• Title/Summary/Keyword: economic estimation

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The Impact of Financial Integration on Economic Growth in Southeast Asia

  • Bong, Angkeara;Premaratne, Gamini
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.107-119
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    • 2019
  • This paper examines the impact of financial integration on economic growth in Southeast Asia over the period 1993-2013. This paper further investigates whether the relationship depends on the level of financial and economic development, government corruption, and macroeconomic policy. These questions raise important issues both from a theoretical and a policy perspective. We employ the generalized methods of moment (GMM) in the dynamic panel estimation framework to analyse several factors, including initial income, initial schooling, financial development, inflation, trade openness, corruption, and financial crisis. The study further analyzes the data using the EGLS model to examine the consistency of the GMM model. We found that financial integration has a significant positive effect on economic growth in Southeast Asia. Our findings suggest that increasing financial integration could improve the productive capacity of the economy, including more investments and efficient allocation of capital, and thus enhancing economic growth in this region. More specifically, the results suggest that the government should work towards eliminating corruption and stabilizing macroeconomics in order to enhance financial integration and economic growth. This paper sheds new insights on a better evaluation of the past and present theorizing on the subject of financial integration and economic growth; especially, in Southeast Asia.

Human Capital, Technology, and Economic Growth: A Case Study of Indonesia

  • WIDARNI, Eny Lestari;BAWONO, Suryaning
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2021
  • This study discusses the effect of human capital and technology on economic growth in Indonesia using annual time series data over the 35-year research period (1984-2019). This study uses an autoregressive distribution gap to the cointegration approach to understanding the relationship between human capital, technology, and economic growth. Human capital is inherent in humans and becomes capital in providing the best performance that has an impact on their own income. We use the human capital framework in this study where education is one mechanism to increase human capital. Based on the results of our estimation, we find that the increase in human capital using the education mechanism affects economic growth. This shows the role of human capital investment is very important in economic growth. Technology shows a significant positive effect on economic growth. Increasing human resources and technology are important factors in efforts to increase economic growth in Indonesia. Educational development is the key to the success of increasing human capital and technological development because education plays a role in improving the quality of human resources. Increasing human resources here is in the form of increased knowledge, mastery of technology, innovation, and the ability to develop technology to encourage technology development.

Panel Analysis of Relationship Between Regional Logistics Industry and Economic Growth in Korea (지역물류산업과 경제성장의 관계에 대한 패널분석)

  • Choi, Bong-Ho;Lee, Gi-Whan
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.173-188
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the causal relationship between the logistics industry and the economic growth in Korea, and to provide implications for the contribution of the logistics industry to economic growth. Unlike Previous Related Studies, we derive short-term and long-term effects through dynamic panel analysis such as panel Granger causality test and impulse response function estimation using panel vector error correction model. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows: Labor input of the logistics industry has the greatest positive impact on economic growth. And capital input and total sales of the logistics industry have a negative effect on economic growth. This means that Korea's logistics industry features labor-intensive growth. In addition, We have also found that the growth (sales) and capital input of the logistics industry have not yet had a direct positive impact on economic growth. Therefore, the results of this analysis provide implications for the direction of logistics industry policy to enhance contribution of the logistics industry to economic growth.

Effect of Trade with China on North Korean Economic growth: Focus on Liaoning (중국과의 무역이 북한 경제성장률에 미치는 영향: 랴오닝성을 중심으로)

  • Ting, Fan Xiao;Kim, Young-Min
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.463-473
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of the North Korea's net export to China and Liaoning on the North Korean economic growth. Design/methodology/approach - This study collects the data on the net export of North Korea to China and Liaoing from General Administration of Customs, People's Republic of China. Vector Autoregression(VAR) is also employed for the analysis. Findings - First, North Korea's net export to all of China and Liaoning gives the positive effect on North Korean economic growth. Second, the nuclear test of North Korea gives the negative effect on the North Korean economic growth. Third, the net export to China and Liaoning granger causes the North Korean economic growth. Lastly, the nuclear test of North Korea also granger causes the North Korean economic growth. Research implications or Originality - The estimation results show the net export of North Korea to China as well as Liaoning is important to the economic growth. Therefore, we need to examine North Korea's trades with specific region as well as all of China in order to enhance the North Korean economic growth.

The Impact of ICT Goods Imports on Economic Growth: Evidence from Asia-Pacific Countries

  • Yoon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.23 no.7
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - This paper empirically investigates the relationship between Information and Communication Technology (ICT) goods imports and economic growth with a focus on the 13 Asia-Pacific economies during 2005-2016. In particular, this paper extends the study by breaking down the data of Asia-Pacific countries into High Income Countries (HICs) and Low Income Countries (LICs) according to the difference of income levels. Design/methodology - Our empirical model employs the standard growth model based on the Barro (1998)-type growth framework. Using static panel-data technique, we estimate the effect of ICT goods imports on economic growth in the 13 Asia-Pacific economies. In addition, we also estimate a difference of the ICT goods imports-economic growth link between HICs and LICs. Findings -The estimation results indicate that ICT goods import has a significant positive effect on economic growth, while ICT goods export has a positive but statistically insignificant effect on it. When we break down the panel data into HICs and LICs in order to gain further insight, ICT goods imports has been effective in spurring growth in only LICs but not in HICs. The other supplementary results show that both domestic investment (GCF) and life expectancy (LE) have a significantly positive impact on economic growth in both HICs and LICs. Originality/value - The main findings of the paper suggest that ICT goods imports has a positive effect on economic growth in only LICs but not in HICs. This result supports the so-called 'leapfrogging' hypothesis through ICT goods imports in the Asia-Pacific countries, in which LICs are gaining more from ICT goods imports than HICs.

An Analysis of Convergence Relation on Economic Activity with Credit cards in Korea and China & A Development of the Algorithm on economic trend Estimation (한중 신용카드가 경제활동에 미치는 융합적 영향 및 경제추이 예측을 위한 알고리즘 개발 연구)

  • Baik, Ran;Ryu, Jae Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2016
  • This study is to analyze korea credit card market and the China credit card market, and predict future economic activity by developing the Algorithm for future economic trend Estimation As a results, there is no significant correlation between personal income growth and the credit card usage amount, and significant correlation between the credit card per capita and the credit card usage amount, in korea. there is significant correlation between personal income growth and the credit card usage amount, and between the credit card per capita and the credit card usage amount in china. it could be predicted that the china credit card market would be increased and the rate of increase would be gradually increased over the next five years, under the condition without constraints in the external environment.

The Empirical Analysis on the Trade Creation Effect from the Joining EU of Central·Eastern European Countries (중·동유럽국들의 유럽연합(EU) 가입에 따른 무역창출효과 분석)

  • Kang, BoKyung
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.602-616
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    • 2009
  • EU and NAFTA which are huge regional economic blocs came out the world economy at the end of the twentieth century. It is the first that Europe has been trying to establish regional economic integration which is a revolutionary change to world economy. So that regional economic integration of Europe(European Union) has been improving to make a complete economic political integration. This paper analyzes trade creation effect for joining European Union(EU) of Central Eastern European countries with random effect estimation and fixed effect estimation. 12 Central Eastern European countries have become membership states of EU since 2004 is able to get 27.4% of trade increase effect on average between old and new membership countries one another as well as between new membership countries one another respectively. It is very important for some countries have a plan to affiliate to EU in the future to realize such a big effect if they are in.

The Relationships between Educational Investment as a Human Capital Formation and the National Economic Growth: Focusing on non-English-Speaking OECD Countries (인적자본형성으로서의 교육투자와 경제성장과의 관계 : OECD 비영어권 국가들을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Seon-Jae;Lee, Young-Hwa;Im, Kwang-Hyuk
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2010
  • The issues on education as a human capital formation in recent years have been focused for all of the countries with emerging of the knowledge-based economy. The present study compared and analyzed the relationships between the educational investment and national economic growth of ten non-English-speaking OECD countries during 1970-2008, using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Seemingly Unrelated Regression Estimation (SURE) as the main analytical methods. Findings indicate that educational investment, R&D investment, and fertility rate were statistically significant in the estimation of the variables related to the human capital formation, and these elements had also positive influence on the national economic growth. The most salient factor was the fertility rate, and the R&D investment and educational investment appeared as the next factors in the national economic growth. In particular, the dimensions in the coefficient of the fertility rate showed 1.8 times of the R&D and 3.5 times of the educational investment, respectively. These results imply that educational investment, R&D investment, and the policies which promote fertility rate should be taken into account for the continuous economic growth of each country.

A Study on the Socio-economic Characteristics of the Angler Population and the Estimation of A Fishing Frequency Function (유어낚시인구의 사회경제학적 특성과 출조빈도함수의 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Park Cheol-Hyung
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.36 no.1 s.67
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    • pp.81-101
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    • 2005
  • This article is to estimate the fishing frequency function in Korean recreational fishery with respect to socio-economic characteristics of anglers. First, the study described the characteristics of the entire angler population on the view points of 9 socio-economic variables. And then, the study divided the total angler population into three groups of in-land, sea, and mixed angler populations in order to investigate the differences in their characteristics. The study could confirm the existence of differences in regions, size of regions, and educational levels between the in - land and the sea angler populations by testing heterogeneity in the frequency table. The fishing frequency function is estimated using Poisson regression model in order to accomodate the count data(non-negative discrete random variable) aspects of the fishing frequency. However, the model specification error is found due to overdispersion of data. The model exhibits the lack of goodness of fit. The negative binomial regression model is adopted to cure the overdispersion of the data as an alternative estimation methodology. Finally, the study can confirm overdispersion does not exist in the model any more and the goodness of fit improved significantly to the reasonable level. The results of estimation of fishing frequency population modeled by the negative binomial regression models are following. The three variables of region, sex, and education have effects on the decision making process of fishing frequency in the case of in-land recreation fishery. On the other hand, the three variables of sex, age, and marriage status do the same job in the case of sea angler population. Among the left-over variables, both income and use of Internet variables now affect on the process in mixed angler population. Finally, the results of whole angler population show that all of the previous variables are proven to be statistically significant due to the summation of data with all three sub-groups of angler population.

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Estimation of Optimum Maintenance Cycle for the Chloride Damaged RC Structure (염해를 입은 RC 구조물의 최적 보수주기 산정 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Sun-Young;Lee, Han-Seung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.235-236
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    • 2010
  • Since many structures in the sea environment are damaged by chloride, appropriate repair strategy is required. Therefore in the paper, optimum period for the RC structure's repair is calculated with consideration of economic efficiency. Moreover, when the concrete members are repaired with the other material such as polymer mortar forr section restoration, their expected service life also calculated to predict more accurate repair period during the life span.

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