• Title/Summary/Keyword: estimated availability

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Modeling and Forecasting Livestock Feed Resources in India Using Climate Variables

  • Suresh, K.P.;Kiran, G. Ravi;Giridhar, K.;Sampath, K.T.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.462-470
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    • 2012
  • The availability and efficient use of the feed resources in India are the primary drivers to maximize productivity of Indian livestock. Feed security is vital to the livestock management, extent of use, conservation and productivity enhancement. Assessment and forecasting of livestock feed resources are most important for effective planning and policy making. In the present study, 40 years of data on crop production, land use pattern, rainfall, its deviation from normal, area under crop and yield of crop were collected and modeled to forecast the likely production of feed resources for the next 20 years. The higher order auto-regressive (AR) models were used to develop efficient forecasting models. Use of climatic variables (actual rainfall and its deviation from normal) in combination with non-climatic factors like area under each crop, yield of crop, lag period etc., increased the efficiency of forecasting models. From the best fitting models, the current total dry matter (DM) availability in India was estimated to be 510.6 million tonnes (mt) comprising of 47.2 mt from concentrates, 319.6 mt from crop residues and 143.8 mt from greens. The availability of DM from dry fodder, green fodder and concentrates is forecasted at 409.4, 135.6 and 61.2 mt, respectively, for 2030.

Photovoltaic Hybrid Systems Reliability and Availability

  • Zahran, Mohamed B.A.
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.145-150
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    • 2003
  • Reliability, availability, and cost have been the major concerns for photovoltaic hybrid systems since their beginning as primary sources for much critical applications like communication units and repeaters. This paper descnbes the performance of two hybrid systems, photovoltaic-battery, wind-turbine coupled with the public-grid (PVBWG) hybrid system and photovoltaic-battery, wind-turbine coupled With the diesel generator (PVBWD) hybrid system The systems are sized to power a typical 300W/48V de telecommunication load continuously throughout the year Such hybrid systems consist of subsystems, which in turn consist of components Failure of anyone of these components may cause failure of the entire system. The reliability and availability basics, and estimation procedure for the two proposals are introduced also in this paper. The PVBWG and PVBWD system configurations are shown with the relevant mean-time-between-faIlure (MTBF) and failure rate (${\lambda}$) of each component. The characteristics equations of the two systems are deduced as a function of operating hours and the percentage of sun and wind availabilities per day. The system probability failure as well as the reliability is estimated based on the fault tree analysis technique. The results show that, by using standard or normal components MTBF, the PVBWG is more reliable and the time of periodic maintenance period is more than one year especially in the rich sites of both sun and wind, but PVBWD competes else Also, in the first five years from the system installation, the system is quit reliable and may not require any maintenance. The results show also, as the sun and wind are available, as the system reliable and available.

Acidification and Changes of Mineral Nutrient Availability in Soils Amended with Elemental Sulfur

  • Kim, Byoung-Ho;Chung, Jong-Bae
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 2011
  • With the increasing cultivation of acid-loving plants such as blueberries, the artificial acidification of soils is frequently required. This research was conducted to determine the application rates of elemental sulfur (S) required in the soil acidification for blueberry cultivation. Laboratory incubation experiment was conducted to acidify three arable soils (pH 6-7) of different texture to pH 4.5-5.0 by the addition of varying amounts of elemental S. All rates of elemental S addition reduced soil pH, although the efficacy of acidification was related to the application rate and soil characteristics. pH reduction was slow in sandy loam soil, and the final equilibrium pH was obtained after 60, 43, and 30 days of incubation in sandy loam, loam, and silty clay, respectively. Although the final pHs obtained after 93 days of incubation were not significantly different among the three soils, the equilibrium pH was relatively higher in soil of higher clay content in the application rates of 1.5-2.0 g S $kg^{-1}$ soil. The estimated amounts of elemental S required in lowering pH to 4.5-5.0 were 0.59-1.01, 0.67-1.03, and 0.53-0.88 g S $kg^{-1}$ for sandy loam, loam, and silty clay, respectively. The lowest estimated amount of elemental S in the acidification of silty clay soil was attributable to the low organic matter content. For clay soils containing optimum level of organic matter, the application rates of elemental S should be much higher than those values estimated in this research. Soil acidification did not significantly increase the available concentrations of Ca, Mg and K. Extractable Cu and Zn was not greatly affected by the acidification, but extractable Fe, Mn, and Al in the acidified soils were higher than those found in non-acidified soils. Such increases in solubility are attributable to the dissolution of oxides and hydroxides of the elements.

Simulation-based Reliability and Maintainability Design of a Warship (시뮬레이션 기반 함정의 신뢰도와 보전도 설정)

  • Han, Young Jin;Yun, Won Young;You, Jea Woo;Choi, Chung Hyun;Kim, Hee Wook
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.461-472
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we deal with a simulation-based reliability and maintainability design problem of a warship and want to determine the optimal values of MTBF and MTTR of all units and ALDT of the warship. The system availability and life cycle cost are used as optimization criteria and estimated by simulation. A hybrid genetic algorithm with a heuristic method is proposed to find near-optimal solutions and numerical examples are also studied to investigate the effect of model parameters to the optimal solutions and compare with a general genetic algorithm.

Link Availability of Terrestrial Free-space Optical Communication Systems in Korea (우리나라 옥외 무선광통신 시스템의 링크 가용성)

  • Mai, Vuong V.;Ha, Dung T.;Kim, Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2018
  • We analyze the link availability of terrestrial free-space optical (FSO) communication systems in Korea. For this purpose, we utilize several theoretical models to calculate the power losses induced by absorption and scattering in the atmospheric channel, using five-year meteorological data for three major cities in Korea (Seoul, Busan, and Daejeon). Also, we estimate the power variations at the receiver caused by scintillation in the data. Those power losses and variations are used to estimate the availability of FSO links in the three cities. The results show that link availability is estimated to be over 95% in Daejeon for a 3.5-km FSO link, when the transmitter power and receiver diameter are greater than 10 dBm and 7 cm respectively. Slightly worse link availabilities are obtained for Busan and Seoul.

Distribution of Relative Evapotranspiration Availability using Satellite Data in Daegu Metropolitan (위성 자료를 이용한 대구광역시의 상대적 증발산 효율 분포)

  • Kim, Hae-Dong;Im, Jin-Wook;Lee, Soon-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.677-686
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    • 2006
  • Surface evapotranspiration is one of the most important factors to determine the surface energy budget, and its estimation is strongly related with the accuracy of weather forecasting. Surface evapotranspiration over Daegu Metropolitan was estimated using high resolution LANDSAT TM data. The estimation of surface evapotranspiration is based on the relationship between surface radiative temperature and vegetation index provided by a TM sensor. The distribution of NDVI (Normalized Difference of Vegetation Index) corresponds well with that of land-used in Deagu Metropolitan. The temperature of several part of downtown in Deagu metropolitan is lower in comparison with the averaged radiative temperature. This is caused by the high evapotranspiration from dense vegetation like DooRyu Park in Deagu Metropolitan. But, weak evapotranspiration availability is distinguished over the central part of downtown and the difference of evapotranspiration availability on industrial complexes and residential area is also clear.

A Study on the Water Resources Assessment for Irrigation Scheme in Malawi

  • AHN, SungSick;Kim, Jin-Hong
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.178-186
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    • 2018
  • Generally, in terms of the development of irrigation scheme, the efficient water resource management that supplies the irrigation water in consideration of the required time and accurate quantity to grow the crop should be conducted. The water resource assessment should precede to supply the irrigation water efficiently. The water resources assessment is divided into the water requirement analysis and the water availability assessment. In case of Korea, the major crop is paddy rice unlike crops of Africa, such as sugarcane, maize, and cassava, etc. Because it is not familiar with the method for upland irrigation development in tropical area, it needs to know the water resources assessment for irrigation scheme development about these crops. The Natama Scheme in Chiradzulu District of the Southern Malawi was selected as study area, which has tropical climate. From the collected meteorological data, the evapotranspiration was analyzed by Penman-Monteith Method and the effective rainfall was analyzed by USDA Soil Conservation Service Method. This study displays the results that for study area, the evapotranspiration varies from 2.80 mm/day to 5.51 mm/day and the effective rainfall varied from 2.1mm to 149.0mm. According to the selected crop (Green Maize, Dry Maize), the unit water requirement (UWR) and water demand (WD) considering the irrigation efficiency, irrigation time and irrigation area were estimated to be $0.00122m^3/s/ha$ and $0.0122m^3/s$ respectively. For the water availability assessment, the runoff of Natama scheme was calculated by specific yield method. The water availability was evaluated through reviewed differences of discharge between $Q80_{intake}$ and Total WD, and the irrigation water can be supplied sufficiently in the existing 10ha of Natama scheme. As a result of reviewing the extensibility of irrigable area, total WD of scheme is $0.02313m^3/s$, and $Q80_{intake}$ is $0.02387m^3/s$ ($Q80_{intake}$ > Total WD). Therefore, Natama scheme can be extended from 10 ha to 17 ha in the dry season in consideration of the $Q80_{intake}$.

Lactation Performance of German Fawn Goat in Relation to Feeding Level and Dietary Protein Protection

  • Chowdhury, S.A.;Rexroth, H.;Kijora, C.;Peters, K.J.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.222-237
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    • 2002
  • Effects of high and low levels of feeding with or without protected protein on the performance of lactating goats were studied. Twenty four German Fawn goats either from 1st ($43.37{\pm}3.937$ kg and 2 year old) or 3rd $62.64{\pm}6.783$ kg and 4-5 year old) parity were used for the trial. Feeding levels were 7.2 (I) and 5.2 (II) MJ ME/litre of milk of 3.5% fat in addition to that of the maintenance allowance. At each feeding level, diet had either unprotected (U) or formaldehyde protected (P) soya-meal. Thus, four diets were IU, IP, IIU and IIP, having six animals in each. The diets were composed of hay and pellet (10:4:1 of beet pulp : barley : soya-meal). Effect of feeding level, protein protection, parity, health status and kid number on intake, milk yield, milk composition, growth rate of goats were recorded across the 21 weeks of study. High feeding level resulted increase (p<0.001) in estimated metabolizable energy (ME) and metabolizable protein (MP) availability. Dietary inclusion of protected soya-meal increased (p<0.001) the estimated MP but not the ME availability. Animals in 1st parity ate more (p<0.001) DM (111 vs. 102 g/kg $W^{0.75}$/d) than those in 3rd parity. Animals with twin kids (110 g/kg $W^{0.75}$/d) had higher (p<0.001) DM intake than those with single kid (102 g/kg $W^{0.75}$/d). Fat (4%) corrected milk (FCM) yield was not effected by high (1,924 g/d) or low (1,927 g/d) feeding level but increased (p<0.001) with protected (2,166 g/d) compared with unprotected (1,703 g/d) soya-meal. FCM yield for four dietary combinations were 1,806, 2,078, 1,600 and 2,254 g/d for diets IU, IP, IIU and IIP, respectively. For unit increase (g) in estimated MP availability relative to ME (MJ) intake, FCM yield increased ($1,418{\pm}275.6$) g daily ($r^2$=0.58; p<0.001). Milk fat (3.14 vs. 3.54%; p<0.001) and protein (2.94 vs. 3.04% p<0.05) contents were lower at high than the low feeding level. Protected protein increased (p<0.001) the fat, lactose and net energy (NE) content of milk. Milk urea concentration of 175, 183, 192 and 204 mg/l for diets IU, IP, IIU and IIP, respectively indicated lower RDP content of these diets. The RDP contents were 6.97, 6.70, 7.30 and 6.83 g/MJ of ME for diets IU, IP, IIU and IIP, respectively. Live weight change over the experimental period were 41, 6, 17 and 19 g/d. Absence of any positive response of high feeding was probably due to inefficient rumen fermentation resulting from inadequate RDP supply. Protected protein improved production performance apparently by increasing MP:ME ratio in the absorbed nutrient.

Study on Joint Technology for HTS Field Coils (고온초전도 계자코일 제작을 위한 접합기술 연구)

  • 손명환;김석환;백승규;조영식;서무교;이언용;권영길;윤문수
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Applied Superconductivity and Cryogenics Conference
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    • 2002.02a
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    • pp.256-258
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    • 2002
  • Six different types of joining between two parallel high Tc super-conducting tapes were prepared and I-V characteristic curves were obtained at the atmosphere of liquid nitrogen. Resistances in joint parts were estimated from I-V curves. We selected the best jointing method among these six methods and its availability for fabricating HTS field coils is discussed.

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Local Bandwidth Selection for Nonparametric Regression

  • Lee, Seong-Woo;Cha, Kyung-Joon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.453-463
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    • 1997
  • Nonparametric kernel regression has recently gained widespread acceptance as an attractive method for the nonparametric estimation of the mean function from noisy regression data. Also, the practical implementation of kernel method is enhanced by the availability of reliable rule for automatic selection of the bandwidth. In this article, we propose a method for automatic selection of the bandwidth that minimizes the asymptotic mean square error. Then, the estimated bandwidth by the proposed method is compared with the theoretical optimal bandwidth and a bandwidth by plug-in method. Simulation study is performed and shows satisfactory behavior of the proposed method.

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