• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2004년도 정기학술대회
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• pp.303-311
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• 2004

This paper presents the reliability estimation of door hinge for home appliances, which consists of bushing and shaft. The predominant failure mechanism of bushing made of polyoxymethylene(POM) is brittle fracture due to decrease of strength caused by voids existing, and that of shaft made of acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene(ABS) is creep due to plastic deformation caused by excessive temperature and lowering of glass transition temperature by absorbed moisture. Since the brittle fracture of bushing is overstress failure mechanism, the load-strength interference model is used to estimate the failure rate of it along with failure analysis. By the way, the creep of shaft is wearout failure mechanism, and an accelerated life test is then planned and implemented to estimate its lifetime. Through the technical review about failure mechanism, temperature and humidity are selected as accelerating variables. Assuming Weibull lifetime distribution and Eyring model, the life-stress relationship and acceleration factor, B$_{10}$ life and its lower bound with 90% confidence at worst case use condition are estimated by analyzing the accelerated life test data.a.

• 정보처리학회논문지D
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• 제10D권5호
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• pp.829-836
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• 2003

소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장 모델은 다양하게 연구되어져 있다. 그러나 이러한 모델에서 정확한 모수를 측정하는 것은 그리 쉽지 않다. 특히 고장 데이터에 대하여 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장 모델의 추정이 정확히 이루어져야만 모델을 설명하는 모수의 추정도 정확하게 이루어질 수 있다. 이러한 측면에서 테스팅을 통해서 얻어진 소프트웨어의 고장 데이터의 정규확률점수를 구해서 두 개의 값에 대한 플롯을 그려보고 그려진 결과를 이용해서 분포를 예측하여 예측된 분포에 적합한 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장 모델을 적용한다면 상당히 정확한 테스팅 결과론 얻을 수 있을 것이다. 본 논문에서는 고장 테이터의 플롯을 통한 결과를 통해서 분포를 예측하고 모델을 성능평가 척도에 따라서 모의실험을 하여 그 결과를 통해서 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장 모델의 적합성을 검정하는 연구이다. 연구결과 고장데이터의 정규점수를 이용한 플롯을 보고 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장 모델을 예측할 수 있었고 이러한 예측을 통해서 모델 선정한다면 모델의 성능평가에서도 우수함을 확인할 수 있다.

• 한국공작기계학회논문집
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.30-36
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• 2005

This study is to investigate a damage estimation of single edge notched tensile specimens as a function of acoustic emission(AE) according to the uni-directionally oriented carbon fiber/epoxy composites, CFRP In fiber reinforced composite materials, AE signals due to several types of failure mechanisms are typically observed. These are due to fiber breakage, fiber pull-out matrix cracking, delamination, and splitting or fiber bundle breaking. And these are usually discriminated on the basis of amplitude distribution, event counts, and energy related parameters. In this case, AE signals were analyzed and classified 3 regions by AE event counts, energy and amplitude for corresponding applied load. Bath-tub curve shows 3 distinct periods during the lifetime of a single-edge-notch(SEN) specimen. The characterization of AE generated from CFRP during SEN tensile test is becoming an useful tool f3r the prediction of damage failure or/and failure mode analysis.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제75권6호
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• pp.771-784
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• 2020

Reliability analysis techniques combining with various surrogate models have attracted increasing attention because of their accuracy and great efficiency. However, they primarily focus on the structures with continuous response, while very rare researches on the reliability analysis for structures with discontinuous response are carried out. Furthermore, existing adaptive reliability analysis methods based on importance sampling (IS) still have some intractable defects when dealing with small failure probability, and there is no related research on reliability analysis for structures involving discontinuous response and small failure probability. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel reliability analysis method called AGPC-IS for such structures, which combines adaptive Gaussian process classification (GPC) and adaptive-kernel-density-estimation-based IS. In AGPC-IS, an efficient adaptive strategy for design of experiments (DoE), taking into consideration the classification uncertainty, the sampling uniformity and the regional classification accuracy improvement, is developed with the purpose of improving the accuracy of Gaussian process classifier. The adaptive kernel density estimation is introduced for constructing the quasi-optimal density function of IS. In addition, a novel and more precise stopping criterion is also developed from the perspective of the stability of failure probability estimation. The efficiency, superiority and practicability of AGPC-IS are verified by three examples.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제49권1호
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• pp.245-253
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• 2017

The relative displacement of a piping system installed between isolated and nonisolated structures in a severe earthquake might be larger when without a seismic isolation system. As a result of the relative displacement, the seismic risks of some components in the building could increase. The possibility of an increase in seismic risks is especially high in the crossover piping system in the buildings. Previous studies found that an elbow which could be ruptured by low-cycle ratcheting fatigue is one of the weakest elements. Fatigue curves for elbows were suggested based on component tests. However, it is hard to find a quantitative evaluation of the ultimate state of piping elbows. Generally, the energy dissipation of a solid structure can be calculated from the relation between displacement and force. Therefore, in this study, the ultimate state of the pipe elbow, normally considered as failure of the pipe elbow, is defined as leakage under in-plane cyclic loading tests, and a failure estimation method is proposed using a damage index based on energy dissipation.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.55-69
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• 2009

A quasi ideal importance sampling simulation method combined in the conditional expectation is proposed for the structural reliability estimation. The quasi ideal importance sampling joint probability density function (p.d.f.) is so composed on the basis of the ideal importance sampling concept as to be proportional to the conditional failure probability multiplied by the p.d.f. of the sampling variables. The respective marginal p.d.f.s of the ideal importance sampling joint p.d.f. are determined numerically by the simulations and partly by the piecewise integrations. The quasi ideal importance sampling simulations combined in the conditional expectation are executed to estimate the failure probabilities of structures with multiple failure surfaces and it is shown that the proposed method gives accurate estimations efficiently.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.813-818
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• 2010

The least squares estimation method for model parameters under failure step-stress accelerated life tests is studied and a numerical example will be given to illustrate the proposed inferential procedures under the compound linear plans proposed as an alternative to the optimal quadratic plan, assuming that the exponential distribution with a quadratic relationship between stress and log-mean lifetime. The proposed compound linear plan for constant stress accelerated life tests and 4:2:1 plan are compared for various situations. Even though the compound linear plan was proposed under constant stress accelerated life tests, we found that this plan did well relatively in failure step-stress accelerated life tests.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.61-77
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• 2011

One of the most important problems in the estimation of the parameter of the failure model, is the cost of experimental sampling units, which can be reduced by using any prior information available about ${\theta}$, and devising a two-stage pooling shrunken estimation procedure. We have proposed an estimator of the reliability function (R(t)) of the exponential model using two-stage time censored data when a prior value about the unknown parameter (${\theta}$) is available from the past. To compare the performance of the proposed estimator with the classical estimator, computer intensive calculations for bias, mean squared error, relative efficiency, expected sample size and percentage of the overall sample size saved expressions, were done for varying the constants involved in the proposed estimator (${\tilde{R}}$(t)).

• 비파괴검사학회지
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• 제21권6호
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• pp.618-629
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• 2001

본 논문은 고압 커패시터의 고장분석과 신뢰성 예측 결과를 다루고 있다. 부품의 수명과 고장률을 예측하기 위해서 두 가지 방법으로 고장 모드와 고장 메커니즘을 연구하였다 에폭시 수지로 성형된 고압 커패시터가 절연내압 시험 하에서 저항이 제로로 되는 고장에 대하여, 근본원인 고장분석 체계를 효과적으로 수립함으로써 고장 메커니즘의 원인을 분석하였다. 특히 세라믹-에폭시 계면에서의 절연파괴 고장 현상이 강조되었으며, 본 연구에서 얻어진 결과의 타당성은 마그네트론에 장착된 고압 커패시터의 열사이클 시험 수행에 의한 가속시험 결과로부터 입증되었다. 시험 결과들은 결함이 있는 로트를 신속히 규명하고 $B_{10}$ 수명을 결정하는데 유용하게 사용할 수 있다. 또한, 유전체의 절연파괴에 대해서 부하-강도 간섭모델을 이용하여 고장률을 예측하였다.

• 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지반공학회 1997년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.73-80
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• 1997