• Title/Summary/Keyword: failure scenarios

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Enhancing Network Service Survivability in Large-Scale Failure Scenarios

  • Izaddoost, Alireza;Heydari, Shahram Shah
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.534-547
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    • 2014
  • Large-scale failures resulting from natural disasters or intentional attacks are now causing serious concerns for communication network infrastructure, as the impact of large-scale network connection disruptions may cause significant costs for service providers and subscribers. In this paper, we propose a new framework for the analysis and prevention of network service disruptions in large-scale failure scenarios. We build dynamic deterministic and probabilistic models to capture the impact of regional failures as they evolve with time. A probabilistic failure model is proposed based on wave energy behaviour. Then, we develop a novel approach for preventive protection of the network in such probabilistic large-scale failure scenarios. We show that our method significantly improves uninterrupted delivery of data in the network and reduces service disruption times in large-scale regional failure scenarios.

Dynamic Response based System Reliability Analysis of Structure with Passive Damper - Part 2: Assessment of System Failure Probability (수동형 댐퍼를 장착한 구조물의 동적응답기반 신뢰성 해석 - 제2편: 시스템 파괴확률 산정)

  • Kim, Seung-Min;Ok, Seung-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2016
  • This study proposes a multi-scale dynamic system reliability analysis of control system as a method of quantitative evaluation of its performance in probabilistic terms. In this second paper, we discuss the control effect of the viscous damper on the seismic performance of the structure-level failure. Since the failure of one structural member does not necessarily cause the collapse of the structural system, we need to consider a set of failure scenarios of the structural system and compute the sum of the failure probabilities of the failure scenarios where the statistical dependence between the failure scenarios should be taken into account. Therefore, this computation requires additional system reliability analysis. As a result, the proposed approach takes a hierarchial framework where the failure probability of a structural member is computed using a lower-scale system reliability with the union set of time-sequential member failures and their statistical dependence, and the failure probability of the structural system is again computed using a higher-scale system reliability with the member failure probabilities obtained by the lower-scale system reliability and their statistical dependence. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed approach can provide an accurate and stable reliability assessment of the control performance of the viscous damper system on the system failure. Also, the parametric study of damper capacity on the seismic performance has been performed to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed approach through the probabilistic assessment of the seismic performance improvement of the damper system.

Dam Failure and Unsteady Flow Analysis through Yeoncheon Dam Case(II) - Unsteady Flow Analysis of Downstream by Failure Scenarios - (연천댐 사례를 통한 댐 파괴 부정류해석 및 하류 영향 검토(II) -시나리오에 따른 댐 하류 부정류 해석 및 범랑특성 연구-)

  • Jang, Suk-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.1295-1305
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    • 2008
  • This study aims at the analyze of unsteady downstream flow due to dam failure along dam failure scenario and applied to Yeoncheon Dam which was collapsed August 1st 1999, using HEC-RAS simulation model. The boundary conditions of this unsteady flow simulation are that dam failure arrival time could be at 02:45 a.m. August 1st 1999 and failure duration time could be also 30 minutes. Downstream 19.5 km from dam site was simulated for unsteady flow analysis in terms of dam failure and non-failure cases. For the parameter calibration, observed data of Jeonkok station were used and roughness coefficient was applied to simulation model. The result of the peak discharge difference was 2,696 to $1,745\;m^3/sec$ along the downstream between dam failure and non-failure and also peak elevation of water level showed meanly 0.6m difference. Those results of these studies show that dam failure scenarios for the unknown failure time and duration were rational because most results were coincident with observed records. And also those results and procedure could suggest how and when dam failure occurs and downstream unsteady flow analyzes.

Dam Failure and Unsteady Flow Analysis through Yeoncheon Dam Case(I) -Analysis of Dam Failure Time and Duration by Failure Scenarios and Unsteady Flow - (연천댐 사례를 통한 댐 파괴 부정류해석 및 하류 영향 검토(I) -댐 파괴 시나리오와 부정류 해석을 통한 지속시간 및 파괴시간 해석-)

  • Jang, Suk-Hwan
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.1281-1293
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    • 2008
  • This study aims at the estimation of dam failure time and dam failure scenario analysis of and applied to Yeoncheon Dam which was collapsed August 1st 1999, using HEC-HMS, DAMBRK-FLDWAV simulation model. As the result of the rainfall-runoff simulation, the lancet flood amount of the Yeoncheon Dam site was $10,324\;m^3/sec$ and the total outflow was $1,263.90\;million\;m^3$. For the dam failure time estimation, 13 scenarios were assumed including dam failure duration time and starting time, which reviewed to the runoff results. The simulation time was established with 30 minutes intervals between one o'clock to 4 o'clock in the morning on August 1, 1999 for the setup standard for each case of the dam failure time estimation, considering the arrival time of the flood, when the actually measured water level was sharply raising at Jeongok station area of the Yeoncheon Dam downstream, As results, dam failure arrival time could be estimated at 02:45 a.m., August 1st 1999 and duration time could be also 30 minutes. Those results and procedure could suggest how and when dam failure occurs and analyzes.

Likelihood Estimation of Release Incidents in Chlorine$(Cl_2)$ Facility (염소$(Cl_2)$시설에 대한 누출사고 가능성 추정)

  • Baek, Jong-Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.98-103
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    • 2007
  • Likelihood analysis was used for the revision of release probability/frequency in chlorine Injection facilities used in chlorine process. Typically these facilities consist of pressure cylinder, vaporizer, pipeline, measuring equipment and safety equipment. This paper described the incident scenarios considered, likelihood analysis procedure and the selection and application of basic events and for failure rates of mechanical components. Human errors were also considered. The major objective of this paper is to estimate the likelihood of each determined incident scenarios. We estimated failure rates of mechanical components based on likelihood analysis procedure. Human errors were also considered. It was estimated to have $5.73{\times}10^{-5}$ $Cl_2$ leak per year during the major $Cl_2$ handling process. The probability of failure in scrubber system was$4.11{\times}10^{-2}$/demand.

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Rebar corrosion effects on structural behavior of buildings

  • Yuksel, Isa
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.54 no.6
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    • pp.1111-1133
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    • 2015
  • Rebar corrosion in concrete is one of the main causes of reduction of service life of reinforced concrete buildings. This paper presents the influence of rebar corrosion on the structural behavior of reinforced concrete (RC) buildings subjected to strong earthquake ground motion. Different levels of rebar corrosion scenarios were applied on a typical four story RC frame. The deteriorated conditions as a result of these scenarios include loss in cross-sectional area and loss of mechanical properties of the reinforcement bars, loss in bond strength, and loss in concrete strength and its modulus of elasticity. Dynamic analyses of the frame with different corrosion scenarios are performed with selected strong earthquake ground motion records. The influences of degradation in both concrete and reinforcement on structural behavior are investigated by comparing the various parameters of the frame under different corrosion scenarios with respect to each other. The results show that the progressive deterioration of the frame due to rebar corrosion causes serious structural behavior changes such as change in failure mode. The intensity, propagation time, and extensity of rebar corrosion have very important effects on the level of degradation of steel and concrete, as well as on the earthquake behavior of the structure.

Likelihood Estimation of Release Incidents in Chlorine$(Cl_2)$ Facility (염소$(Cl_2)$시설에 대한 누출가능성 예측)

  • Lee, Jae-Jun;Kim, Tae-Su;Lee, Dae-Hee;Yoo, Byung-Tae;Baek, Jong-Bae;Ko, Jae-Wook;An, Hyung-Hwan
    • 한국가스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2007.04a
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    • pp.180-185
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    • 2007
  • Likelihood analysis was used for the revision of release probability/frequency in chlorine Injection facilities used in chlorine process. Typically these facilities consist of pressure cylinder, vaporizer, pipeline, measuring equipment and safety equipment. This paper described the incident scenarios considered, likelihood analysis procedure and the selection and application of basic events and for failure rates of mechanical components. Human errors were also considered. The major objective of this paper is to estimate the likelihood of each determined incident scenarios. We estimated failure rates of mechanical components based on likelihood analysis procedure. Human errors were also considered. It was estimated to have $5.73{\times}10^{-5}\;Cl_2$ leak per year during the major $Cl_2$ handling process. The probability of failure in scrubber system was $4.11{\times}10^{-2}/demand$.

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Traffic Accidents Scenarios Based on Autonomous Vehicle Functional Safety Systems (자율주행차량 기능안전 시스템 기반 사고 시나리오 도출)

  • Heesoo Kim;Yongsik You;Hyorim Han;Min-je Cho;Tai-jin Song
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.264-283
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    • 2023
  • Unlike conventional vehicle traffic accidents, autonomous vehicles traffic accidents can be caused by various factors, including technical problems, the environment, and driver interaction. With the future advances in autonomous driving technology, new issues are expected to emerge in addition to the existing accident causes, and various scenario-based approaches are needed to respond to them. This study developed autonomous vehicle traffic accident scenarios by collecting autonomous driving accident reports, CA DMV collision reports, autonomous driving mode disengagement reports, and autonomous driving actual accident videos. The scenarios were derived based on the functional safety system failure modes of ISO 26262 and attempted to reflect the various issues of autonomous driving functions. The autonomous vehicle scenarios derived through this study are expected to play an essential role in preventing and preparing for various autonomous vehicle traffic accidents in the future and improving the safety of autonomous driving technology.

Experimental and analytical study on prestressed concrete hollow slabs with asymmetric boundary conditions

  • Ma, Haiying;Lai, Minghui;Xia, Ye
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.81 no.1
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2022
  • Prestressed prefabricated hollow core concrete slabs with spans of 5 m and 10 m are commonly used since last century and still in service due to the advantage of construction convenience and durability. However, the end slabs are regularly subjected to cracks at the top and fail with brittleness due to the asymmetric boundary conditions. To better maintain such widely used type of hollow core slabs, the effect of asymmetric constraint in the end slabs are systematically studied through detailed nonlinear finite element analyses and experimental data. Experimental tests of slabs with four prestressed tendons and seven prestressed tendons with different boundary conditions were conducted. Results observe three failure modes of the slabs: the bending failure mode, shear and torsion failure mode, and transverse failure mode. Detailed nonlinear finite element models are developed to well match the failure modes and to reveal potential damage scenarios with asymmetric boundary conditions. Recommendations regarding ultimate capacity of the slabs with asymmetric boundary conditions are made to ensure a safe and rational design of prestressed concrete hollow slabs for short span bridges.