• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimating function

Search Result 1,002, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

A Study on the Optimum-Path for Traffic of Road Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 도로교통(道路交通)의 최적경로(最適經路) 선정(選定)에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Myoung-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
    • /
    • v.5 no.2 s.10
    • /
    • pp.131-144
    • /
    • 1997
  • Traffic jam densified day by day is phenomenon to occur lack of the road capacity in comparison with traffic density, but lack of the road cannot be concluded by main cause of traffic ism. Because the central function of a city would be concentrated upon the downtown and traffic demand would not be evenly distributed by the classification of an hour. Therefore, this study based on the fact that each driver will select the route generating traffic delay very low when path choice from origin to destination in travel plan estimating the quality of passage could be maintained the speed he want will approach to a characteristic grasp of a road, traffic, driver changing every moment by traffic-demand of road increased as a geometrical series with analysis a classification of a street, a intersection along the path on traffic density and highway capacity analysis the path using GIS techniques about complex street network, also will get the path of actual optimum for traffic delay trend creating under various condition the classification per a hour, a day of week and an incident through network such as analysis for traffic generation zone adjacent about street, intersection, afterward will expect the result increasing efficiency of the road-use through a good distribution of traffic by optimum-path choice, accordingly will prepare the scientific, objective, appropriate basis to decide the reasonable time of a road-widen and expansion through section analysis along a rate of traffic volume vs. road capacity.

  • PDF

On the Reclamation Earthwork Calculation using the Hermite and Spline Function (Hermite와 Spline 함수를 이용한 매립토공량 계산)

  • Mun, Du-Yeoul;Lee, Yong-Hee;Lee, Mun-Jae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.473-479
    • /
    • 2002
  • The estimation of the volume of a pit excavation is often required in many surveying, soil mechanics, highway applications and transportation engineering situations. The calculation of earthwork plays a major role in plan or design of many civil engineering projects such as seashore reclamation, and thus it has become very important to improve the accuracy of earthwork calculation. In this paper the spot height method, proposed formulas(A, B, C), and chen and Line method are compared with the volumes of the pits in these examples. And we proposed an algorithm of finding a terrain surface with the free boundary conditions and both direction spline method drawback, i.e., the modeling curves form peak points at the joints. To avoid this drawback, the cubic spline polynomial was chosen as the methematical model of the new method. From the characteristics of the cubic spline polynomial, the modeling curve of the new method was smooth and matched the ground profile well. As a result of this study, algorithm of proposed three methods to estimate pit excavation volume provided a better accuracy than spot height, chamber, chen and Lin method. And the mathematical model mentioned makes is thought to give a maximum acccuracy in estimating the volume of a pit excavation.

Assessment of uncertainty associated with parameter of gumbel probability density function in rainfall frequency analysis (강우빈도해석에서 Bayesian 기법을 이용한 Gumbel 확률분포 매개변수의 불확실성 평가)

  • Moon, Jang-Won;Moon, Young-Il;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.5
    • /
    • pp.411-422
    • /
    • 2016
  • Rainfall-runoff modeling in conjunction with rainfall frequency analysis has been widely used for estimating design floods in South Korea. However, uncertainties associated with underlying distribution and sampling error have not been properly addressed. This study applied a Bayesian method to quantify the uncertainties in the rainfall frequency analysis along with Gumbel distribution. For a purpose of comparison, a probability weighted moment (PWM) was employed to estimate confidence interval. The uncertainties associated with design rainfalls were quantitatively assessed using both Bayesian and PWM methods. The results showed that the uncertainty ranges with PWM are larger than those with Bayesian approach. In addition, the Bayesian approach was able to effectively represent asymmetric feature of underlying distribution; whereas the PWM resulted in symmetric confidence interval due to the normal approximation. The use of long period data provided better results leading to the reduction of uncertainty in both methods, and the Bayesian approach showed better performance in terms of the reduction of the uncertainty.

Framework for Optimum Scale Determination for Small Hydropower Development Using Economic Analysis (경제성분석에 의한 소수력 개발의 최적규모 결정 방안)

  • Kim, Kil-Ho;Yi, Choong-Sung;Lee, Jin-Hee;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.40 no.12
    • /
    • pp.995-1005
    • /
    • 2007
  • This study presents a framework for optimum scale determination for small hydropower development in a river basin. The framework includes the construction of hydrology and topography data, the simulation of hydropower operation, the economic analysis, and the determination of optimum scale of the small hydropower. The optimum scale of design flow and facility are determined by Net Present Value among economic analysis indices. The investment cost is estimated by the cost function derived from the construction cost of existing small hydropower plants. The benefit from power generation is estimated by the price announced by government. The presented framework is applied to the two potential sites in Cho River basin for the dam and run-of-river type of plants. Finally, the sensitivity analysis for a design flow and scale of the plant is performed for the each site. The usage of the framework presented in the study is highly expected for the estimation of potential hydropower resources or the decision support tool for a proprietor by estimating the optimum scale and economical feasibility in advance.

An Approach for Improvement of Goodness of Fit on the Estimation of Paddy Rice Yield Using Satellite(MODIS) Images (MODIS 영상을 이용한 논벼 생산량 추정모형의 적합도 개선을 위한 연구)

  • Kim, Bae-Sung;Kim, Jae-Hwan;Ko, Seong-Bo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.14 no.11
    • /
    • pp.5417-5422
    • /
    • 2013
  • This research was performed in order to improve the goodness of fit of paddy rice production forecasting using MODIS images and to find out appropriate explanatory variables in the forecasting model. The aim of this paper is to review the use of satellite images for the survey of paddy rice production in Korea. Many developed countries, including the United States, Australia, and Japan, have been using satellite images to produce agricultural statistics such as crop production, cultivated acreage, etc. The survey accuracy of crop production by using satellite images, however, is not satisfied in practical use. In this paper, we reviewed several methods to increase the survey accuracy of rice production statistics, gained from satellite images. Rice was selected for this study because its cultivated area and production amount could be more easily identified than other crops by using satellite images. The MODIS images were used because they involved more appropriate images to estimate and analyze rice production. This study estimated yield functions by using the NDVIs, gained from paddy rice yields and annual average isothermal lines, and the meteorological variables such as sunshine hours, rainfall, and temperature during ripening stage. As a result of yield function estimation, the goodness of fit(R-squared) for the models was shown from 0.768 to 0.891. In this study, it is noteworthy academically and practically that vegetation index(NDVIs) identified by annual average isothermal lines and meteorological variables are very useful for estimating yield functions.

Estimation of Optimal Empirical Equations based on Sediments of Ageing Reservoir Estimated Using Autonomous Navigation USV (자율항법 무인측량선을 이용하여 산정된 노후저수지의 퇴사량 기준 최적경험식 산정)

  • Won, Chang-Hee;Yoon, HyeonCheol;kim, Won-Beom
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-9
    • /
    • 2020
  • Acritical function of a nation is to protect its people's lives and properties from natural disasters such as a drought. A drought affects many aspects of human life, including social, economic, and industrial activities. Approximately 75.7% of reservoirs in Korea are over 50 years old.Sedimentation over the years may have caused a situation where storage capacity of the reservoirs is no longer sufficient and compliant with the original reservoir specifications. This study analyzes storage capacities for ten aged reservoirs using the autonomous navigation USV. It compares these capacities with sediment estimated by conventional empirical equations. Comparisons were made to the original specifications for the reservoirs.Storage capacity of six reservoirs decreased in a range between 16.2%-55.3% and storage capacity of 4 reservoirs increased in a range between 1.5%-380.2%. This data was compared to data derived from estimating sediment by empirical equations. Yoon's equation(1982) appeared more accurate than Sur's equation(1988) in Uhlinzi and Yongpo reservoirs, and Sur's equation(1988), however, appeared more accurate than Yoon's equation in Daegok, Ugok2 and Ochi reservoirs. The significant ranges of sedimentation shown in this study suggest that it is worth continuously surveying reservoirs to ensure their efficient management and operation.

Optimization of Z-R relationship in the summer of 2014 using a micro genetic algorithm (마이크로 유전알고리즘을 이용한 2014년 여름철 Z-R 관계식 최적화)

  • Lee, Yong Hee;Nam, Ji-Eun;Joo, Sangwon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-8
    • /
    • 2016
  • The Korea Meteorological Administration has operated the Automatic Weather Stations, of the average 13 km horizontal resolution, to observe rainfall. However, an additional RADAR network also has been operated in all-weather conditions, because AWS network could not observed rainfall over the sea. In general, the rain rate is obtained by estimating the relationship between the radar reflectivity (Z) and the rainfall (R). But this empirical relationship needs to be optimized on the rainfall over the Korean peninsula. This study was carried out to optimize the Z-R relationship in the summer of 2014 using a parallel Micro Genetic Algorithm. The optimized Z-R relationship, $Z=120R^{1.56}$, using a micro genetic algorithm was different from the various Z-R relationships that have been previously used. However, the landscape of the fitness function found in this study looked like a flat plateau. So there was a limit to the fine estimation including the complex development and decay processes of precipitation between the ground and an altitude of 1.5km.

A Study on the Dynamic Amplification Characteristics of the Domestic Seismic Observation Sites using Shear- and Coda-Wave (S파 및 Coda파를 이용한 국내 관측소지반의 동적 증폭특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jun-Kyoung
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.19 no.5
    • /
    • pp.432-439
    • /
    • 2009
  • For more reliable estimation of seismic source, attenuation properties and dynamic ground property, site amplification function should be considered. Among various estimation methods, this study used the Nakamura's method (1989) for estimating site amplification characteristics. This method was originally applied to the surface waves of background noise and therefore there are some limitations in applying to general wave energy. However, recently this method has been extended and applied to the S wave energy successfully. This study applied the method to S wave and Coda wave energy, which is equivalent to the backscattered S wave energy. We used more than 60 observed ground motions from 5 earthquakes which were occurred recently, with magnitude range from 3.6 to 5.1. Each station showed characteristic site amplification property in low-, high- and resonance frequencies. Some of the stations showed as high as 4 times of site amplification in the range of specific frequencies, which may imply abnormal small scale geologic strata below the station or development of various trapped modes in the basin structure. Moreover, removal of site amplification can give us more reliable seismic source and attenuation parameters, addition to the seismic hazard estimation.

Estimation of Safety in Railway Tunnel by Using Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA를 이용한 철도터널 방재 안전성 평가)

  • Kim, Do-Sik;Kim, Do-Hyung;Kim, Woo-Sung;Lee, Du-Hwa;Lee, Ho-Seok
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.16 no.5 s.64
    • /
    • pp.357-367
    • /
    • 2006
  • Recently, as the construction of new railway and the relocation of existing line increase, tunnel structures grow longer. The railway fire accidents in long tunnel bring large damages of human life and disaster. The interest of safety in long tunnel have a growing and the safety standard of long tunnel is tightening. For that reason, at the planning of long tunnel, the optimum design of safety facility in long tunnel for minimizing the risks and satisfying the safety standard is needed. For the reasonable design of long railway tunnel considering high safety, qualitative estimation for tunnel safety is required. In this study, QRA (Quantitative Risk Assessment) technique is applied to design of long railway tunnel for assuring the safety function and estimating the risk of safety. The case study for safety design in long railway tunnel is tarried out to verifying the QRA technique for two railway tunnels. Thus, the inclined and vertical shaft for escape way and safety facilities in long tunnel are planned, and the risks of tunnel safety for each case are estimated quantitatively.

A Literature Review of Spillover Mechanisms and Methodology to Evaluate the Spillover Effect of Public Funded R&D Programs (공공연구개발사업의 기술파급효과 측정을 위한 기술파급 메커니즘과 측정 방법론에 대한 문헌연구)

  • Lee, Younsuk;Yoon, Hyoung-No;Choi, Jeong-Woo
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.225-260
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this paper, we present a literature review of the mechanisms and methodology for technology spillover, in order to provide a theoretical and practical foundation for estimating the technology spillover effect of public funded R&D programs. Our research consists of four parts. First, we investigate what technology spillover is and how it works. Second, we review the methodology used to empirically measure technology spillover, with a view to understanding the advantages and disadvantages of each method. Third, we identify the gap between the spillover phenomenon and its estimated results, caused by the limitations of the methodology, and discuss the challenges in measuring technology spillover. Finally, we present several considerations to improve the measurement of technology spillover in the context of public funded R&D programs. Our paper provides policy makers and researchers with basic knowledge about technology spillover and helps them suitably evaluate the results obtained from the literature review. In addition, it contributes towards improving the existing methodology by recognizing the gap between the spillover phenomenon and the methodology.