• Title/Summary/Keyword: early stage cost estimation

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The Development of an Product Cost Estimation System at the Product Design Stage (제품 설계 단계에서의 제품 원가 추정 시스템 개발)

  • 한관희;박찬우;이규봉;황태일;김강용
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2003
  • Presented in this paper is the development of an product cost estimation system at the product design stage. The efficient cost estimation function at the design stage is essential for the cost reduction activities through the entire product life cycle. For this purpose, it is necessary to establish a systematic working procedure, and to develop information system for managing a great deal of production and product-related data required for the cost estimation. The developed system has the capability of estimating a cost of assembly type products as well as unit-item type products. As proposed system is based on the variant approach, it can be used easily at an early design stage without the need for detail design information. Also, this system is integrated with legacy PDM (Product Data Management) and ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) system for fast. accurate and easy product cost estimation. The estimated cost includes material cost, overhead cost as well as labor cost.

Cost Estimating in Early Stage Using Parametric Method for Apartment Construction Projects (파라메트릭 방법(Parametric Method)을 이용한 사업초기 단계의 공사비 예측 방법)

  • Seong, Ki-Hoon;Park, Mun-Seo;Lee, Hyun-Su;Ji, Sae-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.207-211
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    • 2008
  • The importance of cost management in early stage has been increasing due to market change and competition severence in construction industry. Because the adjustable budget is only 20% after finishing design stage, the critical decision is made in the early stage. However, in the early stage, the design information is not enough to make crucial decision. Therefore, this research suggests the predicting method on the purpose of accurate cost estimation. The parametric estimation is appropriate for the early stage, especially it has the strength of rapidity in cost estimation. This research analyzes 84 actual data of public apartment on the scale of $11{\sim}15$ stories, and then performs the correlation analysis between cost and influence factors. After eliminating the parameters which causes the problem of multicollinearity, this research derived the formula through the multi-regression analysis.

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Parameter Impact Applied Case-based Reasoning Cost Estimation

  • Joseph Ahn;Hyun-Soo Lee;Moonseo Park;Sae-Hyun Ji;Sooyoung Kim
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2013.01a
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    • pp.475-478
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    • 2013
  • To carry out a one-off construction project successfully, effective and accurate early cost estimation is crucial, especially during the conceptual stage where very limited minimum information of construction project is given. As the level of accuracy of the early cost estimation has huge impacts on precise budgeting and cost management of a project, in other words, reducing the risk of a project, cost must be managed with special awareness. In an effort to improve the estimate accuracy of cost during the conceptual stage, this research introduces a Parameter Impact (PI) which can quantify weights of parameters and rank them; and PI development derived from the principle of impulse in physics is explicated. For a case study, 76 public apartment building cases in Korea are analyzed. To examine the validity of the proposed PI, a validation in terms of CBR applicability test and estimate accuracy comparisons using 10-nearest neighbor cases are carried out. The validation results support that the suggested PI can be applied in quantifying the weights of the parameters and CBR method for early cost estimation.

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COST ESTIMATE AT EARLY STAGE USING CASE-BASED REASONING

  • Kihoon Seong;Moonseo Park;Hyun-Soo Lee;Sae-Hyun Ji
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.883-889
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    • 2009
  • The importance of cost estimate in early stage such has been increasing due to market change and severe competition in construction industry. Because the adjustable budget is only 20% after design stage, most of the crucial decisions to influence cost is made in the early stage. However, in the early stage, the project scope is not defined completely so that estimator has inaccurate information to make critical decision. Therefore, this research suggests the cost estimate method using case-based reasoning. Case-based reasoning is appropriate for the early cost estimating, as it has the strength of rapidity and convenience in cost estimation. This research analyzes 84 actual data of public apartment on the scale of 11~15 stories. In order to extract the most similar case, at the first step this research identifies influence factors and calculates attribute similarity. In case-based reasoning, the most challenging task is determining attribute weight. At the third step, this research calculates case similarity which is aggregated attribute similarity multipled by attribute weight. Finally, extracts the most similar case which has the highest score of case similarity.

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A Study on Predicting Construction Cost of School Building Projects Based on Support Vector Machine Technique at the Early Project Stage (Support Vector Machine을 이용한 교육시설 초기 공사비 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jae-Min;Park, Hyun-Young;Shin, Yoon-Seok;Kim, Gwang-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2012.11a
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    • pp.153-154
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    • 2012
  • The accuracy of cost estimation at an early stage in school building project is one of the critical factors for successful completion. So many method and techniques have developed that can estimate construction cost using limited information available in the early stage. Among the techniques, Support Vector Machine(SVM) has received attention in various field due to its excellent capacity for self-learning and generalization performance. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to verify the applicability of cost prediction model based on SVM in school building project at the early stage. Data used in this study are 139 school building cost constructed from 2004 to 2007 in Gyeonggi-Do. And prediction error rate of 7.48% in support vector machine is obtained. So the results showed applicability of using SVM model for predicting construction cost of school building projects.

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Roadway Preliminary Cost Estimation Prototype based on BIM and GIS (BIM/GIS 기반 도로 개략공사비 산정 프로토타입 연구)

  • Park, Wonyoung;Kang, Tai-Kyung;Lee, Yoo-Sub
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.14-21
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    • 2013
  • While a detailed cost estimation utilizes the comprehensive quantity information obtained from a complete drawing and specification, an approximate cost estimation heavily relies on the subjective decisions. This phenomenon is because the approximate estimation is usually conducted in early stage of the construction phase where the drawing and specification are not available. This study developed a roadway construction cost estimation system which enables users to estimate the approximated cost of the project in early stage. The system identifies the variation of the construction costs due to the road route change using a cased based reasoning(CBR) method. Overall the system is expected to improves the accuracy and effectiveness of the estimation process, because it would provide users with increased accessability and consistent results in early stage of the project which leaded to the increased work transparency.

A Study on Predicting Construction Cost of Educational Building Project at early stage Using Support Vector Machine Technique (서포트벡터머신을 이용한 교육시설 초기 공사비 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jae-Min;Kim, Gwang-Hee
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 2012
  • The accuracy of cost estimation at an early stage in school building project is one of the critical factors for successful completion. So various of techniques are developed to predict the construction cost accurately and expeditely. Among the techniques, Support Vector Machine(SVM) has an excellent ability for generalization performance. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to construct the prediction model for construction cost of educational building project using support vector machine technique. And to verify the accuracy of prediction model for construction cost. The performance data used in this study are 217 school building project cost which have been completed from 2004 to 2007 in Gyeonggi-Do, Korea. The result shows that average error rate was 7.48% for SVM prediction model. So using SVM model on predicting construction cost of educational building project will be a considerably effective way at the early project stage.

Cost Estimation Model Framework of Road Construction Project through Quantity of Standard Work (대표물량을 활용한 도로공사 개략공사비 산정모델 프레임워크)

  • Kwak, Soo-Nam;Kim, Du-Yon;Han, Seung-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.607-612
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    • 2007
  • Early cost estimation promote efficient budget plan by comparing alternatives and presenting cost information However it is hard to predict accurate cost because of vague cost standard and lack of available information in the early stage. The precious cost model has limitations in the accuracy because they are simple linear model which uses the unit cost per kilometer. This study presents the framework of early cost estimation for road construction projects to overcome the limitation of previous cost model. This study analyzed domestic and foreign cost model and cost data of previous road construction project to present method of cost model framework.

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Improving the Accuracy of Early Stage Cost Estimation in Apartment Construction Project (공동주택 프로젝트의 초기 공사비 예측정확도 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, So-Yean;Yeo, Sang-Gu;Go, Seong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.143-147
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    • 2010
  • Due to the diversification and complication of construction projects, controlling risks from the early design-planning phase gives huge impact on success of the construction project. As a part of managing uncertainties it is also important to estimate the project cost several times. Especially, estimating project cost in the early stage gives effects on making a budget for projects. This study estimated the apartment project cost using case-based reasoning(CBR), which is the process of solving new problems based on the past problems. For this, we deduced the apartment cost influence factors which can be gathered in the early stage of project. Based on the factors we established the database for apartment project and calculated the attribute value, attribute similarity and case similarity. Although we retrieve the most similar case from the database, it is very hard to utilize it directly due to the uniqueness of each project. So, Genetic Algorithm(GA) was applied in revising the cost of the retrieved-case. Therefore, the accuracy of the prediction was improved by GA optimization.

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Suggestion and Verification of Assessment model on Construction Cost of Steel Box Girder Bridge in Project Performance Phases (사업 수행 단계별 강박스거더교 공사비 산정 모델 제시 및 검증)

  • Jeon, Eun-Kyoung;Kyung, Kab-Soo;Park, Jin-Eun;Kang, Sin-Hwa
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.55-65
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    • 2010
  • To effectively secure and execute the national budget, it is very important to estimate the reasonable construction cost of each process in the construction of public facilities and works. The construction cost is generally estimated at the time when the design of the targeted structures has been completed. Without detailed sectional drawings and with only simple information on bridge structures in the planning stage or in the early design stage. it would be very difficult to predict the approximate construction cost. In this study, a more efficient and appropriate approximate construction cost estimation model in the planning stage and in the early design stage is presented and verified as reliable by analyzing the construction cost data of 61 existing steel box girder bridges from previous studies. The results of this study show that when the construction cost that was predicted using the construction cost estimation model in the design stage was compared with the cost from the conventional standards, the suggested model in this study produced results with a very high confidence level.