• 제목/요약/키워드: forest fire behavior

검색결과 33건 처리시간 0.029초

GIS를 이용한 지표화 확산예측모델의 개발 (Development of the Surface Forest Fire Behavior Prediction Model Using GIS)

  • 이병두;정주상;이명보
    • 한국산림과학회지
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    • 제94권6호
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    • pp.481-487
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    • 2005
  • 이 연구에서는 지표화 중심의 산불확산예측 알고리즘을 기반으로 GIS 환경에서 운용이 가능한 지표화 확산예측모델을 개발하였다. 이 모델은 지형, 연료, 기상 등 산불환경인자를 분석하고 입력하는 부분과 시간에 따라 확산속도, 화선에서의 산불강도, 연소면적을 예측하는 지표화 확산예측 부분, 마지막으로 예측결과를 사용자에게 제시하는 출력 부분으로 구성되었다. 산불확산속도를 계산하기 위해서 산불행동에 영향을 미치는 산불환경인자중에서 지형인자는 경사, 기상인자는 풍속, 풍향, 실효습도를 고려하였다. 또한 연료인자는 수치임상도를 이용하여 연료깊이, 연료량, 소화습도를 계산할 수 있는 연료모듈을 개발하여 입력되도록 하였다. 연료습도는 실효습도, 최고온도, 강수량, 일일 적산량의 함수관계로 추정하였다. 모델을 2002년 청양에서 발생한 산불에 적용한 결과 확산속도에 대해 61%의 일치도를 보였다.

산불 전파의 수치 시뮬레이션 (Numerical Simulation of a Forest Fire Spread)

  • 이명성;원찬식;허남건
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2008
  • In the present study, a forest fire spread was simulated with a three-dimensional, fully-transient, physics-based, computer simulation program. Physics-based fire simulation is based on the governing equations of fluid dynamics, combustion and heat transfer. The focus of the present study is to perform parametric study to simulate fire spread through flat and inclined wildland with vegetative fuels like trees or grass. The fire simulation was performed in the range of the wind speeds and degrees of inclination. From the results, the effect of the various parameters of the forest fire on the fire spread behavior was analyzed for the future use of the simulation in the prediction of fire behavior in the complex terrain.

A STUDY on FOREST FIRE SPREADING ALGORITHM with CALCULATED WIND DISTRIBUTION

  • Song, J.H.;Kim, E.S.;Lim, H.J.;Kim, H.;Kim, H.S.;Lee, S.Y
    • 한국화재소방학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국화재소방학회 1997년도 International Symposium on Fire Science and Technology
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    • pp.305-310
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    • 1997
  • There are many parameters in prediction of forest fire spread. The variables such as fuel moisture, fuel loading, wind velocity, wind direction, relative humidity, slope, and solar aspect have important effects on fire. Particularly, wind and slope factors are considered to be the most important parameters in propagation of forest fire. Generally, slope effect cause different wind distribution in mountain area. However, this effect is disregarded in complex geometry. In this paper, wind is estimated by applying computational fluid dynamics to the forest geometry. Wind velocity data is obtained by using CFD code with Newtonian model and slope is calculated with geometrical data. These data are applied fer 2-dimentional forest fire spreading algorithm with Korean ROS(Rate Of Spread). Finally, the comparison between the simulation and the real forest fire is made. The algorithm spread of forest fire will help fire fighter to get the basic data far fire suppression and the prediction to behavior of forest fire.

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2005년 강원도 양양산불 행동 특성 (The Behavior Characteristics of the 2005 Yangyang Forest Fire)

  • 이병두;이시영;정주상
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2005
  • 산불에 효율적으로 대처하기 위해서는 산불환경인자와 산불행동에 대한 올바른 이해가 요구된다. 이 논문에서는 2005년 4월 강원도 양양에서 발생한 산불을 대상으로 문헌 및 탐문조사, 현장조사를 통해 산불행동 특성을 산불확산과 산불피해도로 구분하여 분석하였다. 양양산불의 확산은 두 단계로 구분되었는데 1차 확산단계에서는 강한 편서풍의 영향으로 동쪽으로 확산되었으며 재 발화 이후인 2차 확산단계에서는 풍향이 일정치 않아 서, 남, 북쪽으로 확산되는 불규칙적인 형태를 보였다. 확산속도는 최대 1.21km/hr, 평균 0.6km/hr로 분석되었다. 산불피해도를 십, 중, 경 세 단계로 구분하여 분석한 결과 전체 면적의 약 $80\%$에 해당되는 1,110ha 지역이 산불피해가 심한 지역으로 분류되었으며 경과 중 지역은 각각 $15\%(211 ha),\;5\%(61 ha)$이었다.

기후조건 변화에 따른 산불확산 변화 비교 (Comparison a Forest Fire Spread variation according to weather condition change)

  • 이시영;박흥석
    • 한국화재소방학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국화재소방학회 2008년도 추계학술논문발표회 논문집
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    • pp.490-494
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    • 2008
  • We simulated a forest fire which was occurred in Yangyang area on 2005 and compared a results between two different weather conditions(real weather condition and mean weather condition since 1968) using FARSITE, which is a forest fire spread simulator for preventing and predicting fire in USDA. And, we researched a problem in the transition for introducing, so we serve the basic method for prevention and attacking fire. In the result, severe weather condition on 2005 effected a forest fire behavior. The rate of spread under real weather condition was about 4 times faster than mean weather condition. Damaged area was about 10 time than mean weather condition. Therefore, Climate change will make a more sever fire season. As we will encounter to need for accurate prediction in near future, it will be necessary to predict a forest fire linked with future wether and fuel condition.

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통전 중 산불에 노출된 가공송전선의 온도 및 장력 변화 거동 (Temperature and Load Change behavior of Overhead Conductor under loading current due to Forest Fire)

  • 김병걸;장용호;김상수;한세원
    • 한국전기전자재료학회논문지
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.366-371
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    • 2009
  • The authors have published several technical reports on the deterioration of conductor due to forest fire in series so far. This is because even we have been experiencing hundreds of forest fires every year, no systematic research on conductor which is very vulnerable to fire have been fulfilled. This paper describes the sag-tension behavior of conductor under loading current normally when only partial area of a long conductor is exposed to fire. Temperatures of Overhead Conductor were different with measurement position. When the partial area of conductor was heated up to $500^{\circ}C$, 20 % of permanent tension loss was observed. This results in the increase of sag of 1.5 m when span is 300 m. The other results will be presented in the text.

지표화 산불의 화염전파 수치해석 (A Numerical Study of Flame Spread of A Surface Forest Fire)

  • 김동현;이명보;김광일
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.80-83
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    • 2008
  • The characteristics of the spread of a forest fire are generally related to the attributes of combustibles, geographical features, and meteorological conditions, such as wind conditions. The most common methodology used to create a prediction model for the spread of forest fires, based on the numerical analysis of the development stages of a forest fire, is an analysis of heat energy transmission by the stage of heat transmission. When a forest fire breaks out, the analysis of the transmission velocity of heat energy is quantifiable by the spread velocity of flame movement through a physical and chemical analysis at every stage of the fire development from flame production and heat transmission to its termination. In this study, the formula used for the 1-dimensional surface forest fire behavior prediction model, derived from a numerical analysis of the surface flame spread rate of solid combustibles, is introduced. The formula for the 1-dimensional surface forest fire behavior prediction model is the estimated equation of the flame spread velocity, depending on the condition of wind velocity on the ground. Experimental and theoretical equations on flame duration, flame height, flame temperature, ignition temperature of surface fuels, etc., has been applied to the device of this formula. As a result of a comparison between the ROS(rate of spread) from this formula and ROSs from various equations of other models or experimental values, a trend suggesting an increasing curved line of the exponent function under 3m/s or less wind velocity condition was identified. As a result of a comparison between experimental values and numerically analyzed values for fallen pine tree leaves, the flame spread velocity reveals has a error of less than 20%.

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지형과 산불피해도와의 관계 분석 (Analysis of the Relationship between Landform and Forest Fire Severity)

  • 이병두;원명수;장광민;이명보
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.58-67
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    • 2008
  • 지형은 연료의 구성과 기상 및 산불로부터 발생하는 에너지의 흐름에 영향을 미쳐 산불행동에 관여하는 인자이다. 따라서 지형에 따른 산불피해도를 정략적으로 해석할 수 있다면, 산불위험도 작성 및 진화대원 안전 확보에 있어 기초 자료로 응용될 수 있다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 삼척(2000년 발생), 청양(2002년 발생), 양양(2005년 발생) 산불을 대상으로 산불피해도를 분석하고 지형을 구분한 다음 통계분석을 실시하여 두 인자간의 상관관계를 알아보았다. 산불피해도는 산불 전후 Landsat TM 영상에서 추출한 정규탄화지수(Normalized Burn Ratio)의 차이를 이용하였다. 지형은 지형위치지수(Topographic Position Index)를 이용해 Weiss(2001)가 제시한 10개로 구분하였다. 분석결과 산지수로, 능선, 산복사면 등의 지형에서 산불피해도가 높게 나타났으며, 곡저구릉, 평탄곡지, 평지 등의 지형은 산불피해도가 낮게 나타났다. 이를 임상별로 세분해 보면 산불피해도는 침엽수림에서 활엽수림에 비해 지형에 더 민감하게 반응한 것으로 나타났다.

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산불확산 시뮬레이션 도입을 위한 FARSITE 고찰 (Research on FARSITE for introducing a Forest fire simulator)

  • 이시영;박흥석
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.161-164
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    • 2008
  • We studied a basic concept and application about FARSITE, which is a forest fire spread simulator for preventing and predicting fire in United States Department of Agriculture(USDA). And, we researched a problem in the transition for introducing, so we serve the basic method for prevention and attacking fire. For this transition, we compared the behavior of the 2005 Yangyang forest fire with the result of a simulation. The spread direction is similar to real data. But, while mean spread of rate was 0.65km/hr on real data, it was 0.3km/hr on simulation. As Damaged area is 1,387ha on real, it was 5,368ha on simulation. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a fuel concept for more accurate simulation.

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