossing. At the same time, among some inference methods, fuzzy composition inference method has been employed as a back-bone inference mechanism. In calibration, the proposed model used four sites' data. After that, using calibrated model, six sites' risk levels have been identified. The results of the six sites' outcomes were quite similar to those of real world other than some errors caused by the enforcement of the model's output. But it seems that this kind of errors can be overcome in the future if some other factors such as driver characteristics, traffic environment, and traffic control conditions have been considered. Futhermore, the application of site's specific time series data would produce better results.

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The Medical Bed System for Preventing Pressure Ulcer Using the Two-Stage Control

  • Kim, Jungae;Lee, Youngdae;Seon, Minju;Lim, Jae-Young
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.151-158
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    • 2021
  • The main cause of ulcer is pressure, which starts to develop when the critical body pressure (32mmHg) is exceeded, and when the critical time elapses, ulcer occurs. In this study, the keyboard mechanism of the medical bed with 4 bar links was adopted, and each key can be controlled vertically. A key has one servo drive and one sensor controller which hasseveral body pressure sensors. The sensor controllers and the servo drives are connected to the main controller by two CAN (Car Are Network) in series, respectively. By reading the maximum body pressure value of each keyboard sensor, and by calculating the error value based on the critical body pressure, the fuzzy controller moves each key so that the total error becomes zero. If the fuzzy controller fails, then it prevents ulcer by lifting and lowering the keys of the bed alternatively within a short time. Thus, the controller operates in two-stage. The validity and effectiveness of the proposed approach have been verified through experiments.

A Study on the Flooding Control System in Underground Premises using Fuzzy Theory and Time Series Forecasting (퍼지이론과 시계열 예측을 통한 지하구내 침수 상황 통제 시스템에 대한 연구)

  • Gang, Min-Hui;Gwon, Dong-Min;Jo, Seong-Won;Kim, Jun-Beom;Jeong, Jong-Uk;Jeong, Jin-Su
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.370-373
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    • 2007
  • 지하구내에 물이 유입되기 시작하면 미리 설치되어 있는 펌프를 동작시켜서 배수를 해야한다. 이 경우 지하구내로 유입되는 물의 경로로 구분한 내수와 외수의 양을 알 수 있다면 위험도의 평가에 있어서 좋지만 유입량을 정확히 알 수 없으므로 시계열 분석으로 미래의 값을 예측하는 방법을 제시하고자 한다. 시계열 분석으로 예측한 값을 토대로 퍼지 이론을 이용한 지하구내 침수 상황 통제 시스템을 구현하였다.

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Developing Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Model-Based Estimator for Short-Term Load Forecasting (단기부하예측을 위한 Tskagi-Sugeno 퍼지 모델 기반 예측기 설계)

  • 김도완;박진배;장권규;정근호;주영훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.523-527
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a new design methods of the short-term load forecasting system (STLFS) using the data mining. The proposed predictor takes form of the convex combination of the linear time series predictors for each inputs. The problem of estimating the consequent parameters is formulated by the convex optimization problem, which is to minimize the norm distance between the real load and the output of the linear time series estimator, The problem of estimating the premise parameters is to find the parameter value minimizing the error between the real load and the overall output. Finally, to show the feasibility of the proposed method, this paper provides the short-term load forecasting example.

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Short-Term Load Forecasting using Multiple Time-Series Model (다변수 시계열 분석에 의한 단기부하예측)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hun;Lee, Yun-Ho;Kim, Jin-O;Lee, Hyo-Sang
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.230-232
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents a model for short-term load forecasting using multiple time-series. We made one-hour ahead load forecasting without classifying load data according to daily load patterns(e.g. weekday. weekend and holiday) To verify its effectiveness. the results are compared with those of neuro-fuzzy forecasting model(5). The results show that the proposed model has more accurate estimate in forecasting.

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Analysis of Fault Diagnosis for Current and Vibration Signals in Pumps and Motors using a Reconstructed Phase Portrait

  • Jung, Young-Ok;Bae, Youngchul
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.166-171
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we measure the current and vibration signals of one-dimensional time series that occur in a motor and pump, respectively. These machines are representative rotary and pumping machines. We also eliminate unnecessary components such as noise by pre-processing the current and vibration signals. Then, in order to diagnose fault signals for the pump and motor, we transform from one-dimensional time series to a two-dimensional phase portrait using Takens’ embedding method. After this transformation, we review the variation in the pattern according to the fault signals.

Reliability Computation of Neuro-Fuzzy Models : A Comparative Study (뉴로-퍼지 모델의 신뢰도 계산 : 비교 연구)

  • 심현정;박래정;왕보현
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.293-301
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    • 2001
  • This paper reviews three methods to compute a pointwise confidence interval of neuro-fuzzy models and compares their estimation perfonnanee through simulations. The eOITl.putation methods under consideration include stacked generalization using cross-validation, predictive error bar in regressive models, and local reliability measure for the networks employing a local representation scheme. These methods implemented on the neuro-fuzzy models are applied to the problems of simple function approximation and chaotic time series prediction. The results of reliability estimation are compared both quantitatively and qualitatively.

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The Design of Optimal Fuzzy-Neural networks Structure by Means of GA and an Aggregate Weighted Performance Index (유전자 알고리즘과 합성 성능지수에 의한 최적 퍼지-뉴럴 네트워크 구조의 설계)

  • Oh, Sung-Kwun;Yoon, Ki-Chan;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.273-283
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    • 2000
  • In this paper we suggest an optimal design method of Fuzzy-Neural Networks(FNN) model for complex and nonlinear systems. The FNNs use the simplified inference as fuzzy inference method and Error Back Propagation Algorithm as learning rule. And we use a HCM(Hard C-Means) Clustering Algorithm to find initial parameters of the membership function. The parameters such as parameters of membership functions learning rates and momentum weighted value is proposed to achieve a sound balance between approximation and generalization abilities of the model. According to selection and adjustment of a weighting factor of an aggregate objective function which depends on the number of data and a certain degree of nonlinearity (distribution of I/O data we show that it is available and effective to design and optimal FNN model structure with a mutual balance and dependency between approximation and generalization abilities. This methodology sheds light on the role and impact of different parameters of the model on its performance (especially the mapping and predicting capabilities of the rule based computing). To evaluate the performance of the proposed model we use the time series data for gas furnace the data of sewage treatment process and traffic route choice process.

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Applying Artificial Intelligence Based on Fuzzy Logic for Improved Cognitive Wireless Data Transmission: Models and Techniques

  • Ahmad AbdulQadir AlRababah
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.12
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the development of wireless network technologies has been advancing in several directions: increasing data transmission speed, enhancing user mobility, expanding the range of services offered, improving the utilization of the radio frequency spectrum, and enhancing the intelligence of network and subscriber equipment. In this research, a series of contradictions has emerged in the field of wireless network technologies, with the most acute being the contradiction between the growing demand for wireless communication services (on operational frequencies) and natural limitations of frequency resources, in addition to the contradiction between the expansions of the spectrum of services offered by wireless networks, increased quality requirements, and the use of traditional (outdated) management technologies. One effective method for resolving these contradictions is the application of artificial intelligence elements in wireless telecommunication systems. Thus, the development of technologies for building intelligent (cognitive) radio and cognitive wireless networks is a technological imperative of our time. The functions of artificial intelligence in prospective wireless systems and networks can be implemented in various ways. One of the modern approaches to implementing artificial intelligence functions in cognitive wireless network systems is the application of fuzzy logic and fuzzy processors. In this regard, the work focused on exploring the application of fuzzy logic in prospective cognitive wireless systems is considered relevant.