• Title/Summary/Keyword: empirical regression model

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Prediction on Busan's Gross Product and Employment of Major Industry with Logistic Regression and Machine Learning Model (로지스틱 회귀모형과 머신러닝 모형을 활용한 주요산업의 부산 지역총생산 및 고용 효과 예측)

  • Chae-Deug Yi
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.69-88
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    • 2022
  • This paper aims to predict Busan's regional product and employment using the logistic regression models and machine learning models. The following are the main findings of the empirical analysis. First, the OLS regression model shows that the main industries such as electricity and electronics, machine and transport, and finance and insurance affect the Busan's income positively. Second, the binomial logistic regression models show that the Busan's strategic industries such as the future transport machinery, life-care, and smart marine industries contribute on the Busan's income in large order. Third, the multinomial logistic regression models show that the Korea's main industries such as the precise machinery, transport equipment, and machinery influence the Busan's economy positively. And Korea's exports and the depreciation can affect Busan's economy more positively at the higher employment level. Fourth, the voting ensemble model show the higher predictive power than artificial neural network model and support vector machine models. Furthermore, the gradient boosting model and the random forest show the higher predictive power than the voting model in large order.

Regression Quantile Estimations on Censored Survival Data

  • Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2002
  • In the case of multiple survival times which might be censored at each covariate vector, we study the regression quantile estimations in this paper. The estimations are based on the empirical distribution functions of the censored times and the sample quantiles of the observed survival times at each covariate vector and the weighted least square method is applied for the estimation of the regression quantile. The estimators are shown to be asymptotically normally distributed under some regularity conditions.

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Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between R&D Inputs and Performance Using Successive Binary Logistic Regression Models (연속적 이항 로지스틱 회귀모형을 이용한 R&D 투입 및 성과 관계에 대한 실증분석)

  • Park, Sungmin
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.342-357
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    • 2014
  • The present study analyzes the relationship between research and development (R&D) inputs and performance of a national technology innovation R&D program using successive binary Logistic regression models based on a typical R&D logic model. In particular, this study focuses on to answer the following three main questions; (1) "To what extent, do the R&D inputs have an effect on the performance creation?"; (2) "Is an obvious relationship verified between the immediate predecessor and its successor performance?"; and (3) "Is there a difference in the performance creation between R&D government subsidy recipient types and between R&D collaboration types?" Methodologically, binary Logistic regression models are established successively considering the "Success-Failure" binary data characteristic regarding the performance creation. An empirical analysis is presented analyzing the sample n = 2,178 R&D projects completed. This study's major findings are as follows. First, the R&D inputs have a statistically significant relationship only with the short-term, technical output, "Patent Registration." Second, strong dependencies are identified between the immediate predecessor and its successor performance. Third, the success probability of the performance creation is statistically significantly different between the R&D types aforementioned. Specifically, compared with "Large Company", "Small and Medium-Sized Enterprise (SMS)" shows a greater success probability of "Sales" and "New Employment." Meanwhile, "R&D Collaboration" achieves a larger success probability of "Patent Registration" and "Sales."

Development of a new explicit soft computing model to predict the blast-induced ground vibration

  • Alzabeebee, Saif;Jamei, Mehdi;Hasanipanah, Mahdi;Amnieh, Hassan Bakhshandeh;Karbasi, Masoud;Keawsawasvong, Suraparb
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.551-564
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    • 2022
  • Fragmenting the rock mass is considered as the most important work in open-pit mines. Ground vibration is the most hazardous issue of blasting which can cause critical damage to the surrounding structures. This paper focuses on developing an explicit model to predict the ground vibration through an multi objective evolutionary polynomial regression (MOGA-EPR). To this end, a database including 79 sets of data related to a quarry site in Malaysia were used. In addition, a gene expression programming (GEP) model and several empirical equations were employed to predict ground vibration, and their performances were then compared with the MOGA-EPR model using the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean (𝜇), standard deviation of the mean (𝜎), coefficient of determination (R2) and a20-index. Comparing the results, it was found that the MOGA-EPR model predicted the ground vibration more precisely than the GEP model and the empirical equations, where the MOGA-EPR scored lower MAE and RMSE, 𝜇 and 𝜎 closer to the optimum value, and higher R2 and a20-index. Accordingly, the proposed MOGA-EPR model can be introduced as a useful method to predict ground vibration and has the capacity to be generalized to predict other blasting effects.

An Empirical Study of Port SOC Impact on Trade Volume : Focusing on Japanese Ports (항만 SOC가 수출입에 미치는 영향 실증분석 - 일본 항만을 중심으로 -)

  • Ahn, Young-Gyun;Lee, Joo-Won
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.373-389
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    • 2016
  • This study mainly investigates the port SOC's impact on trade volume. In order to investigate the relationships between port SOC and trade volume, we did the empirical analysis using panel data regression and fixed effects model. The total period of 97 years and 1,082 ports' information were applied to panel data and regression model. According to the results, the coefficients of development of container berth, development of bulk berth, maintenance of port, the jetty facilities like breakwater have positive(+) impact on the dependent variable, the trade volume. Especially, the jetty facilities show a strongly positive impact on trade volume. On the other hand, the development of new port and navigation facilities like lighthouse have a negative(-) impact. In examining Hausman test and LR test, the fixed effect model is statistically more appropriate than the random effect model for this study.

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Empirical Equation for Pollutant Loads Delivery Ratio in Nakdong River TMDL Unit Watersheds (낙동강 오염총량관리 단위유역 유달율 경험공식)

  • Kim, Mun Sung;Shin, Hyun Suk;Park, Ju Hyun;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.580-588
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    • 2009
  • In this study daily flow rates and delivered pollutant loads of Nakdong river basin are simulated with modified TANK model and minimum variance unbiased estimator. Based on the simulation results, flow duration curves, load duration curves, and delivery ratio duration curves have been established. Then GIS analysis is performed to obtain several hydrological geomorphic characteristics such as watershed area, stream length, watershed slope and runoff curve number. Finally, multiple regression analysis is carried out to estimate empirical equations for pollutants delivery ratio. The results show that there is positive relation between the flow rates and delivery ratios, and the proposed empirical formulas for delivery ratio can predict well river pollutant loads.

Design and Weighting Effects in Small Firm Server in Korea

  • Lee, Keejae;Lepkowski, James M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.775-786
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we conducted an empirical study to investigate the design and weighting effects on descriptive and analytic statistics. The design and weighting effects were calculated for estimates produced from the 1998 small firm survey data. We considered the design and weighting effects on coefficients estimates of regression model using the design-based approach and the GEE approach.

Selection of Data-adaptive Polynomial Order in Local Polynomial Nonparametric Regression

  • Jo, Jae-Keun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.177-183
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    • 1997
  • A data-adaptive order selection procedure is proposed for local polynomial nonparametric regression. For each given polynomial order, bias and variance are estimated and the adaptive polynomial order that has the smallest estimated mean squared error is selected locally at each location point. To estimate mean squared error, empirical bias estimate of Ruppert (1995) and local polynomial variance estimate of Ruppert, Wand, Wand, Holst and Hossjer (1995) are used. Since the proposed method does not require fitting polynomial model of order higher than the model order, it is simpler than the order selection method proposed by Fan and Gijbels (1995b).

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Kernel-Trick Regression and Classification

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.201-207
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    • 2015
  • Support vector machine (SVM) is a well known kernel-trick supervised learning tool. This study proposes a working scheme for kernel-trick regression and classification (KtRC) as a SVM alternative. KtRC fits the model on a number of random subsamples and selects the best model. Empirical examples and a simulation study indicate that KtRC's performance is comparable to SVM.

Comparison of Regression Model Approaches fined to Complex Survey Data (복합표본조사 데이터 분석을 위한 회귀모형 접근법의 비교: 소규모사업체조사 데이터 분석을 중심으로)

  • 이기재
    • Survey Research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.73-86
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    • 2001
  • In this paper. we conducted an empirical study to investigate the design and weighting effects on descriptive and analytic statistics. We compared the regression models using the design-based approach and the generalized estimating equations (GEEs) approach with the model-based approach through the design and weighting effects analysis.

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