• Title/Summary/Keyword: fuzzy number data

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Design of Heavy Rain Advisory Decision Model Based on Optimized RBFNNs Using KLAPS Reanalysis Data (KLAPS 재분석 자료를 이용한 진화최적화 RBFNNs 기반 호우특보 판별 모델 설계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Myung;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Lee, Yong-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.473-478
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we develop the Heavy Rain Advisory Decision Model based on intelligent neuro-fuzzy algorithm RBFNNs by using KLAPS(Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) Reanalysis data. the prediction ability of existing heavy rainfall forecasting systems is usually affected by the processing techniques of meteorological data. In this study, we introduce the heavy rain forecast method using the pre-processing techniques of meteorological data are in order to improve these drawbacks of conventional system. The pre-processing techniques of meteorological data are designed by using point conversion, cumulative precipitation generation, time series data processing and heavy rain warning extraction methods based on KLAPS data. Finally, the proposed system forecasts cumulative rainfall for six hours after future t(t=1,2,3) hours and offers information to determine heavy rain advisory. The essential parameters of the proposed model such as polynomial order, the number of rules, and fuzzification coefficient are optimized by means of Differential Evolution.

Determination Method of Security Threshold using Fuzzy Logic for Statistical Filtering based Sensor Networks (통계적 여과 기법기반의 센서 네트워크를 위한 퍼지로직을 사용한 보안 경계 값 결정 기법)

  • Kim, Sang-Ryul;Cho, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2007
  • When sensor networks are deployed in open environments, all the sensor nodes are vulnerable to physical threat. An attacker can physically capture a sensor node and obtain the security information including the keys used for data authentication. An attacker can easily inject false reports into the sensor network through the compromised node. False report can lead to not only false alarms but also the depletion of limited energy resource in battery powered sensor networks. To overcome this threat, Fan Ye et al. proposed that statistical on-route filtering scheme(SEF) can do verify the false report during the forwarding process. In this scheme, the choice of a security threshold value is important since it trades off detection power and energy, where security threshold value is the number of message authentication code for verification of false report. In this paper, we propose a fuzzy rule-based system for security threshold determination that can conserve energy, while it provides sufficient detection power in the SEF based sensor networks. The fuzzy logic determines a security threshold by considering the probability of a node having non-compromised keys, the number of compromised partitions, and the remaining energy of nodes. The fuzzy based threshold value can conserve energy, while it provides sufficient detection power.

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Building a Traffic Accident Frequency Prediction Model at Unsignalized Intersections in Urban Areas by Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (적응 뉴로-퍼지를 이용한 도시부 비신호교차로 교통사고예측모형 구축)

  • Kim, Kyung Whan;Kang, Jung Hyun;Kang, Jong Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.2D
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2012
  • According to the National Police Agency, the total number of traffic accidents which occurred in 2010 was 226,878. Intersection accidents accounts for 44.8%, the largest portion of the entire traffic accidents. An research on the signalized intersection is constantly made, while an research on the unsignalized intersection is yet insufficient. This study selected traffic volume, road width, and sight distance as the input variables which affect unsignalized intersection accidents, and number of accidents as the output variable to build a model using ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System). The forecast performance of this model is evaluated by comparing the actual measurement value with the forecasted value. The compatibility is evaluated by R2, the coefficient of determination, along with Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Square Error (MSE), the indicators which represent the degree of error and distribution. The result shows that the $R^2$ is 0.9817, while MAE and MSE are 0.4773 and 0.3037 respectively, which means that the explanatory power of the model is quite decent. This study is expected to provide the basic data for establishment of safety measure for unsignalized intersection and the improvement of traffic accidents.

Design of Very Short-term Precipitation Forecasting Classifier Based on Polynomial Radial Basis Function Neural Networks for the Effective Extraction of Predictive Factors (예보인자의 효과적 추출을 위한 다항식 방사형 기저 함수 신경회로망 기반 초단기 강수예측 분류기의 설계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Myung;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.128-135
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we develop the very short-term precipitation forecasting model as well as classifier based on polynomial radial basis function neural networks by using AWS(Automatic Weather Station) and KLAPS(Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) meteorological data. The polynomial-based radial basis function neural networks is designed to realize precipitation forecasting model as well as classifier. The structure of the proposed RBFNNs consists of three modules such as condition, conclusion, and inference phase. The input space of the condition phase is divided by using Fuzzy C-means(FCM) and the local area of the conclusion phase is represented as four types of polynomial functions. The coefficients of connection weights are estimated by weighted least square estimation(WLSE) for modeling as well as least square estimation(LSE) method for classifier. The final output of the inference phase is obtained through fuzzy inference method. The essential parameters of the proposed model and classifier such ad input variable, polynomial order type, the number of rules, and fuzzification coefficient are optimized by means of Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO) and Differential Evolution(DE). The performance of the proposed precipitation forecasting system is evaluated by using KLAPS meteorological data.

The Redundancy Reduction Using Fuzzy C-means Clustering and Cosine Similarity on a Very Large Gas Sensor Array for Mimicking Biological Olfaction (생물학적 후각 시스템을 모방한 대규모 가스 센서 어레이에서 코사인 유사도와 퍼지 클러스터링을 이용한 중복도 제거 방법)

  • Kim, Jeong-Do;Kim, Jung-Ju;Park, Sung-Dae;Byun, Hyung-Gi;Persaud, K.C.;Lim, Seung-Ju
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2012
  • It was reported that the latest sensor technology allow an 65536 conductive polymer sensor array to be made with broad but overlapping selectivity to different families of chemicals emulating the characteristics found in biological olfaction. However, the supernumerary redundancy always accompanies great error and risk as well as an inordinate amount of computation time and local minima in signal processing, e.g. neural networks. In this paper, we propose a new method to reduce the number of sensor for analysis by reducing redundancy between sensors and by removing unstable sensors using the cosine similarity method and to decide on representative sensor using FCM(Fuzzy C-Means) algorithm. The representative sensors can be just used in analyzing. And, we introduce DWT(Discrete Wavelet Transform) for data compression in the time domain as preprocessing. Throughout experimental trials, we have done a comparative analysis between gas sensor data with and without reduced redundancy. The possibility and superiority of the proposed methods are confirmed through experiments.

Forecasting Short-Term KOSPI using Wavelet Transforms and Fuzzy Neural Network (웨이블릿 변환과 퍼지 신경망을 이용한 단기 KOSPI 예측)

  • Shin, Dong-Kun;Chung, Kyung-Yong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • The methodology of KOSPI forecast has been considered as one of the most difficult problem to develop accurately since short-term KOSPI is correlated with various factors including politics and economics. In this paper, we presents a methodology for forecasting short-term trends of stock price for five days using the feature selection method based on a neural network with weighted fuzzy membership functions (NEWFM). The distributed non-overlap area measurement method selects the minimized number of input features by removing the worst input features one by one. A technical indicator are selected for preprocessing KOSPI data in the first step. In the second step, thirty-nine numbers of input features are produced by wavelet transforms. Twelve numbers of input features are selected as the minimized numbers of input features from thirty-nine numbers of input features using the non-overlap area distribution measurement method. The proposed method shows that sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy rates are 72.79%, 74.76%, and 73.84%, respectively.

Minimized Stock Forecasting Features Selection by Automatic Feature Extraction Method (자동 특징 추출기법에 의한 최소의 주식예측 특징선택)

  • Lee, Sang-Hong;Lim, Joon-S.
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.206-211
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a methodology to 1-day-forecast stock index using the automatic feature extraction method based on the neural network with weighted fuzzy membership functions (NEWFM). The distributed non-overlap area measurement method selects the minimized number of input features by automatically removing the worst input features one by one. CPP$_{n,m}$(Current Price Position of the day n: a percentage of the difference between the price of the day n and the moving average from the day n-1 to the day n-m) and the 2 wavelet transformed coefficients from the recent 32 days of CPP$_{n,m}$ are selected as minimized features using bounded sum of weighted fuzzy membership functions (BSWFMs). For the data sets, from 1989 to 1998, the proposed method shows that the forecast rate is 60.93%.

Incremental Clustering Algorithm by Modulating Vigilance Parameter Dynamically (경계변수 값의 동적인 변경을 이용한 점층적 클러스터링 알고리즘)

  • 신광철;한상용
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.30 no.11
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    • pp.1072-1079
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    • 2003
  • This study is purported for suggesting a new clustering algorithm that enables incremental categorization of numerous documents. The suggested algorithm adopts the natures of the spherical k-means algorithm, which clusters a mass amount of high-dimensional documents, and the fuzzy ART(adaptive resonance theory) neural network, which performs clustering incrementally. In short, the suggested algorithm is a combination of the spherical k-means vector space model and concept vector and fuzzy ART vigilance parameter. The new algorithm not only supports incremental clustering and automatically sets the appropriate number of clusters, but also solves the current problems of overfitting caused by outlier and noise. Additionally, concerning the objective function value, which measures the cluster's coherence that is used to evaluate the quality of produced clusters, tests on the CLASSIC3 data set showed that the newly suggested algorithm works better than the spherical k-means by 8.04% in average.

An Analysis of Satisfaction with School Forest Using Triangular Fuzzy Number (삼각퍼지수를 활용한 학교숲 만족도 분석)

  • Lee, Seul-Gi;Jang, Jung-Sun;Jung, Sung-Gwan;You, Ju-Han
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2009
  • Wooded areas that are a part of school campuses are one type of urban forest. Most schools located in an urban environment make an excellent setting for a forest in terms of location and area. These kinds of wooded spaces also make the city greener and healthier. As a place where students spend a great deal of time, schools can also be a venue for environmental education. The creation of wooded areas in schools currently has focused on the end result only; by ignoring student needs and participation, these areas have not had a significant influence on student environmental education. Previous studies based on questionnaire survey are significant in that they have quantified subjective qualitative data via Likert Scale. There has been, however, a problem in quantifying the more ambiguous subjective data. Therefore, this paper has attempted to investigate those factors that have an influence on student satisfaction with the wooded areas of their school campus using Fuzzy Theory with elementary school students in Gyeongsangbuk-do. A change was observed in terms of the ranking of arithmetic mean values of 'school peculiarity' and 'emotion evolution' and center of gravity, which has adopted Fuzzy Theory, proving that Fuzzy Theory could rationally objectify qualitative data such as human thoughts. In terms of the influential factors on the satisfaction with school forests(regression coefficient), 'school uniqueness(0.159)' was the highest, followed by 'many trees(0.142),' 'importance of nature(0.136)' and 'emotion evolution(0.130).' This paper may therefore be useful as basic data for objective questionnaire surveys and the development of school forests.

Model-based Clustering of DOA Data Using von Mises Mixture Model for Sound Source Localization

  • Dinh, Quang Nguyen;Lee, Chang-Hoon
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we propose a probabilistic framework for model-based clustering of direction of arrival (DOA) data to obtain stable sound source localization (SSL) estimates. Model-based clustering has been shown capable of handling highly overlapped and noisy datasets, such as those involved in DOA detection. Although the Gaussian mixture model is commonly used for model-based clustering, we propose use of the von Mises mixture model as more befitting circular DOA data than a Gaussian distribution. The EM framework for the von Mises mixture model in a unit hyper sphere is degenerated for the 2D case and used as such in the proposed method. We also use a histogram of the dataset to initialize the number of clusters and the initial values of parameters, thereby saving calculation time and improving the efficiency. Experiments using simulated and real-world datasets demonstrate the performance of the proposed method.