• 반도체디스플레이기술학회지
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.138-143
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• 2022

The employment prediction model proposed in this paper uses 16 independent variables, including self-introductions of M University students who applied for IPP and work-study internship, and 3 dependent variable data such as large companies, mid-sized companies, and unemployment. The employment prediction model for large companies was developed using Random Forest and Word2Vec with the result of F1_Weighted 82.4%. The employment prediction model for medium-sized companies and above was developed using Logistic Regression and Word2Vec with the result of F1_Weighted 73.24%. These two models can be actively used in predicting employment in large and medium-sized companies for M University students in the future.

• 실천공학교육논문지
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.61-74
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• 2022

최근 청년 실업, 특히 대학졸업자의 실업 문제가 사회적 이슈로 대두되고 있다. 대학졸업자의 실업은 범국가적인 문제이기도 하고 대학 차원의 문제이기도 해서 각 대학들은 졸업자들의 취업률을 높이기 위해 많은 노력을 하고 있다. 본 연구는 머신러닝 기법을 활용하여 D대학 졸업생의 취업여부를 예측하는 모델을 제시한다. 사용된 변수는 개인정보, 입학정보, 학사정보 등 최대 138개를 활용하여 분석하였으나 향후 교육과정에 반영하기 위해서는 입학 이후의 데이터만 유효하게 작용하므로 제안할 항목은 학과별/학생별 취업률 향상을 위한 추천 역량으로 한정하였다. 즉, 입학성적 등은 입학 후 개인의 노력에 의해 향상이 불가능한 지표이므로 취업률 예측도를 높이는 용도 등으로만 활용하였다. 본 연구는 대학의 이념, 목표 및 인재상 등이 반영된 D대학교의 핵심역량의 분석을 통한 취업예측 모델을 구현해 보고, 새로운 핵심역량 예측 모델의 도입이 실제 취업에 미치는 영향을 머신러닝을 활용하여 평가하고자 수행되었다. 향후 연구결과를 학과별 교육과정 수립 및 학생 진로 지도 등에 적용하여 취업률을 향상시킬 수 있는 근거를 마련하는데 그 의의가 있다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제46권2호
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• pp.281-299
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• 2021

This paper analyzes the feasibility of using machine learning methods to forecast the employment. The machine learning methods, such as decision tree, artificial neural network, and ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree were used to forecast the employment in Busan regional economy. The following were the main findings of the comparison of their predictive abilities. First, the forecasting power of machine learning methods can predict the employment well. Second, the forecasting values for the employment by decision tree models appeared somewhat differently according to the depth of decision trees. Third, the predictive power of artificial neural network model, however, does not show the high predictive power. Fourth, the ensemble models such as random forest and gradient boosting regression tree model show the higher predictive power. Thus, since the machine learning method can accurately predict the employment, we need to improve the accuracy of forecasting employment with the use of machine learning methods.

• 대한지리학회지
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• 제51권4호
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• pp.525-539
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• 2016

본 연구는 사후분포를 예측하는 베이지안 추정기법의 일환인 마르코프 체인 모형을 적용하여 직업요인 인구이동에 따른 직종별 취업자의 공간적 분포에 나타나는 변화를 예측하였다. 이를 위해 인구이동의 사유 중 직업요인 이동량을 추출하여 직업을 요인으로 하는 인구이동 패턴을 파악하고, 직업요인 인구이동의 추이확률 산출 값을 토대로 채프만-콜모고로프 방정식을 구축하여 장래 지역별 취업자 분포와 직종분포의 변동성을 예측하였다. 분석결과, 서울의 취업자 분포가 감소할 것으로 예측되나 직종 중 단순노무 종사자는 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 전문가 및 관련 직의 경우 수도권과 일부 광역시를 제외한 모든 지역에서 증가할 것으로 추정되었고, 강원, 충청지역은 전체 직업군의 취업자 분포에 있어 증가세를 나타낼 것으로 예측되었다. 본 연구 결과는 향후 지역 노동시장의 원활한 인력수급이 가능하도록 유입, 유출될 가능성이 높은 인력 및 직종을 중심으로 직업훈련, 취업알선 등 고용지원 서비스를 통해 사전 대비하는 방안 마련에 기초자료로 활용될 수 있다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제47권2호
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• pp.69-88
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• 2022

This paper aims to predict Busan's regional product and employment using the logistic regression models and machine learning models. The following are the main findings of the empirical analysis. First, the OLS regression model shows that the main industries such as electricity and electronics, machine and transport, and finance and insurance affect the Busan's income positively. Second, the binomial logistic regression models show that the Busan's strategic industries such as the future transport machinery, life-care, and smart marine industries contribute on the Busan's income in large order. Third, the multinomial logistic regression models show that the Korea's main industries such as the precise machinery, transport equipment, and machinery influence the Busan's economy positively. And Korea's exports and the depreciation can affect Busan's economy more positively at the higher employment level. Fourth, the voting ensemble model show the higher predictive power than artificial neural network model and support vector machine models. Furthermore, the gradient boosting model and the random forest show the higher predictive power than the voting model in large order.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제42권2호
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• pp.221-234
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• 2014

Purpose: The Purpose of this study is to develop a model for predicting agent churn group in the cosmetics industry. We develope two models, pattern model and matrix model, which are compared regarding the prediction accuracy of churn agents. Finally, we try to conclude if there is statistically significant difference between two models by empirical study. Methods: We develop two models using the part of RFM(Recency, Frequency, Monetary) method which is one of customer segmentation method in traditional CRM study. In order to ensure which model can predict churn agents more precisely between two models, we used CRM data of cosmetics company A in China. Results: Pattern model and matrix model have been developed. we find out that there is statistically significant differences between two models regarding the prediction accuracy. Conclusion: Pattern model and matrix model predict churn agents. Although pattern model employed the trend of monetary mount for six months, matrix model that used the amount of sales per month and the duration of the employment is better than pattern model in prediction accuracy.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.13-23
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• 2016

In recent years, big data has usefully been deployed by organizations with the aim of getting a better prediction for the future. Moreover, knowledge management systems are being used by organizations to identify and create knowledge. Here, the output from analysis of big data and a knowledge management system are used to develop a new model with the goal of minimizing the cost of implementing new recognized processes including staff training, transferring and employment costs. Strategies are proposed from big data analysis and new processes are defined accordingly. The company requires various skills to execute the proposed processes. Organization's current experts and their skills are known through a pre-established knowledge management system. After a gap analysis, managers can make decisions about the expert arrangement, training programs and employment to bridge the gap and accomplish their goals. Finally, deduction graph is used to analyze the model.

• 한국인공지능학회지
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.23-27
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• 2018

Korea has a high proportion of self-employment. Many of them start the food business since it does not require high-techs and it is possible to start the business relatively easily compared to many others in business categories. However, the closure rate of the business is also high due to excessive competition and market saturation. Cafés and restaurants are examples of food business where the business analysis is highly important. However, for most of the people who want to start their own business, it is difficult to conduct systematic business analysis such as trade area analysis or to find information for business analysis. Therefore, in this paper, we predicted business status with simple information using Microsoft Azure Machine Learning Studio program. Experimental results showed higher performance than the number of attributes, and it is expected that this artificial intelligence model will be helpful to those who are self-employed because it can easily predict the business status. The results showed that the overall accuracy was over 60 % and the performance was high compared to the number of attributes. If this model is used, those who prepare for self-employment who are not experts in the business analysis will be able to predict the business status of stores in Seoul with simple attributes.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.287-306
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• 2020

Purpose Youth unemployment is a social problem that continues to emerge in Korea. In this study, we create a model that predicts the employment of college graduates using decision tree, random forest and artificial neural network among machine learning techniques and compare the performance between each model through prediction results. Design/methodology/approach In this study, the data processing was performed, including the acquisition of the college graduates' vocational path survey data first, then the selection of independent variables and setting up dependent variables. We use R to create decision tree, random forest, and artificial neural network models and predicted whether college graduates were employed through each model. And at the end, the performance of each model was compared and evaluated. Findings The results showed that the random forest model had the highest performance, and the artificial neural network model had a narrow difference in performance than the decision tree model. In the decision-making tree model, key nodes were selected as to whether they receive economic support from their families, major affiliates, the route of obtaining information for jobs at universities, the importance of working income when choosing jobs and the location of graduation universities. Identifying the importance of variables in the random forest model, whether they receive economic support from their families as important variables, majors, the route to obtaining job information, the degree of irritating feelings for a month, and the location of the graduating university were selected.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.1-15
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• 2019

직업훈련 교육 현장에서 느끼는 가장 큰 어려움 중 하나는 중도탈락 문제이다. 훈련과정마다 많은 수의 학생들이 중도탈락을 하게 되어 국가 예산 낭비 및 청년 취업률 개선에 장애 요인이 되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 중도탈락의 원인을 주로 분석한 기존 연구들과 달리, 각종 수강생 정보를 활용하여 사전에 중도탈락을 예측할 수 있는 기계학습 기반 모형을 제안하고자 한다. 특히 본 연구의 제안모형은 수강생 관련 정형 데이터 뿐 아니라 비정형 데이터인 강사의 상담일지 정보까지 동시에 고려하여 모형의 예측정확도를 제고하고자 하였다. 이 때 비정형 데이터에 대한 분석은 최근 주목받고 있는 텍스트 분석 기술인 Word2vec과 합성곱 신경망을 이용해 수행하였다. 국내 한 직업훈련기관의 실제 데이터에 제안모형을 적용해 본 결과, 정형데이터만을 사용하여 중도탈락을 예측할 때보다 비정형 데이터를 함께 고려했을 때 예측의 정확도가 최대 20%까지 향상됨을 확인할 수 있었다. 아울러, Support Vector Machine을 기반으로 정형 데이터와 비정형 데이터를 결합해 분석했을 때, 검증용 데이터셋 기준으로 90% 후반대의 높은 예측 정확도를 나타냄을 확인하였다.