• Title/Summary/Keyword: economic impacts effect

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Macroeconomic Buffer Effects of Mega-FTA Formation: A CGE Analysis for Korea

  • Jung, Jae-Won;Kim, Tae-Hwang
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.118-137
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - As global trade disputes intensify and global trade uncertainty increases due to the prevailing trade protectionism all over the world, mega-FTAs such as the RCEP and CPTPP are suggested as strategic trade policy options for export-driven small open economies, such as Korea. This paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of Korea's mega-FTA participation and the induced implications for the Korean economy. Design/methodology - We use a multi-region, multi-sector global CGE model, and investigate the different effects of both the US-China and US-EU trade wars on the relative changes in GDP, welfare, and trade under different trade policy regimes; (i) Korea does not participate in any mega-FTA, (ii) Korea participates in the RCEP, and (iii) Korea participates in the CPTPP. Findings - We show, among others, that though industrial effects might be largely varied, the overall enlarging of free trade zones through multilateral mega-FTA participation may contribute significantly to the macroeconomic soundness and stability of Korea, even when global trade protectionism prevails. Under RCEP and CPTPP trade regimes, Korea's GDP may increase even when the global trade environment deteriorates as trade wars occur and intensify between the US and China, or between the US and EU. It is also estimated that RCEP participation increases Korea's GDP, welfare (measured in equivalent variation), and total trade by 1.12%, $1.09 billion, and 2.54%, respectively, while CPTPP participation increases them by 0.19%, $0.92 billion, and 0.13%, respectively. Originality/value - Existing studies usually focus on the direct impacts of mega-FTA participation on macroeconomic variables such as GDP, welfare, and trade, and do not consider the possible buffer effects of a mega-FTA when the global trade environment worsens. In this paper, we analyze and quantify not only the direct impacts of RCEP and CPTPP on the main macroeconomic variables but also the possible buffer effects of the RCEP and CPTPP in the cases of the US-China and US-EU trade wars.

Impacts of Urban Land Cover Change on Land Surface Temperature Distribution in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

  • Le, Thi Thu Ha;Nguyen, Van Trung;Pham, Thi Lan;Tong, Thi Huyen Ai;La, Phu Hien
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 2021
  • Urban expansion, particularly converting sub-urban areas to residential and commercial land use in metropolitan areas, has been considered as a significant signal of regional economic development. However, this results in urban climate change. One of the key impacts of rapid urbanization on the environment is the effect of UHI (Urban Heat Island). Understanding the effects of urban land cover change on UHI is crucial for improving the ecology and sustainability of cities. This research reports an application of remote sensing data, GIS (Geographic Information Systems) for assessing effects of urban land cover change on the LST (Land Surface Temperature) and heat budget components in Ho Chi Minh City, where is one of the fastest urbanizing region of Vietnam. The change of urban land cover component and LST in the city was derived by using multi-temporal Landsat data for the period of 1998 - 2020. The analysis showed that, from 1998 to 2020 the city had been drastically urbanized into multiple directions, with the urban areas increasing from approximately 125.281 km2 in 1998 to 162.6 km2 in 2007, and 267.2 km2 in 2020, respectively. The results of retrieved LST revealed the radiant temperature for 1998 ranging from 20.2℃ to 31.2℃, while that for 2020 remarkably higher ranging from 22.1℃ to 42.3℃. The results also revealed that given the same percentage of urban land cover components, vegetation area is more effective to reduce the value of LST, meanwhile the impervious surface is the most effective factor to increase the value of the LST.

Study on the Factors Affecting the Intention to Participate in the Boycott: Focusing on the Mediating Effect of Anger and the Moderating Effect of Online and SNS News Usage (불매운동 참여의도에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구: 분노의 매개효과와 온라인 및 SNS 뉴스이용의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Jang-Suk;Kim, Ye-In
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.21 no.12
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    • pp.436-447
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    • 2021
  • The boycott of Japanese products triggered by Japan's economic retaliation has heated up the Republic of Korea. This study examined the factors affecting the boycott participation intention in 217 college students and ordinary people in their 20s and 30s. The results of the study showed that perceived egregiousness, self-efficacy, and subjective norm had a positive effect on boycott participation intention, and perceived egregiousness had an indirect effect on boycott participation intention through anger. In addition, these overall impacts were moderated by online and SNS news usage. This study is significant in providing academic and practical implications for understanding boycott phenomena by verifying various influencing factors on consumer boycott intentions and comprehensively reviewing the mediating effect of anger and the moderating effect of online and SNS news usage.

The Effects of Coal Thermal Power Plant Exports on the National Economy (석탄화력발전 해외수출의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Jin, Se-Jun;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2013
  • Korean domestic electricity market is saturated through trying to find ways to overcome the limitations of the domestic electricity industry with overseas electricity markets. Korean electricity industry in the overseas market in order to pursue continuous growth, competitive and aggressive investment in overseas market is promoting. This paper attempts to apply input-output analysis to estimate the role of coal thermal power plant sector exports national economy. More specifically, this study shows what national economy effect of production-inducing effect, value-added inducing effect, and employment-inducing effect are explored with demand-driven model. After define coal thermal power plant sector what small sized of Input-Output table 168 sectors among 17 sectors, this study pays particular and close attention to coal thermal power plant sector by taking the sector as exogenous specification and then investigating economic impacts of it. This study uses coal thermal power plant exportation case of Vietnam project, production-inducing effect, value-added inducing effect, and employment-inducing effect are 2,853 billion won, 973 billion won and 14,761 persons, respectively.

An Analysis on the Economic Impact of National R&D Investment: Health care industry (국가 R&D 투자의 경제효과 분석: 보건의료산업을 중심으로)

  • Jung, Kun-O;Lim, Eungsoon;Song, Jaeguk
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.59-83
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the importance of the health care industry is increasing due to the rapid changes in the population structure caused by decreasing in fertility rate and aging population. Therefore expansion of government investment in R&D of the health care industry is needed as the demand of health care is increasing. This study attempts to examine the economic impacts of national research and development for the health care industry using an inter-industry analysis. Specifically, the study investigates production-inducing effect, value added inducing effect, and employment-inducing effect of the health care industry based on demand-driven model. These analyses pay particular and close attention to the health care industry by taking it as exogenous rather than endogenous. Here we present results. First, the production-inducing effect and value added inducing effect was high in common real estate and business services and finance and insurance sector. Second, employment-inducing effect of the health care industry showed the highest levels in wholesale and retail sector, followed by the real estate and business services, agriculture sector. Third, the actual 2009 health care industry-related national R&D investment embracing on the production-inducing effect and value added inducing effect. The health care industry R&D induces the production of 4,932 billion won and the value added of 2163 billion won.

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The Effects of Wind Power Generation Exports on the National Economy (풍력발전 해외수출의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Jin, Se-Jun;Jeong, Dong-Won;Kwon, Yong-O;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.281-291
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    • 2012
  • Recently, global economy has recovered and aspects of the renewable energy industry in the global competition is more fierce, the new growth engines of the major countries, including the United States and China, industry promotion policy as being deployed. Major advanced countries and Korea also invested a lot of money to wind power development as a part of renewable energy development and promoting the construction of wind power generation. The global wind power generation market is expected to further increase the scale to about 70 billion US dollars, thus, Korea as well as the installation of domestic wind power overseas actively considering. This study uses input-output analysis to estimate the role of wind power generation sector exports national economy. More specifically, this study shows what national economy effect of production-inducing effect, value-added inducing effect, and employment-inducing effect are explored with demand-driven moel. After define wind power generation sector what small sized of Input-Output table 168 sectors among 11 sectors, this study pays particular and close attention to wind power generation sector by taking the sector as exogenous specification and then investigating economic impacts of it. The wind power generation exportation case of overseas 100 billion won, production-inducing effect, value-added inducing effect, and employment-inducing effect are 205 billion won, 68 billion won and 1,054 persons, respectively. These quantitative information can be usefully utilized in the policy-making for the industrialization of wind power generation exports.

Designs for Self-enforcing International Environmental Coordination (원유공급 위기의 경제적 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Gyeong Lyeob;Sonn, Yang-Hoon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.27-63
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    • 2007
  • Using the CGE model, this paper investigates economic impacts of a shortage in crude oil resulting from voluntary export restraints, OPEC's agreement of a cut in oil production, and/or a storing on speculation. Unlike most previous studies considering oil price as the unpredictable variable, this study constructs the model to determine the oil price endogenously under the condition of an insufficient supply of crude oil. According to IEA's extraordinary steps for a shortage of crude oil, we investigate an economic impact of 7~12% shortage below the level of business as usual. The results show that oil price soars by 17.3~33.5%, the rate of economic growth falls by 0.52~0.96%p, and the consumer price index(CPI) rises by 0.8~1.51%p. These results imply that increasing in 1%p of oil price results in decreasing in 0.03%p of economic growth and increasing in 0.045%p of consumer price index. The production of electricity declines because of the increase in production cost. A shortage of crude oil has an effect on sources of electricity. Most reduction in electricity generation occurs from the reduction in the thermal power generation which is highly dependent on crude oil. The shortage of crude oil causes demand for petroleum to significantly decline but demand for coal and heat to increase because of the substitution effect with petroleum. Demand for gas rise in the first year but falls from the second year.

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The study on the impacts of the foundation and management of the Innopolis start-ups focusing on the entrepreneurial intention of researchers (연구자의 창업의지를 중심으로 살펴본 연구소기업 설립.운영의 효과)

  • Lee, Seong-Sang
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2014
  • Innopolis start-ups belong to the category of the research-based spin-offs, but in the meantime, has characteristics that separate them from the research-based spin-offs in terms of the process of technology commercialization. This study aims to assess the impacts of the foundation and management of the Innopolis start-ups in terms of expansion of entrepreneurship through entrepreneurial intention of researchers and economic achievements. A data set from 22 Innopolis start-ups and 200 researchers in 14 PRIs through door-to-door interviews and surveys is studied. Main findings are as follows: First, the foundation of the Innopolis start-up has a positive and strong impact on expansion of entrepreneurship through entrepreneurial intention of researchers. Second, technology transfer performance of researchers turns out to be major factor that affects entrepreneurial intention. Third, expansion of entrepreneurship, along with economic achievements characterized by sales, job creation and R&D investment, is a positive effect of the foundation and management of the Innopolis start-ups. The results of this paper provide an opportunity to test whether Innopolis start-up's strength in technology commercialization can be applied to actual management of the Innopolis startup and to examine the general direction in which the foundation and management of the Innopolis start-ups is heading.

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The Impacts of Uses of Childcare Facilities on Mothers' Labor Supply under a Rationing Mechanism (보육시설이용이 기혼여성 취업에 미치는 영향 - 어린이집 입소 순위를 중심으로 -)

  • Lim, Eunjae;Yoon, Jayoung
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.59-91
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    • 2020
  • The recent reform of child care policy is to give priority to double-income households in the use of childcare facilities. This study analyzed the effect of the use of childcare facilities on the employment of married women under the on-going reform. Using the data from the 19th and 21st wave of the Korean Labor and Income Study, the marginal treatment effect (MTE) analysis method was used to eliminate the selection bias in which the sub-population targeted for policy is determined according to the priority when childcare demand exceeds supply. The study finds that the employment effect of married women who use childcare facilities does not differ statistically from the employment effect of married women who do not use childcare facilities.

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A Study on Impacts of Industrial Convergence Using Patent Citations (특허인용관계를 활용한 산업융합 파급효과 연구)

  • Kang, Hee-Jong;Kim, Ki-Kook
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.31-50
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    • 2014
  • Recent efforts of government to improve economic performance and increase employment through industrial convergence are being promoted actively. However, unfortunately, we have little of quantitative study on the following questions; (1) what is the rate of industrial convergence progressed?, and (2) what is the rate of total effects of industrial convergence spreaded?, and (3) which is the No. 1 industry in the magnitude of inductive effect of industrial convergence? In this study, we have measured and analyzed quantitatively the following questions using patent citation; (1) how is industrial convergence progressed?, and (2) how much has industrial convergence a effect on all industry?, and (3) what is the rate of the inductive effect of industrial convergence? In doing so, decision about industrial convergence has been made using patent citation and the effect of industrial convergence is drawn from convergence I/O table which made by patent citation.