• 제목/요약/키워드: estimate the future value

검색결과 153건 처리시간 0.03초

Assessment of the willingness to pay in relation to public value in forests

  • Park, Jaehong;Kim, Sounghun;Hong, Seungjee
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제48권3호
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    • pp.545-555
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    • 2021
  • This study aimed quantitatively to estimate the recent level of recognition of the public value of forests in Korea, to analyze the factors that affect their value, and to present implications. The average annual payment regarding the public value of forests estimated using the contingent valuation method was 234,170 won, broken down into 12 functionalities. The Tobit model was used to analyze demographic factors affecting the degree of willingness to pay, and the analysis showed that area of residence, age, marital status, occupation, household income, and visits to forest facilities all had statistically significant impacts on the degree of willingness to pay. Among these variables, living area (living in Seoul), marriage status (married), occupation (professional and office workers), and household income (more than the median income) were found to have a positive relationship with the degree of willingness to pay, while age and the number of visits to forest facilities were found to have a negative relationship. The implications are as follows: First, it is necessary to establish and implement policies to enhance positive perceptions of the various functions of forests and the legitimacy of protecting forest resources, considering that the public's valuation of various public functions provided by forests is directly related to changes in perception. Second, public evaluations of the public value of forests remain at a low level, meaning that education and promotions regarding the public value of forests need to be implemented and strengthened in the future. Finally, in order to form a consensus among people on the public functions of forests, customized promotions and educational events need to be implemented for non-Seoul residents, non-professionals, the unmarried, and for those who regularly visit forests.

수산자원보호구역의 보전 가치 추정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Estimation of Conservation Value of Fisheries Resource Protected Area using CVM)

  • 강석규
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.33-51
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate conservation value of fisheries resource protected area by the double-bounded dichotomous choice contingent valuation method. The data in this analysis come from a survey of respondents of resident in fisheries resource protected area using a proportional stratified sampling from the population. The questionnaires covered all the 5 fisheries resource protected area and the sample size of every protected area was 120 questionnaires. The survey period was from August to October in 2016. Above all, the average willingness to pay amount(WTP) per person of Namhae-Tongyoung I, Namhae-Tongyoung II, Jindong bay, Hansan bay, Cheonsu bay is estimated \6,215, \13,215, \6,405, \9,785, and \10,390 respectively. And, the total value of Namhae-Tongyoung I, Namhae-Tongyoung II, Jindong bay, Hansan bay, and Cheonsu bay is evaluated \108.8 billion, \357 billion, \118 billion, 210.2 billion, \ 245.8 billion respectively. Moreover, the yearly value of Namhae-Tongyoung I, Namhae-Tongyoung II, Jindong bay, Hansan bay, and Cheonsu bay is evaluated \6 billion, \19.6 billion, \6.5 billion, 11.6 billion, \ 13.5 billion. In conclusion, fisheries resource protected area has the higher conservational value. Consequently, it is essential for now or future generation's use of fisheries resources. In light of the fisheries resource protected area's value and importance, this should be promoted to the public including the local community who utilizes fisheries resource protected area wisely. Also, this suggests that the policy for fishery resource's creation and management is needed in fisheries resource protected area.

여수세계박람회장 사후시설 인식도 조사 및 비시장가치 분석 (Research of Cognition Degree and Non-market Value for Yeosu World Exposition Expost Facto Service)

  • 신승식
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 2012년 여수세계박람회장의 사후활용에 대한 현재의 진행 사항과 국민들의 인식 정도를 살펴보고, 이에 따른 사후활용시설의 비시장가치를 추정하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 여수세계박람회장의 사후활용 조성 방향에 대해 살펴 본 후 현재 추진이 지연되고 있는 사후활용 추진 현황에 대해 검토해 보았다. 또한 일반 국민들이 여수세계박람회장 사후활용에 대한 인식도 조사를 위해 전국에서 900명의 표본을 선출하여 여수세계박람회장의 방문의사 등의 설문을 수행하였다. 그리고 이와 아울러 조건부가치측정법(CVM)을 이용하여 여수세계박람회장의 비시장가치를 추정하였다. 추정 결과 여수세계박람회장 사후활용시설은 연간 508억원, 5년간 총 2,171억원인 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 여수세계박람회장의 사후활용시설이 잠재적 가치가 매우 크며, 정부는 향후 추진방향의 설정이 이를 고려할 필요가 있다는 점을 암시하고 있다.

SWAT 모형을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 만경강 유역에서의 수문 및 수질 영향 평가 (Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Hydrology and Water Quality using SWAT Model in the Mankyung Watershed)

  • 김동현;황세운;장태일;소현철
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제60권6호
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    • pp.83-96
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this study was to estimate the climate change impact on water quantity and quality to Saemanguem watershed using SWAT (Soil and water assessment tool) model. The SWAT model was calibrated and validated using observed data from 2008 to 2017 for the study watershed. The $R^2$ (Determination coefficient), RMSE (Root mean square error), and NSE (Nash-sutcliffe efficiency coefficient) were used to evaluate the model performance. RCP scenario data were produced from 10 GCM (General circulation model) and all relevant grid data including the major observation points (Gusan, Jeonju, Buan, Jeongeup) were extracted. The systematic error evaluation of the GCM model outputs was performed as well. They showed various variations based on analysis of future climate change effects. In future periods, the MIROC5 model showed the maximum values and the CMCC-CM model presented the minimum values in the climate data. Increasing rainfall amount was from 180mm to 250mm and increasing temperature value ranged from 1.7 to $5.9^{\circ}C$, respectively, compared with the baseline (2006~2017) in 10 GCM model outputs. The future 2030s and 2070s runoff showed increasing rate of 16~29% under future climate data. The future rate of change for T-N (Total nitrogen) and T-P (Total phosphorus) loads presented from -26 to +0.13% and from +5 to 47%, respectively. The hydrologic cycle and water quality from the Saemanguem headwater were very sensitive to projected climate change scenarios so that GCM model should be carefully selected for the purpose of use and the tendency analysis of GCM model are needed if necessary.

금강유역의 하천유지유량 산정 (stimation of River Maintenance Water in the Geum River Watershed)

  • 안상진;김종섭
    • 물과 미래
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 1991
  • 본 연구는 금강유역의 주요수위표 지점에서 하천유지유량을 산정하는데 그 목적이 있다. 하천유지 유량을 산정하는 방법에는 수요적인 측면과 공급적인 측면 두가지로 분류할 수 있다. 본 논문에서 하천유지유량의 개념은 평균갈수량과 환경보존유량중 큰 값으로 결정하였다. 하천유지유량의 산정에서 대청댐 상류지역은 평균갈수량으로, 대청댐 하류지역은 평균갈수량과 QUAL2E 모형으로 산정된 수질보전유량값 중 큰 값을 하천유지유량으로 결정하였다. 그 결과 대청댐 하류인 공주와 규암지점 모두 평균갈수량 값이 크게 나타났으며 그 값은 공주지점에서 33.82$m^3$/sec, 규암 지점은 51.51$m^3$/sec 이였다. 그러므로 금강유역의 하천유지유량의 산정은 평균갈수량으로 결정하는것이 타당하다고 판단되었다.

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Biomaterials toward Future Medicine

  • Sakurai, Yasuhisa
    • 대한의용생체공학회:의공학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.117-118
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    • 1986
  • It is well known that nonlinear propagation characteristics of the wave in the tissue may give very useful information for the medical diagnoisis. In this paper, a new method to detect nonlinear propagation characteristics of the internal vibration in the tissue for the low frequency mechanical vibration by using bispectral analysis is proposed. In the method, low frequency vibration of f0( = 100Hz) is applied on the surface of the object, and the waveform of the internal vibration x (t) is measured from Doppler frequency modulation of silmultaneously transmitted probing ultrasonic waves. Then, the bispectra of the signal x (t) at the frequencies (f0, f0) and (f0, 2f0) are calculated to estimate the nonlinear propagation characteristics as their magnitude ratio, w here since bispectrum is free from the gaussian additive noise we can get the value with high S/N. Basic experimental system is constructed by using 3.0 MHz probing ultrasonic waves and the several experiments are carried out for some phantoms. Results show the superiority of the proposed method to the conventional method using power spectrum and also its usefulness for the tissue characterization.

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일본(日本) 전통종교(傳統宗敎)의 경제윤리(經濟倫理) -심학(心學)을 중심으로 (The economic ethics of Japanese traditional religion - On the case of Shimhak)

  • 남춘모
    • 대순사상논총
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    • 제19권
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    • pp.165-192
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this paper is to make clear the relation of traditional religion with economic ethics and attitude in Japan. I selected Shimhak(心學) of Japanese traditional religions to analyze because it has been said that Shimhak was related to the modern ethics of merchants in Japan. The contents of this paper is composed of two parts. First, the religious character of Shimhak is discussed. I will analyze the relation of Shinto, Buddhism and Confucianism to Shimhak to certify the syncretism of Japanese religion. Second, the economic ethics of Shimhak is discussed. I will make clear the historical significance of Shimhak in modern Japan, and the relation of the economic ethics of Shimhak with the spirit of Japanese capitalism. This paper will be useful to make out the social influence of Japanese traditional religion, to estimate the sustaining mode of traditional value and ethics in Japan in the future.

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유기질층을 포함한 고소성 실트질 연약지반의 침하 예측 (Prediction of Settlement for the Highly Plastic and Silty Soft Ground Contained of the Organic Deposits)

  • 유남재;김겸;유창선
    • 산업기술연구
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    • 제31권B호
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 2011
  • In this thesis, from the results of settlement measurement performed at the site where embankment earthwork was carried out on the ground consisting of highly plastic and silty soft soils interlayered with organic deposits, various methods of predicting the embankment settlement such as Hoshino's method, Asaoka's method, hyperbolic method, ${\sqrt{s}}$ method and Monden's method were used to investigate their applicability and the inverse method of finding the soil parameter related to consolidation was used to predict the consolidation behavior in the future. It was confirmed that reliable prediction of consolidation behavior under various conditions could be done to estimate soil parameter related to consolidation such as the consolidation index and consolidation coefficient by the inverse method of comparing the measured settlement with the predicted value by the settlement prediction methods.

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공진 전압 합성형 DC/DC 컨버터의 특성해석 (A Characteristic Analysis of Resonant Voltage Resultant Type DC/DC Converter)

  • 황계호;김종해;남승식;김동희;정도영;오승훈
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전기기기및에너지변환시스템부문B
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    • 제49권1호
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    • pp.40-47
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a circuit of resonant voltage resultant type DC/DC converter consists of two unit half-bridge high frequency resonant inverters, and describes operating modes, principle and analysis of the proposed circuit. Also, the analysis of the proposed circuit has generally described by using normalized parameters. Based on the characteristic values, a method of the circuit design is proposed. According to phase shift, the output voltage of the proposed circuit can be controlled. In addition, the justification of theoretical analysis was certified by comparing to the experimental waveforms. In the future, this proposed converter show that it can be practically used as the system of fixed DC voltage source etc.

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재미 한인을 위한 식이섭취빈도 조사 설문지에 관한 연구 (Development of Food Questionnaire for Korean Americans)

  • 김정선
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.520-528
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    • 1997
  • This study was conducted to develop a food frequency questionnaire for an epidemiological study of dietary patterns and nutrient intake among Koeran American. A random sample of 101 Korean Americans between the ages of 17 and 71 residing in New York and New Jersey was interviewed by the method of 24-hour dietary recall. The foods Korean Americans consumed most frequently were rice (91% of the population), kimchee (81%), coffee(59%), bread(49%), apple(45%), bean sprouts (33%), milk (30%), dried anchovies (27%), eggs(27%), juice (26%), bulgogi, and soybean paste soup (24%, equally. The classification of food items standardized portion sizes were according to both Block's questionnaire and the standardized portion sizes by the Korean Nutrition Association. The value of this food frequency questionnaire is that it can accurately estimate dietary food patterns and nutrient intake among Korean Americans for epidemiological studies. It could also potentially be modified to study the relationship between specific diseases and food intake in the future.

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