• 제목/요약/키워드: expected cost

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시험 장비의 용량제한을 고려한 무고장 신뢰성 시험의 경제적 설계 (Economic Design of A Zero-Failure Reliability Demonstration Test Considering Capacity Limitation of Test Equipment)

  • 한숙현;윤원영;서순근
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제49권3호
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    • pp.341-358
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: After product development, a Reliability Demonstration Test(RDT) is performed to confirm that the target life has been achieved. In the RDT, there are cases where the test equipment cannot accommodate all samples. Therefore, this study considers a test method to most economically demonstrate the target life of the product at a certain confidence level when the sample size is larger than the capacity of the test equipment. Methods: If the sample size is larger than the capacity of the test equipment, test equipments may be added or the test time of individual samples may be increased. So the test method is designed to cover this situation with limited capacity. A zero-failure test method is applied as a test method to RDT. To minimize the cost, the test cost is defined and the cost function is obtained. Finally, we obtain the optimal test plan. Results: A zero-failure test method is designed when the sample size is larger than the capacity of the test equipment, and the expected total cost is derived. In addition, the process of calculating the appropriate sample size, test time, and number of test equipment is illustrated through an example, and the effects of model parameters to the optimal solutions are investigated numerically. Conclusion: In this paper, we study a zero-failure RDT with test equipment that has limited capacity. The expected total cost is derived and the optimal sample size, test time, and number of test equipment are determined to minimize the expected total cost. We also studied numerical examples and for further studies, we can relax some restrictions in the test model and optimize the test method.

단일 범용설비 운영을 위한 (r, Q) 정책 ((r, Q) Policy for Operation of a Multipurpose Facility)

  • 오근태
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.27-46
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    • 1992
  • This paper considers an (r, Q) policy for operation of a multipurpose facility. It is assumed that whenever the inventory level falls below r, the model starts to produce the fixed amount of Q. The facility can be utilized for extra production during idle periods, that is, when the inventory level is still greater than r right after a main production operation is terminated or an extra production operation is finished. But, whenever the facility is in operation for an extra production, the operation can not be terminated for the main production even though the inventory level falls below r. In the model, the demand for the product is assumed to arrive according to a compound Poisson process and the processing time required to produce a product is assumed to follow an arbitary distribution. Similarly, the orders for the extra production is assumed to accur in a Poisson process are the extra production processing time is assumed to follow an arbitrary distribution. It is further assumed that unsatisfied demands are backordered and the expected comulative amount of demands is less than that of production during each production period. Under a cost structure which includes a setup/ production cost, a linear holding cost, a linear backorder cost, a linear extra production lost sale cost, and a linear extra production profit, an expression for the expected cost per unit time for a given (r, Q) policy is obtained, and using a convex property of the cost function, a procedure to find the optimal (r, Q) policy is presented.

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강상자형교의 생애주기비용 최적설계 (Life-Cycle Cost Optimization of Steel Box Girder Bridges)

  • 조효남;민대홍;권우성
    • 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.557-566
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문에서는 강상자형교의 바닥판과 주형에 대한 생애주기비용(Life-Cycle Cost : LCC)를 고려한 최적설계 방법을 제안하였다. 생애주기비용의 최적설계 문제는 초기비용, 유지관리비용 그리고 강도와 처짐 그리고 균열에 대한 파손 기대비용의 최소화 문제로 정식화할 수 있다. 기존의 재래적인 설계방법과의 비교를 동해서 강상자형교의 생애주기비용 최적설계의 우수성을 입증하였다. 또한 수치적인 결과의 고찰을 통하여 LCC에 근거한 최적설계가 여타의 설계방법들보다 좀 더 합리적이고 경제적이며 안전한 설계를 유도하는 것으로 분석되었다.

선박교통관리제도의 비용편익분석모델에 관한 연구(II) (A Study on the Cost Benefit Analysis Model of Vessel Traffic Services(II))

  • 정재용;박진수
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.29-40
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    • 2001
  • The introduction of coastal vessel traffic services enables vessels in coastal waters to navigate in safety or to get her position with ease and prevents the vessel from becoming cause of casualties. But it needs relatively huge amount of cost to construct and operate and maintain. Thus we must be checked with economical adequacy of the the proposed coastal vessel traffic services by comparing the cost of the construction, operation and maintenance with the expected benefit made by the expected decrease in marine casualties. In previous paper, a proper cost-benefit analysis model for the Korean practice will be suggested. In this Paper, the proposed the cost-benefit analysis model of coastal vessel traffic services was applied to the Koje coastal waters 20mi1es from the top of Maemul-Do and Yokchi-Do. As the result, we confirmed the propriety of the cost-benefit analysis with the application of the proposed model to Koje waters. Also, it is verified that the introduction of coastal vessel traffic services, as proposed, is adequate and economical. The cost-benefit analysis model proposed in this study could be used to investigate the economic Propriety of new aids to navigation and traffic safety facilities in the future.

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Electricity mix scenarios simulation for Korean carbon neutrality in 2050

  • Pilhyeon Ju;Sungyeol Choi;Jongho Lee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제56권8호
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    • pp.3369-3377
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    • 2024
  • As the realization of carbon neutrality has been a main assignment for coping with the global climate change, it became necessary to analyze upcoming changes in electricity mix with economic and technical viewpoints. This paper presents a newly-developed simulation model that reflects the daily intermittency of renewable energy by applying daily average power supply-demand patterns for each season. Also, the paper provides an economic analysis in the viewpoint of investment cost, annual cost and power generation cost by utilizing the calculations from the simulation model. Four scenarios are selected for the analyses, one based on the Korean Government's 2050 Carbon Neutrality Scenario and three Nuclear Power Build-up scenarios, which are newly suggested by the authors. The simulation results show that the increase of nuclear energy from 5.7% of Government's Scenario to 37.7% of the proposed Nuclear Power Build-up Scenario leads to the decrease of about 704 billion US$ in investment cost and about 181 billion US$ in annual cost; with reduction in the increase of 2050 expected generation cost from 3.1 to 1.6 times compared with the referenced 2021 average cost. Further, this study has significance in performing the economic analysis with the expected daily power supply-demand patterns in 2050.

Economic Adjustment Design For $\bar{X}$ Control Chart: A Markov Chain Approach

  • Yang, Su-Fen
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.136-144
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    • 2001
  • The Markov Chain approach is used to develop an economic adjustment model of a process whose quality can be affected by a single special cause, resulting in changes of the process mean by incorrect adjustment of the process when it is operating according to its capability. The $\bar{X}$ control chart is thus used to signal the special cause. It is demonstrated that the expressions for the expected cycle time and the expected cycle cost are easier to obtain by the proposed approach than by adopting that in Collani, Saniga and Weigang (1994). Furthermore, this approach would be easily extended to derive the expected cycle cost and the expected cycle time for the case of multiple special causes or multiple control charts. A numerical example illustrates the proposed method and its application.

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불확실한 환경 하에서 중간 평가가 있는 시간-비용 프로젝트 문제 (Project Time-Cost Tradeoff Problem with Milestones under an Uncertain Processing Time)

  • 최병천;정지복
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.25-42
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    • 2013
  • We consider a project time-cost tradeoff problem with two milestones, where one of the jobs has an uncertain processing time. Unless each milestone is completed on time, some penalty cost may be imposed. However, the penalty costs can be avoided by compressing the processing times of some jobs, which requires additional resources or costs. The objective is to minimize the expected total costs subject to the constraint on the expected project completion time. We show that the problem can be solved in polynomial time if the precedence graph of a project is a chain.

유전자 알고리듬을 이용한(m,n)중-연속(r,s):고장 격자 시스템의 정비 모형 (A Maintenance Design of Connected-(r,s)-out-of-(m,n):F System Using Genetic Algorithm)

  • 윤원영;김귀래;정철훈
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.250-260
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    • 2004
  • This study considers a linear connected-(r,s)-out-of-(m,n):F lattice system whose components are ordered like the elements of a linear (m,n )-matrix. We assume that all components are in the state 1 (operating) or 0 (failed) and identical and s-independent. The system fails whenever at least one connected (r,s)-submatrix of failed components occurs. The purpose of this paper is to present an optimization scheme that aims at minimizing the expected cost per unit time. To find the optimal threshold of maintenance intervention, we use a genetic algorithm for the cost optimization procedure. The expected cost per unit time is obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. The sensitivity analysis to the different cost parameters has also been made.

Modeling and Analysis of Warranty Cost for 2D-Policies Associated with Sale of Second-hand Products

  • Chattopadhyay G.;Yun Won-Young
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2006
  • The market for second hand products has been growing for a variety of reasons (e.g., new products appearing at a faster rate and the expected life of products increasing due to rapid advances in technology). The demand for warranties for second-hand products has been growing along with the growth of the market for second-hand products. Warranty for new products (consumer durables, industrial and commercial, and specialized defense products) has received a lot of attention. In contrast, warranties for second-hand product have received very little attention. Often, dealers of second-hand product such as cars offer 2D-warranties (Year and Kilometers). The expected warranty cost associated with a second-hand product for 2D-Policies is a function of the age of the item and its usage (as it affects failures over the warranty period), the warranty terms and the servicing strategy used by the dealer. This paper deals with development of models for warranty cost analysis along with the decision on sale price and warranty cover for 2D-Warranty policies associated with sale of second-hand products.

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연장된 보증이 있는 교체정책에 대한 베이지안 접근 (A Bayesian Approach to Replacement Policy with Extended Warranty)

  • 정기문
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.229-239
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    • 2013
  • This paper reports a manner to use a Bayesian approach to derive the optimal replacement policy. In order to produce a system with minimal repair warranty, a replacement model with the extended warranty is considered. Within the warranty period, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the end-user. The failure time is assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters. The expected cost rate per unit time, from the end-user's viewpoints, is induced by the Bayesian approach, and the optimal replacement policy to minimize the cost rate is proposed. Finally, a numerical example illustrating to derive the optimal replacement policy based on the Bayesian approach is described.