• Title/Summary/Keyword: event tree

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Preparation of Data for Restoration of Dangsan Forests and Rural Community Forests from the Case Study of Hanbam and Goiran Villages (한밤마을과 괴란마을의 사례 분석을 통한 당산숲·마을숲 복원 자료 구축)

  • Choi, Jaiung;Kim, Dong Yeob
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.21-30
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    • 2007
  • This study aims to understand the characteristics of dangsan forests and rural community forests (RCF), and seek for a landscape management scheme. Dangsan forests and RCF have been maintained by local residents since hundreds of years ago. However, many of them have been disturbed. The case sites were derived from the twenty villages previous investigated where dangsan forests and RCF's remainrd. The two sites were remodelled to restore what have been degraded. Hanbam village has maintained its dangsan forest with good management practices, whereas the dangsan forest and RCF of Goiran village showed relatively poor management. The size of dangsan forest at hanbam village was 13,784$m^2$, and major tree species was Pinus densiflora. In total, 151 trees with more than 30cm in DBH were standing on the site. As a cultural activity, the dangsan festival have been held in January $5^{th}$ by lunar calendar to the 2005 at the Jindongdan, a dangsan tree made of stone. The RCF of Hanbam village has disappeared due to the event of landslide in 1930, which needs to be restored. Goiran village has a dangsan forest and a RCF. The forests in Goiran village revealed many problems due to bad management practice. The prototype of the dangsan forest was deteriorated by introduced Prunus serrulata and the facilities for physical training. A systematic management scheme for dangsan forests and RCF's should be established with a close partnership among local residents, experts, and local government.

Life-cycle estimation of HVDC full-bridge sub-module considering operational condition and redundancy (HVDC 풀-브리지 서브모듈의 동작 조건과 여유율을 고려한 수명예측)

  • Kang, Feel-soon;Song, Sung-Geun
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1208-1217
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    • 2019
  • The life-cycle prediction of the sub-module which is the unit system of MMC is very important from the viewpoint of maintenance and economic feasibility of HVDC system. However, the life-cycle prediction that considers only the type, number and combination of parts is a generalized result that does not take into account the operating condition of the sub-module, and may significantly differ from the life-cycle of the actual one. Therefore, we design a fault tree for the purpose of reflecting the operation characteristics of the full-bridge sub-module and apply the MIL-HDBK-217F to the failure rate of the basic event to predict the life-cycle of the full-bridge sub-module. It compares the life-cycle expectancy of the conventional failure rate analysis with the proposed fault-tree analysis and compares the lifetime according to whether the redundancy of the full-bridge sub-module is considered.

Prediction of Slope Hazard Probability around Express Way using Decision Tree Model (의사결정나무모형을 이용한 고속도로 주변 급경사지재해 발생가능성 예측)

  • Kim, Chan-Kee;Bak, Gueon Jun;Kim, Joong Chul;Song, Young-Suk;Yun, Jung-Mann
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2013
  • In this study, the prediction of slope hazard probability was performed to the study area located in Hadae-ri, Woochun-myeon, Hoengsung-gun, Gangwon Province around Youngdong express way using the computer program SHAPP ver 1.0 developed by a decision tree model. The soil samples were collected at total 10 points, and soil tests were performed to measure soil properties. The thematic maps of soil properties such as coefficient of permeability and void ratio were made on the basis of soil test results. The slope angle analysis of topography was performed using a digital map. As the prediction result of slope hazard probability, 2,120 cells among total 27,776 cells were predicted to be in the event of slope hazards. Therefore, the predicted area of occurring slope hazards may be $53,000m^2$ because the analyzed cell size was $5m{\times}5m$.

A method of searching the optimum performance of a classifier by testing only the significant events (중요한 이벤트만을 검색함으로써 분류기의 최적 성능을 찾는 방법)

  • Kim, Dong-Hui;Lee, Won Don
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1275-1282
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    • 2014
  • Too much information exists in ubiquitous environment, and therefore it is not easy to obtain the appropriately classified information from the available data set. Decision tree algorithm is useful in the field of data mining or machine learning system, as it is fast and deduces good result on the problem of classification. Sometimes, however, a decision tree may have leaf nodes which consist of only a few or noise data. The decisions made by those weak leaves will not be effective and therefore should be excluded in the decision process. This paper proposes a method using a classifier, UChoo, for solving a classification problem, and suggests an effective method of decision process involving only the important leaves and thereby excluding the noisy leaves. The experiment shows that this method is effective and reduces the erroneous decisions and can be applied when only important decisions should be made.

A Publish Subscribe Information Exchange Model and A Novel Matching Algorithm for Navy Shipboard Systems (해군 함정 컴퓨팅 체계 정보교환을 위한 Publish Subscribe 모델 기반 아키텍처 및 매칭 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Hong-Jae;Oh, Sang-Yoon
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.18A no.5
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    • pp.181-192
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    • 2011
  • Information superiority is an essential factor in modern warfare and it can be archived by efficient information exchange between systems. Various computing systems are installed on the today's navy vessels. However, it is hard to improve interoperability and efficiency of information exchange since the configurations of installed systems are varying. The military standard and commercial standard are mix-used between systems. In this paper, we propose an information exchange architecture based on Pub/Sub model as a communication middleware to improve interoperability as well as enhancing scalability. We also propose a novel tree matching algorithm to improve a performance of PubSub broker. In the proposed algorithm, each tree nodes have information about predicates of subscription that can reduce event matching time. The performance evaluation results show our proposed algorithm reduces time for matching predicates compare with other algorithms.

Optimization of Maintenance and Retrofit Planning for Reliable Seismic Performance of the Bridges (교량의 내진성능확보를 위한 유지보수계획의 최적화)

  • 고현무;박관순;김동석;이선영
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2002.03a
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    • pp.284-293
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    • 2002
  • Using the life cycle cost concept, optimum maintenance and retrofit planning for reliable seismic performance is suggested the overall life cycle cost to be minimized including the initial cost, the costs of inspection, repair, and failure. Limit states of the bridges are defined. And failure probabilities are computed through crossing theory. The effect of maintenance and retrofit is represented using the probability of damage detection and event tree analysis. Optimization of maintenance and retrofit planning method proposed from this research was applied to numerical examples. The analysis incorporates the acceleration and site conditions prescribed in the code, and the quality of inspection methods.

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Domestic earthquake prediction using bayesian approach (베이지안 기법을 이용한 국내 지진 사고 예측)

  • Yang, Hee-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2009
  • We predict the earthquake rate in Korea following Bayesian approach. We make a model that can utilize the data to predict other levels of earthquake. An event tree model which is a frequently used graphical tool in describing accident initiation and escalation to more severe accident is transformed into an influence diagram model. Prior distributions for earthquake occurrence rate and probabilities to escalating to more severe earthquakes are assumed and likelihood of number of earthquake in a given period of time is assessed. And then posterior distributions are obtained based on observed data. We find that the minor level of earthquake is increasing while major level of earthquake is less likely.

Prediction of Hypertension Complications Risk Using Classification Techniques

  • Lee, Wonji;Lee, Junghye;Lee, Hyeseon;Jun, Chi-Hyuck;Park, Il-Su;Kang, Sung-Hong
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.449-453
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    • 2014
  • Chronic diseases including hypertension and its complications are major sources causing the national medical expenditures to increase. We aim to predict the risk of hypertension complications for hypertension patients, using the sample national healthcare database established by Korean National Health Insurance Corporation. We apply classification techniques, such as logistic regression, linear discriminant analysis, and classification and regression tree to predict the hypertension complication onset event for each patient. The performance of these three methods is compared in terms of accuracy, sensitivity and specificity. The result shows that these methods seem to perform similarly although the logistic regression performs marginally better than the others.

Severe Accident Management Using PSA Event Tree Technology

  • Choi, Young;Jeong, Kwang Sub;Park, SooYong
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.50-56
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    • 2003
  • There are a lot of uncertainties in the severe accident phenomena and scenarios in nuclear power plants (NPPs) and one of the major issues for severe accident management is the reduction of these uncertainties. The severe accident management aid system using Probabilistic Safety Assessments (PSA) technology is developed for the management staff in order to reduce the uncertainties. The developed system includes the graphical display for plant and equipment status, previous research results by a knowledge-base technique, and the expected plant behavior using PSA. The plant model used in this paper is oriented to identify plant response and vulnerabilities via analyzing the quantified results, and to set up a framework for an accident management program based on these analysis results. Therefore the developed system may playa central role of information source for decision-making for severe accident management, and will be used as a training tool for severe accident management.

Decision of Maintenance Priority Order for Substation Facility through Structural Importance and Fault Analysis (변전설비의 구조적 중요도와 고장 분석을 통한 유지보수 우선순위 선정)

  • Lee, Sung-Hun;Lee, Yun-Seong;Kim, Jin-O
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2013
  • Reliability Centered Maintenance(RCM) is one of most widely used methods in the modern power system to schedule a maintenance cycle and determine the priority of inspection. A precedence study for the new structure of rearranged system should be performed due to introduction of additional installation. This paper proposes a new method to evaluate the priority of maintenance and inspection of the power system facilities. In order to calculate that risk index, it is required that the reliability block diagram should be analyzed for the power system. Additionally, a fault cause analysis is also performed through the event-tree analysis.