• Title/Summary/Keyword: exponential lifetime distribution

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Estimations of Parameters in Multi-component Series Systems Using Masked Data

  • Sarhan Ammar M.;Abouammoh A.M.;Al-Ameri Mansour
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2006
  • The exact cause of the system's failure is often unknown in the masked system lifetime data. In such type of data, there are two observable quantities, namely (i) the systems time to failure and (ii) the set of systems components that contains the component, which might cause the system to fail. Our objective in this paper is to use the maximum likelihood procedure in the presence of masked data to make inference for the reliability of the system's components. We assume a multi-component series system where each component has a constant failure rate. Different cases that permit for closed form solutions of point estimates are considered. The results obtained in this paper generalize other published results.

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Optimal three step-stress accelerated life tests for Type-I hybrid censored data

  • Moon, Gyoung Ae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.271-280
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, the maximum likelihood estimators for parameters are derived under three step-stress accelerated life tests for Type-I hybrid censored data. The exponential distribution and the cumulative exposure model are considered based on the assumption that a log quadratic relationship exits between stress and the mean lifetime ${\theta}$. The test plan to search optimal stress change times minimizing the asymptotic variance of maximum likelihood estimators are presented. A numerical example to illustrate the proposed inferential procedures and some simulation results to investigate the sensitivity of the optimal stress change times by the guessed parameters are given.

Partially Parametric Estimation of Lifetime Distribution from a Record of Failures and Follow-Ups

  • Yoon, Byoung Chang
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.59-78
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    • 1994
  • In some observational studies, we have often random censoring model. However, the data available may be partially observable censored data consisting of the observed failure times and only those nonfailure times which are subject to follow up. In this paper, we present an extension of the problem of partially parametric estimation of the survival function to such partially observable censored data. The proposed estimator treats the observed failure times nonparametrically and uses a parametric model only for those nonfailure times which are subject to follow-up. We discuss the motivation and construction of the proposed estimator and investigate the limiting properties of the proposed estimator such as asymptotic normality. Also, when the assumed parametric model is exponential, the asymptotic variance of the estimator is obtained. Furthermore, an example is given to compare the proposed estimator with the modified Kaplan Meier(MKM) estimator. From the results, it is shown that the relative efficiency of the proposed estimator is higher than that of the MKM estimator in the follow-up study with increasing time.

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THE SOJOURN TIME AND RELATED CHARACTERISTICS OF THE AGE-DEPENDENT BRANCHING PROCESS

  • Kumar, B.-Krishba;Vijayakumar, A.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.14 no.1_2
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    • pp.157-172
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    • 2004
  • An age-dependent branching process where disasters occur as a renewal process leading to annihilation or survival of all the cells, is considered. For such a process, the total mean sojourn time of all the cells in the system is analysed using the regeneration point technique. The mean number of cells which die in time t and its asymptotic behaviour are discussed. When the disasters arrival as a Poisson process and the lifetime of the cells follows exponential distribution, elegant inter- relationships are found among the means of (i) the total number of cells which die in time t (ii) the total sojourn time of all cells in the system upto time t and (iii) the number of living cells at time t. Some of the existing results are deduced as special cases for related processes.

Redundancy optimization to meet two reliability requirements (두 가지의 신뢰도 요구조건을 만족하기 위한 직렬 시스템의 최적 중복 구조 설계)

  • Park, Jun-Seo;Kim, Jae-Hoon;Choi, Sung-Kyou;Kim, Jong-Woon
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2006.11b
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    • pp.1198-1202
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    • 2006
  • MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure)와 MTBSF(Mean Time Between Service Failure) are two representative quantitative reliability requirements for railway systems. There are the case that both of the two requirements are presented and the case that only one of them is presented in the specification of railway systems. we deal with the redundancy allocation problem to meet the two reliability requirements. The redundancy increases MTBSF while it decreases MTBF. Parallel redundancy and the exponential lifetime distribution of components are considered for the series systems. Mathematical model and example are presented for the redundancy optimization problem of minimizing the cost subjecting to MTBF and MTBSF requirements.

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A class of accelerated sequential procedures with applications to estimation problems for some distributions useful in reliability theory

  • Joshi, Neeraj;Bapat, Sudeep R.;Shukla, Ashish Kumar
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.563-582
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    • 2021
  • This paper deals with developing a general class of accelerated sequential procedures and obtaining the associated second-order approximations for the expected sample size and 'regret' (difference between the risks of the proposed accelerated sequential procedure and the optimum fixed sample size procedure) function. We establish that the estimation problems based on various lifetime distributions can be tackled with the help of the proposed class of accelerated sequential procedures. Extensive simulation analysis is presented in support of the accuracy of our proposed methodology using the Pareto distribution and a real data set on carbon fibers is also analyzed to demonstrate the practical utility. We also provide the brief details of some other inferential problems which can be seen as the applications of the proposed class of accelerated sequential procedures.

Simplified Method for Estimation of Mean Residual Life of Rubble-mound Breakwaters (경사제의 평균 잔류수명 추정을 위한 간편법)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2022
  • A simplified model using the lifetime distribution has been presented to estimate the Mean Residual Life (MRL) of rubble-mound breakwaters, which is not like a stochastic process model based on time-dependent history data to the cumulative damage progress of rubble-mound breakwaters. The parameters involved in the lifetime distribution can be easily estimated by using the upper and lower limits of lifetime and their likelihood that made a judgement by several experts taking account of the initial design lifetime, the past sequences of loads, and others. The simplified model presented in this paper has been applied to the rubble-mound breakwater with TTP armor layer. Wiener Process (WP)-based stochastic model also has been applied together with Monte-Carlo Simulation (MCS) technique to the breakwater of the same condition having time-dependent cumulative damage to TTP armor layer. From the comparison of lifetime distribution obtained from each models including Mean Time To Failure (MTTF), it has found that the lifetime distributions of rubble-mound breakwater can be very satisfactorily fitted by log-normal distribution for all types of cumulative damage progresses, such as exponential, linear, and logarithmic deterioration which are feasible in the real situations. Finally, the MRL of rubble-mound breakwaters estimated by the simplified model presented in this paper have been compared with those by WP stochastic process. It can be shown that results of the presented simplified model have been identical with those of WP stochastic process until any ages in the range of MTT F regardless of the deterioration types. However, a little of differences have been seen at the ages in the neighborhood of MTTF, specially, for the linear and logarithmic deterioration of cumulative damages. For the accurate estimation of MRL of harbor structures, it may be desirable that the stochastic processes should be used to consider properly time-dependent uncertainties of damage deterioration. Nevertheless, the simplified model presented in this paper can be useful in the building of the MRL-based preventive maintenance planning for several kinds of harbor structures, because of which is not needed time-dependent history data about the damage deterioration of structures as mentioned above.

A Study on the Rectifying Inspection Plan & Life Test Sampling Plan Considering Cost (소비자 보호를 위한 선별형 샘플링 검사와 신뢰성 샘플링 검사의 최적설계에 관한 연구)

  • 강보철;조재립
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.74-96
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    • 2002
  • The objectives of this study is to suggest the rectifying sampling inspection plan considering quality cost. Limiting quality level(LQL) plans(also called LTPD plans) and outgoing quality(OQ) plans are considered. The Hald's linear cost model is discussed with and without a beta prior for the distribution of the fraction of nonconforming items in a lot. It is assumed that the sampling inspection is error free. We consider the design of reliability acceptance sampling plan (RASP) for failure rate level qualification at selected confidence level. The lifetime distribution of products is assumed to be exponential. MIL-STD-690C and K C 6032 standards provide this procedures. But these procedures have some questions to apply in the field. The cost of test and confidence level(1-$\beta$ risk) are the problem between supplier and user. So, we suggest that the optimal life test sampling inspection plans using simple linear cost model considering product cost, capability of environment chamber, environmental test cost, and etc. Especially, we consider a reliability of lots that contain some nonconforming items. In this case we assumed that a nonconforming item fail after environmental life test. Finally, we develope the algorithm of the optimal sampling inspection plan based on minimum costs for rectifying inspection and RASP. And computer application programs are developed So, it is shown how the desired sampling plan can be easily found.

A Study on the Reliability Performance Evaluation of Software Reliability Model Using Modified Intensity Function (변형된 강도함수를 적용한 소프트웨어 신뢰모형의 신뢰성능 비교 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul;Moon, Song Chul
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we was compared the reliability performance of the software reliability model, which applied the Goel-Okumoto model developed using the exponential distribution, to the logarithmic function modifying the intensity function and the Rayleigh form. As a result, the log-type model is relatively smaller in the mean squared error compared to the Rayleigh model and the Goel-Okumoto model. The logarithmic model is more efficient because of the determination coefficient is relatively higher than the Goel-Okumoto model. The estimated determination coefficient of the proposed model was estimated to be more than 80% which is a useful model in the field of software reliability. Reliability has been shown to be relatively higher in the log-type model than the Rayleigh model and the Goel-Okumoto model as the mission time has elapsed. Through this study, software designer and users can identify the software failure characteristics using mean square error, decision coefficient. The confidence interval can be used as a basic guideline when applying the intensity function that reflects the characteristics of the lifetime distribution.

Analysis of generalized progressive hybrid censored competing risks data

  • Lee, Kyeong-Jun;Lee, Jae-Ik;Park, Chan-Keun
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.131-137
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    • 2016
  • In reliability analysis, it is quite common for the failure of any individual or item to be attributable to more than one cause. Moreover, observed data are often censored. Recently, progressive hybrid censoring schemes have become quite popular in life-testing problems and reliability analysis. However, a limitation of the progressive hybrid censoring scheme is that it cannot be applied when few failures occur before time T. Therefore, generalized progressive hybrid censoring schemes have been introduced. In this article, we derive the likelihood inference of the unknown parameters under the assumptions that the lifetime distributions of different causes are independent and exponentially distributed. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimators of the unknown parameters in exact forms. Asymptotic confidence intervals are also proposed. Bayes estimates and credible intervals of the unknown parameters are obtained under the assumption of gamma priors on the unknown parameters. Different methods are compared using Monte Carlo simulations. One real data set is analyzed for illustrative purposes.