• Title/Summary/Keyword: error distribution

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Reliability estimation and ratio distribution in a general exponential distribution

  • Lee, Chang-Soo;Moon, Yeung-Gil
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.623-632
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    • 2014
  • We shall consider the estimation for the parameter and the right tail probability in a general exponential distribution. We also shall consider the estimation of the reliability P(X < Y ) and the skewness trends of the density function of the ratio X=(X+Y) for two independent general exponential variables each having different shape parameters and known scale parameter. We then shall consider the estimation of the failure rate average and the hazard function for a general exponential variable having the density function with the unknown shape and known scale parameters, and for a bivariate density induced by the general exponential density.

The FRTU-Based Intelligent Fault Location Determination Strategy in Ubiquitous Based Distribution Systems

  • Ko, Yun-Seok
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.192-198
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    • 2008
  • This paper proposes a FRTU-based intelligent fault distance determination strategy in which each FRTU is able to avoid multiple estimations and reduce the level of estimation error by utilizing heuristic rules driven by voltage and current information collected by 1:1 communication with other FRTUs from the same zone in a ubiquitous-based distribution system. In the proposed method, each FRTU, at first, determines a fault zone and a fault path on the faulted zone based on the proposed heuristic rules which use its current data and the voltage data of its neighboring FRTUs as input data. Next, it determines the fault distance from its position based on the fault current estimated from the current data of the neighboring FRTUs. Finally, in order to prove the effectiveness of the proposed method, the diverse fault cases are simulated in several positions of the typical distribution system using the EMTP.

A Study on Traffic Distribution Processing using the Round Robin Monitoring System

  • Kim Seok-Soo
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.90-92
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    • 2005
  • As the result of the study shows, Round Robin Algorithm allows servers to ensure definite traffic distribution, unless incoming data loads differ much. Although error levels are high in some cases, they were eventually alleviated by repeated tests for a long period of time. The study uses two software packages (Packet Capture and Round Robin Test Package) to check packet volume from Virtual Network Structure (data generator, virtual server, Server 1, 2, 3), and finds out traffic distribution toward Server 1, 2, and 3. The functions of implemented Round Robin Load Balancing Monitoring System include round robin testing, system monitoring, and graphical indication of data transmission and packet volume.

Bayesian estimation for the exponential distribution based on generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring

  • Jeon, Young Eun;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.413-430
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    • 2020
  • The multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme is disadvantaged by an experiment time that is too long. To overcome this limitation, we propose a generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme. Some estimators of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution are derived under a generalized multiply Type-II hybrid censoring scheme. First, the maximum likelihood estimator of the scale parameter of the exponential distribution is obtained under the proposed censoring scheme. Second, we obtain the Bayes estimators under different loss functions with a noninformative prior and an informative prior. We approximate the Bayes estimators by Lindleys approximation and the Tierney-Kadane method since the posterior distributions obtained by the two priors are complicated. In addition, the Bayes estimators are obtained by using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo samples. Finally, all proposed estimators are compared in the sense of the mean squared error through the Monte Carlo simulation and applied to real data.

Asymptotic Expansion of the Distribution of a Studentized Test Statistic for the Slope Parameter in a Simple Linear Structural Relationship

  • Chang, Kyung;Dahm, P. Frederic
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.171-180
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    • 1993
  • Variables, x and y are said to have a linear relation if $y={\beta}_0+{\beta}_1\;x$, and ${\beta}_0$ and ${\beta}_1$ are constants. The relationship is called a structural relationship if x has positive variance (i.e., x is not fixed) and only error-prone measurements of x and y can be obtained. This paper derives (to order $n^{+1/2}$) an approximate distribution of the Studentized test statistic for testing hypotheses about the slope parameter, ${\beta}_1$ in a simple linear structural model. A simulation study suggests our approximate distribution is more accurate approximation to the exact distributions of the Studentized statistic than is the limiting distribution.

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Foreign Uncertainty and Housing Distribution Market in Korea

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.5-11
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - We investigate the relationship between economic policy uncertainty (EPU) of the US and China and housing distribution economy in Korea using EPU indexes of two countries and the economic indicators in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - We use the data such as the Korean housing price stability index (HPSI), housing purchase price index (HPPI), housing lease price index (HLPI), banking stock index (BSI), and consumer price index (CPI) with EPU indexes from January 1999 to December 2017. As an empirical methodology, we select the vector error correction model (VECM) due to the existence of cointegration. Result - As results of the impulse response function, the impact of the US EPU index has initially a negative response on the Korean HPSI, HPPI, and HLPI referring the housing distribution market including the economic variables, BSI, and CPI. Likewise, the impact of index in China has initially a negative response on economic indicators except the BSI in Korea. Conclusions - This study shows that the EPU index of the US has significantly negative relationships on all economic indicators in Korea. In this study, we reveal EPU of the US and China has dynamic impact on housing distribution economy returns in Korea.

A Case Study on Implementation of Logistics Information System for On-line mall Distribution Center of Off-line Retailer (Off-line점포 유통업체의 온라인몰 전용센터 물류시스템 구축사례 연구 ; 유통업체 A사 사례 중심으로)

  • Choi, Kyu-Woong;Kang, Sung-Woo;Kang, Kyung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2015
  • Recently, online grocery shopping has been increasing with the development of internet, mobile, and IT technology due to the proportion of consumers changes like increasing single households and double-income couples. Therefore, online sales from distributors with offline stores have also increased, and the offline retailers are facing their limits in dealing with store-based online channel they have carried out. Domestic offline retailers benchmarked overseas advanced retailers to solve this problem by reviewing about developing the online-only distribution center. However, much investment is needed in order to operate the distribution center with the new concept from abroad. In this study, we have reviewed the current online grocery market trend and the theory related to developing distribution system of the online mall. For offline retailers, we have reviewed the case which developed the distribution center applied to the nation's first online-only distribution center. The purpose of this study is reducing trial and error for local retailers in developing online-only distribution centers and suggesting ways to improve investment effect.

An Expery System for the Diagnosis of the Fault Type and Fault Loaction In the Distribution SCADA System (배전 SCADA 기능을 이용한 고장타입.고장위치 진단 전문가 시스템)

  • Go, Yun-Seok;Sin, Deok-Ho;Sin, Hyeon-Yong;Lee, Gi-Seo
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.11
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    • pp.1417-1423
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    • 1999
  • Distribution system can experience the diverse events instantly and permanently. Also, it can experience high impedance fault or line drop under unbalanced situation, Accordingly, it is difficulty to identify the fault location because that data collected from distribution SCADA system may include uncertainty. This paper proposes an expert system, which can infer the faulted location the quickly and exactly for the diverse events in the distribution system. The expert system utilizes distribution SCADA function and collected data, especially, the monitoring mechanism for the normal open position switches is adopted newly in order to recognize the fault type exactly. Also, automated fault location diagnosis strategy is developed in order to minimize the spreading effect of fault obtained from the error of the system operator. The proposed strategy is implemented in C language. Especially, in order to prove the effectiveness of proposed expert system, the several scenario is simulated for the given model system. The real feeders are selected as model system for the simulation.

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Prediction of Electric Power on Distribution Line Using Machine Learning and Actual Data Considering Distribution Plan (배전계획을 고려한 실데이터 및 기계학습 기반의 배전선로 부하예측 기법에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Junhyuk;Lee, Byung-Sung
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.171-177
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    • 2021
  • In terms of distribution planning, accurate electric load prediction is one of the most important factors. The future load prediction has manually been performed by calculating the maximum electric load considering loads transfer/switching and multiplying it with the load increase rate. In here, the risk of human error is inherent and thus an automated maximum electric load forecasting system is required. Although there are many existing methods and techniques to predict future electric loads, such as regression analysis, many of them have limitations in reflecting the nonlinear characteristics of the electric load and the complexity due to Photovoltaics (PVs), Electric Vehicles (EVs), and etc. This study, therefore, proposes a method of predicting future electric loads on distribution lines by using Machine Learning (ML) method that can reflect the characteristics of these nonlinearities. In addition, predictive models were developed based on actual data collected at KEPCO's existing distribution lines and the adequacy of developed models was verified as well. Also, as the distribution planning has a direct bearing on the investment, and amount of investment has a direct bearing on the maximum electric load, various baseline such as maximum, lowest, median value that can assesses the adequacy and accuracy of proposed ML based electric load prediction methods were suggested.

Performance Analysis of VSG-CDMA Supporting Multi-Rate Date Service in the Reverse Link (다중 전송률을 지원하는 VSG-CDMA 역방향 링크 성능 분석)

  • Lee, Young-Ho;Kim, Hang-Rae;Kim, Nam
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.268-275
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, the capacity of VSG-CDMA system supporting multi-media service in the reverse link is analyzed by considering the two models according to the power control and user distribution. In analysis model I, assuming perfect power control and uniform distribution of users, the equation of blocking probability is calculated and the maximum number of voice and data user is derived in accordance with 1 % blocking probability. In analysis model II, it is analyzed by assuming power control error and non-uniform distribution of users. The result of analysis model I means the upper bound of system capacity in the 5 MHz wideband VSG-CDMA system, and the result of analysis model II shows the lower bound of system capacity. Also, the improved plan of performance for VSG-CDMA system is suggested by the analyzed result according to data activity and the value of $E_b/N_o$ in model II.