• 제목/요약/키워드: financial risk component

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가계 재무위험 구성요소들의 관계분석 (An Analysis of the Relationships Among Financial Risk Components)

  • 정운영;김경자
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제42권10호
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the structure of financial risk components of households. The financial risk of households was assumed to be composed of risk knowledge, risk attitude and risk management behavior. For this study, a questionnaire was developed and distributed to 700 households in Seoul and Kwangju, and there were 495 responses with usable data. The findings showed that income stability had a positive relationship with the level of risk knowledge and risk attitude. Income stability, household debt, age of the youngest child and risk knowledge were found to have direct effects on risky vs. non-risky asset ratio. Income stability, savings, age of the youngest child and risk knowledge also had significant effects on the number of risky assets owned by households. Risk knowledge was the most important determinant of risk management behavior.

Foreign Exchange Risk Control in the Context of Supply Chain Management

  • Park, Koo-Woong
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - Foreign exchange risk control is in an important component in the international supply chain management. This study shows the importance of the reference period in forecasting future exchange rates with a specific illustration of KIKO currency option contracts, and suggests feasible preventive measures. Research design, data, and methodology - Using monthly Won-Dollar exchange rate data for January 1995~July 2007, I evaluate the statistical characteristics of the exchange rate for two sub-periods; 1) a shorter period after the East Asian financial crisis and 2) a longer period including the financial crisis. The key instrument of analysis is the basic normal distribution theory. Results - The difference in the reference period could lead to an unexpected development in contract implementation and a consequent financial loss. We may avoid foreign exchange loss by using derivatives such as forwards or currency options. Conclusions - We should consider not only level values but also the volatilities of financial variables in making a binding financial contract. Appropriate measures may differ depending on the specific supply chain pattern. We may extend the study with surveys on actual risk measures.

제조물 책임 리스크 자금조달에 대한 일반적 지침 연구 (A Study on Product Liability Risk Financing Guidelines)

  • 이동하;오근태;김명수
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.99-112
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    • 2002
  • Risk financing is defined as the methods applied to fund risk treatment and the financial consequences of risk. It is a major component of the transfer of risk and the retention of risk which are, in turn, parts of the risk treatment process. This study applied the general guidelines on risk financing to product liability risk. Product liability risk occurs when potential defects in the process of design, production, and distribution lead to accidents resulting in fatal, financial, and environmental loss. Risk on product liability may be financed in many different ways, each of which may be used singularly or in combination. The most popular and recommendable way suggested in the guidelines is the retention or use of reserves, transfer, credit or insurance.

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가계재무종합지수(HFCI)를 활용한 가계특성별 재무상태 평가 (A Study on Financial Status of Households Using the Household Financial Composite Index (HFCI))

  • 유호실;양세정
    • Human Ecology Research
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    • 제59권1호
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    • pp.127-141
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    • 2021
  • This study evaluates the financial status of Korean households using Household Financial Composite Index (HFCI) proposed in the preceding study. We analyzed 1,566 households with four persons aged 30-59 using raw data from the Korea Labor Panel Survey in 2016. The analysis results are as follows. First, HFCI was found to be 57.0 out of 100. Growth Index as one of three subindices was 11.1, which was significantly lower with 65.0 points for Status Index and 61.1 points for the Stability Index. Second, for households with male household owners, the overall financial score was 57.0, while that with female owners was almost similar with 57.2. HFCI was similar for the owner's age groups, but for Status Index, 58.5 for 30s, compared with 66.1 for 40s and 67.1 for 50s. The higher the education level of household owners, the better HFCI, with 53.2 high school graduates and 64.8 graduate graduates, showing a high gap of 11.6 points. HFCI for households living in owned housing was highest at 60.0, while that for rented housing was 40.7. Third, after controlling other effects, it was found that HFCI differed according to the level of education and ownership of housing living. Householder's gender was not found as a significant factor on HFCI. Status Index The 40s and 50s was higher than those in their 30s. Fourth, households were divided into three groups based on HFCI, named as risk, average and secure groups. HFCI for the risk group was 26.8, which was lower than 78.6 for the secure group, with a Status Index of 19.3. Households in their 50s and graduate school graduates were significantly included in the list of secure groups than others.

Liquidity Risk and Asset Returns : The Case of the Korean Stock Market

  • Choe, Hyuk;Yang, Cheol-Won
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.103-140
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    • 2009
  • This paper investigates various channels through which liquidity can affect stock returns and examines whether behavioral explanation for liquidity risk is reasonable. First, we examine whether liquidity level (average liquidity) plays a significant role in determining asset returns. The result is consistent with the hypothesis that a stock with higher average illiquidity will have a higher expected return. Second, we focus on the argument that liquidity has a non-diversifiable systematic component. If systemic liquidity has a different impact across individual securities, a stock that is more sensitive to systematic liquidity will have a higher expected return. The results of various tests are inconsistent with each other, not completely supporting the argument. Finally, the intra-market tests in Korea support the behavioral explanation for the liquidity premium, and the effect is stronger in the liquidity level than in the liquidity beta related to systematic liquidity.

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Pesticide Risk and Benefit Assessment

  • Birtley, Robin D.N.
    • 한국잡초학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 1993
  • The benefits of pesticides in improving the food quantity and quality requirements for an increasing world population are significant, and they can be described in agronomic, economic and social terms. The risks are assessed from the hazards which are likely to occur in practice ; the hazards are defined by the toxicity of the pesticide to non-target organisms at various exposure levels. There are ways of reducing the risks (mainly by reducing exposure in practice) and improving the benefits of pesticides ; these are known as risk management and benefit management respectively. The overall risk-benefit assessment is facilitated if each component can be expressed in financial terms, but it must be made nationally or locally on a sound technical basis against the prevailing agronomic, socio-economic and political circumstances. Paraquat is used to illustrate the risk-benefit assessment process in general terms, and the conclusion is that the benefits greatly outweigh the risks. It is important to keep the risks of pesticides in perspective with those associated with other naturally occurring chemicals in our diet and with other everyday aspects of life. In an overall context, the pesticide risk is small.

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포트폴리오위험의 추정과 분할방법에 관한 연구 (Estimation and Decomposition of Portfolio Value-at-Risk)

  • 김상환
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.139-169
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 새로운 VaR 추정모형으로 수정 VaR(modified VaR)을 소개하고, 수정 VaR의 예측성과를 역사적 시뮬레이션 모형이나 Riskmetrics 등 전통적인 모형들과 비교하였다. 수정 VaR은 분산뿐만 아니라 왜도, 첨도를 VaR 계산에 고려함으로써 금융자산분포의 비대칭성과 꼬리가 굵은 성질이 위험측정치에 반영될 수 있는 장점이 있다. 수정 VaR은 6개국의 주가지수 수익률을 이용한 표본외 예측성과검증에서 다른 모형들에 비해 가장 우수한 예측성과를 보였다. VaR 예측의 독립성검증에서는 Riskmetrics와 GARCH 모형이 우수한 것으로 나타났으나 수정 VaR에 대해 서도 독립성이 기각되지 않았다. 특정한 표본을 이용한 예측성과분석에서 나타날 수 있는 data snooping 문제를 해결하기 위해 skew t 분포를 이용한 시뮬레이션분석을 시도하였는데, 시뮬레이션 검증결과에서도 수정 VaR이 가장 양호한 예측성과를 보였다. 포트폴리오 VaR에 대한 표본외 예측성과에서도 수정 VaR은 단일변량모형이나 다변량 정규분포모형에 비해 우수한 성과를 보였다. 다변량 수정 VaR은 포트폴리오 구성자산 간의 선형상관관계뿐 아니라 공왜도(coskewness)와 공첨도(cokurtosis)를 통한 비선형 상호의존관계도 고려할 수 있다는 점에서 포트폴리오 위험에 대한 우수한 예측성과는 당연한 결과라고 할 수 있다. 6개국 주가지수로 구성된 포트폴리오의 VaR을 component VaR로 분할한 실증분석에서는 포트폴리오 VaR의 분할결과가 적극적인 위험관리와 포트폴리오 최적화를 위한 자산재배분에 효과적으로 활용될 수 있음을 확인하였다.

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대규모 프로젝트의 위험요인과 위험관리에 관한 사례연구 (A Case Study on Risk Factors and Risk Management in a Large-scale Project)

  • 홍사능
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.97-116
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    • 2010
  • Failures of super large projects like IT Upgrade of Shinhan Financial Group can be a heavy blow not only to the company but even to the national economy. Research on the practices of risk management in those projects will provide invaluable lessons, enhancing capabilities and chances of successfully executing mission critical projects of the companies and the national economy as a whole. This paper analyzes the risk management of the Core Systems Reconstruction which was the most critical component of IT Upgrade. The analysis covers risk management plans, and identification and evolution, and control and monitoring of risk factors. This study confirms the major results of previous research on risk management in Korea. However, the analysis found as well some discrepancies of practices from the previous research results. This research also tracked the trajectories of evolution of risk factors and management. In particular, in depth analysis of control and monitoring is the first research in Korea on the "management" of risks in IT projects. The result of this research is expected to be a useful guide for theory development and practices of risk management in the future.

MODELING MEASURES OF RISK CORRELATION FOR QUANTITATIVE FLOAT MANAGEMENT OF CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS

  • Richard C. Jr. Thompson;Gunnar Lucko
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 5th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.459-466
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    • 2013
  • Risk exists in all construction projects and resides among the collection of subcontractors and their array of individual activities. Wherever risk resides, the interrelation of participants to one another becomes paramount for the way in which risk is measured. Inherent risk becomes recognizable and quantifiable within network schedules in the form of consuming float - the flexibility to absorb delays. Allocating, owning, valuing, and expending such float in network schedules has been debated since the inception of the critical path method itself. This research investigates the foundational element of a three-part approach that examines how float can be traded as a commodity, a concept whose promise remains unfulfilled for lack of a holistic approach. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) of financial portfolio theory, which describes the relationship between risk and expected return of individual stocks, is explored as an analogy to quantify the inherent risk of the participants in construction projects. The inherent relationship between them and their impact on overall schedule performance, defined as schedule risk -the likelihood of failing to meet schedule plans and the effect of such failure, is matched with the use of CAPM's beta component - the risk correlation measure of an individual stock to that of the entire market - to determine parallels with respect to the inner workings and risks represented by each entity or activity within a schedule. This correlation is the initial theoretical extension that is required to identify where risk resides within construction projects, allocate and commoditize it, and achieve actual tradability.

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Decision-making of alternative pylon shapes of a benchmark cable-stayed bridge using seismic risk assessment

  • Akhoondzade-Noghabi, Vahid;Bargi, Khosrow
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.583-607
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    • 2016
  • One of the main applications of seismic risk assessment is that an specific design could be selected for a bridge from different alternatives by considering damage losses alongside primary construction costs. Therefore, in this paper, the focus is on selecting the shape of pylon, which is a changeable component in the design of a cable-stayed bridge, as a double criterion decision-making problem. Different shapes of pylons include H, A, Y, and diamond shape, and the two criterion are construction costs and probable earthquake losses. In this research, decision-making is performed by using developed seismic risk assessment process as a powerful method. Considering the existing uncertainties in seismic risk assessment process, the combined incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) and uniform design (UD) based fragility assessment method is proposed, in which the UD method is utilized to provide the logical capacity models of the structure, and the IDA method is employed to give the probabilistic seismic demand model of structure. Using the aforementioned models and by defining damage states, the fragility curves of the bridge system are obtained for the different pylon shapes usage. Finally, by combining the fragility curves with damage losses and implementing the proposed cost-loss-benefit (CLB) method, the seismic risk assessment process is developed with financial-comparative approach. Thus, the optimal shape of the pylon can be determined using double criterion decision-making. The final results of decision-making study indicate that the optimal pylon shapes for the studied span of cable-stayed bridge are, respectively, H shape, diamond shape, Y shape, and A shape.