• Title/Summary/Keyword: economic cycle

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Economic Analysis of Power Plant Utilities Under $CO_2$ Emission Tax (탄소세(炭素稅)를 고려한 화력발전 설비간의 경제성 평가)

  • Kim, Ji-Soo;Lee, Byoung-Nam;Kim, Tae-Jin
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.237-248
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to make an economic analysis of power plant utilities by examining electricity generating costs with environmental consideration. Economic growth has caused pollutant emission, and subsequent environmental pollution has been identified as a very real limit to sustainable development. Considering the enormous role of electricity in the national economy, it is thus very important to study the effect of environmental regulations on the electricity sector. Because power utilities need large investments during construction, operation and maintenance, and also require much construction lead time. Economic analysis is the very important process in the electric system expansion planning. In this study, the levelized generation cost method is used in comparing economic analysis of power plant utilities. Among the pollutants discharged of the electricity sector, this study principally deals with the control activities related only to $CO_2$, and $NO_2$, since the control cost of $SO_2$, and TSP (Total Suspended Particulates) is already included in the construction cost of utilities. The cost of electricity generation in a coal-fired power plant is compared with one in an LNG combined cycle power plant. Moreover this study surveys the sensitivity of fuel price, interest rate and carbon tax. In each case, this sensitivity can help to decide which utility is economically justified in the circumstance of environmental regulations.

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A Study on Influence of Economic Preparation for Later Life after Retirement

  • KIM, Jong-Jin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.279-290
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    • 2020
  • This study examines how economic preparation for later life directly influences life after retirement. As people's life cycle is gradually getting longer, preparation for the later time with less economic activity after retirement is becoming more important. Thus, this study analyzes the factors influencing life after retirement. Data comes from the Korean Retirement and Income Study (KReIS) surveyed carried out by the National Pension Research Institute in 2015. The analysis includes Cronbach's alpha, Pearson Product Moment Correlation Coefficient and Sobel Test. This study confirms that voluntary retirement has a positive influence on life satisfaction. Results are in line with previous research about the relationship between voluntary retirement and retired life. When a person retires voluntarily, financial preparation can be made in advance for retirement. In case of involuntary retirement, people may experience a sense of loss in personal standing and financial difficulties due to the unexpected situation. Especially, early retirement from the main workplace leads to unstable later life. The study's policy recommendation, in particular, calls on government and businesses to agree on social responsibility for helping employees to retire in the predictable retirement time and, thus, enabling the retiree to decide all aspects of the path after retirement.

Counter-Cyclical Capital Buffer and Regional Development Bank Profitability: An Empirical Study in Indonesia

  • ANDAIYANI, Sri;HIDAYAT, Ariodillah;DJAMBAK, Syaipan;HAMIDI, Ichsan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.829-837
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    • 2021
  • The study investigates the impact of the Counter-Cyclical Buffer Policy (CCB) on regional development bank profitability in Sumatra, Indonesia. CCB requires banks to hold capital at times when credit is growing rapidly so that the buffer can be reduced if the financial cycle turns down or the economic and financial environment becomes substantially worse. This study employs time series data of regional development banks (RDBs) in Sumatra Island, Indonesia. The methodology applied in this study is a panel dynamic model with Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM). The results show that increasing capital through the implementation of CCB did not have a significant effect on RDBs' profitability. The findings of this study suggest that the activation and implementation of CCB lead to an increase in the amount and cost of loans to companies but do not affect the profitability of RDBs. The value of a Non-Performing Loan (NPL) proved to have a negative and significant effect on bank profitability. The CCB policy aims to overcome the pro-cyclicality of credit growth and improve bank resilience through increased capital which is expected to reduce excessive credit growth as a source of systemic risk. This causes a lack of lending to the community so that the profits obtained by the bank decrease.

Development of Economic Analysis Model for Rebuilding Feasibility Evaluation of Old School Building (노후 학교건물의 개축 타당성 평가를 위한 경제성 분석 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Changsu;Ahn, Heejae;Kwon, Woobin;Kim, Minju;Kim, Harim;Cho, Hunhee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.273-274
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    • 2023
  • Although there are many old school buildings that is more than 40 years in Korea, it is difficult to rebuild all of them due to limitations in budget management. Therefore, objective feasibility evaluation criteria are necessary to determine which school buildings should be rebuilt preferentially among the numerous old school buildings. One of the rebuilding feasibility evaluation items, economic evaluation generally requires documents such as construction statements and facility drawings. However, because most buildings older than 40 years do not have these documents, an economic analysis model that requires only basic building information should be developed. In this study, the economic analysis model that can be used for evaluating the rebuilding feasibility only with the number of years, total floor area, and structural information of school buildings was established. This model can contribute to the objective feasibility evaluation of old school buildings because it can evaluate numerous buildings on the same criteria based on basic building information.

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A Study on AI-based Composite Supplementary Index for Complementing the Composite Index of Business Indicators (경기종합지수 보완을 위한 AI기반의 합성보조지수 연구)

  • JUNG, NAK HYUN;Taeyeon Oh;Kim, Kang Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.363-379
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The main objective of this research is to construct an AI-based Composite Supplementary Index (ACSI) model to achieve accurate predictions of the Composite Index of Business Indicators. By incorporating various economic indicators as independent variables, the ACSI model enables the prediction and analysis of both the leading index (CLI) and coincident index (CCI). Methods: This study proposes an AI-based Composite Supplementary Index (ACSI) model that leverages diverse economic indicators as independent variables to forecast leading and coincident economic indicators. To evaluate the model's performance, advanced machine learning techniques including MLP, RNN, LSTM, and GRU were employed. Furthermore, the study explores the potential of employing deep learning models to train the weights associated with the independent variables that constitute the composite supplementary index. Results: The experimental results demonstrate the superior accuracy of the proposed composite supple- mentary index model in predicting leading and coincident economic indicators. Consequently, this model proves to be highly effective in forecasting economic cycles. Conclusion: In conclusion, the developed AI-based Composite Supplementary Index (ACSI) model successfully predicts the Composite Index of Business Indicators. Apart from its utility in management, economics, and investment domains, this model serves as a valuable indicator supporting policy-making and decision-making processes related to the economy.

Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Auxiliary Power Unit Developments for 8200 Series Electric Locomotive Based on Reliability (8200호대 전기기관차 보조전원장치 개발품의 신뢰도 기반 수명주기비용 분석)

  • Lee, Kye-Seung;Kim, Wan-il;Chang, Yoon-Woo;Kim, Jae-Moon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.67 no.11
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    • pp.1523-1529
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    • 2018
  • Electric vehicles that are currently in operation are being produced domestically. Therefore, there is no great difficulty in receiving or repairing the failed parts or in the overall repair. On the other hand, most of the electric locomotives are manufactured by introducing the parts and technology of foreign vehicle manufacturers. In this paper, conducted a study about life cycle cost analysis of developed auxiliary power unit in 8200 series electric locomotive and suggested cost down method. This confirms the economic benefits of the developed products of the auxiliary power supply compared to the existing products. In addition, a sensitivity analysis of MTBF was conducted to suggest a life cycle cost down method.

A Study on the Evaluation Method of Green Remodeling Considering LCA and LCC (LCA 및 LCC를 고려한 환경친화적 리모델링의 평가방법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gwan-Ho;Kim, Nam-Gyu;Rhee, Eon-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2003
  • This study aims to presents Evaluation Method of Green Remodeling that analyze the value of environment through expense, using the method of life cycle cost and life cycle assessment simultaneously. The results of this study are summarized as follows. Evaluation Model developed in this study can convert economical value of environment into cost by integrating. In addition, the model can apply as a useful tool to estimation of economical design alternative as well as quantification of environmental loads and costs. Evaluation Model presented In this study observe energy consumption and the environmental load emission with qualification, it can forecast effect of environmental cost that cost estimation is expected to be added to energy cost rate by being possible. Synthetically, when Estimation Model and computer program that developed in this study is applies to the construction industry; reasonable management of environmental load is convenient at each step of Green Remodeling. In addition, at preliminary design phase, practical use may be possible by reasonable yardstick about various alternatives and improvement of design alternatives likewise by grasping environmental effect.

Corrosion-Fatigue Reliability-Based Life Cycle Cost Analysis of High-Speed Railway Steel Bridges (고속철도 강교량의 부식.피로신뢰성 기반 생애주기비용 분석)

  • Jeon, Hong-Min;Sun, Jong-Wan;Cho, Hyo-Nam
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.1132-1140
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    • 2007
  • As it recently appears that Life Cycle Cost Analysis may be considered as new methodology for economic valuation of infrastructure many researches have been made to assess LCC(Life Cycle Cost) of each facility based on a reasonable methods. In general, LCC is composed of construction cost and expected maintenance repair cost. And especially, maintenance repair cost must be estimated to enhance the reliability through systematic and reasonable methods. However in Korea, because high speed railway steel bridges are recently constructed no direct statistical data are available for the account of the maintenance cost and then their maintenance characteristics are not linear yet. Therefore, the approach proposed in the paper utilizes a theoretical determination and degradation of the corrosion and fatigue of the bridges based on Rahgozar et al.(2006)'s model on fatigue notch factor considering into the corrosion to incorporate the corrosion effect into the fatigue strength reduction model. And then, the corresponding probability of failure is calculated in terms of the reliability index using S-N curve to formulate the fatigue limit state. Therefore, this paper proposes the minimum Life Cycle Cost through optimum maintenance plan analysis of high-speed railway steel bridges under construction. Finally, this paper reviews the proposed model in oder to confirm the applicability and feasibility by appling it to high speed railway steel bridges under construction

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Analysis of Economic Replacement Cycle of Power Transformer Based on LCC Considering Maintenance Effect

  • Park, Seung-Hwa;Jang, Kyeong-Wook;Kweon, Dong-Jin;Shon, Jin-Geun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.1631-1637
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    • 2018
  • Electric utilities has been considered the necessity to introduce asset management of electric power facilities in order to reduce maintenance cost of existing facilities and to maximize profit. This paper aims to provide data that can helpful to make profitable decision in terms of power transformers which have a significant part in the power system. Therefore, this study is modeling input cost for power transformer during its entire life and also the life cycle cost (LCC) technique is applied. In particular, the variation of transformer state related with maintenance and the variation of the EUAC curve based on cost and effect of maintenance is examined. In this study, the trend of the equivalent uniform annual cost (EUAC) according to maintenance cycle and cost of equipment is analyzed. In line with that, sensitivity analysis influenced by the changes of other cost factors was performed.

A risk-based framework for design of concrete structures against earthquake

  • Hassani, Mohammadhassan;Behnam, Behrouz;Maknoon, Reza
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.167-179
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    • 2020
  • Optimal design of structures against earthquake loads is often limited to reduce initial construction costs, while the cost induced to structures during their useful life may be several times greater than the initial costs. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the indirect costs due to earthquakes in the design process. In this research, an integrated methodology for calculating life cycle cost (LCC) of moment-resisting concrete frames is presented. Increasing seismic safety of structures and reducing human casualties can play an important role in determining the optimal design. Costs incurred for structures are added to the costs of construction, including the costs of reconstruction, financial losses due to the time spent on reconstruction, interruption in building functionality, the value of people's life or disability, and content loss are a major part of the future costs. In this research, fifty years of useful life of structures from the beginning of the construction is considered as the life cycle. These costs should be considered as factors of calculating indirect costs of a structure. The results of this work represent the life cycle cost of a 4 story, 7 story, and 10 story moment-resisting concrete frame by details. This methodology is developed based on the economic conditions of Iran in 2016 and for the case of Tehran city.