• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation of probability density function

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Estimation of Probability Density Functions of Damage Parameter for Valve Leakage Detection in Reciprocating Pump Used in Nuclear Power Plants

  • Lee, Jong Kyeom;Kim, Tae Yun;Kim, Hyun Su;Chai, Jang-Bom;Lee, Jin Woo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.1280-1290
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents an advanced estimation method for obtaining the probability density functions of a damage parameter for valve leakage detection in a reciprocating pump. The estimation method is based on a comparison of model data which are simulated by using a mathematical model, and experimental data which are measured on the inside and outside of the reciprocating pump in operation. The mathematical model, which is simplified and extended on the basis of previous models, describes not only the normal state of the pump, but also its abnormal state caused by valve leakage. The pressure in the cylinder is expressed as a function of the crankshaft angle, and an additional volume flow rate due to the valve leakage is quantified by a damage parameter in the mathematical model. The change in the cylinder pressure profiles due to the suction valve leakage is noticeable in the compression and expansion modes of the pump. The damage parameter value over 300 cycles is calculated in two ways, considering advance or delay in the opening and closing angles of the discharge valves. The probability density functions of the damage parameter are compared for diagnosis and prognosis on the basis of the probabilistic features of valve leakage.

Reliability estimation and ratio distribution in a general exponential distribution

  • Lee, Chang-Soo;Moon, Yeung-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.623-632
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    • 2014
  • We shall consider the estimation for the parameter and the right tail probability in a general exponential distribution. We also shall consider the estimation of the reliability P(X < Y ) and the skewness trends of the density function of the ratio X=(X+Y) for two independent general exponential variables each having different shape parameters and known scale parameter. We then shall consider the estimation of the failure rate average and the hazard function for a general exponential variable having the density function with the unknown shape and known scale parameters, and for a bivariate density induced by the general exponential density.

Statistical and Probabilistic Assessment for the Misorientation Angle of a Grain Boundary for the Precipitation of in a Austenitic Stainless Steel (II) (질화물 우선석출이 발생하는 결정립계 어긋남 각도의 통계 및 확률적 평가 (II))

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Choe, Byung-Hak;Lee, Tae-Ho;Kim, Sung-Joon;Yoon, Kee-Bong;Kim, Seon-Hwa
    • Korean Journal of Metals and Materials
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    • v.46 no.9
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    • pp.554-562
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    • 2008
  • The distribution and prediction interval for the misorientation angle of grain boundary at which $Cr_2N$ was precipitated during heating at $900^{\circ}C$ for $10^4$ sec were newly estimated, and followed by the estimation of mathematical and median rank methods. The probability density function of the misorientation angle can be estimated by a statistical analysis. And then the ($1-{\alpha}$)100% prediction interval of misorientation angle obtained by the estimated probability density function. If the estimated probability density function was symmetric then a prediction interval for the misorientation angle could be derived by the estimated probability density function. In the case of non-symmetric probability density function, the prediction interval could be obtained from the cumulative distribution function of the estimated probability density function. In this paper, 95, 99 and 99.73% prediction interval obtained by probability density function method and cumulative distribution function method and compared with the former results by median rank regression or mathematical method.

Online Probability Density Estimation of Nonstationary Random Signal using Dynamic Bayesian Networks

  • Cho, Hyun-Cheol;Fadali, M. Sami;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2008
  • We present two estimators for discrete non-Gaussian and nonstationary probability density estimation based on a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN). The first estimator is for off line computation and consists of a DBN whose transition distribution is represented in terms of kernel functions. The estimator parameters are the weights and shifts of the kernel functions. The parameters are determined through a recursive learning algorithm using maximum likelihood (ML) estimation. The second estimator is a DBN whose parameters form the transition probabilities. We use an asymptotically convergent, recursive, on-line algorithm to update the parameters using observation data. The DBN calculates the state probabilities using the estimated parameters. We provide examples that demonstrate the usefulness and simplicity of the two proposed estimators.

The Prediction of Dynamic Fatigue Life of Multi-axial Loaded Structure (다축 하중 구조물의 동적 피로수명 예측)

  • Yoon, Moon Young;Kim, Kyeung Ho;Park, Jang Soo;Boo, Kwang Seok;Kim, Heung Seob
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.231-235
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this paper is to compare with estimation of equivalent fatigue load in time domain and frequency domain and estimate the fatigue life of structure with multi-axial vibration loading. The fatigue analysis with two methods is implemented with various signals like random, sinusoidal signals. Also an equivalent fatigue life estimated by rainflow cycle counting in time domain is compared with results estimated with probability density function of each signal in frequency domain. In case of frequency domain, equivalent fatigue life can estimate through Dirlik's method with probability density function. And the work proposed in this paper compared the fatigue damage accumulated under uni-axial loading to that induced by multi-axial loading. The comparison is preformed for a simple cantilever beam, which is exposed to vibrations of several directions. For verification of estimation performance of fatigue life, results are compared to those of FEM analysis (ANSYS).

Notes on the Ratio and the Right-Tail Probability in a Log-Laplace Distribution

  • Woo, Jung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.1171-1177
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    • 2007
  • We consider estimation of the right-tail probability in a log-Laplace random variable, As we derive the density of ratio of two independent log-Laplace random variables, the k-th moment of the ratio is represented by a special mathematical function. and hence variance of the ratio can be represented by a psi-function.

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Lagged Cross-Correlation of Probability Density Functions and Application to Blind Equalization

  • Kim, Namyong;Kwon, Ki-Hyeon;You, Young-Hwan
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.540-545
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the lagged cross-correlation of two probability density functions constructed by kernel density estimation is proposed, and by maximizing the proposed function, adaptive filtering algorithms for supervised and unsupervised training are also introduced. From the results of simulation for blind equalization applications in multipath channels with impulsive and slowly varying direct current (DC) bias noise, it is observed that Gaussian kernel of the proposed algorithm cuts out the large errors due to impulsive noise, and the output affected by the DC bias noise can be effectively controlled by the lag ${\tau}$ intrinsically embedded in the proposed function.

A Study on the Prediction of Fatigue Life by use of Probability Density Function (확률밀도함수를 이용한 피로균열 발생수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김종호
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.453-461
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    • 1999
  • The estimation of fatigue life at the design stage is very important in order to arrive at feasible and cost effective solutions considering the total lifetime of the structure and machinery compo-nents. In this study the practical procedure of prediction of fatigue life by use of cumulative damage factors based on Miner-Palmgren hypothesis and probability density function is shown with a $135,000m^3$ LNG tank being used as an example. In particular the parameters of Weibull distribution taht determine the stress spectrum are dis-cussed. At the end some of uncertainties associated with fatigue life prediction are discussed. The main results obtained from this study are as follows: 1. The practical procedure of prediction of fatigue life by use of cumulative damage factors expressed in combination of probability density function and S-N data is proposed. 2. The calculated fatigue life is influenced by the shape parameter and stress block. The conser-vative fatigue design can be achieved when using higher value of shape parameter and the stress blocks divded into more stress blocks.

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Optimal Volume Estimation for Non-point Source Control Retention Considering Spatio-Temporal Variation of Land Surface (지표면의 시공간적 변화를 고려한 비점오염원 저감 저류지 최적용량산정)

  • Choi, Daegyu;Kim, Jin Kwan;Lee, Jae Kwan;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2011
  • In this study the optimal volume for non-point source control retention is estimated considering spatio-temporal variation of land surface. The 3-parameter mixed exponential probability density function is used to represent the statistical properties of rainfall events, and NRCS-CN method is applied as rainfall-runoff transformation. The catchment drainage area is divided into individual $30m{\times}30m$ cells, and runoff curve number is estimated at each cell. Using the derived probability density function theory, the stormwater probability density function at each cell is derived from the rainfall probability density function and NRCS-CN rainfall-runoff transformation. Considering the antecedent soil moisture condition at each cell and the spatial variation of CN value at the whole catchment drainage area, the ensemble stormwater capture curve is established to estimate the optimal volume for an non-point source control retention. The comparison between spatio-temporally varied land surface and constant land surface is presented as a case study for a urban drainage area.

Defect Detection algorithm of TFT-LCD Polarizing Film using the Probability Density Function based on Cluster Characteristic (TFT-LCD 영상에서 결함 군집도 특성 기반의 확률밀도함수를 이용한 결함 검출 알고리즘)

  • Gu, Eunhye;Park, Kil-Houm
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.633-641
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    • 2016
  • Automatic defect inspection system is composed of the step in the pre-processing, defect candidate detection, and classification. Polarizing films containing various defects should be minimized over-detection for classifying defect blobs. In this paper, we propose a defect detection algorithm using a skewness of histogram for minimizing over-detection. In order to detect up defects with similar to background pixel, we are used the characteristics of the local region. And the real defect pixels are distinguished from the noise using the probability density function. Experimental results demonstrated the minimized over-detection by utilizing the artificial images and real polarizing film images.