• Title/Summary/Keyword: dynamic reliability model

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Determining Appropriate Bioeconomic Models for Stock Assessment of Aquatic Resources (수산자원량 추정을 위한 생물경제 모델의 적합성평가)

  • 표희동
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.75-98
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    • 2002
  • As a contribution to developing fishery stock assessment, optimum sustainable yield and its international standards such as MSY, MEY, and dynamic MEY for six recommended fisheries are developed using bio-economic models. For selecting the appropriate model, five models - Schaefer, Schnute, Walters and Hilborn, Fox, and CY&P models are tested in effort and catch data of six species. Surprisingly all the models except the CY&P model failed to satisfy statistical standards such as goodness-of-fitness and reliability. Generally, the CY&P model holds good fitness and statistically significant level for all of six fisheries. However, the CY&P model for squid, where the intrinsic growth rate is high, could not explain MSY, MEY, and dynamic MEY appropriately. This study makes a contribution to develop the modified model for the intrinsic growth rate of 1. The reformulated model represents the results reasonably even though the estimated equation has not good fitness. Although most of the CY&P models appear to have good fits and validated results for some cases, these models also seem to be quite sensitive to parameters which means a more stable model should be developed and data should carefully be handled. In particular biological and technical interactions such as multispecies, predator prey relationship, age structure and mortality should be taken into account. In addition, economic factors and fishing efforts such as price, cost, technical change and a reasonable function of fishing input should simultaneously be considered.

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Analytical fragility curves of a structure subject to tsunami waves using smooth particle hydrodynamics

  • Sihombing, Fritz;Torbol, Marco
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1145-1167
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    • 2016
  • This study presents a new method to computes analytical fragility curves of a structure subject to tsunami waves. The method uses dynamic analysis at each stage of the computation. First, the smooth particle hydrodynamics (SPH) model simulates the propagation of the tsunami waves from shallow water to their impact on the target structure. The advantage of SPH over mesh based methods is its capability to model wave surface interaction when large deformations are involved, such as the impact of water on a structure. Although SPH is computationally more expensive than mesh based method, nowadays the advent of parallel computing on general purpose graphic processing unit overcome this limitation. Then, the impact force is applied to a finite element model of the structure and its dynamic non-linear response is computed. When a data-set of tsunami waves is used analytical fragility curves can be computed. This study proves it is possible to obtain the response of a structure to a tsunami wave using state of the art dynamic models in every stage of the computation at an affordable cost.

A study on Improving the Reliability of a Finite Elements Model and Stiffness Damage Detection by Dynamic Characteristics Measurements (동특성 측정에 의한 유한요소 모델의 신뢰도 제고 및 파손부위 색출에 관한 연구)

  • 박윤식;박형순
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 1986
  • A method to improve the Finite Elements Model and to identify structure stiffness damages utilizing measured dynamic characteristics is suggested. In order to show the effectiveness of the proposed method, a sample structure is adopted and tested. It is found that; (1) the Finite Elements Model can be improved with experimentally obtained dynamic characteristics satisfactorily and (2) the test results are also very helpful to search the stiffness damaged part of the sample structure via plotting the error matrix[E], especially it is aboved that the weighted error matrix is very effective to detect even the stiffness changes are relatively small.

A comparison of coupled and uncoupled dynamic analysis for the flexible riser in shallow water

  • Jo, Chul-Hee;Kim, Do-Youb;Hwang, Su-Jin;Rho, Yu-Ho
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.195-201
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    • 2014
  • Flexible risers have been used extensively in recent years for floating and early production systems. Such risers offer the advantage of having inherent heave compliance in their catenary thereby greatly reducing the complexity of the riser-to-rig and riser-to subsea interfaces. Another advantage with flexible risers is their greater reliability. Concerns about fatigue life, gas permeation and pigging of lines have been overcome by extensive experience with these risers in production applications. In this paper, flexible riser analysis results were compared through coupled and uncoupled dynamic analyses methods. A time domain coupled analysis capability has been developed to model the dynamic responses of an integrated floating system incorporating the interactions between vessel, moorings and risers in a marine environment. For this study, SPM (Single Point Mooring) system for an FSU in shallow water was considered. This optimization model was integrated with a time-domain global motion analysis to assess both stability and design constraints of the flexible riser system.

A Comparison of Dynamic Analysis for the Flexible Riser in Shallow Water (천해에서 유연라이저의 동적해석 결과 비교)

  • Jo, Chul-Hee;Kim, Do-Youb;Rho, Yu-Ho;Kim, In-Ho
    • Journal of Coastal Disaster Prevention
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.149-155
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    • 2014
  • Flexible risers have been used extensively in recent years for floating and early production systems. Such risers offer the advantage of having inherent heave compliance in their catenary thereby greatly reducing the complexity of the riser-to-rig and riser-to subsea interfaces. Another advantage with flexible risers is their greater reliability. Concerns about fatigue life, gas permeation and pigging of lines have been overcome by extensive experience with these risers in production applications. In this paper, flexible riser analysis results were compared through coupled and uncoupled dynamic analyses methods. A time domain coupled analysis capability has been developed to model the dynamic responses of an integrated floating system incorporating the interactions between vessel, moorings and risers in a marine environment. For this study, SPM (Single Point Mooring) system for an FSU in shallow water was considered. This optimization model was integrated with a time-domain global motion analysis to assess both stability and design constraints of the flexible riser system.

Reliability Analysis in Fatigue Strength of Connecting Rod (커넥팅 로드의 피로강도에 대한 신뢰성 해석)

  • Kim, Cheol-Su;Lee, Jun-Hyeong;Kim, Jeong-Gyu
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.25 no.10
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    • pp.1651-1658
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    • 2001
  • It is necessary to evaluate fatigue strength and reliability of the connecting rod which is core part in automotive engine to assure the high level of durability of automobile. For this purpose, the loading conditions in automotive engine is obtained by the dynamic analysis. Based on these results, the critical section was identified by the finite element analysis. The fatigue strength under constant amplitude was evaluated and the mean of the fatigue limit at R = -2.27 derived from the staircase method was 311.2MPa. And the failure probability( F$\sub$p/ ) derived from the strength-stress interference model is 0.0003% at the 99.99% confidence level and the mean factor of safety was 4.2.

Optimization of active vibration control for random intelligent truss structures under non-stationary random excitation

  • Gao, W.;Chen, J.J.;Hu, T.B.;Kessissoglou, N.J.;Randall, R.B.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.137-150
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    • 2004
  • The optimization of active bars' placement and feedback gains of closed loop control system for random intelligent truss structures under non-stationary random excitation is presented. Firstly, the optimal mathematical model with the reliability constraints on the mean square value of structural dynamic displacement and stress response are built based on the maximization of dissipation energy due to control action. In which not only the randomness of the physics parameters of structural materials, geometric dimensions and structural damping are considered simultaneously, but also the applied force are considered as non-stationary random excitation. Then, the numerical characteristics of the stationary random responses of random intelligent structure are developed. Finally, the rationality and validity of the presented model are demonstrated by an engineering example and some useful conclusions are obtained.

Design Optimization of Blast Resistant CFRP-steel Composite Structure Based on Reliability Analysis (신뢰성 해석에 의한 내폭 CFRP-steel 복합구조의 최적화 설계)

  • Kim, Jung Joong;Noh, Hyuk-Chun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Advanced Composite Structures
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.10-16
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    • 2012
  • This study presents the effectiveness of a composite structure at improving blast resistance. The proposed composite structure consists of carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) and steel layers. While CFRP layer is used for blast energy reflection due to its high strength, steel layer is used for blast energy absorption due to its high ductility. A dynamic model is used to simulate the elastoplastic behavior of the proposed composite structure subject to blast load. Considering the magnitude variations of a blast event, the probability of failure of each layer is evaluated using reliability analysis. By assigning design probability of failure of each layer in the composite structure, the thickness of layers is optimized. A case study for the design of CFRP-steel composite structure subjected to an uncertain blast event is also presented.

An Adaptable Integrated Prediction System for Traffic Service of Telematics

  • Cho, Mi-Gyung;Yu, Young-Jung
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.171-176
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    • 2007
  • To give a guarantee a consistently high level of quality and reliability of Telematics traffic service, traffic flow forecasting is very important issue. In this paper, we proposed an adaptable integrated prediction model to predict the traffic flow in the future. Our model combines two methods, short-term prediction model and long-term prediction model with different combining coefficients to reflect current traffic condition. Short-term model uses the Kalman filtering technique to predict the future traffic conditions. And long-term model processes accumulated speed patterns which means the analysis results for all past speeds of each road by classifying the same day and the same time interval. Combining two models makes it possible to predict future traffic flow with higher accuracy over a longer time range. Many experiments showed our algorithm gives a better precise prediction than only an accumulated speed pattern that is used commonly. The result can be applied to the car navigation to support a dynamic shortest path. In addition, it can give users the travel information to avoid the traffic congestion areas.

Global seismic performance of a new precast CFST column to RC beam braced frame: Shake table test and numerical study

  • Xu, S.Y.;Li, Z.L.;Liu, H.J.
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.805-827
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    • 2016
  • A new type of precast CFST column to RC beam braced frame is proposed in this paper. A series of shake table tests were conducted to excite a one-third scale six-story model for investigating the global seismic performance of this type of structure against earthquake actions. Particular emphasis was given to its dynamic property, global seismic responses and failure path. Correspondingly, a numerical model built on the basis of fiber-beam-element model, multi-layer shell model and element-deactivation method was developed to simulate the seismic performance of the prototype structure. Numerical results were compared with the measured values from shake table tests to verify the validity and reliability of the numerical model. The results demonstrated that the proposed novel precast CFST column to RC beam braced frame performs excellently under strong earthquake excitations; the "strong CFST column-weak RC beam" and "strong connection-weak member" anti-seismic design principles can be easily achieved; the maximum deflections of precast CFSTC-RCB braced frame satisfied the deflection limitations proposed in national code; the numerical model can properly simulate the dynamic property and responses of the precast CFSTC-RCB braced frame that are highly concerned in engineering practice.