• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimation data traffic

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The Development of Estimation Technique of Freeway Origin-Destination Demand Using a Real Traffic Data of FTMS (교통관리시스템의 실시간 교통자료를 이용한 고속도로 동적OD 추정기법의 개발)

  • Kim, Ju-Young;Lee, Seung-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.23 no.4 s.82
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    • pp.57-69
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    • 2005
  • The goal of this paper is to develop freeway Origin-Destination (OD) demand estimation model using real-time traffic data collected from Freeway Traffic Management System (FTMS). In existing research, the micro-simulation models had been used to get a link distribution proportion by time process. Because of hi-level problem between the traffic flow model and the optimal OD solution algorithm, it is difficult for the existing models to be loaded at FTMS. The formulation of methodology proposed in this paper includes traffic flow technique to be able to remove the bi-level problem and optimal solution algorithm using a genetic algorithm. The proposed methodology is evaluated by using the real-time data of SOHAEAN freeway, South Korea.

Determining Optimal Aggregation Interval Size for Travel Time Estimation and Forecasting with Statistical Models (통행시간 산정 및 예측을 위한 최적 집계시간간격 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Dong-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.55-76
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    • 2000
  • We propose a general solution methodology for identifying the optimal aggregation interval sizes as a function of the traffic dynamics and frequency of observations for four cases : i) link travel time estimation, ii) corridor/route travel time estimation, iii) link travel time forecasting. and iv) corridor/route travel time forecasting. We first develop statistical models which define Mean Square Error (MSE) for four different cases and interpret the models from a traffic flow perspective. The emphasis is on i) the tradeoff between the Precision and bias, 2) the difference between estimation and forecasting, and 3) the implication of the correlation between links on the corridor/route travel time estimation and forecasting, We then demonstrate the Proposed models to the real-world travel time data from Houston, Texas which were collected as Part of the Automatic Vehicle Identification (AVI) system of the Houston Transtar system. The best aggregation interval sizes for the link travel time estimation and forecasting were different and the function of the traffic dynamics. For the best aggregation interval sizes for the corridor/route travel time estimation and forecasting, the covariance between links had an important effect.

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Directional Design Hourly Volume Estimation Model for National Highways (일반국도의 중방향 설계시간 교통량 추정 모형)

  • Lim, Sung-Han;Ryu, Seung-Ki;Byun, Sang-Cheol;Moon, Hak-Yong
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2012
  • Estimating directional design hourly volume (DDHV) is an important aspect of traffic or road engineering practice. DDHV on highway without permanent traffic counters (PTCs) is usually determined by the annual average daily traffic (AADT) being multiplied by the ratio of DHV to AADT (K factor) and the directional split ratio (D factor) recommended by Korea highway capacity manual (KHCM). However, about the validity of this method has not been clearly proven. The main intent of this study is to develop more accurate and efficient DDHV estimation models for national highway in Korea. DDHV characteristics are investigated using the data from permanent traffic counters (PTCs) on national highways in Korea. A linear relationship between DDHV and AADT was identified. So DDHV estimation models using AADT were developed. The results show that the proposed models outperform the KHCM method with the mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE).

Accident Information Based Reliability Estimation Model for Car Insurance Smart Contract (자동차보험용 스마트 컨트랙트를 위한 사고정보 기반 신뢰도 산정 모델)

  • Lee, Soojin;Kim, Aeyoung;Seo, Seung-Hyun
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 2020
  • In order to reduce the time and cost used in insurance processing, studies have been actively carried out to apply blockchain smart contract technology to car insurance. However, by using traffic data that is insufficient to prove accidents, existing studies are being exposed to the risk of insurance fraud, such as forgery and overstated damage by malicious insurers. To solve this problem, we propose an accident data-based reliability estimation model by using both various types of data through sensors, RSUs, and IoT devices embedded in automobiles and smart contracts. In particular, the regression model was applied in consideration of the weight estimation according to the type of traffic accident data and the reliability estimation model trained according to various accident situations. The proposed model is expected to effectively reduce fraud and insurance litigation while providing transparency in the insurance process and streamlining it is well.

PGA: An Efficient Adaptive Traffic Signal Timing Optimization Scheme Using Actor-Critic Reinforcement Learning Algorithm

  • Shen, Si;Shen, Guojiang;Shen, Yang;Liu, Duanyang;Yang, Xi;Kong, Xiangjie
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.11
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    • pp.4268-4289
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    • 2020
  • Advanced traffic signal timing method plays very important role in reducing road congestion and air pollution. Reinforcement learning is considered as superior approach to build traffic light timing scheme by many recent studies. It fulfills real adaptive control by the means of taking real-time traffic information as state, and adjusting traffic light scheme as action. However, existing works behave inefficient in complex intersections and they are lack of feasibility because most of them adopt traffic light scheme whose phase sequence is flexible. To address these issues, a novel adaptive traffic signal timing scheme is proposed. It's based on actor-critic reinforcement learning algorithm, and advanced techniques proximal policy optimization and generalized advantage estimation are integrated. In particular, a new kind of reward function and a simplified form of state representation are carefully defined, and they facilitate to improve the learning efficiency and reduce the computational complexity, respectively. Meanwhile, a fixed phase sequence signal scheme is derived, and constraint on the variations of successive phase durations is introduced, which enhances its feasibility and robustness in field applications. The proposed scheme is verified through field-data-based experiments in both medium and high traffic density scenarios. Simulation results exhibit remarkable improvement in traffic performance as well as the learning efficiency comparing with the existing reinforcement learning-based methods such as 3DQN and DDQN.

A Study on Greenhouse Gas Emissions Estimation based on Mileage Through Accumulation of Activity Databases (활동자료 구축을 통한 주행거리 기반의 온실가스 배출량산정방법에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Bo Ram;Kim, Gyeong Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2014
  • The tier 3 methodology used in estimation of greenhouse gas emissions from road sectors is based on mileage data. However, such data can neither accurately represent the mileage of regional unit nor have sufficient integrated data reflecting the characteristics by region, vehicle type, fuel type and road type. Such estimation of greenhouse gas emissions is not reliable. Accordingly, the purpose of this study is, firstly to accumulate activity data based on distance traveled which enables us to accurately estimate the amount of green gas emitted by regional unit(emission point), and secondly, to develop a methodology for estimation of greenhouse gas emissions using these data. To do this, the study utilizes the mileage data of Korea Transportation Safety Authority(TS), statistics of registered motor vehicles, statistical yearbook of traffic volume from the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport(MLIT), the Korea Transport Database of the Korea Transport Institute(KOTI), and average road speed by local government. Methodology for estimation by local government level(emission point) is meaningful, because it reflects traffic pattern data including flow in and out and internal traffics. Finally, to verify the methodology presented in this study, it is applied to Seoul. Both greenhouse gas estimates, one by multiplying the average mileage and the number of registered vehicles and the other by multiplying traffic volume and road extension, are less than the amount estimated by the methodology presented in this study.

A study on the estimation of AADT by short-term traffic volume survey (단기조사 교통량을 이용한 AADT 추정연구)

  • 이승재;백남철;권희정
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.59-68
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    • 2002
  • AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) can be obtained by using short-term counted traffic data rather than using traffic data collected for 365 days. The process is a very important in estimating AADT using short-term traffic count data. Therefore, There have been many studies about estimating AADT. In this Paper, we tried to improve the process of the AADT estimation based on the former AADT estimation researches. Firstly, we found the factor showing differences among groups. To do so, we examined hourly variables(divided to total hours, weekday hours. Saturday hours, Sunday hours, weekday and Sunday hours, and weekday and Saturday hours) every time changing the number of groups. After all, we selected the hourly variables of Sunday and weekday as the factor showing differences among groups. Secondly, we classified 200 locations into 10 groups through cluster analysis using only monthly variables. The nile of deciding the number of groups is maximizing deviation among hourly variables of each group. Thirdly, we classified 200 locations which had been used in the second step into the 10 groups by applying statistical techniques such as Discriminant analysis and Neural network. This step is for testing the rate of distinguish between the right group including each location and a wrong one. In conclusion, the result of this study's method was closer to real AADT value than that of the former method. and this study significantly contributes to improve the method of AADT estimation.

Intelligent Traffic Prediction by Multi-sensor Fusion using Multi-threaded Machine Learning

  • Aung, Swe Sw;Nagayama, Itaru;Tamaki, Shiro
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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    • v.5 no.6
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    • pp.430-439
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    • 2016
  • Estimation and analysis of traffic jams plays a vital role in an intelligent transportation system and advances safety in the transportation system as well as mobility and optimization of environmental impact. For these reasons, many researchers currently mainly focus on the brilliant machine learning-based prediction approaches for traffic prediction systems. This paper primarily addresses the analysis and comparison of prediction accuracy between two machine learning algorithms: Naïve Bayes and K-Nearest Neighbor (K-NN). Based on the fact that optimized estimation accuracy of these methods mainly depends on a large amount of recounted data and that they require much time to compute the same function heuristically for each action, we propose an approach that applies multi-threading to these heuristic methods. It is obvious that the greater the amount of historical data, the more processing time is necessary. For a real-time system, operational response time is vital, and the proposed system also focuses on the time complexity cost as well as computational complexity. It is experimentally confirmed that K-NN does much better than Naïve Bayes, not only in prediction accuracy but also in processing time. Multi-threading-based K-NN could compute four times faster than classical K-NN, whereas multi-threading-based Naïve Bayes could process only twice as fast as classical Bayes.