• Title/Summary/Keyword: fertility

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Analysis of Factors Affecting Regional Total Fertility Rate: Using a Model Considering Cross-sectional Dependence (지역 합계출산율에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석: 횡단면 의존성을 고려한 모형을 이용하여)

  • So-Youn Kim;Su-Yeol Ryu
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.335-352
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - Low fertility rate is a serious problem, and this study analyzes factors affecting total fertility rate using panel data from 16 metropolitan cities and provinces in Korea from 2000 to 2022. Design/methodology/approach - Estimating the SAR model considering the weak cross-sectional dependence that exists in variables related to the regional total fertility rate, and using the DKSE estimation method considering the strong cross-sectional dependence. Findings - Estimation results considering weak and strong cross-sectional dependence were similar, confirming the robustness of the results. Female labor force participation rate has a positive effect on total fertility rate, and employment rate has no effect. However, the interaction term is a negative (-) sign. Crude marriage rate has a positive effect on total fertility rate, and apartment price has a slightly positive effect. Environmental factor has no effect, and policy factor has a negative effect. Research implications or Originality - In order for an increase in the female labor force participation rate to lead to an increase in the total fertility rate, qualitative improvements in female employment must be made. Financial investment policies for childbirth must increase their effectiveness. The problem of low fertility rate requires not only population policy but also social, economic, cultural, environmental, and policy conditions to be considered.

A study on forecasting provinces-specific fertility for Korea (시도별 출산력 예측에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Soon-Young;Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.229-263
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    • 2019
  • The Korean fertility rate has been declining rapidly since 2000 with the fertility rate among provinces following a uniform tendency. In particular, the province-specific fertility rate is an essential tool for local governments to prepare local policies for low fertility aging policy, education and welfare policies. However, there is limitation on how to reflect different trends on the province-specific fertility rate because the KOSTAT's (2017) province-specific fertility rate projection estimates information use the national average birth rate date of vital statistics for the last 10 years (5 years). In this study, we propose an improvement plan that simultaneously considers important stable pattern maintenance and provincial fertility rate differentiation for an annual birth rate estimation. The method proposed in this study (proposal 1 and 2) can reflect birth rate changes from past to present and national and provincial differences by age that use time series data of the annual fertility rate. Proposal 3 also reflects the unique fertility rate trend from the past to the present by age according to province regardless of the relationship with the national trend. Therefore, it is preferable to use a relationship to the national rate when predicting the birth rate, as in proposals 1 and 2 because the national and the provincial fertility rate pattern are similar. These proposals show improved stability in terms of age-specific fertility rates.

The Differences in Household Economic Structure between Low-Fertility and Birth-Planned Households (저출산 가계와 출산계획 있는 가계의 경제구조 비교 분석)

  • Cha Kyung-Wook
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.23 no.2 s.74
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2005
  • This study compared one-child households' economic structures between those who determined not to have more children and those who have a birth plan. This study examined the demographic characteristics and economic variables such as income, consumption expenditures, assets. debt, and a subjective evaluation of future economic status. Especially, it compared the effects of socioeconomic variables on expenditures on a child between low-fertility and birth-planned households. From a questionnaire completed by a husband or wife of one-child households, 154 low-fertility households and 201 birth-planned households were obtained. A t-test, chi-square test, multiple regression analysis and a dummy variable interaction technique were used. The findings of this study are as follows: First, low-fertility households were older, had higher income, and had more educated, employed wives. Their marital duration was longer, and their child was older than those of birth-planned households. Second, low-fertility households had higher consumption expenditures than did birth-planned households. Especially, expenditures of apparel and shoes, health care, education, and entertainment were significantly higher for low-fertility households. Also, low-fertility households spent more than did birth-planned households on a child. However, low-fertility households had significantly more debt than did their counterparts, and their expectation level of future economic status were lower than that of birth-planned households. Third, the effects of socioeconomic variables on expenditures on a child were different between low-fertility and birth-planned households. Age, education level, husband's occupation, wife's employment status, income, net asset, and subjective evaluation of future economic status showed significant differences. Income elasticity of expenditure on a child was significantly higher for low-fertility households than their counterparts.

On Regional Fertility Differentials;Understanding the Causal Mechanisms of Low Fertility in Korea (양성평등 관념과 노동시장 불안정성이 출산력에 미치는 영향;지역별 차별출산력의 분석)

  • Yoo, Sam-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Population Association of Korea Conference
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    • 2006.12a
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    • pp.131-152
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    • 2006
  • This study examines the causal mechanisms of low fertility and regional differentials in Korea. Utilizing the 2005 census and the 2005 vital statistics, and labor statistics at the regional level, major variables were calculated for administrative units of 234 'Gu's, 'Si's and 'Gun's. Gender equity orientation, labor market insecurity and family formation were hypothesized as key factors of recent decline in Korean fertility. This study first presents four maps of gender equity orientation, labor market insecurity, family formation and fertility. Then ANOVA and path analysis were carried out in an effort to generalize the causal mechanisms. Results of analysis reveal that gender equity orientation has played a central role in the second fertility transition in Korea. In metropolitan regions, however, labor market insecurity is found to have a significant influence on the level of family formation and fertility. Family formation also turns out to be an important intermediate variable of fertility.

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The Analysis of the Determinants Affecting the Rise of Fertility Rates by Each Parity (출산순위별 출산증가 요인 분석)

  • Lee, Sung-Yong
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.51-70
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    • 2009
  • The main purpose of this study is to examine how individual's ideological factor, the individual perception of the economic situation, and the individual socioeconomic characteristics affect the fertility behavior during the fertility recovery periods-from 2006 to 2007- by each parity. For conducting this study, the 2008 Korean Fertility Survey Data are used. The respondents in this data consist of 1,467 women born their children at 2007 and 1,000 women not having their children at the recovery periods of fertility rates. Findings are as follows. First, the effect of individual's ideological factor, the individual perception of the economic situation, and the individual socioeconomic characteristics on fertility behavior differ by each parity. Second, the government policies increasing the fertility rate are needed to consider not only providing the economic support but also emphasizing the traditional ideology having the positive effects on the fertility behavior in order to increase the fertility rates. Third, the policy decreasing the age at the first marriage is needed.

Background and Oral Health Implication of the 3rd Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing (제3차 저출산·고령사회 기본계획 수립 배경과 구강보건의 의의)

  • Han, Dong Hun
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.468-474
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    • 2016
  • Korean government enacted the 1st Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing in 2005 due to the long-lasting ultra-low birth rate. Based on the Act, Korean government set up a step-by-step strategic goal and establish a basic plan, every five years, to achieve the sustainable development of society corresponding to low fertility and aging society. Over the past decade, the 1st Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing (2006-2010) and the 2nd Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing (2011-2015) was executed. This year, based on the achievements and limitations of the 1st and 2nd Basic Plan, the 3rd Basic Plan for Low Fertility and Population Ageing begins. In this manuscript, I discuss the background of the 3rd Basic Plan and its significance in oral health area.

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The Factors Affecting the Fertility Intention in General-hospital Nurses Based on the Theory of Planned Behavior (계획적 행위이론을 적용한 종합병원 간호사의 출산의도 관련요인)

  • Han, Kyoung-Mie;Jung, Hye-Sun
    • Korean Journal of Occupational Health Nursing
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.41-49
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: This study is a descriptive survey research on factors related to fertility intention of nurses who work in general hospitals, by applying the Theory of Planned Behavior(TPB). Method: The research subjects are 674 nurses at the peak fertility age of 20-39 years old, who work in 4 general hospitals located in Seoul and Gyeonggi province. Result: The mean score of subjects' fertility intention is 3.69 in 5-point scale. The fertility intention was significantly influenced by perceived behavioral control and subjective norm. Conclusion: The results of the study showed that the fertility intention of the nurses in general hospitals was influenced by the TPB variables such as the attitude, perceived behavioral control, and subjective norm. Thus, a comprehensive approach strategy is needed considering these factors.