• Title/Summary/Keyword: economy model

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Empirical Study of Chinese Consumers Perception-Attitude-Behavior in Clothes Rental Platform

  • Cui, Yu Hua;Bai, Yu Ling
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2019
  • This paper aims to stretch the technology acceptance model (TAM) approach by investigating a clothes rental network. One of the understudied geographies of the world economy is the large-scale international trade in clothes, which are consumed by Chinese consumers. An online (www.sojump.com) survey was conducted by including 303 Chinese respondents. Structural equation modeling (SEM) was used to test the proposed hypothesis. The results indicated that external influence has a significant impact on the perceived ease of rental. Furthermore, consumers' perceived ease of rental influences the attitude towards renting, and perceived ease of rental plays a complete mediating role between them. However, external influence has no significant impact on perceived usefulness, and consumers' perceived usefulness has no impact on rental intention. In addition, attitude towards renting works as an indispensable mediation between perception and behavior. This study highlights the role of perception, attitude, behavior on clothes rental, and provides guidance and suggestions for clothes rental platform.

Very Short-term Electric Load Forecasting for Real-time Power System Operation

  • Jung, Hyun-Woo;Song, Kyung-Bin;Park, Jeong-Do;Park, Rae-Jun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1419-1424
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    • 2018
  • Very short-term electric load forecasting is essential for real-time power system operation. In this paper, a very short-term electric load forecasting technique applying the Kalman filter algorithm is proposed. In order to apply the Kalman filter algorithm to electric load forecasting, an electrical load forecasting algorithm is defined as an observation model and a state space model in a time domain. In addition, in order to precisely reflect the noise characteristics of the Kalman filter algorithm, the optimal error covariance matrixes Q and R are selected from several experiments. The proposed algorithm is expected to contribute to stable real-time power system operation by providing a precise electric load forecasting result in the next six hours.

Estimation of Exhaust Gas Recirculation using In-Cylinder Residual Gas Fraction in an SI Engine (잔류가스 추정 기법을 이용한 EGR율의 예측)

  • 김득상;김성철;황승환;조용석;엄인용
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.55-60
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    • 2004
  • Residual gas acts as a diluent which results in reducing the in-cylinder temperature as well as the flame speed, significantly affecting fuel economy, NOx emissions and combustion stability. Therefore it is important to determine the residual gas fraction as a function of the engine operating parameters accurately. However, the determination of the residual gas fraction is very sophisticated due to the unsteady state of induction and exhaust process. There has been little work toward the development of a generally applicable model for quantitative predictions of residual gas fraction. In this paper, a simple model for calculating the residual gas fraction in SI engines was suggested. The amount of fresh air was evaluated through AFR and fuel consumption. After this, from the intake temperature and pressure, the amount of total cylinder-charging gas was estimated. The residual gas fraction was derived by comparing the total charging and fresh air. This results coincide with measured EGR value very well.

Regional Electricity Demand Forecasting for System Planning (계통계획을 위한 지역별 전력수요예측)

  • Jo, I.S.;Rhee, C.H.;Park, J.J.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.11a
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    • pp.292-294
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    • 1998
  • It is very important for electric utility to expand generating facilities and transmission equipments in accordance with the increase of electricity demand. Regional electricity demand forecasting is among the most important step for long-term investment and power supply planning. The main objectives of this paper are to develop the methodologies for forecasting regional load demand. The Model consists of four models, regional economy, regional electricity energy demand, areal electricity energy demand. and areal peak load demand. This paper mainly suggests regional electricity energy demand model and areal peak load demand. A case study is also presented.

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Dimensional Analysis of Edge Rolling for the Prediction of the Dog-bone Shape (차원 해석을 이용한 수직압연에 대한 도그본 형상 예측)

  • Yun, D.J.;Hwang, S.M.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.24-29
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    • 2012
  • Precision control of the width of slabs is vital for product quality and production economy in steel rolling mills. However, the formation of so called 'dog-bone' at the edge of the slab would affect the final width during the horizontal rolling that follows. Therefore, it is essential to predict and control the dog-bone shape. In this paper, a model is derived by using a number of finite element simulations for edge rolling and a least square regression analysis. The prediction accuracy of the proposed model is examined by comparing the predictions from finite element simulation with experiment results in the literature.

A Study of Search Methodology for Efficient Clustering (효율적 군집화를 위한 탐색 방법 연구)

  • Jeon, Jin-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2010.10a
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    • pp.571-573
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    • 2010
  • Most real world system such as world economy, management, medical and engineering applications contain a series of complex phenomena. One of common methods to understand these system is to build a model and analyze the behavior of the system. As a first step, Determining the best clusters on data. As a second step, Determining the model of the cluster. In this paper, we investigated heuristic search methods for efficient clustering.

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Specialization, Firm Dynamics and Economic Growth

  • Cho, Jaehan;Ge, Zhizhuang
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.169-202
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    • 2019
  • Productivity in agriculture or services has long been understood as playing an important role in the growth of manufacturing. In this paper we present a general equilibrium model in which manufacturing growth is stimulated by non-manufacturing sectors that provides goods used in both research and final consumption. The model permits the evaluation of two policy options for stimulating manufacturing growth: (1) a country imports more non-manufacturing goods from a foreign country with higher productivity and (2) a country increases productivity of domestic non-manufacturing. We find that both policies improve welfare of the economy, but depending on the policy the manufacturing sector responses differently. Specifically, employment and value-added in manufacturing increase with policy (1), but contract with policy (2). Therefore, specialization of the import non-manufactured goods helps explain why some Asian economies experience rapid growth in the manufacturing sector without progress in other sectors.

The Relationship Between Financial Condition and Business Cycle in Mongolia

  • Doojav, Gan-Ochir;Purevdorj, Munkhbayar
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.203-223
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    • 2019
  • This paper examines the interactions between financial conditions and business cycles in Mongolia, a small open economy, heavily depending on commodity exports. We construct two financial conditions indexes based on the reduced form IS model and the vector autoregression (VAR) model as surveillance tools to quantify the degree of the financial conditions. We find that real short-term interest rate and real effective exchange rate gap get a higher weight in the FCIs. Both business and financial cycles are often more pronounced in Mongolia, and financial condition is dependent of the financial and monetary policies in place. The analysis of the predictive power of the FCIs for business cycles shows that they have predictive information for the near-term economic activities. FCIs are also helpful in signaling inflation turning points.

Evolution of China's Economy and Monetary Policy: An Empirical Evaluation Using a TVP-VAR Model

  • Kim, Seewon
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.73-97
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    • 2021
  • China has experienced many structural changes in the process of economic development over the past three decades. Using a time-varying parameter VAR model with stochastic volatility and mixture innovations, this study investigates whether such structural changes in, especially tools and operational aims of monetary policy, affect the monetary transmission mechanism. We find that impulse responses of output growth and inflation to monetary shocks have substantially increased and then reversed to decrease around 2005-2006. This time variation is mainly caused by changes in the monetary transmission mechanism, i.e., the manner in which main macroeconomic variables respond to policy shocks, rather than by changes in volatilities of exogenous shocks. The result implies that aggressive monetary policy to facilitate economic growth in the developing economies may be legitimized, unless it causes inflation seriously.

Co-creation and Personalization as Incentive Mechanisms of Utilizing External Innovation Sources: Which Performs Better?

  • Lee, Sangjic;Nishiyama, Kohei;Kimita, Koji;Nishino, Nariaki
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.274-293
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    • 2021
  • Utilizing outside knowledge for innovation is an important task for companies in the competitive economy. Due to the rapid advance in the internet communication technology, the number and quality of innovation sourcing methods are increasing. We select co-creation, personalization and in-house R&D as the representative forms of innovation sourcing and suggest a game theory model that enables the comparative analysis between them. The decision and surplus outcome of the innovation mechanisms are compared under various settings of the input parameters of the model. The stakeholders voluntarily participate into all mechanisms when the product price is moderately high and the participation cost is low, while co-creation is the only feasible one when the product quality is niche. When the participation cost is relatively high, personalization outperforms co-creation.