• 제목/요약/키워드: exponential failure model

검색결과 115건 처리시간 0.023초

Reliabilty of a System with Standbys and Spares

  • Park, Kyung-Soo
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 1977
  • This paper investigates the reliability characteristics of a system consisting of a unit operating on-line and backed by n spares among which m units are kept "warm" as standbys ready to go on-line. The on-line unit has an arbitrary lifetime distribution, while the warm standbys have exponential failure time distributions. The Failed units are repaired and brought back to service. The cold spares do not fail while in storage. Solution of this extremely complicated queuing problem using a "renewal counting" approach is presented and extended to the situation where the warming-up takes non-negligible time. Finally, an approach to the economic system management is discussed, considering the long-run availability, cost of keeping spares and repair facility, and the associated cost of restarting the system, after a system failure. The model presented in this paper will have many applications including the determination of the spares inventory and the number of field spares to be "carried".

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체계수명시험에서 얻어진 부품의 수명자료를 이용한 Freund 모형의 추정 (Estimation of Freund Model for System Level Life Testing Using Component Life Data)

  • 홍연웅
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 1998
  • Consider a life testing experiment in which multiple two-component shared parallel systems are put on test, and the test is terminated at a specified number of system failures. The bivariate data obtained from such a system-level life testing can be classified into three classes: 1) the case of failed two components with known failure times, 2) the case of censored two components, and 3) the case of one censored component and the other failed component of which the failure time might be known or unknown. Under this censoring scheme and the assumption of Freund's bivariate exponential life distribution, the maximum likelihood estimators are obtained. Results of comparative studies based on Monte Carlo simulation are presented.

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두 가지의 신뢰도 요구조건을 만족하기 위한 직렬 시스템의 최적 중복 구조 설계 (Redundancy optimization to meet two reliability requirements)

  • 박준서;김재훈;최성규;김종운
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1198-1202
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    • 2006
  • MTBF(Mean Time Between Failure)와 MTBSF(Mean Time Between Service Failure) are two representative quantitative reliability requirements for railway systems. There are the case that both of the two requirements are presented and the case that only one of them is presented in the specification of railway systems. we deal with the redundancy allocation problem to meet the two reliability requirements. The redundancy increases MTBSF while it decreases MTBF. Parallel redundancy and the exponential lifetime distribution of components are considered for the series systems. Mathematical model and example are presented for the redundancy optimization problem of minimizing the cost subjecting to MTBF and MTBSF requirements.

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Experimental Study on Interfacial Behavior of CFRP-bonded Concrete

  • Chu, In-Yeop;Woo, Sang-Kyun;Lee, Yun
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2015
  • Recently, the external bonding of carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) sheets has come to be regarded as a very effective method for strengthening of reinforced concrete structures. The behavior of CFRP-strengthened RC structure is mainly governed by the interfacial behavior, which represents the stress transfer and relative slip between concrete and the CFRP sheet. In this study, the effects of bonded length, width and concrete strength on the interfacial behavior are verified and a bond-slip model is proposed. The proposed bond-slip model has nonlinear ascending regions and exponential descending regions, facilitated by modifying the conventional bilinear bond-slip model. Finite element analysis results of interface element implemented with bond-slip model have shown good agreement with the experimental results performed in this study. It is found that the failure load and strain distribution predicted by finite element analysis with the proposed bond-slip are in good agreement with results of experiments.

로지스틱 테스트 노력함수를 이용한 소프트웨어의 최적인도시기 결정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Optimal Release Time Decision of a Developed Software by using Logistic Testing Effort Function)

  • 최규식;김용경
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a software-reliability growth model incoporating the amount of testing effort expended during the software testing phase after developing it. The time-dependent behavior of testing effort expenditures is described by a Logistic curve. Assuming that the error detection rate to the amount of testing effort spent during the testing phase is proportional to the current error content, a software-reliability growth model is formulated by a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. Using this model the method of data analysis for software reliability measurement is developed. After defining a software reliability, This paper discusses the relations between testing time and reliability and between duration following failure fixing and reliability are studied. SRGM in several literatures has used the exponential curve, Railleigh curve or Weibull curve as an amount of testing effort during software testing phase. However, it might not be appropriate to represent the consumption curve for testing effort by one of already proposed curves in some software development environments. Therefore, this paper shows that a logistic testing-effort function can be adequately expressed as a software development/testing effort curve and that it gives a good predictive capability based on real failure data.

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Breakdown Characteristics and Lifetime Estimation of Rubber Insulating Gloves Using Statistical Models

  • Kim, Doo Hyun;Kang, Dong Kyu
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.36-42
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    • 2002
  • This paper is aimed at predicting the life of rubber insulating gloves under normal operating stresses from relatively rapid test performed at higher stresses. Specimens of rubber insulating gloves are subject to multiple stress conditions, i.e. combined electrical and thermal stresses. Two modes of electrical stress, step voltage stress and constant voltage stress are used in specimen aging. There are two types of test for electrical stress in this experiment: the one is Breakdown Voltage (BDV) test under step voltage stress and thermal stress and the other is lifetime test under constant voltage stress and temperature stress. The ac breakdown voltage defined as the break-down point of insulation that leakage current excesses a limit value, l0mA in this experiment, is determined. Because the very high variability of aging data requires the application of statistical model, Weibull distribution is used to represent the failure times as the straight line on Weibull probability paper. Weibull parameters are deter-mined by three statistical methods i.e. maximum likelihood method, graphical method and least squares method, which employ SAS package, Weibull probability paper and FORTRAN, respectively. Two chosen models for predicting the life under simultaneous electrical and thermal stresses are inverse power model and exponential model. And the constants of life equation for multistress aging are calculated using numerical method, such as Gauss Jordan method etc.. The completion of life equation enables to estimate the life at normal stress based on the data collected from accelerated aging test. Also the comparison of the calculated lifetimes between the inverse power model and the exponential model is carried out. And the lifetimes calculated by three statistical methods with lower voltage than test voltage are compared. The results obtained from the suggested experimental method are presented and discussed.

변형된 강도함수를 적용한 소프트웨어 신뢰모형의 신뢰성능 비교 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Performance Evaluation of Software Reliability Model Using Modified Intensity Function)

  • 김희철;문송철
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.109-116
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we was compared the reliability performance of the software reliability model, which applied the Goel-Okumoto model developed using the exponential distribution, to the logarithmic function modifying the intensity function and the Rayleigh form. As a result, the log-type model is relatively smaller in the mean squared error compared to the Rayleigh model and the Goel-Okumoto model. The logarithmic model is more efficient because of the determination coefficient is relatively higher than the Goel-Okumoto model. The estimated determination coefficient of the proposed model was estimated to be more than 80% which is a useful model in the field of software reliability. Reliability has been shown to be relatively higher in the log-type model than the Rayleigh model and the Goel-Okumoto model as the mission time has elapsed. Through this study, software designer and users can identify the software failure characteristics using mean square error, decision coefficient. The confidence interval can be used as a basic guideline when applying the intensity function that reflects the characteristics of the lifetime distribution.

횡등방성 암석의 강도 이방성 모사를 위한 강도정수 공간분포함수 (Spatial Distribution Functions of Strength Parameters for Simulation of Strength Anisotropy in Transversely Isotropic Rock)

  • 이연규
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.100-109
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    • 2016
  • 이 연구에서는 횡등방성 암석파괴함수의 개발에 활용할 수 있는 3가지 강도정수 공간분포함수를 제안하였다. 제안된 분포함수는 편구(oblate spheroid)분포함수, 지수분포함수, 강도정수텐서 방향투영함수이며 모두 2개의 모델파라미터로 정의된다. 제안된 분포함수들을 점착력과 마찰각의 공간분포함수로 활용하여 횡등방성 Mohr-Coulomb 파괴함수를 유도한 후 이를 활용하여 수치삼축시험을 모사하였다. 연약면의 경사각과 구속압의 변화에 따른 파괴축응력 변화 및 파괴면 방향 변화를 계산한 결과 3개의 분포함수을 적용한 경우 모두 실제 실험에서 관찰되는 이방성 파괴특성을 재현하고 있음을 확인하였다. 3개의 분포함수 중 강도정수텐서 방향투영함수를 채용한 경우가 가장 큰 파괴축강도를 계산하였으며 지수분포함수, 편구분포함수 순으로 낮은 파괴축강도 값을 예측하였다.

고장원인이 여럿인 제품의 사용현장 데이터 분석 (Field data analyses for products with multiple-modes of failure)

  • 배도선;최인수;황용근
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.89-104
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    • 1995
  • 사용현장에서의 고장데이터는 미리 정해진 보증기간동안 고장이 발생한 제품으로부터 얻어지는 고장시간, 고장원인, 설명변수값과 보증기간동안 고장나지 않는 제품 중 일정비율을 추적조사하여 얻은 설명변수 값들로 구성된다. 사용현장에서 얻어지는 이와 같은 데이터를 이용하여 제품수명분포의 모수가 설명변수와 대수선형관계일 때, 수명분포의 모수에 대한 의사(pseudo) 최우추정량을 구하고 그 점근성질을 규명하였으며, 고장원인별 제품수명이 와이블분포를 따를 때의 의사최우추정량과 점근분산을 구하였다. 제품의 보증기간이 달력시간이고 제품의 고장이 운영시간에 의존하는 경우와 제품의 보증이 달력시간과 운영시간의 혼합인 경우의 분석방법도 제시하였다. 또한 모의 실험을 통하여 추적조사비율에 따른 효과를 알아보았다.

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Conditional Confidence Interval for Parameters in Accelerated Life Testing

  • Park, Byung-Gu;Yoon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.21-35
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, estimation and prediction procedures are discussed for grneral situation in which the failure time follows the independent density $f_{i}({\varepsilon}_{i})$ for the accelerated life testing under Type II censoring. In the context of accelerated life test experiment, procedures are given for estimating the parameters in the Eyring model, and for estimating mean life at a given future stress level. The procedures given are conditional confidence interval procedures, obtained by conditioning on ancillary statistics. A comparison is made of these procedures and procedures based on asymptotic properties of the maximum, likelihood estimates.

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