• Title/Summary/Keyword: expert assessment

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Determining the Priority of Investment for Remedial Works of Slopes (사면관리를 위한 재원의 투자 우선 순위 평가)

  • 김상규;류지협;구호본;정하익;윤수호
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 1999.03a
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    • pp.269-276
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    • 1999
  • The program ESRAS Ver 0.5 that can assess the risk of slopes by means of fuzzy inference is developed in this paper. The results of assessment involve the degree of stability of slopes, the possible travel distance of the soil mass being failed, and anticipated loss of life and properties. With this program, vulnerable slopes can be managed most effectively and the fuzzy inference is used to express quantitatively the judgement of an expert and the uncertainty of slope stability. The fuzzy rule base is composed of an evaluation list for slope stability together with the experience of an expert. This program has been examined for 88 slopes which have been failed or shown a possibility of failure. With this examination, the standards to assess the stability of slopes can be presented and it is proven that this is particularly useful in determining the priority of investment for remedial works of slopes.

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A Development of Expert System for the Estimated Maximum Loss of Vapor Cloud Explosion (증기운 폭발시의 예상최대손실 산정을 위한 전문가 시스템 개발)

  • 김원철
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 1996.11a
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    • pp.37-42
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    • 1996
  • The assessment of catastrophic accidents such as BLEVE, vapor cloud explosion, and toxic material releases in the chemical process industries(CPI) shall be carried out according to the Requirement of PSM/SMS enforced by Korea Government Agencies, but reasonable models are not proposed for the practical application. The traditional models, TNT Equivalency Model, are well-known and helpful for the assessment of vapor cloud explosion. However, the estimated-damage-area using the traditional model has much more deviations comparing to the real damage caused by vapor cloud explosion suffered before. These are why an expert system for the assessment of vapor cloud explosion has been developed, which is based on theoretical, statistical and experimental data, and it would be helpful for CPI to evaluate the damage-area in case of vapor cloud explosion.

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Prototyping of Knowledge-Based Systems for Field Inspection and Safety Assessment of RC Bridges (RC 교량의 현장 안전진단을 위한 지식기반시스템의 원형개발)

  • Hwang, Jin-Ha;Park, Jong-Hoi;An, Seoung-Su;Kim, Ki-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.185-192
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    • 2002
  • Prototyping for field inspection safety assessment expert system of bridge structures is presented in this paper. Knowledgebase with production rules is constructed using the semiautomatic method on the basis of bridge inspection manuals and working reports of the related agency. Backward inference method is taken with the aids of external shells as a inference engine of knowledge-based systems. Implementation of the developed prototype system on MS Windows98 will shows inspiring aspects useful to guide and standardize the field works. In the case to be reinforced with abundant knowledge bases, this will be expected to be educate the practicing engineers.

Developing an Expert System for Close Combat using Decision Tree (의사결정나무를 이용한 근접전투전문가시스템)

  • Kim, Hyung-Se;Moon, Ho-Seok;Lee, Dong-Keun;Hwang, Myung-Sang;Kim, Young-Kuk
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.83-93
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we propose a new expert system for close combat in military war game model for training. Simulation logic for damage assesment is one of the main simulation functions in military war game. In Changcho 21's model which is the war game model for Republic of Korea Army corps and division, the main function of close combat's damage assessment has not been calculated by Changcho 21's model, but by COBRA which was made by US Army and has been the expert system for close combat. Results which were calculated in COBRA were sent to Changcho 21's model through a cable network. And Changcho 21's model finally calculated the value of damage assessment with the results. In this paper, we develop an new expert system for close combat using decision tree. The experimental results show that the proposed expert system has similar performance to COBRA and has less computing complexity. And it can substitute for COBRA and be applicable to battlefield.

On the Balanced Blending of Formally Structured and Simplified Approaches for Utilizing Judgments of Experts in the Assessment of Uncertain Issues

  • Ahn Kwang-Il;Yang Joon-Eon;Ha Jae-Joo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.318-335
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    • 2003
  • Expert judgment is frequently employed in the search for the solution to various engineering and decision-making problems where relevant data is not sufficient or where there is little consensus as to the correct models to apply. When expert judgments are required to solve the underlying problem, our main concern is how to formally derive their technical expertise and their personal degree of familiarity about the related questions. Formal methods for gathering judgments from experts and assessing the effects of the judgments on the results of the analysis have been developed in a variety of ways. The most important interest of such methods is to establish the robustness of an expert's knowledge upon which the elicitation of judgments is made and an effective trace of the elicitation process as possible as one can. While the resultant expert judgments can remain to a large extent substantiated with formal elicitation methods, their applicability however is often limited due to restriction of available resources (e.g., time, budget, and number of qualified experts, etc) as well as a scope of the analysis. For this reason, many engineering and decision-making problems have not always performed with a formal/structured pattern, but rather relied on a pertinent transition of the formal process to the simplified approach. The purpose of this paper is (a) to address some insights into the balanced use of formally structured and simplified approaches for the explicit use of expert judgments under resource constraints and (b) to discuss related decision-theoretic issues.

Study on the Development of a Standard Instrument of Diagnosis and Assessment for Spleen Qi Deficiency Pattern (脾氣虛證(비기허증) 진단평가도구 개발 연구)

  • Oh, Hye-Won;Lee, Ji-Won;Kim, Je-Shin;Song, Eun-Young;Shin, Seung-Won;Han, Ga-Jin;Lu, Huanyu;Lee, Jun-Hee
    • The Journal of Korean Medicine
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.157-170
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to develop a standard instrument of diagnosis and assessment for spleen qi deficiency pattern. Methods: Reports published in Korea and China related to spleen qi deficiency pattern were selected. Assessments of selected references were performed to select major symptoms of spleen qi deficiency pattern. Korean translation and review by a Korean linguist were performed to create a draft of [Standard instrument of diagnosis and assessment for spleen qi deficiency (for subject)]. The final [Standard instrument of diagnosis and assessment for spleen qi deficiency (for subject)] was completed after assessment on inclusion or exclusion, on importance of items and on validity of translation by an expert committee, consisting of professors from the National College of Korean Medicine. Results & Conclusions: 1. 14 major symptoms were selected by frequency from 45 references which were related to standard identification of spleen qi deficiency pattern, translated into Korean and reviewed by a Korean linguist. 2. 11 symptoms were selected after assessment on inclusion yes or no by the expert group. Items were listed in order of importance: tiredness of extremities (肢体倦怠), sallow complexion (面色萎黃), reduced appetite (食欲减退), abdominal distension after eating (腹胀食後尤甚), inability to eat (納少), pale tongue and white fur (舌淡苔白), lethargy (神疲), emaciation (消瘦), loose stool (大便溏薄), shortness of breath and reluctance to speak (少氣懶言), and weak pulse (脈緩弱). 3. Final [Standard instrument of diagnosis and assessment for spleen qi deficiency (for subject)] was completed after assessment of translation validity, reflection of individual opinions by the expert committee, and application of weighted value computed from assessment on importance of items.

A Study on the Criteria of Landscape Planning and Design - Focusing on the Harmony of Building-Heights and Mountain-Skyline - (경관계획 및 설계 기준에 관한 연구 - 건축물 높이와 산림스카이라인의 조화를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Hyung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.39-51
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    • 2008
  • These days, one of the issues well discussed is the obstruction or screen of sight to mountain-skyline by buildings. So question is to which heights buildings should be constructed over mountain-skyline and then harmony can be realized between mountain-skyline and building-outline. Based on the mentioned above, this study intends to find out the proper projection- level of buildings over background mountain-skyline when considering the types of mountain-skyline, building-outline and building-layout. The results of this study are first, the proper projection-ratio of buildings over background mountain-skyline can be 0.1 because assessment values on harmony-level are more than 3.0 in almost cases, second, the building-outline influences on the assessment values of harmony-level when the types of mountain-skyline are formed left-high & right-low and right-high & left-low, third, building-layout doesn't influence on the assessment va lues of harmony-level, finally, statistically difference doesn't exist between expert group and non-expert group in the assessment values of harmony-level.

Methodology for Assessing the State of Human Capital in the Context of Innovative Development of the Economy: A Three-Level Approach

  • Chulanova, Zaure K.;Satybaldin, Azimkhan A.;Koshanov, Amanzhol K.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.321-328
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of the study is to analyze the main approaches to assessing human capital and develop proposals for its most objective assessment of it at the different levels of manifestation - individual, microeconomic and macroeconomic. The article considers the basic approaches to the evaluation of human capital, used in practice: retrospective (costly) and prospective (income based). Cost based methods involve measuring the value of human capital based on the total costs associated with its formation. The proposed additional evaluation criteria, in particular, the use of the expert approach and the developed indicators of a qualitative assessment of the human capital of the enterprise will allow development that is more efficient and use of available human resources. Human capital is becoming a major factor in the formation and development of an innovative economy and knowledge economy. Accordingly, the proposed additions to the assessment of human capital at the country level are aimed at assessing it from a new angle, taking into account the current global trends in the formation of an innovative economy and digitalization. They meet qualitatively new requirements for human capital as the main productive factor in the creation of new highly efficient technologies that promote the active development of the social sphere, science, education, health, etc.

Construction of Expert System for Hazard Assessment of Unconfined Vapor Cloud Explosion (증기운 폭발의 위험성 평가를 위한 전문가 시스템의 구축)

  • 함병호;손민일;김태옥;조지훈;이영순
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 1995
  • To evaluate readily the effect of unconfined vapor cloud explosion(UVCE) having high possibility of accident and risk in chemical industries, the expert system of UVCE was developed and its applicability on a real accident was analyzed. We found that the hazard of UVCE could be well evaluated from the TNT equivalency model and the empirical loss data produced by overpressure for chemical facilities. By using the developed expert system, the size of vapor cloud, the quantity of vaporization, the released energy, the overpressure range from explosion point, and the impact damage of each installation could be estimated respectively. Also, probable maximum loss and catastrophic loss potential for real accident( cyclohexane release in Flixborough Nypro company) were estimated and compared with damages of the accident. As a result, the developed expert system could be well applicable to real accident.

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A Case Study on Expert System Framework for Supporting Army Tactical C4I System (육군 전술C4I체계 지원을 위한 전문가시스템 프레임워크 구축 사례 연구)

  • Kwon, Moon Taek
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2006
  • This paper describes the result of a case study for developing an expert system framework in order to support Korean Army tactical C4I system. Korean Army had developed an expert system, STAFS(Situation & Threat Assessment Fusion Expert System), for supporting field intelligence analysis activities which has been implemented through traditional manual process inside the division level combat briefing room. STAFS, however, has serious limitations for supporting combat commander's decision making processes because of its limited capabilities, since the system had been developed for supporting only intelligence analysis function rather than for integrated combat decision making processes inside the combat briefing room. Thus, this paper proposed an integrated expert system framework for supporting the commander's decision making by addressing various activities implemented in the briefing room.

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