• Title/Summary/Keyword: economic estimation

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Estimation of K-factor according to Road Type and Economic Evaluation on National Highway (일반국도의 도로 유형별 설계시간계수 산정 및 경제성 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-woon;Oh, Ju-sam
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.582-590
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    • 2015
  • Road type classification and K-factors are important role when design of number of lane. In this study not only classifies road type and estimating of K-factor but also economic evaluation tries for feasibility verification. Road type analysis results, time of day traffic volume variation, weekend-factor and vacation-factor are large in recreation roads. Weekday traffic volume and weekend traffic volume are similar patterns in provincial roads. AADT is high and time of day traffic volume variation is small in urban roads. In this study compares with economic analysis that designing of number of lane between KHCM's K-factor and this study K-factor. Economic analysis results, designed roads by this study's K-factor reduce cost about 4,708 hundred million won. So this study's K-factor is economical on provincial 4 lane roads.

Development of Economic Evaluation Solution and Power Prediction of Renewable Energy System (신재생에너지 발전 출력 예측과 경제성 종합평가 기술개발)

  • Jeoune, Dae-Seong;Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Hyun-Goo;Kim, Jonghyun;Youm, Carl;Shin, Ki-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.93-112
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, a very new web-based software for renewable energy system (RES) design and economic evaluation was introduced. This solution would provide the precise RES estimation service including not only photovoltaic (PV), wind turbine (WT) and fuel cell (FC) individually but also energy storage system (ESS) as combined forms with PV or WT. The three reasons why we ought to develop it are: First, the standardized tool suitable to the domestic environment for estimating power generation from RES facilities and economic evaluation is required. Secondly, the standardized tool is needed to spread domestic RES supply policy and to promote the new industry in the micro-grid field. The last, the reliability of economic evaluation should be enhanced more for new facilities. To achieve those aims, the weather database of one hundred locations have established and the RES facility database has also constructed. For the energy management, mathematical models for PV, WT, ESS and FC were developed. As a final phase, the analytical process to evaluate economics has performed with field data verification.

Attractiveness Valuation of Phenomenal Architectural Aesthetic by Mixing the Fuzzy Logic with Contingent Valuation - Availing the Use Fares of Facility within Nodle Islet Cultural Center as Valuation Scale - (퍼지논리와 가상가치법 혼합을 통한 현상적 건축미의 매력가치 - 노들섬 문화센터 시설이용료를 가치 척도로 -)

  • Lee, Dong-Joo;Ko, Eun-Hyung
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.3-10
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the attractiveness value according to the preference level on architectural aesthetic. This research starts from the concept that aesthetic is phenomenon and from the viewpoint of 'attraction value' which affects goods. Interactive internet surveys were conducted for 500 citizens of Seoul metropolitan city who are potential users of the Nodle Islet Cultural Center. Based on the scenarios and questionnaires with fuzzy models, we have examined the evaluation of architectural aesthetic and monetary willing-to-payment, and estimated the economic value by preference level of architectural aesthetic through linear regression analysis. The main results of the study are as follows: First, the economic value of the Nodle Islet Cultural Center was estimated at ?15,683.43/person. Residents of Seoul metropolitan city were willing to accept the increase in the above-mentioned amount of the facility fares when their preferred works (average 86.81 points) were constructed. (P <0/05) Second, it is confirmed that the economic value increases dramatically as the preference level of architectural aesthetic increases. Third, it is presumed that the infinite valuation of architectural aesthetic and the problem of free riding coexist in the estimation of economic valuation of architectural aesthetic for public buildings. Fourth, by mixing the fuzzy logic with contingent valuation method, starting point bias and no response biases that happened in contingent valuation could be disappeared. bias elimination must be considered seriously because another bias could be happened in full process of the research. The results of this study will serve as a basis for spreading architectural aesthetic value-oriented research from the vague and obscure aesthetic-centered discussion on the existing architectural aesthetic. In addition, it will be an opportunity to draw institutional application and utilization strategy of architectural aesthetic through architectural aesthetic value research.

ESTABLISHMENT OF CDM PROJECT ADDITIONALITY THROUGH ECONOMIC INDICATORS

  • Kai. Li.;Robert Tiong L. K.;Maria Balatbat ;David Carmichael
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.272-275
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    • 2009
  • Carbon finance is the investment in Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emission reduction projects in developing countries and countries with economies in transition within the framework of the Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) or Joint Implementation (JI) and with creation of financial instruments, i.e., carbon credits, which are tradable in carbon market. The additional revenue generated from carbon credits will increase the bankability of projects by reducing the risks of commercial lending or grant finance. Meantime, it has also demonstrated numerous opportunities for collaborating across sectors, and has served as a catalyst in bringing climate issues to bear in projects relating to rural electrification, renewable energy, energy efficiency, urban infrastructure, waste management, pollution abatement, forestry, and water resource management. Establishing additionality is essential for successful CDM project development. One of the key steps is the investment analysis. As guided by UNFCCC, financial indicators such as IRR, NPV, DSCR etc are most commonly used in both Option II & Option III. However, economic indicator such as Economic Internal Rate of Return(EIRR) are often overlooked in Option III even it might be more suitable for the project. This could be due to the difficulties in economic analysis. Although Asian Development Bank(ADB) has given guidelines in evaluating EIRR, there are still large amount of works have to be carried out in estimating the economic, financial, social and environmental benefits in the host country. This paper will present a case study of a CDM development of a 18 MW hydro power plant with carbon finance option in central Vietnam. The estimation of respective factors in EIRR, such as Willingness to Pay(WTP), shadow price etc, will be addressed with the adjustment to Vietnam local provincial factors. The significance of carbon finance to Vietnam renewable energy development will also be addressed.

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Preliminary Economic Analysis of 20 MW Super-Capacity Wind Turbine Generator in the East Sea of Korea (국내 동해지역 20 MW급 초대용량 풍력발전시스템 사전 경제성 분석)

  • Jun-Young Lee;Seo-Yoon Choi;Rae-Hyoung Yuck;Kwang-Tae Ha;Jae-ho Jeong
    • Journal of Wind Energy
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.50-57
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    • 2022
  • Renewable energy is emerging as a way for the government to carry out its 2030 carbon-neutral policy. In this regard, the demand for wind turbine generators for renewable energy is increasing. As a result of restrictions due to civil complaints, offshore wind power generators are actively being developed. At this time, offshore wind power generation has higher maintenance costs, material costs, and installation costs compared to onshore wind power generation. So, an economic evaluation that calculates imports and costs is an important task. The levelized cost of energy (LCOE) is an economic evaluation index used in the energy field. In this paper, based on AEP calculated by windpro, the LCOE calculated by the wind power cost estimation model published in the NREL Economic Analysis Report, installing one 15 MW unit and installing one 20 MW unit and seven units were reviewed and analyzed. As a result, AEP was calculated as 0.140($/Kwh) for the installation of a single 15 MW, 0.142($/Kwh) for the installation of a single 20 MW, and 0.119 ($/Kwh) for the installation of a 20 MW farm. Therefore, it was confirmed that the installation of the single 20 MW was more economical than the installation of the single 15 MW and the installation of the 20 MW farm was most economical.

Estimation of Reinforced Railway Roadbed by Geosynthetics on Frost and Bearing Capacity (토목섬유로 보강된 철도노반의 동상 및 지지력 평가)

  • 심재범;채영수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 1999.11c
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 1999
  • Geosynthetics have been studied especially Korean Railway earth works from the outset and have proved successful in both technical and economic terms. Hitherto Geosynthetics have been given consideration chiefly in dimensioning the requisite track subbase thickness, but have not been considered when calculating the thickness of the frost protection layer. this often made it impossible to reduce the thickness of the subbase. The article therefore puts forward a proposal for considering the German Geosynthetics in dimensioning the requisite thickness of the frost protection layer.

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Fuzzy linear regression model and its application (퍼지 선형회귀모형과 응용)

  • 이성호;홍덕헌
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.403-411
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    • 1997
  • Fuzzy linear regression model introduced by Tanaka et al. 91982) has been proposed and developed as alternative to statistical linear regression when our understanding of a phenomenon is imprecise or vague. In this paper we review fuzzy linear regression model and its parameter estimation and examine its strengths and weaknesses through case study. In addition another fuzzy linear model is introduced and applied to an economic study.

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Estimation of Retirement Rate on Domestic Industrial Property (국내 산업설비의 폐기율 추정)

  • 오현승;김종수;조진형
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2002
  • In general, estimates of average service lives and of mortality functions are less well-based than most types of economic statistics published by statistical offices. Therefore, hypotheses about service lives of tangible assets and their distribution are most difficult aspects to tackle. In this paper, estimates of service lives based on directly observed data on domestic industrial property and retirement rates are presented.

Some Computational Contribution on the Estimation Procedure of a First Order Moving Average

  • Kim, Dai-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 1973
  • In the first-order moving average model, we present the exact likelihood equations as function of variance, correlation and parameters of coefficients in the orthogonally transformed model. Existence of maximum likelihood estimates for these unknowns are studied and a computational method is provided. (Because of the limited space Ive do not present the computer program which is written in FORTRAN.) 40 sets of generated data and economic data are used to demonstrate, and few of them are presented in the Appendix. A numerical comparison of MLE with the efficient estimate proposed by Durbin is presented in the particular case.

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Least Squares Estimation with Autocorrelated Residuals : A Survey

  • Rhee, Hak-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.39-56
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    • 1975
  • Ever since Gauss discussed the least-squares method in 1812 and Bertrand translated Gauss's work in French, the least-squares method has been used for various economic analysis. The justification of the least-squares method was given by Markov in 1912 in connection with the previous discussion by Gauss and Bertrand. The main argument concerned the problem of obtaining the best linear unbiased estimates. In some modern language, the argument can be explained as follow.

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