• 제목/요약/키워드: fuzzy time series

검색결과 190건 처리시간 0.023초

Chaotic Behavior in a Dynamic Love Model with Different External Forces

  • Bae, Youngchul
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.283-288
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we propose a dynamic mathematical model of love involving various external forces, in order to analyze the chaotic phenomena in a love model based on Romeo and Juliet. In addition, we investigate the nonlinear phenomena in a love model with external forces using time series and phase portraits. In order to describe nonlinear phenomena precisely using time series and phase portraits, we vary the type of external force, using models such as a sine wave, chopping wave, and square wave. We also apply various different parameters in the Romeo and Juliet model to acquire chaotic dynamics.

IEEE802.4 토큰버스를 위한 퍼지 네트워크 관리기 개발 (The Devlopment of Fuzzy Network Performance Manager for IEE802.4 Networks)

  • 이상호;손준우;이석
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 1993년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.461-466
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    • 1993
  • This paper focuses on development and implementation of a performance management algorithm for IEEE802.4 token bus networks to serve large-sale integrated systems. The delivery of time critical messages within delay constraints is an important criterion in the design and management of computer communication networks. In order to achieve this goal, the theory of fuzzy sets has been employed to imitate human's reasoning. The Fuzzy Network Performance Manager(FNPM) is composed of two parts: FNPM1 & FNPM2. FNPM1 is solily intended to satisfy the data latencyfor the highest priority while the other part is trying to satisfy those for the lower priorities. The FNPM requires average data latency, throughput, and token circulation time for its inputs. The efficacy of the FNPM has been evaluated by a series of simulation experiments.

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큐용량과 시간 할당에 의한 토큰버스 네트워크의 퍼지 성능관리기 (Fuzzy Network Performance Manager for Token Bus Networks by timer & Queue Capacity Adjustment)

  • 이상호;윤정아;이석
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 1994년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.664-669
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    • 1994
  • This paper focuses on development and implementation of a performance management algorithm for IEEE802.4 token bus networks to serve large-scale integrated manufacturing systems. Such factory automation networks have to satisgy delay constraints imposed on time-critical messages while maintaining as much network capacity as possible for non-time-critical messages. This paper presents a network perfomance manager that adjusts queue apacity as well as timers by using a set of fuzzy rules and fuzzy inference mechanism. The efficacy of the performance management has been demonstrated by a series of simulation experiments.

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A new model approach to predict the unloading rock slope displacement behavior based on monitoring data

  • Jiang, Ting;Shen, Zhenzhong;Yang, Meng;Xu, Liqun;Gan, Lei;Cui, Xinbo
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제67권2호
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2018
  • To improve the prediction accuracy of the strong-unloading rock slope performance and obtain the range of variation in the slope displacement, a new displacement time-series prediction model is proposed, called the fuzzy information granulation (FIG)-genetic algorithm (GA)-back propagation neural network (BPNN) model. Initially, a displacement time series is selected as the training samples of the prediction model on the basis of an analysis of the causes of the change in the slope behavior. Then, FIG is executed to partition the series and obtain the characteristic parameters of every partition. Furthermore, the later characteristic parameters are predicted by inputting the earlier characteristic parameters into the GA-BPNN model, where a GA is used to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the BPNN; in the process, the numbers of input layer nodes, hidden layer nodes, and output layer nodes are determined by a trial method. Finally, the prediction model is evaluated by comparing the measured and predicted values. The model is applied to predict the displacement time series of a strong-unloading rock slope in a hydropower station. The engineering case shows that the FIG-GA-BPNN model can obtain more accurate predicted results and has high engineering application value.

센서 정보를 이용한 이동 로봇의 충돌 회피 (A sensor-based obstacle avoidance for a mobile robot)

  • 범희락;조형석
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1992년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); KOEX, Seoul; 19-21 Oct. 1992
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 1992
  • This paper proposes a sensor-based path planning method which utilizes fuzzy logic and neural network for obstacle avoidance of a mobile robot in uncertain environments. In order to acquire the information about the environment around the mobile robot, the ultrasonic sensors mounted on the front of mobile robot are used. The neural network, whose inputs are preprocessed by ultrasonic sensor readings, informs the mobile robot of the situation of environment in which mobile robot is at the present instant. Then, according to the situation class, the fuzzy rules are fired to make a decision on the mobile robot action. In addition, this method can be implemented real time since the number of fuzzy rules used to avoid the obstacle is small. Fuzzy rules are constructed based on the human reasoning and tuned by iterative simulations. The effective of the proposed avoidance method is verified by a series of simulations.

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메시 유전알고리듬을 이용한 퍼지모델링 방법 (Fuzzy Modeling Schemes Using Messy Genetic Algorithms)

  • 권오국;장욱;주영훈;박진배
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1998년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.519-521
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    • 1998
  • Fuzzy inference systems have found many applications in recent years. The fuzzy inference system design procedure is related to an expert or a skilled human operator in many fields. Various attempts have been made in optimizing its structure using genetic algorithm automated designs. This paper presents a new approach to structurally optimized designs of FNN models. The messy genetic algorithm is used to obtain structurally optimized fuzzy neural network models. Structural optimization is regarded important before neural network based learning is switched into. We have applied the method to the problem of a time series estimation.

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클러스터링 기법 및 유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 퍼지 뉴럴 네트워크 모델의 최적화에 관한 연구 (A Study On Optimization Of Fuzzy-Neural Network Using Clustering Method And Genetic Algorithm)

  • 박춘성;윤기찬;박병준;오성권
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1998년도 하계학술대회 논문집 B
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    • pp.566-568
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we suggest a optimal design method of Fuzzy-Neural Networks model for complex and nonlinear systems. FNNs have the stucture of fusion of both fuzzy inference with linguistic variables and Neural Networks. The network structure uses the simpified inference as fuzzy inference system and the BP algorithm as learning procedure. And we use a clustering algorithm to find initial parameters of membership function. The parameters such as membership functions, learning rates and momentum coefficients are easily adjusted using the genetic algorithms. Also, the performance index with weighted value is introduced to achieve a meaningful balance between approximation and generalization abilities of the model. To evaluate the performance index, we use the time series data for gas furnace and the sewage treatment process.

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Lyapunov 지수를 이용한 전력 수요 시계열 예측 (Time Series Forecast of Maximum Electrical Power using Lyapunov Exponent)

  • 박재현;김영일;추연규
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제13권8호
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    • pp.1647-1652
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    • 2009
  • 비선형 동력학 시스템으로 구성된 전력 수요의 시계열 데이터를 예측하기 위해 적용된 신경망 및 퍼지 적응 알고리즘 등은 예측오차가 상대적으로 크게 나타났다. 이는 전력수요 시계열 데이터가 가지고 있는 카오스적인 성질에 기인하며 이중 초기값에 민감한 의존성은 장기적인 예측을 더욱더 어렵게 하는 요인으로 작용한다. 전력수요 시계열 데이터가 가지고 있는 카오스적인 성질을 정량 및 정성적인 방식으로 분석 을 수행하고, 시스템 동력학적 특성의 정량분석에 이용되는 Lyapunov 지수를 이용하여 어트랙터 재구성, 다차원 카오스 시계열 데이터를 예측하는 방식으로 수요예측 시뮬레이션을 수행하고 결과를 비교 평가하여 기존 제안방식보다 실용적이며 효과적임을 확인한다.

Lyapunov 지수를 이용한 전력 수요 시계열 예측 (Time Series Forecast of Maximum Electrical Power using Lyapunov Exponent)

  • 추연규;박재현;김영일
    • 한국정보통신학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양정보통신학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.171-174
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    • 2009
  • 비선형 동력학 시스템으로 구성된 전력 수요의 시계열 데이터를 예측하기 위해 적용된 신경망 및 퍼지 적응 알고리즘 등은 예측오차가 상대적으로 크게 나타났다. 이는 전력수요 시계열 데이터가 가지고 있는 카오스적인 성질에 기인하며 이중 초기값에 민감한 의존성은 장기적인 예측을 더욱더 어렵게 하는 요인으로 작용한다. 전력수요 시계열 데이터가 가지고 있는 카오스적인 성질을 정량 및 정성적인 방식으로 분석을 수행하고, 시스템 동력학적 특성의 정량분석에 이용되는 Lyapunov 지수를 이용하여 어트랙터 재구성, 다차원 카오스 시계열 데이터를 예측하는 방식으로 수요예측 시뮬레이션을 수행하고 결과를 비교 평가하여 기존 제안방식보다 실용적이며 효과적임을 확인한다.

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GMDH 방법에 의한 FPNN 일고리즘과 폐스처리공정에의 응용 (Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network Algorithm using GMDH Mehtod and its Application to the Wastewater Treatment Process)

  • 오성권;황형수;안태천
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.96-105
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    • 1997
  • 본 논문에서는 복잡한 비선형 시스템의 모델동정을 위해 퍼지모델링의 새로운 방법이 제안된다. 제안된 FPNN모델링은 공정시스템의 입출력 데이터로부터 GMDH방법과 퍼지구현규칙을 이용하여 시스템의 구조와 파라미터 동정을 구현한다. 퍼지구현규칙의 전반부 구조와 파라미터 동정을 위하여 GMDH 방법과 희귀다항식 퍼지추론 방법이 사용되고 최적 후반부 파라미터 동정을 위하여 최소자승법이 사용된다. 가스로 시계열데이타 및 하수처리시스템의 활성화의 공정 데이터가 제안한 FPNN 모델링의 성능을 평가하기 위해 상용된다. 제안된 방법이 기존의 다른 논문과 비교하여 더 높은 정확도를 가진 지능형 모델을 생성함을 보인다.

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