• 제목/요약/키워드: drought season

검색결과 187건 처리시간 0.025초

오랜 가뭄 뒤 내린 비에 대한 긍정적 측면의 경제적 가치 연구: 2009년 4월 20~21일 강수 사례 중심으로 (A Study on the Positive Economic Values of Rain After a Long Drought: for the Rainfall Case of 20~21 April, 2009)

  • 이영곤;김백조;차기욱;박길운;류경식
    • 대기
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.173-186
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    • 2010
  • The impact of the precipitation has been focused on losses in social and economical sectors. However, as growing the concerns of the future water shortage caused by the climate change, the precipitation should be consider in various views for an effective planning in the water resource management. A precipitation case occurred from 20 to 21 April 2009 was recorded as a welcome rain because it reduced the severe drought continued in Korea from winter season of 2008. In this study, economic values of the event was calculated with positive aspects in various sectors. The estimation is based on four major parts such as a secure of water resources, the improvement of air quality, the decrease of forest fires, and the reduction of the drought impact. The water resources only considered inflow waters into dams and the reservoirs managed by Korean public institutions and their economic values accounts for 5.92 billion won. Decreases of four air pollutants($PM_{10}$, $NO_2$, CO, and $SO_2$) were considered as the positive effects of the rainfall and estimated 175.4 billion won. The preventive effect of the forest fire after the rainfall results in 0.48 billion won. Finally, the rainfall during the drought period is effective to reduce the social costs of 108.65 billion won. Although the economic values estimated in this study explain parts of the positive effects of the precipitation, it can help to develop a comprehensive and systematic valuation system for the whole process of the precipitation. For doing this, various rainfall types should be analyzed in social-economic terms including economics, environments and hydrology.

Impact of abnormal climate events on the production of Italian ryegrass as a season in Korea

  • Kim, Moonju;Sung, Kyungil
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제63권1호
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    • pp.77-90
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    • 2021
  • This study aimed to assess the impact of abnormal climate events on the production of Italian ryegrass (IRG), such as autumn low-temperature, severe winter cold and spring droughts in the central inland, southern inland and southern coastal regions. Seasonal climatic variables, including temperature, precipitation, wind speed, relative humidity, and sunshine duration, were used to set the abnormal climate events using principal component analysis, and the abnormal climate events were distinguished from normal using Euclidean-distance cluster analysis. Furthermore, to estimate the impact caused by abnormal climate events, the dry matter yield (DMY) of IRG between abnormal and normal climate events was compared using a t-test with 5% significance level. As a result, the impact to the DMY of IRG by abnormal climate events in the central inland of Korea was significantly large in order of severe winter cold, spring drought, and autumn low-temperature. In the southern inland regions, severe winter cold was also the most serious abnormal event. These results indicate that the severe cold is critical to IRG in inland regions. Meanwhile, in the southern coastal regions, where severe cold weather is rare, the spring drought was the most serious abnormal climate event. In particular, since 2005, the frequency of spring droughts has tended to increase. In consideration of the trend and frequency of spring drought events, it is likely that drought becomes a NEW NORMAL during spring in Korea. This study was carried out to assess the impact of seasonal abnormal climate events on the DMY of IRG, and it can be helpful to make a guideline for its vulnerability.

설계갈수량의 유도를 위한 수문통계학적 연구 (I) (Statistical Studies on the Derivation of Design Low Flows (I))

  • 이순혁;박영근;박종근
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 1992
  • Design low flows were derived from the decision of a best fitting probability distribution and of an optimum transformation method can be contributed to the planning of water utilization and management of various hydraulic structures during dry season in the main river systems in Korea. The results were analyzed and summarized as follows. 1.Basic statistics for the selected watersheds were calculated as one of means for the analysis of extremal distribution. 2.Parameters for the different frequency distributions were calculated by the method of moment. 3.Type m extremal distribution was confirmed as a best one among others for the frequency distribution of the low flows by x$^2$ goodness of fit test. 4.Formulas for the design low flows of the Type m extremal distribution with two and three parameters were dervied for the selected watersheds. 5.Design low flows for the Type m extremal distribution when a minimum drought is zero or larger than zero were derived for the selected watersheds, respectively. 6.Design low flows of the Type m extremal distribution with two parameters are appeared to be reasonable when a minimum drought approaches to zero and the observed low flows varied within a relating small range while those with three parameters are seemed to be consistent with the probability distribution of low flows when a minimum drought is larger than zero and the observed low flows showed a wide range.

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Development of a Drought Detection Indicator using MODIS Thermal Infrared Data

  • Park, Sun-Yurp
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2004
  • Based on surface energy balance climatology, surface temperatures should respond to drying conditions well before plant response. To test this hypothesis, land surface temperatures (LST) derived from MODIS data were analyzed to determine how the data were correlated with climatic water balance variables and NDVI anomalies during a growing season in Western and Central Kansas. Daily MODIS data were integrated into weekly composites so that each composite data set included the maximum temperature recorded at each pixel during each composite period. Time-integrated, or cumulative values of the LST deviation standardized with mean air temperatures had significantly high correlation coefficients with SM, AE/PE, and MD/PE, ranging from 0.65 to 0.89. The Standardized Thermal Index (STI) is proposed in this study to accomplish the objective. The STI, based on surface temperatures standardized with observed mean air temperatures, had significant temporal relationships with the hydroclimatological factors. STI classes in all the composite periods also had a strong correlation with NDVI declines during a drought episode. Results showed that, based on LST, air temperature observations, and water budget analysis, NDVI declines below normal could be predicted as early as 8 weeks in advance in this study area.

Effects of cultivar and harvest days after planting on dry matter yield and nutritive value of teff

  • Saylor, Benjamin A;Min, Doohong;Bradford, Barry J
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제63권3호
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    • pp.510-519
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    • 2021
  • One of the most pressing issues facing the dairy industry is drought. In areas where annual precipitation is low, irrigation for growing feed presents the greatest water-utilization challenge for dairy producers. Here, we investigated the effects of cultivar and harvest days after planting (DAP) on dry matter (DM) yield and nutritive value of teff (Eragrostis tef), a warm-season annual grass native to Ethiopia that is well adapted to drought conditions. Eighty pots were blocked by location in a greenhouse and randomly assigned to four teff cultivars (Tiffany, Moxie, Corvallis, and Dessie) and to five harvest times (40, 45, 50, 55, or 60 DAP). Cultivars had no effect on DM yield and nutritive value. As harvest time increased from 40 to 60 DAP, DM yield and ash-free neutral detergent fiber (aNDFom) concentrations increased, while crude protein (CP) concentrations and in vitro NDF digestibility decreased. To assess carryover effects of time of harvest on yield and nutritive value, two additional cuttings were taken from each pot. Increasing first-cutting harvest time decreased CP concentrations in the second cutting and reduced DM yields in the second and third cutting. Harvesting teff between 45 and 50 DAP best optimized forage yield and nutritive value in the first and subsequent cuttings.

발전용댐 이수능력 평가 연구 (III): 한강수계 발전용댐 가뭄단계별 운영기준 개발 및 효과 분석 (Evaluation of hydropower dam water supply capacity (III): development and application of drought operation rule for hydropower dams in Han river)

  • 정기문;강두선;김태순
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제55권7호
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    • pp.531-543
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    • 2022
  • 최근 국내에서는 수량, 수질 등 기후변화로 인한 다양한 수자원 문제에 효율적으로 대응하기 위한 통합물관리 체계가 점차 고도화되고 있으며, 특히 친환경적인 관점에서 이미 개발된 수자원시설물의 탄력적인 활용 방안이 주목받고 있다. 이처럼 용수를 사전에 확보하고, 적시에 공급하기 위한 대표적인 수자원 관리 시설로 다목적댐, 용수전용댐 등이 가장 잘 알려져 있으나, 지난 2021년 '한강수계 발전용댐 다목적 활용 협약'을 기점으로 발전용댐 또한 기존의 수력발전 용도를 넘어 수자원 관리 기여도가 한층 높아지게 되었다. 댐에서는 가뭄 발생시 구체적인 가뭄단계 파악 및 용수공급량 조절을 통해 용수공급을 조절해야 한다. 이미 다목적댐 및 용수전용댐의 경우 가뭄대응을 위한 용수공급 운영기준이 마련되어 적용 중에 있으나, 최근에 다목적 활용이 추진된 발전용댐의 경우 구체적인 관련 기준이 마련되어 있지 않은 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 기존 다목적댐 및 용수전용댐 운영기준을 참고하여, 발전용댐의 가뭄단계별 기준저수량 산정 방안 및 용수공급 조정 방안 등을 제시하였다. 제시된 방법은 국내 대부분의 발전용댐이 위치한 한강수계 발전용댐을 대상으로 적용하였으며, 지난 2014~2017년 발생한 가뭄사례를 바탕으로 그 적용 효과를 분석한 결과, 대상 발전용댐의 용수공급 안정성이 개선되는 효과를 확인하였다. 수자원의 효율적인 이용을 위한 발전용댐의 역할은 점차 중요해질 것으로 예상되며, 본 연구 결과는 발전용댐을 활용한 용수공급 관련 연구에 폭넓게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

강원도 태백지역 2008년 가뭄의 원인분석 연구 (A Root Cause Analysis for Drought in Taeback City, Kangwon-do in 2008)

  • 김주환;최계운;박상우
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.351-359
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    • 2010
  • 최근 들어, 기상이변 및 국지성 집중호우로 인한 침수피해가 계속적으로 발생하고 있다. 따라서 재해 피해 저감을 위한 대책을 수립할 시에 풍수해 관리 분야에 있어 대부분이 홍수피해에 집중되고 있는 실정이다. 그러나 가뭄 재해 또한 홍수피해에 못지 않은 규모의 피해를 발생시키고 있으며, 가뭄 피해는 그 발생빈도가 아직 크지 않으나 점차 증가하고 있다는 부분에 주목할 필요가 있다. 강원도 태백시는 2008년 가을부터 2009년 봄까지 심한 가뭄 피해를 입어 심각한 물부족에 시달린 중요한 예시이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 이 지역에 대한 물 부족 요인을 파악하기 위하여 수문기상학적 분석을 통한 가뭄빈도를 분석하였으며, 광역상수도 공급원인 광동댐의 운영과 수요-공급 분석을 통하여 물 부족 원인에 대하여 분석하였다. 그 결과, 갈수우량의 빈도 분석을 통한 태백지역 가뭄은 20년 빈도에 해당하는 것으로 나타났으며, 이를 바탕으로 광동댐 저수지에는 저수율이 약 52% 만 확보 가능한 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 갈수기의 강우량은 평년에 비하여 작게 발생하였다. 그러나 피해 발생 시 태백시의 상수도 수요는 평년에 비하여 많았던 것으로 판단되었다. 본 연구를 통하여, 가뭄시 물 부족 원인을 분석하였으며, 이는 가뭄시 물 부족 대책 마련을 위한 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것으로 예상된다.

엘니뇨 발달기 한반도 및 동아시아 가을 강수량 변동 (The Fall Precipitation Variation during the Development of El Nino over East Asia including Korea)

  • 오현택;권원태;신임철;박이형
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.1247-1250
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    • 2004
  • The amount of precipitation during El Nino over Korea increases in Summer and Winter. However, it decreases in Fall, and exhibits not much change in Spring. Especially, the amount of precipitation during September of El Nino year is much less than that of the September of non-El Nino year. The amount of precipitation during El Nino year of October and November shows similar amount of precipitation during non-El Nino year of the same period. The reason for decreasing precipitation in September is related to the weakening of the 2nd rainy season during the development of El Nino over East Asia including Korea. Insufficiency of fall precipitation during El Nino year influences drought in Spring for next year.

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Environmental controls on growing-season sap flow density of Quercus serrata Thunb in a temperate deciduous forest of Korea

  • Laiju, Nahida;Otieno, Dennis;Jung, Eun-Young;Lee, Bo-Ra;Tenhunen, John;Lim, Jong-Hwan;Sung, Joo-Han;Kang, Sin-Kyu
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제35권3호
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    • pp.213-225
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    • 2012
  • Sap flux density (SFD) measurements were used, in combination with morphological characteristics of trees and forest structure, to calculate whole-tree transpiration, stand transpiration (St) and mean canopy stomatal conductance (Gs). Analysis based on the relationships between the morphological characteristics of trees and whole tree water use, and on the responses of SFD and Gs to short wave radiation (RR), vapor pressure deficit (VPD) and soil water content (SWC) during drought and non-drought periods were conducted. The results showed a strong positive correlation between whole tree transpiration and both tree diameter at breast height (DBH) ($r^2$ = 0.95, P < 0.05) and sapwood area (SA) ($r^2$ = 0.98, P < 0.05). Relationships between SFD and DBH ($r^2$ = 0.25), as well as SA ($r^2$ = 0.17) were weak. Daily SFD of Quercus serrata Thunb was closely related to VPD and RR. Although operating at different time scales, RR and VPD were important interacting environmental controls of tree water use. SFD increased with increasing VPD (<1 kPa) and RR. SWC had a considerable effect on stand transpiration during the drought period. The relationships between SFD, VPD and RR were distorted when SWC dropped below 35%.

ESP 기법을 이용한 수문학적 가뭄전망의 활용성 평가 (Applicability Assessment of Hydrological Drought Outlook Using ESP Method)

  • 손경환;배덕효
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제48권7호
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    • pp.581-593
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 ESP (Ensemble Streamflow Prediction)기법을 활용한 가뭄전망 체계를 구축하고 가뭄예보에 있어 활용성을 평가하였다. 과거 관측 수문기상 및 지형정보를 이용하여 우리나라 전역에 지면모델(Land Surface Model, LSM)을 구축하고 유출량(Historical Runoff, HR)을 생산하였다. 또한, 모의기간 동안 과거 30개 기상자료와 초기 토양수분량을 이용하여 선행시간별(1, 2, 3개월) 전망된 유출량(Predicted Runoff, PR)을 생산하였다. 평가결과 여름 및 가을철 보다 봄철 및 겨울철에 정확도가 높았으며, 1개월 전망 이후로는 정확도가 낮게 나타났다. 가뭄지수는 국내 가뭄해석에 있어 검증된 표준유출지수(Standardized Runoff Index, SRI)를 활용하였으며, PR_SRI을 산정 및 평가하였다. 1, 2개월 전망에서는 과거 HR이 고려되어 ESP HR에 비해 정확도가 크게 개선됨을 알 수 있었다. 선행시간별 상관계수는 평균 0.71, 0.48, 0.00, 평균제곱근오차는 0.46, 0.76, 1.01로 나타났으며, 건조기에 정확도가 높게 나타나 1, 2개월 전망까지는 ESP를 활용한 국내 가뭄예보의 활용성이 높다고 판단된다.