• 제목/요약/키워드: future trend

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Digital 제어의 신기술 및 향후 전망 (New Technology and Future Trend in Digital Control)

  • 성학경
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 1993
  • This paper introduces a new concept to analyze the digital control system where the continuous-time plant is stabilized by the digital controller with sampler and hodl. It gives some methods to handle the inter-sampling behavior which has not been considered in the digital controller design. Also, the new trend and future direction in digital control are introduced.

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An Up-Trend Detection Using an Auto-Associative Neural Network : KOSPI 200 Futures

  • Baek Jinwoo;Cho Sungzoon
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2002년도 춘계공동학술대회
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    • pp.1066-1070
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    • 2002
  • We propose a neural network based up-trend detector. An auto-associative neural network was trained with 'up-trend' data obtained from the KOSPI 200 future price. It was then used to predict an up-trend Simple investment strategies based on the detector achieved a two year return of $19.8\%$ with no leverage.

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초고층 화재 안전에 관한 아시아 각국의 동향조사 (A Study on the Research Trend of Fire Safety in High-rise buildings to Asia)

  • 권영진;구인혁;김동은;서동구
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2013년도 추계 학술논문 발표대회
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    • pp.228-229
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    • 2013
  • As the rapid and various changing of social aspects, the structures are getting bigger, higher and more complex. This study is research trend of fire safety in high-rise buildings to Asia country. Research Trend for the Fire Safety to present the plan to clean up the problems and ways to improve future domestic.

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Future Trends in Microcomputer Image Processing Technology

  • Yang, Young-Kyu;Miller, Lee-D.
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.35-47
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    • 1986
  • The progress in computer technology has significantly improved the capabilities of the microcomputer image processing systems and brought down their hardware costs. This on-going trend of technological development seems to bring further substantive improvements in microcomputer image processing and decreasing hardware costs. The technical development in microcomputer image processing system including VLSI technology, semiconductor memory, disk and tape storage, and image display subsystems have been reviewed and their future trend have been projected. The impact of this technology to the development of image processing has been assessed in the time period of immediate future (2-3 years) and near future (5 years).

항공산업 미래유망분야 선정을 위한 텍스트 마이닝 기반의 트렌드 분석 (Text Mining-Based Emerging Trend Analysis for the Aviation Industry)

  • 김현정;조남옥;신경식
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.65-82
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    • 2015
  • 최근 경제적 사회적 부가가치를 창출할 수 있는 유망분야를 선정하여 국가 전략 및 정책 수립 시 반영하기 위해 미래 핵심 이슈를 발견하고 트렌드를 분석하는 것에 대한 관심이 급증하고 있다. 기존에는 미래의 핵심 기술이나 이슈를 발견하고 트렌드 분석을 통해 미래유망분야를 선정하는 연구를 위해 문헌 조사 또는 전문가 평가와 같은 정성적 연구방법이 사용되어 왔다. 그러나 이 연구방법은 대량의 정보로부터 결과를 도출하는데 많은 시간과 비용이 소요될 뿐만 아니라 전문가의 주관적인 가치가 반영될 가능성이 존재한다. 이와 같은 한계점을 보완하고자 최근 국토교통, 안전, 정보통신기술 등 다양한 분야에서 미래유망분야를 선정하기 위하여 정성적 연구방법에 텍스트 마이닝과 같은 정량적 연구방법을 상호 보완적으로 활용하는 방식으로 트렌드 분석을 수행하는 연구 방법론의 패러다임 변화가 시도되고 있다. 본 연구는 항공산업 전반적인 분야에 빅데이터 분석 방법인 텍스트 마이닝 기법을 적용하여 항공 분야의 연구동향을 파악하고 미래유망분야를 전망하였다. 텍스트 마이닝 기법 중하나인 토픽 분석을 이용하여 항공산업 전반적인 분야의 문서 집합 내 잠재된 토픽을 추출하고, 연도별로 핵심 토픽의 추이를 분석하였다. 분석 결과 항공산업의 미래유망분야로 항공안전정책, 항공운임(저가항공), 그리고 친환경 고연비 연료가 도출되었다. 본 연구결과는 분석 대상을 논문에 한정하여 수행하였다는 한계점이 존재하나, 항공산업 분야의 핵심 이슈를 도출하기 위하여 텍스트 마이닝 기반의 트렌드 분석에 대한 활용가능성을 제시하고, 미래유망분야를 선정하기 위한 정량적인 분석 방법론의 전형을 마련하였다는 점에서 의의가 있다.

기업교육 이러닝 콘텐츠의 동향과 발전 방향 (Trends and Future Directions of Corporate e-learning Contents)

  • 정효정
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.65-72
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - One of the biggest problems in the e-learning distribution process is the lack of quality content and learners' discredit in e-learning content. In order to respond to the various demands of the corporate education field appropriately, it is necessary to search for directions of new e-learning models that are out of traditional e-learning contents. The purpose of this study is to identify recent trend issues related to corporate e-learning and to suggest directions for development. Research design, data, and methodology - Based on the literature review, trend issues that should be considered important in corporate e-learning were derived. Online survey was conducted to evaluate the importance-feasibility of each issue to 13 experts on e-learning and corporate education. The contents of the questionnaire are as follows: 1) recognition of importance and feasibility of trend issues to be considered important in the future corporate education field; 2) factors to be considered in developing future e-learning contents. Results - Six trends derived from a comprehensive literature review. The most important e-learning trends for corporate education field were 'mobile learning', 'micro learning', 'blended learning', 'social learning', 'adaptive learning', 'engaged learning'. As a result of evaluating the importance and feasibility of each issue, experts point out that 'mobile learning' and 'micro learning' should be actively considered for introduction and utilization at present. In addition, 'social learning' and 'blended learning' need to be actively considered in the near future. On the other hand, experts recognized that 'adaptive learning' and 'engaged learning' need to be prepared from a long-term perspective. Conclusions - There are two main reasons for this result. First, in corporate e-learning, it is important to 1) be able to update on time, 2) the connection with the workplace is important. Second, it requires realistic verification of the expected performance of the learning model. To be considered part of the future are as follows: First, the value and effectiveness of the new e-learning type should be studied. Seconds, e-learning contents should be developed through adopting SAM or Agile methodology. Through this process, we would be able to enhance the quality in e-learning content.

Liver Cancer Mortality Characteristics and Trends in China from 1991 to 2012

  • Fang, Jia-Ying;Wu, Ku-Sheng;Zeng, Yang;Tang, Wen-Rui;Du, Pei-Ling;Xu, Zhen-Xi;Xu, Xiao-Ling;Luo, Jia-Yi;Lin, Kun
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.1959-1964
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: To investigate the distribution of liver cancer mortality as well as its developing trend from 1991 to 2012, forecast the future five-year trend, and provide a basis for the comprehensive prevention and management. Materials and Methods: Mortality data for liver cancer in China from 1991 to 2012 were used to describe characteristics and distribution of liver cancer mortality. Trend surface analysis was used to study the geographical distribution of liver cancer mortality. Curve estimation, time series modeling, gray modeling (GM) and joinpoint regression were used to predict and forecast future trends. Results: The mortality rate of liver cancer has constantly increased in China since 1991. Rates in rural areas are higher than in urban areas, and in males are higher than in females. In addition, our data predicted that the trend will continue to increase in the next 5 years. The age-specific mortality of liver cancer increases with age and peaks in the group of 80-84 years old. Geographical analysis showed the liver mortality rate was higher in the southeast provinces, such as Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Guangdong, and southwest regions like Guangxi Province. Conclusions: The standardized mortality rate of liver cancer in China has consistently increased from 1991 to 2012, and the upward trend is predicted to continue in the future. Much better prevention and management of liver cancer is needed in high mortality areas (the southwestern and southeastern parts of China) and high mortality age groups (80- to 84-year-olds), especially in rural areas.

CMIP5 MME와 Best 모델의 비교를 통해 살펴본 미래전망: II. 동아시아 단·장기 미래기후전망에 대한 열역학적 및 역학적 분석 (Future Change Using the CMIP5 MME and Best Models: II. The Thermodynamic and Dynamic Analysis on Near and Long-Term Future Climate Change over East Asia)

  • 김병희;문혜진;하경자
    • 대기
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.249-260
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    • 2015
  • The changes in thermodynamic and dynamic aspects on near (2025~2049) and long-term (2075~2099) future climate changes between the historical run (1979~2005) and the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 run with 20 coupled models which employed in the phase five of Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5) over East Asia (EA) and the Korean Peninsula are investigated as an extended study for Moon et al. (2014) study noted that the 20 models' multi-model ensemble (MME) and best five models' multi-model ensemble (B5MME) have a different increasing trend of precipitation during the boreal winter and summer, in spite of a similar increasing trend of surface air temperature, especially over the Korean Peninsula. Comparing the MME and B5MME, the dynamic factor (the convergence of mean moisture by anomalous wind) and the thermodynamic factor (the convergence of anomalous moisture by mean wind) in terms of moisture flux convergence are analyzed. As a result, the dynamic factor causes the lower increasing trend of precipitation in B5MME than the MME during the boreal winter and summer over EA. However, over the Korean Peninsula, the dynamic factor causes the lower increasing trend of precipitation in B5MME than the MME during the boreal winter, whereas the thermodynamic factor causes the higher increasing trend of precipitation in B5MME than the MME during the boreal summer. Therefore, it can be noted that the difference between MME and B5MME on the change in precipitation is affected by dynamic (thermodynamic) factor during the boreal winter (summer) over the Korean Peninsula.

Impact of future climate change on UK building performance

  • Amoako-Attah, Joseph;B-Jahromi, Ali
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.203-227
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    • 2013
  • Global demand for dwelling energy and implications of changing climatic conditions on buildings confront the built environment to build sustainable dwellings. This study investigates the variability of future climatic conditions on newly built detached dwellings in the UK. Series of energy modelling and simulations are performed on ten detached houses to evaluate and predict the impact of varying future climatic patterns on five building performance indicators. The study identifies and quantifies a consistent declining trend of building performance which is in consonance with current scientific knowledge of annual temperature change prediction in relations to long term climatic variation. The average percentage decrease for the annual energy consumption was predicted to be 2.80, 6.60 and 10.56 for 2020s, 2050s and 2080s time lines respectively. A similar declining trend in the case of annual natural gas consumption was 4.24, 9.98 and 16.1, and that for building emission rate and heating demand were 2.27, 5.49 and 8.72 and 7.82, 18.43 and 29.46 respectively. The study further analyse future heating and cooling demands of the three warmest months of the year and ascertain future variance in relative humidity and indoor temperature which might necessitate the use of room cooling systems to provide thermal comfort.

ASEM정상회의시 NGO집회 및 시위 성향性向에 따른 대응방안 (A Study on the Trend of NGOs' Rally and Struggle during Multi-Summit Meeting)

  • 양재열
    • 시큐리티연구
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    • 제4호
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    • pp.169-187
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    • 2001
  • NGOs occupy so high international position that it is said the age of NGOs or Renaissance of NGOs has came. Recently, they continuously succeeded in hindering and blocking large-scale international events through their violent struggles. This paper studied the concept of NGO, examples of NGO struggles during recent international events and stated anticipated struggles during ASEM III and their trend. Thereafter, with future prospect of NGO activities, some measures for successful 2002 World Cup and 2005 APEC were provided in this paper. The contents of this paper is as follows ; Chapter I : Introduction Chapter II : The concept of NGO and aspects of their struggles during recent international events Chapter III : Struggles during the 3rd ASEM, Seoul and their trend Chapter IV : Future prospect of NGO activities Chapter V : Conclusion

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