• 제목/요약/키워드: expected time to failure

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예방보전이 불완전할 때 최적 주기적 예방보전 계획 (Optimal Periodic Preventive Maintenance Schedule When Preventive Maintenance is Imperfect)

  • 김대경;신상욱;임재학
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.140-146
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider a periodic imperfect preventive maintenance(PM) policy in which the system's failure rate after each PM remains unchanged. The system undergoes only minimal repairs at failures between PMs. Exact mathematical formula of the expected cost rate per unit time is derived. Optimal number of PMs and optimal maintenance period are derived by minimizing the expected cost rate per unit time. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the proposed approach under Weibull lifetime distribution.

보호시스템을 고려한 배전계통의 신뢰도 평가 (Distribution System Reliability Evaluation Considering Protective System)

  • 김세호;좌종근;최병윤;조시형;김정구
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1997년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.1003-1005
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    • 1997
  • To evaluate the quality of a system or its ability to perform a required function, it is necessary to quantify the reliability of that system. The reliability techniques are based on the concept of expected failure rate and average-outage-duration method. For each load point, the expected failure rate, average outage duration and average annual outage time are evaluated. This paper deals with the reliability evaluation for distribution system including the protection relay system. In evaluating the reliability, it suggests a method for the analysis of protective system reliability, that provides a probabilistic measure of the success of the protective apparatus to perform its intended function. The analysis shows the dependency of success on the reliability of many components, and the way this reliability may be enhanced by redundancy.

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운전조건이 변화하는 공정설비의 신뢰도 분석기법 (A Method for Reliability Analysis of Process Facilities under Changing Operating Conditions)

  • 최수형
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제7권4호
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    • pp.20-23
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    • 2003
  • 공정설비의 신뢰도분석은 자주 Weibull 분포에 기초를 둔 모델을 사용한다. 여기에 사용되는 매개변수들은 조업조건의 함수로서 실험에 의해 값이 결정되며 이를 토대로 신뢰도, 평균수명 및 표준편차를 계산한다 이때 기존 방법은 조업조건이 일정하다고 가정하고 이 매개변수들을 상수로 취급한다. 본 논문에서는 척도모수가 시간의 함수일 때 적용할 수 있는 신뢰도함수 및 이를 토대로 한 분석기법을 제안한다. 냉각팬에 대한 사례연구 결과 평균조업조건을 적용한 기존 방법과 큰 차이를 보였다. 제안된 방법은 다른 공정설비들에도 적용 가능하며 조업조건변화가 설비신뢰도에 미치는 영향을 효과적으로 고려할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

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Periodic Preventive Maintenance Policies when Minimal Repair Costs Vary at Failures

  • Joon Keun Yum;Gi Mun Jung;Dong Ho Park
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 1997
  • This paper considers a repairable system, which is maintained preventively at periodic times and is minimally repaired at each failure. Most preventive maintenance policies for such repairable systems assume that the cost of minimal repair is constant regardless of its age at failure. However, it is more practical to consider the situations where the cost of minimal repair is dependent not only on its age at failue, but also on the number of preventive maintenance carried out prior to its failure. We consider the preventive maintenance carried out prior to its failure. We consider the preventive maintenance policy with age-dependent minimal repair cost. The optimal policies which minimize the expected cost rate over an infinite time span are discussed. We obtain the optimal period and number of preventive maintenance prior to replacement of the system.

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An Economic Life Test Sampling Plan for Repairable Products with Exponential Interfailure Time Distribution

  • Kwon, Young Il
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.108-120
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    • 1993
  • In this article an economic life test sampling plan is considered for repairable products when the products in each lot have the same interfailure time distribution, but the mean time between failure (MTBF) of a lot varies from lot to lot according to a known prior distribution. A cost model is constructed which consists of test cost, accept cost, and reject cost. Determination of the optimal plan which minimizes the expected average cost per lot is discussed. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the use of the proposed sampling plans and sensitivity analyses for parameters of the prior distribution are performed.

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공작기계 핵심 Units의 신뢰성 예측 및 Design Review (Reliability Prediction & Design Review for Core Units of Machine Tools)

  • 이승우;송준엽;이현용;박화영
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.133-136
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    • 2003
  • In these days, the reliability analysis and prediction are applied for many industrial products and many products require guaranteeing the quality and efficiency of their products. In this study reliability prediction for core units of machine tools has been performed in order to improve and analyze its reliability. ATC(Automatic Tool Changer) and interface Card of PC-NC that are core component of the machine tools were chosen as the target of the reliability prediction. A reliability analysis tool was used to obtain the reliability data(failure rate database) for reliability prediction. It is expected that the results of reliability prediction be applied to improve and evaluate its reliability. Failure rate, MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) and reliability for core units of machine tools were evaluated and analyzed in this study.

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앙상블 모델 기반의 기계 고장 예측 방법 (An Ensemble Model for Machine Failure Prediction)

  • 천강민;양재경
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제43권1호
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2020
  • There have been a lot of studies in the past for the method of predicting the failure of a machine, and recently, a lot of researches and applications have been generated to diagnose the physical condition of the machine and the parts and to calculate the remaining life through various methods. Survival models are also used to predict plant failures based on past anomaly cycles. In particular, special machine that reflect the fluid flow and process characteristics of chemical plants are connected to hundreds or thousands of sensors, so there are not many factors that need to be considered, such as process and material data as well as application of derivative variables. In this paper, the data were preprocessed through time series anomaly detection based on unsupervised learning to predict the abnormalities of these special machine. Next, clustering results reflecting clustering-based data characteristics were applied to produce additional variables, and a learning data set was created based on the history of past facility abnormalities. Finally, the prediction methodology based on the supervised learning algorithm was applied, and the model update was confirmed to improve the accuracy of the prediction of facility failure. Through this, it is expected to improve the efficiency of facility operation by flexibly replacing the maintenance time and parts supply and demand by predicting abnormalities of machine and extracting key factors.

Photo-Plethysmography를 이용한 정상과 재접합 수지 혈류량의 비교 (Comparison of normal and replantation digital blood flow using photo-plethysmography)

  • 남기창;김성우;나동균;김덕원
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.322-324
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    • 2004
  • Up to the present, digital replantation patients has appealed different symptoms due to blood circulatory failure. But, the level of blood circulatory failure has been evaluated only by clinical symptoms, or angiography. According to the cases of digit replantation is increasing, then objective evaluation methods of the level of blood circulation failure is needed other than patient's subjective symptoms and complaints. Although angiography, doppler, electromagnetic flowmeter, laser blood flowmeter, mechanical blood flowmeter has been used for the evaluation of the blood circulatory failure, the result was affected by time, place, surrounding temperature, patient's body temperature, and even emotion. Therefore, it is pointed out with lack of availability, feasibility and reproducibility. Thus, we compared digital blood flow of dominant hand to non dominant hand, and replanted fingers to opposite normal fingers from developed photo-plethysmography. The average digital blood flow showed no difference in normal digits each other, but, replanted digits showed average of 53% (9 - 100 %) compare to opposit normal digits. As it measure relative blood flow for circulatory failure of tissue such as fingers and toes more sensitively, reliably. In conclusion, it is expected that photo- plethysmography will be very useful for diagnosis, curative effect, prognosis of blood circulatory failure in digital replantation patient.

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혼합보증이 종료된 이후의 비용과 비가동시간에 근거한 보전정책 (Maintenance Policy Based on Cost and Downtime Following the Expiration of Combination Warranty)

  • 정기문
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.909-923
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    • 2008
  • 본 논문에서는 수리가 가능한 시스템에 대하여 혼합보증이 종료된 이후의 교체모형과 예방보전모형을 고려하는데, 만약 보증기간이 종료된 이후에 시스템에 고장이 발생하면 최소수리를 수행한다. 최적의 교체정책과 최적의 예방보전정책을 결정하기 위한 기준으로는 기대비용과 기대비가동시간에 근거한 총밸류함수를 사용한다. 그리고 시스템의 고장시간이 와이블분포를 할 때 수치적 예를 통해서 제안된 최적의 교체정책 및 예방보전정책을 자세히 설명하고자 한다.

연장된 보증이 있는 교체정책에 대한 베이지안 접근 (A Bayesian Approach to Replacement Policy with Extended Warranty)

  • 정기문
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.229-239
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    • 2013
  • This paper reports a manner to use a Bayesian approach to derive the optimal replacement policy. In order to produce a system with minimal repair warranty, a replacement model with the extended warranty is considered. Within the warranty period, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the end-user. The failure time is assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters. The expected cost rate per unit time, from the end-user's viewpoints, is induced by the Bayesian approach, and the optimal replacement policy to minimize the cost rate is proposed. Finally, a numerical example illustrating to derive the optimal replacement policy based on the Bayesian approach is described.