• 제목/요약/키워드: exposure probability

검색결과 167건 처리시간 0.023초

AN INTEGRATED APPROACH TO RISK-BASED POST-CLOSURE SAFETY EVALUATION OF COMPLEX RADIATION EXPOSURE SITUATIONS IN RADIOACTIVE WASTE DISPOSAL

  • Seo, Eun-Jin;Jeong, Chan-Woo;Sato, Seichi
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.6-11
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    • 2010
  • Embodying the safety of radioactive waste disposal requires the relevant safety criteria and the corresponding stylized methods to demonstrate its compliance with the criteria. This paper proposes a conceptual model of risk-based safety evaluation for integrating complex potential radiation exposure situations in radioactive waste disposal. For demonstrating compliance with a risk constraint, the approach deals with important exposure scenarios from the viewpoint of the receptor to estimate the resulting risk. For respective exposure situations, it considers the occurrence probabilities of the relevant exposure scenarios as their probability of giving rise to doses to estimate the total risk to a representative person by aggregating the respective risks. In this model, an exposure scenario is simply constructed with three components:radionuclide release, radionuclide migration and environment contamination, and interaction between the contaminated media and the receptor. A set of exposure scenarios and the representative person are established from reasonable combinations of the components, based on a balance of their occurrence probabilities and the consequences. In addition, the probability of an exposure scenario is estimated on the assumption that the initiating external factors influence release mechanisms and transport pathways, and its effect on the interaction between the environment and the receptor may be covered in terms of the representative person. This integrated approach enables a systematic risk assessment for complex exposure situations of radioactive waste disposal and facilitates the evaluation of compliance with risk constraints.

건설업 직종별 노출 가능 유해인자 및 노출강도에 관한 평가 (Evaluation on Probability and Intensity of Hazards Exposure by Construction Occupations)

  • 박현희;김세동
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.317-331
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    • 2023
  • Objectives: Construction workers are exposed to various hazardous substances simultaneously. However, little is known about the exposure hazards in construction industry. This study was aimed at identifying the risk of exposure hazards among construction workers. Methods: The expert survey (n=29) was conducted, including construction industry health managers (n=11) and work environment monitoring experts (n=18), on exposure probability, intensity and risk of hazardous substances by construction occupations Results: The exposure hazards of 30 construction occupations were identified and summarized through a literature review and expert survey. The most prevalent hazards were in order of noise, awkward posture, heat/cold, crystalline silica, cement/concrete dust, metal fumes, and volatile organic compounds. The hazards with highest risk score(over seven points) at construction occupations were noise(formwork carpenter, concrete finisher, rebar worker, demolition worker, driller/rock blaster), hazardous rays(welder), heat/cold (earthworks, formwork carpenter, rebar worker, concrete placer, scaffolder), awkward posture(bricklayer, caulker/tile setter, rebar worker) and heavy lifting(bricklayer, rebar worker). Among construction workers, the job types with the highest risk of exposure to carcinogens, and in which occupational cancer has been reported, were in order of stonemason, concrete finisher, rock blaster, welder, insulation installer, painter, scaffolder, plant worker and earthworks in order Conclusions: Systematic research and discussion on occupational disease among construction workers and its various hazardous factors are needed to establish job exposure matrix for facilitating standard for promptly processing the workers' compensation.

확률론적 모의실험 기법을 이용한 일부 지하철 근무자들의 이산화질소 개인노출 시나리오 분석 (Scenario Analysis of Personal Nitrogen Dioxide Exposure with Monte Carlo Simulation on Subway Station Workers in Seoul)

  • 손부순;장봉기;양원호
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.195-200
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    • 2001
  • The personal exposures of nitrogen dioxide(NO$_2$), microenvironmental levels and daily time activity patterns on Seoul subway station workers were measured from February 10 to March 12, 1999. Personal NO$_2$exposure for 24 hours were 29.40$\pm$9.75 ppb. NO$_2$level of occupational environment were 27.87$\pm$7.15 ppb in office, 33.60$\pm$8.64 ppb in platform and 50.13$\pm$13.04 ppb in outdoor. Personal exposure time of subway station workers was constituted as survey results with $7.94\pm$3.00 hours in office, $2.82\pm$1.63 hours in platform and 1 hours in outdoor. With above results, personal $NO_2$exposure distributions on subway station workers in Seoul were estimated with Monte Carlo simulation which uses statistical probabilistic theory on various exposure scenario testing. Some of distributions which did not have any formal patterns were assumed as custom distribution type. Estimated personal occupational $NO_2$exposure using time weighted average (TWA) model was 31.$29\pm$5.57 ppb, which were under Annual Ambient Standard (50ppb) of Korea. Though arithmetic means of measured personal $NO_2$exposure was lower than that of occupational $NO_2$exposure estimated by TWA model, considering probability distribution type simulated, probability distribution of measured personal $NO_2$exposures for 24 hours was over ambient standard with 3.23%, which was higher than those of occupational exposure(0.02%). Further research is needed for reducing these 24 hour $NO_2$personal excess exposures besides occupational exposure on subway station workers in Seoul.

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Effect of Boundary Conditions of Failure Pressure Models on Reliability Estimation of Buried Pipelines

  • Lee, Ouk-Sub;Pyun, Jang-Sik;Kim, Dong-Hyeok
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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    • 제4권6호
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    • pp.12-19
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the effect of boundary conditions in various failure pressure models published for the estimation of failure pressure. Furthermore, this approach is extended to the failure prediction with the aid of a failure probability model. The first order Taylor series expansion of the limit state function is used in order to estimate the probability of failure associated with each corrosion defect in buried pipelines for long exposure period with unit of years. A failure probability model based on the von-Mises failure criterion is adapted. The log-normal and standard normal probability functions for varying random variables are adapted. The effects of random variables such as defect depth, pipe diameter, defect length, fluid pressure, corrosion rate, material yield stress, material ultimate tensile strength and pipe thickness on the failure probability of the buried pipelines are systematically investigated for the corrosion pipeline by using an adapted failure probability model and varying failure pressure model.

파손압력모델의 경계조건을 이용한 매설배관의 파손확률 평가 (Estimation of Failure Probability Using Boundary Conditions of Failure Pressure Model for Buried Pipelines)

  • 이억섭;김의상;김동혁
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.310-315
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    • 2003
  • This paper presents the effect of boundary condition of failure pressure model for buried pipelines on failure prediction by using a failure probability model. The first order Taylor series expansion of the limit state function is used in order to estimate the probability of failure associated with various corrosion defects for long exposure periods in years. A failure pressure model based on a failure function composed of failure pressure and operation pressure is adopted for the assessment of pipeline failure. The effects of random variables such as defect depth, pipe diameter, defect length, fluid pressure, corrosion rate, material yield stress, material ultimate tensile strength and pipe thickness on the failure probability of the buried pipelines are systematically studied by using a failure probability model for the corrosion pipeline.

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납의 다경로 노출에 의한 건강위해성평가 : 우리 나라 일부 지역 성인들을 대상으로 (Health Risk Assessment of Lead Exposure through Multi-pathways in Korea)

  • 정용;황만식;양지연;조성준
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.203-216
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    • 1999
  • This paper describes a set of multi-pathway models for estimating health risk to lead. The models link concentrations of an environmental contaminant (lead) in air, water and food to human exposure through inhalation, ingestion, and dietary routes. Exposure is used as the foundation for predicting risk of health detriment within the population. The process of estimating exposure using often limited data and extrapolating to a large diverse population requires many assumption, inferences, and simplification. This paper is divided into four section. The first section provides lead contaminant levels on obtaining environmental concentration of air, tap water, and foods. The second section provides a discussion of exposure parameters and uncertainty associated predicting human health risk of contaminants. The third and fourth section illustrate lifetime average daily exposure (LADE) and excess cancer risk (ECR) based on exposure parameters. The relationship between concentration of lead in an environmental medium and human exposure is determined with pathway exposure factors (PEFs). The calculation of LADE and ECR is carried out using Monte-Carlo simulation with probability density function of exposure parameters. Examination of the result reveals that, for lead exposure, ingestion (food) is the dominant route of exposure rather than inhalation (air), and ingestion (tap eater).

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국내 잔류농약 residue definition과 관련된 식이노출의 과소평가 (Underestimation of Dietary Exposure to Pesticide Residues in Relation to Residue Definition in South Korea)

  • 이미경
    • 한국식품위생안전성학회지
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    • 제35권5호
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    • pp.452-458
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 식물성 식품에 대한 잔류농약의 국내와 코덱스의 residue definition 비교를 통해 국내에서 식이노출 과소평가의 가능성이 있는 농약성분을 파악하고 더 나아가 식이노출 과소평가가 위해성 평가에 미치는 영향에 대해 우선적으로 검토가 필요한 농약성분을 알아내고자 하였다. 연구결과, 국내와 코덱스의 residue definition 정보로부터 식이노출 과소평가의 가능성이 있는 44종의 농약성분이 파악되었다. 이들 성분 중 농약성분의 ADI값, 국내 MRL 정보 및 대사물질의 독성학적 정보에 근거하여 다음의 24종 농약성분이 식이노출 과소평가가 위해성 평가에 미치는 영향에 대해 우선적으로 검토가 필요한 것으로 나타났다: acibensolar-S-methyl, chlorfenapyr, chlorothalonil, cyantraniliprole, cyclaniliprole, cyflumetofen, dithiocarbamates, fenamidone, fenpyroximate, fluazifop-P-butyl, fluopicolide, flupyradifuron, fluxapyroxad, glyphosate, hexythiazox, isoprothiolane, isopyrazam, myclobutanil, penthiopyrad, propiconazole, spinetoram, spiromesifen, spirotetramat, trifloxystrobin. 더 나아가 chlorfenapyr, chlorothalonil, dithiocarbamates, fenamidone은 대사물질의 독성이 더 커서 특히 우선적으로 검토가 요구되는 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 식품 중 잔류농약에 대한 국내 위해성 평가방법의 개선을 위해 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

C 대학병원의 개인선량계 판독과 영향 (Reading and Influence of Personal Dose Meter in University Hospital C)

  • 이주아
    • 한국방사선학회논문지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.357-363
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구 목적은 방사선관계종사자와 방사선작업종사자들의 직종별 방사선 피폭선량을 분석하여 폐 부작용 유발확률을 연구하는 데에 있다. 즉, 피폭관리 실태를 점검함으로써 방사선종사자들의 직업상 피폭에 대한 안전 점검 의식을 향상시키고 방사선안전관리에 도움을 주고자 한다. 방사선관계종사자와 방사선작업종사자 각각 3개의 직종별 (방사선사, 의사, 간호사)로 분류하였다. 피폭선량으로 인한 폐의 부작용 유발확률을 산출하기 위하여 ICRP103에 근거한 명목위험계수(Nominal risk factor)를 활용하였다. 방사선관계종사자의 1년간 심부선량은 방사선사 1.63 ± 2.84 mSv, 의사는 0.12 ± 0.22 mSv, 간호사는 0.59 ± 1.08 mSv로 나타났다. 이로 인하여, 폐의 부작용 유발 확률은 방사선사는 100,000당 1.1명, 의사는 10.082명, 간호사는 0.4명으로 나타났다. 방사선작업종사자의 1년간 심부선량은 방사선사 2.44 ± 3.30 mSv, 의사의 경우 0.19 ± 0.26 mSv, 간호사의 경우 0.12 ± 0.00 mSv이었다. 이 선량으로 인하여, 폐의 부작용 유발 확률은 방사선사는 100,000당 1.2명, 의사는 0.096명, 간호사는 0.06명으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 방사선 피폭선량의 직종별 폐에 부작용이 발생할 확률을 연구하여 향후 확률적 영향과 관련하여 방사선 안전관리를 위하여 유용한 자료로 활용될 것으로 사료된다.

지하수 중 자연방사성물질의 위해성 관리에 대한 고찰 (International Trends in Risk Management of Groundwater Radionuclides)

  • 신동천;김예신;문지영;박화성;김진용;박선구
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.273-284
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    • 2002
  • At present, the health risks associated with the natural radionuclides of ground water have become a concern as potential social problems. However, there are no regulatory actions or control strategies for such risks. Therefore, we have investigated and discussed the risks and associated management strategies for radionuclides in other countries. US EPA has proposed MCL (300 pCi/L) and AMCL (4,000 pCi/L) for radon, and 30 ppb for uranium, 15 pCi/L for gross-alpha and 5 pCi/L for radium as final MCLs. Also, Canada, WHO and European countries have their inherent management levels. Finally, we suggested several criteria for setting guidelines in our countries including exposure related criteria such as geological distribution, occurrence, exposure probability distribution, exposure population and multimedia exposure assessment, acceptable risk, and cost -benefit analysis. The national-scale exposure and risk assessment, and economic analysis should be conducted for producing and aggregating the representative information on these criteria.

Non-chemical Risk Assessment for Lifting and Low Back Pain Based on Bayesian Threshold Models

  • Pandalai, Sudha P.;Wheeler, Matthew W.;Lu, Ming-Lun
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.206-211
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    • 2017
  • Background: Self-reported low back pain (LBP) has been evaluated in relation to material handling lifting tasks, but little research has focused on relating quantifiable stressors to LBP at the individual level. The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) Composite Lifting Index (CLI) has been used to quantify stressors for lifting tasks. A chemical exposure can be readily used as an exposure metric or stressor for chemical risk assessment (RA). Defining and quantifying lifting nonchemical stressors and related adverse responses is more difficult. Stressor-response models appropriate for CLI and LBP associations do not easily fit in common chemical RA modeling techniques (e.g., Benchmark Dose methods), so different approaches were tried. Methods: This work used prospective data from 138 manufacturing workers to consider the linkage of the occupational stressor of material lifting to LBP. The final model used a Bayesian random threshold approach to estimate the probability of an increase in LBP as a threshold step function. Results: Using maximal and mean CLI values, a significant increase in the probability of LBP for values above 1.5 was found. Conclusion: A risk of LBP associated with CLI values > 1.5 existed in this worker population. The relevance for other populations requires further study.