• 제목/요약/키워드: estimation activities

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Bayesian in-situ parameter estimation of metallic plates using piezoelectric transducers

  • Asadi, Sina;Shamshirsaz, Mahnaz;Vaghasloo, Younes A.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.735-751
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    • 2020
  • Identification of structure parameters is crucial in Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) context for activities such as model validation, damage assessment and signal processing of structure response. In this paper, guided waves generated by piezoelectric transducers are used for in-situ and non-destructive structural parameter estimation based on Bayesian approach. As Bayesian approach needs iterative process, which is computationally expensive, this paper proposes a method in which an analytical model is selected and developed in order to decrease computational time and complexity of modeling. An experimental set-up is implemented to estimate three target elastic and geometrical parameters: Young's modulus, Poisson ratio and thickness of aluminum and steel plates. Experimental and simulated data are combined in a Bayesian framework for parameter identification. A significant accuracy is achieved regarding estimation of target parameters with maximum error of 8, 11 and 17 percent respectively. Moreover, the limitation of analytical model concerning boundary reflections is addressed and managed experimentally. Pulse excitation is selected as it can excite the structure in a wide frequency range contrary to conventional tone burst excitation. The results show that the proposed non-destructive method can be used in service for estimation of material and geometrical properties of structure in industrial applications.

A discussion from a multi-dimensional curriculum perspective on how to instruct the computational estimation of addition and subtraction (덧셈과 뺄셈의 어림셈 지도 방식에 대한 다차원 교육과정적 관점에서의 논의)

  • Do, Joowon;Paik, Suckyoon
    • The Mathematical Education
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    • v.59 no.3
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    • pp.255-269
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    • 2020
  • In this study, how to instruct the computational estimation of addition and subtraction was considered from the perspective of a 'intended-written-implemented' multi-dimensional curriculum. To this end, the 2015 revised elementary school mathematics curriculum as a intended curriculum and the 2015 revised first~sixth grade textbook as a written curriculum were analyzed with respect to how to instruct the computational estimation of addition and subtraction. As an implemented curriculum, a research study was conducted in relation to the method of instructing teachers about the computational estimation of addition and subtraction. As a result, first, it is necessary to discuss how to develop the ability to estimate and set it as a teaching goal and achievement standard in a separate curriculum to instruct it with learning content. Second, it is necessary to provide an opportunity to learn about various estimation methods by presenting specific activities so that students can learn the estimation itself in a separate operation method. Third, in order to improve the computational estimating ability of addition and subtraction, contents related to the computational estimation need to be included in the achievement criteria, and discussions on the expansion of the areas, and the diversification of the instructing time will be needed.

Evaluating design alternatives based on magnitude estimation (Magnitude Estimation기법을 이용한 설계대안의 평가)

  • 한성호;정의승;정무영;박성준;곽지영;최필성
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.3-13
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    • 1993
  • A psychophysical measurement technique called "magnitude estimation" was used to evaluate several interior design alternatives for a high speed train. Pas- senger activity, seat direction, and passenger age were manipulated by using a three factor within-subjects experimental design. During the experiment, two dependent measures, a line length and a numerical estimate for each alternative design were collected to validate the experimental procedures. The results showed that pasnger seats arranged in the same direction as the running direction of the train was favored nine times more than the opposite. Also, the subjects preferred listening to music in a coach train to the other activities such as reading newspaper, watching a movie, and resting. This paper demonstrates that a psychophysical technique can be sued in the design of a development process, especially when it is difficult to quantify design variables such as subjective opinion or preference, etc.

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A Study on Safety Cos Estimation Using Process Risk Assessment for Polyol Process (polyol공정에 대한 위험성 평가에 의한 안저비용 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jun-Suk;Lee, Young-Soon;Park, Young-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.68-71
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    • 2002
  • A research on accident loss calculation for polyol process without safety management activities, and safety cost estimation using process risk assessment has been implemented. In order to estimate a magnitude of loss, accident scenarios were made by combining result made from HAZOP Study method with accident possibility analysis results implemented with FTA. Also effect assessment was implement for accident consequence of each scenario. And minimum possible loss cost has been calculated when safety investment do or not. Result from cost-benefit analysis was shown as approximately \335 billion(=USS44,000 billion), as cost after subtracting safety management cost from minimum possible loss cost.

Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Osaka, Japan: Future Trends Estimation with an Age-Period-Cohort Model

  • Utada, Mai;Ohno, Yuko;Shimizu, Sachiko;Ito, Yuri;Tsukuma, Hideaki
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.3893-3898
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    • 2012
  • In previous studies we predicted future trends in cancer incidence for each prefecture in order to plan cancer control. Those predictions, however, did not take into account the characteristics of each prefecture. We therefore used the results of age-period-cohort analysis of incidence and mortality data of Osaka, and estimated the incidence and mortality of cancers at all sites and selected sites. The results reflect the characteristics of Osaka, which has and is expected to have large number of patients with liver cancer. We believe our results to be useful for planning and evaluating cancer control activities in Osaka. It would be worthwhile to base the estimation of cancer incidence and mortality in each prefecture on each population-based cancer registry.

DSM Potential Evaluation and Estimation of Commercial Sector (업무용 부문의 DSM 장재량 평가절차 및 절전잠재량 추정)

  • Park, Jong-Jin;Rhee, Chang-Ho;Jo, In-Seung
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.253-255
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the methodology of DSM potential evaluation and estimation of commercial sector in Korea. In general, the estimation process of the potential savings of DSM activities include the determination of baseline electricity consumption, the instantaneous technical potential (ITP), the phased technical potential (PTP), the economic potential (EP), and the achievable potential(AP). The purpose of this paper is to provide evaluation process of those DSM potential savings based on top-down approach and apply it to commercial sector.

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Decision Support System for Project Duration Estimation Model (프로젝트기간 예측모델을 위한 의사결정 지원시스템)

  • 조성빈
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.369-374
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    • 2000
  • Despite their tilde application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today due to a static view far prefect progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by learning based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g. the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within talc due date and by a certain date. By Implementing such customized systems, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

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Decision Support System for Project Duration Estimation Model (프로젝트기간예측모델을 위한 의사결정지원시스템)

  • 조성빈
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2000
  • Despite their wide application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today, due to a static view for project progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by loaming based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project Progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g., the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within the due bate and by a certain date. By implementing such customized system, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

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Measuring Workload of Home Visit Care Activities Using Relative Values (방문요양 행위 업무량의 상대적 가치 측정)

  • Han, Seong-Ok;Park, Eun-Cheol;Kang, Dae-Ryong;Kang, Im-Ok
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.331-338
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    • 2008
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to measure the workload of home visit care activities and their relative values. This study examined also factors that affect the workload of home visit care activities. Methods : The participants of this study were 126 home-helpers of 50 home visit care agencies at the 2nd Long-term Care Insurance Demonstration Project. The workload of home visit care activities was divided into total work and four dimensions ; physical efforts, mental efforts, stress and time. Home visit care activities consisted of four categories with 24 items. We used magnitude estimation method to measure their relative values of the four dimensions. The participants answered the relative values of each activities based on the reference service. We used the activity for supporting their elderly's evacuation as the reference service. Results : Most of the respondents were over 40 years old female. They consumed most their time supporting elderly's going out. They consumed their highest physical, mental efforts, and stress for activities of coping with emergency situation. The Pearson correlation coefficients showed significant relationships between workload and each dimensions. This study showed that all four dimensions are statistically significant predictors of workload of home visit care activities. Also, we found that the home-helper's career affects the workload of home visit care activities. Conclusions : The workload of home visit care activities could be explained by physical efforts, mental efforts, stress and time.

Analysis of Nursing Intensity Related to Nursing Activities in Operating Room using the Relative Value Scale For Nursing Cost (간호수가 산정을 위한 상대가치를 이용한 수술실 간호행위 간호강도 분석)

  • Ha, Ru Mee;Kwon, Kyoung Ja;Woo, Jin Ha;Kim, Jung A
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.162-176
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to perform an operating room nursing activities analysis and estimate nursing intensity of each nursing activity based on the Relative Value Scale (RVS). Methods: The methodology for this study of RVS was based on the work of Hsiao et al. The first stage was to identify nursing activities and the second to measure intensity of nursing activities including technical skill, mental effort, and stress. Results: Calculation of the RVS for 99 nursing practices showed a score range from 300.00 to 1337.78. CS operation assistant, OS operation assistant, and obtaining certification had high nursing intensity. Surgical hand washing, putting on surgical gowns, surgical gloves and surgical caps and mask had low nursing intensity. Conclusion: The activities of operating room are not compensated separately but reimbursement is usually included in physician fees. In the future, an estimation of nursing cost should show the nursing contribution rate to total operation revenue.