• 제목/요약/키워드: economic analysis

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방위력개선사업의 비용편익 분석을 통한 획득대안 분석 연구 (A Study on Cost-benefit analysis of Defense Improvement Project for Acquisition Alternative Analysis)

  • 김병찬;안단
    • 융합정보논문지
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 2021
  • 무기체계 획득사업은 막대한 예산을 투입하여 국가에 미치는 파급효과가 큰 특성이 있어 무기체계 획득사업을 추진하기 위한 기획연구 단계에서 경제적 타당성을 확보한 획득대안 분석이 요구되고 있다. 이러한 요구에 따라 획득연구 단계에서 획득대안에 대한 경제성 분석을 수행하고 있으나, 현재는 초기 단계로 경제적 분석에 따른 획득대안 분석에 대한 연구는 미비한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 현재 획득대안에 대한 의사결정 방법인 효과분석의 제한점을 식별하고 추가로 비용편익분석 방법을 제시하여 획득대안에 대한 경제성 분석 방법을 제안한다. 비용편익 분석의 결과를 비용/편익비율(Benefit/Cost Ratio)로 제시하여 복수 대안뿐만 아니라 단일 대안에 대한 경제성 분석이 가능하고, 경제적 타당성을 확보한 보편적인 결과 제시가 가능하다. 제시 방법을 OO 유도로켓 사업 획득연구에 적용하여 각 대안에 대한 경제성 분석결과를 제시한다.

지역물류산업과 경제성장의 관계에 대한 패널분석 (Panel Analysis of Relationship Between Regional Logistics Industry and Economic Growth in Korea)

  • 최봉호;이기환
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제44권2호
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    • pp.173-188
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the causal relationship between the logistics industry and the economic growth in Korea, and to provide implications for the contribution of the logistics industry to economic growth. Unlike Previous Related Studies, we derive short-term and long-term effects through dynamic panel analysis such as panel Granger causality test and impulse response function estimation using panel vector error correction model. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows: Labor input of the logistics industry has the greatest positive impact on economic growth. And capital input and total sales of the logistics industry have a negative effect on economic growth. This means that Korea's logistics industry features labor-intensive growth. In addition, We have also found that the growth (sales) and capital input of the logistics industry have not yet had a direct positive impact on economic growth. Therefore, the results of this analysis provide implications for the direction of logistics industry policy to enhance contribution of the logistics industry to economic growth.

Analysis of the Input of Education and Innovation on Economic Growth in Kazakhstan

  • KIREYEVA, Anel A.;KUANDYK, Zhassulan;KREDINA, Anna A.;KANGALAKOVA, Dana;DOSZHAN, Raigul
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: this study is aimed at assessing the contribution of education and innovation to the economic growth of Kazakhstan, the correlation between them is checked based on two levels on a national scale and a regional scale. Based on the literature review, it was revealed that in the vastness of the scientific community, there are many views concerning the influence of educational and innovative factors on economic growth. Research design, data and methodology: the research methodology is divided into two levels, at the first level, a correlation analysis is carried out between key factors and the economic growth of the country (GDP), at the second level, the same factors are analyzed, but the impact on the economic growth of the region (GRP) is estimated. Statistical data on educational and innovation potential is taken from the Bureau of National Statistics for the period 2003-2021. Results: in this study, it was revealed that the economic development of regions could be influenced by such indicators that cannot affect the entire state in aggregate and vice versa. In addition, the correlation analysis results showed that investments in innovations affect economic growth at the country and the regional level. Conclusions: based on the results of the assessment of educational and innovative potential, policy recommendations and further research in this area were proposed.

불확실성하에서 북태평양 미드웨이 시험어장의 경제성 평가 : 다랑어연승 어장을 중심으로 (The Economic Evaluation of Experimental Fishing Grounds in the North Pacific Midway Ocean Under Uncertainty : Focusing on Tuna Longline Fishing Grounds)

  • 문성주;진상대;안영수;김영승;황선재
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.153-172
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    • 2009
  • Developing foreign fishing ground executed in various uncertainty such as fishing price, oil price, exchange rate. But traditional economic evaluation method, CVP(Cost-Volume-Profit) analysis doesn't consider uncertainty of foreign fishing ground. So we need new approach about economic evaluation that can take into account uncertainty. This study focus on the economic evaluation about experimental survey of tuna fishing grounds in the north pacific ocean by sensitive analysis and simulation. The results of the economic evaluation can be summarized as follows. First, when we take it for granted that the other uncertainty factors except for each fishing price, oil price, and exchange rate are constant. CVP gross sales has positive relation to the increasing rate of oil price, exchange rate(W/$) and negative relation to the increasing rate of fishing price and exchange rate(W/${\yen}$). Second, when we are supposing that fishing price, oil price, and exchange rate are followed. the probability of less than CVP gross sales is A ship(48.87%), B ship(49.64%), C ship(50.55%). Consequently, the economic evaluation by sensitive analysis and simulation is more useful tool than CVP(Cost-Volume-Profit) analysis under uncertainty.

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철도사업 성과분석 표준매뉴얼 개발 (A Development of Railroad R&D Project Performance Analysis Method)

  • 진일경;유재균;변지영
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.472-476
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    • 2011
  • Railway R&D technology development projects for the economic value of technology development does not mention the estimated economic impact on future policies must reflect the issues that are raised. In the research phase of technology development by providing value and economic effects can increase the utilization of technology development are considered. However, some items in some way to analyze and quantify its effect on what the procedures are not standardized, not as needed by individual researchers and analysis by providing a variety of reliability problems can occur. Therefore, the development of technologies to measure the value and economic impact analysis and the development of a standardized manual is needed. In this paper, development of railway technology R & D performance (technical, economic) to be estimated by an objective analysis of standardized and that man should aim to create. And the standard manual of the national economic effect in the development of technologies (production inducement effect, the effect of import substitution industries, including analysis using the taxable year), due to technology development and economic benefits (investment in railways in the handbook and the feasibility of the proposed railway project to produce various ally standards), technology development, and on which to base the valuation will.

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광 가입자 망 진화를 위한 기술 경제성 평가 (A New Techno-Economic Modeling and Analysis for FTTH Optical Access Networks)

  • 이영호;함태훈;김영진;한정희
    • 산업공학
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.277-287
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we deal with a new techno-economic modeling and analysis for optical access networks. In deploying the fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) architecture, network planner needs to consider the following techno-economic issues: when do we need to upgrade existing local access network to FTTH network? how much do we invest to maximize profit? In order to answer these techno-economic questions, we need to consider the impact of emerging technologies and business environment. Toward this end, we develop a new techno-economic modeling to deal with the inherent complexity of technology evolution and cost economics. In particular, the new modeling approach provides us with an techno-economic analysis of technology alternatives such as ethernet passive optical network (E-PON) and wavelength division multiplex passive optical network (WDM-PON). In this analysis, we focus on the impact of critical factors such as the cost characteristic of proposed architecture and digital subscriber line (DSL) subscriber's churn-in to FTTH service and churn-out. We develop mixed integer-programming models for finding the evolution path of local access networks to broadband network architectures.

경제적 자유가 외국인직접투자 촉진에 미치는 영향: 경제발전단계별 직접효과와 조절효과를 중심으로 (Effect of Economic Freedom on the Facilitation of FDI Inflows: Focus on the Direct and Moderating Effect by the Stage of Economic Development)

  • 김무수;이찬희
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.25-43
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - This study is to investigate the direct and moderating effect of intangible variable like economic freedom to facilitating factors on FDI(foreign direct investment) inflows and the difference of facilitating factors by the stage of economic development. Design/methodology/approach - Fixed-effect panel regression analysis with 19-year macro economic data from 2000 to 2019 including economic freedom index from Fraser Institute in 13 developed and 15 developing countries was used. Research implications or Originality - In analysis of direct effect of 5 sectors in economic freedom, the influence of economic freedom was shown weaker than other macro economic factors on FDI inflows, which indicates that actual development of economic factors are more important. The effect of economic freedom on FDI inflows at the stage of economic development differed. In developed countries, human capital, GDP, export, free trade and regulation affected FDI inflows in decreasing order, as did human capital, GDP, consumption expenditure, export, investment expenditure, government expenditure, free trade and sound money in developing countries. In analysis of moderating effect of economic freedom, a domestic and international market size, a flexible labor market which can provide a cheaper good human resources and government expenditures for improving social infrastructure under free economic environment facilitated FDI inflows. However, the statistical significance of moderating effect on export was not shown, which indicates that economic freedom policy itself without actual improvement of exports could not attract FDI inflows.

환경분야 자격이 개인에게 미치는 경제적.비경제적 효과 분석 (A Study on the Analysis of the Economic and Non-Economic Effects of Environmental Qualifications on Their Holders)

  • 박종성;이무춘
    • 한국환경교육학회지:환경교육
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 2005
  • This study aims to investigate and practically examine the effect of environmental qualifications based on the theoretical background on the area. First, the economic effect of the acquisition of the qualifications was to be studied from the viewpoints of individuals and from an actual analysis on it, its effect was to be proved. Second, its non-economic effect was to be proved from the same way as the first analysis. On the basis of theoretical background, a study model was formulated in a way that the effect of qualifications in individuals side was divided into an economic effect (wage, employment, promotion, job-switching) and non-economic effect (self-development, self-efficiency, satisfaction on the job, ability to cope with the advancement of technology, job performance, signal effect, the settlement of uneasiness at unemployment). Then, survey was carried out with questions designed in accordance with this model. The hypotheses were proved as the following. First, for hypothesis 1(Environmental qualifications will bring up positive impacts on an individuals economic effect), environmental qualifications was shown to have positive impacts on wage, job-switching in personal economic effect. But, no personal economic effect appeared for employment and promotion. Second, for hypothesis 2(Environmental qualifications will bring up positive impacts on an individuals non-economic effect), environmental qualifications appeared to have positive impacts on self-efficiency, ability to cope with the advancement of technology, job performance and signal effect. Besides, no impact was shown in satisfaction on the job and the settlement of uneasiness at unemployment and self-development.

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경제현상과 경제분석, 그리고 통계학적 응용성 - 계량경제학의 발전과 과제를 중심으로 - (Economic Phenomena, Economic Analysis, and Its Statistical Applicability: Focusing on the Developments of Econometrics and Challenging Issues)

  • 김치호
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.1075-1091
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    • 2015
  • 이 리뷰논문은 경제분석체계의 발전과정을 계량경제학을 중심으로 살펴보고 불확실성이 더해지는 최근 경제현상의 통계학적 응용성을 모색한 것이다. 지난 반세기 동안 경제학의 분석체계는 발전을 거듭하며 현실 경제문제를 실효적으로 분석하고 예측해왔다. 그 중심에 이론통계학의 추론을 기반으로 하는 계량경제학의 절대적인 기여가 있었다. 최근 들어서는 IT발전, 인터넷과 SNS의 확산 등으로 계량경제학과 통계학의 새로운 연구 환경이 조성되고 있다. 앞으로 경제현상의 복잡다기화와 변동성 증대에 비례하여 분석체계도 정치화되며 발전할 것으로 보이지만, 급변하는 경제환경 변화를 적실하게 분석해내지 못하는 한계를 지적하는 시각도 있다. 한걸음 더 나아가 주류 경제학의 패러다임을 넘어 복잡계, 경제물리학과 같은 접근방법을 적극적으로 적용해야한다는 주장도 나오고 있는데, 이 또한 통계학에게는 도전이 되고 있다.

LCC기법을 이용한 신기술 환기시스템의 경제성 분석에 관한 사례연구 (A Case Study on the Economic Analysis for a New Technology-Based Ventilation System Using LCC Technique)

  • 최현근;황성수;김용수
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제4권4호
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study is to assess economic effects for a new technology-based ventilation system. The study has been performed using LCC technique for the economic analysis. Data for LCC analysis are collected from estimation and interview of estimators and maintenance experts of buildings. Based on the LCC analysis, the economic effect of a new technology-based ventilation system has been predicted as follows: for the investment during 15 years of study period, (1) return rate for the investment is 9.3 times. (2) 7.3% of LCC saving is predicted.