• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제49권4호
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• pp.13-22
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• 2007

The uncertainty in water quality model predictions is inevitably high due to natural stochasticity, model uncertainty, and parameter uncertainty. An integrated modeling system under uncertainty was described and demonstrated for use in watershed management and receiving-water quality prediction. A watershed model (HSPF), a receiving water quality model (WASP), and a wetland model (NPS-WET) were incorporated into an integrated modeling system (modified-BASINS) and applied to the Hwaseong Reservoir watershed. Reservoir water quality was predicted using the calibrated integrated modeling system, and the deterministic integrated modeling output was useful for estimating mean water quality given future watershed conditions and assessing the spatial distribution of pollutant loads. A Monte Carlo simulation was used to investigate the effect of various uncertainties on output prediction. Without pollution control measures in the watershed, the concentrations of total nitrogen (T-N) and total phosphorous (T-P) in the Hwaseong Reservoir, considering uncertainty, would be less than about 4.8 and 0.26 mg 4.8 and 0.26 mg $L^{-1}$, respectively, with 95% confidence. The effects of two watershed management practices, a wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) and a constructed wetland (WETLAND), were evaluated. The combined scenario (WWTP + WETLAND) was the most effective at improving reservoir water quality, bringing concentrations of T-N and T-P in the Hwaseong Reservoir to less than 3.54 and 0.15 mg ${L^{-1}$, 26.7 and 42.9% improvements, respectively, with 95% confidence. Overall, the Monte Carlo simulation in the integrated modeling system was practical for estimating uncertainty and reliable in water quality prediction. The approach described here may allow decisions to be made based on probability and level of risk, and its application is recommended.

• 한국표면공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국표면공학회 2018년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.54-54
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• 2018

To optimize the deposition parameters of diamond films, the temperature, pressure, and distance between the filament and the susceptor need to be considered. However, it is difficult to precisely measure and predict the filament and susceptor temperature in relation to the applied power in the hot filament chemical vapor deposition (HFCVD) system. In this study the temperature distribution inside the system was numerically calculated for the applied powers of 12, 14, 16 and 18 kW. The applied power needed to achieve the appropriate temperature at a constant pressure and other conditions was deduced, and applied to actual experimental depositions. The numerical simulation was conducted using the commercial computational fluent dynamics software, ANSYS-FLUENT. To account for radiative heat-transfer in the HFCVD reactor, the discrete ordinate (DO) model was used. The temperatures of the filament surface and the susceptor at different power levels were predicted to be 2512 ~ 2802 K, and 1076 ~ 1198 K, respectively. Based on the numerical calculations, experiments were performed. The simulated temperatures for the filament surface were in good agreement with experimental temperatures measured using a 2-color pyrometer. The results showed that the highest deposition rate and the lowest deposition of non-diamond was obtained at a power of 16 kW.

• 한국정보과학회논문지:소프트웨어및응용
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.252-266
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• 2006

컴퓨터 비전 분야에서 다루는 많은 문제는 대부분 수학적 모델을 기반으로 하고 있으며 그 모델의 인수를 예측하는 방법을 사용하여 주어진 문제에 대한 최적의 해를 구한다. 그런데 입력 데이타 집합에 보통의 잡음에 비해 상대적으로 크기가 큰 이상치가 포함되어 있다면 이것은 부정확한 결과를 초래한다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 사용되는 대표적인 방법으로 강건한 예측기법인 RANSAC 알고리즘이 있다. 기존 RANSAC 알고리즘의 가장 큰 문제점은 이상치의 비율과 같은 데이타 분포에 대한 사전지식이 필요하다는 것이다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 매 반복 수행시 마다 퍼지분류 기법을 이용하여 전체 데이타를 좋은 샘플집합(good sample set)과 나쁜 샘플집합(bad sample set) 그리고 모호한 샘플집합(vague sample set)으로 분류한 뒤 좋은 샘플집합에서만 샘플링을 해나감으로써 이상치에 대한 제거율과 해의 정확도를 향상시키는 FRANSAC 알고리즘을 제안한다. 실험 결과에서는 제안한 알고리즘을 각각 선형회귀 문제와 호모그래피 계산 문제에 대해 적용했을 때의 성능을 보인다.

• 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.49-56
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• 2013

천연자원을 개발하기 위한 심해저 탐사의 필요성이 증가하고 있다. 동해 울릉분지에서 수행된 가스 하이드레이트 심부 시추 사업(UBGH2)에서 획득된 시료로 지반공학적 기본특성 및 강도특성을 분석하였다. 아터버그 한계, 비표면적, 입도분포 등 기본 토질 실험을 실시하고 선행연구와 비교하였다. 광물학적 특성, 화학 조성, 미세구조 관찰을 위하여 XRD, SEM 그리고 EDS를 실시하였다. 또한 벤더 엘리먼트를 설치한 삼축압축셀을 이용하여 삼축압축실험을 수행하면서 강도정수와 전단파 거동을 분석하였다.

• Clinical and Experimental Reproductive Medicine
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• 제43권2호
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• pp.106-111
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• 2016

Objective: To study the clinical outcomes of single frozen-thawed blastocyst transfer cycles according to the hatching status of frozen-thawed blastocysts. Methods: Frozen-thawed blastocysts were divided into three groups according to their hatching status as follows: less-than-expanded blastocyst (${\leq}EdB$), hatching blastocyst (HgB), and hatched blastocyst (HdB). The female age and infertility factors of each group were evaluated. The quality of the single frozen-thawed blastocyst was also graded as grade A, tightly packed inner cell mass (ICM) and many cells organized in the trophectoderm epithelium (TE); grade B, several and loose ICM and TE; and grade C, very few ICM and a few cells in the TE. The clinical pregnancy and implantation rate were compared between each group. The data were analyzed by either t-test or chi-square analysis. Results: There were no statistically significant differences in average female ages, infertility factors, or the distribution of blastocyst grades A, B, and C in each group. There was no significant difference in the clinical pregnancy and implantation rate of each group according to their blastocyst grade. However, there was a significant difference in the clinical pregnancy and implantation rate between each group. In the HdB group, the clinical pregnancy and implantation rate were similar regardless of the blastocyst quality. Conclusion: There was an effect on the clinical outcomes depending on whether the blastocyst hatched during single frozen-thawed blastocyst transfer. When performing single frozen-thawed blastocyst transfer, the hatching status of the frozen-thawed blastocyst may be a more important parameter for clinical outcomes than the quality of the frozen-thawed blastocyst.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.357-386
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• 2016

In this research work, an exact analytical solution for thermal stability of solar functionally graded rectangular plates subjected to uniform, linear and non-linear temperature rises across the thickness direction is developed. It is assumed that the plate rests on two-parameter elastic foundation and its material properties vary through the thickness of the plate as a power function. The neutral surface position for such plate is determined, and the efficient hyperbolic plate theory based on exact neutral surface position is employed to derive the governing stability equations. The displacement field is chosen based on assumptions that the in-plane and transverse displacements consist of bending and shear components, and the shear components of in-plane displacements give rise to the quadratic distribution of transverse shear stress through the thickness in such a way that shear stresses vanish on the plate surfaces. Therefore, there is no need to use shear correction factor. Just four unknown displacement functions are used in the present theory against five unknown displacement functions used in the corresponding ones. The non-linear strain-displacement relations are also taken into consideration. The influences of many plate parameters on buckling temperature difference will be investigated. Numerical results are presented for the present theory, demonstrating its importance and accuracy in comparison to other theories.

• 청정기술
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.208-214
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• 2007

본 연구에서는 비수계 분산중합(NAD)을 이용하여 $0.1\;{\mu}m$에서 $1\;{\mu}m$ 크기의 입자를 가지는 환경친화적인 아크릴 수지를 제조하였다. 1 단계에서 안정제를 제조한 후 2 단계에서 안정제에 아크릴 단량체를 투입하여 NAD수지를 제조하였다. 적정 점도의 NAD수지를 합성하려면 안정제도 1000 cP 이상의 점도를 가진 것을 사용하여야 하는 것으로 나타났고 이를 위해서는 안정제 중합 시 단량체와 개시제를 단계적으로 투입하는 것이 필요한 것으로 관찰되었다. 또한 NAD수지 중합시 안정제의 양은 적정량을 투입하는 것이 필요하고 적정량 이상에서는 더 이상 NAD수지의 점도가 증가하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 중합 단량체의 조성 선택 시에도 용해도 상수 차이 등의 요인으로 입도분포가 두 가지로 나올 수 있으므로 이를 고려하여 단량체를 투입하여야 하는 것으로 관찰되었다.

• 대한수의학회지
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• 제45권2호
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• pp.223-231
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• 2005

A quantitative risk assessment tool was used to provide estimates of the probability that foot-and-mouth (FMD) virus-contaminated, smuggled animal products are fed to susceptible swine in Korea. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to attempt to distinguish between parameter uncertainty and variability, using different assumptions on the effect of cooking at home, the effect of the fresh meat, and the effect of heat treatment at garbage processing facility. The median risk estimate was about 20.1% with a mean value of 27.4%. In a scenario regarding all beef and pork were considered as fresh meat the estimated median risk was 3.4%. The risk was greatly dependent on the survival parameters of the FMD virus during the cooking or heat treatment at garbage processing facility. Uncertainty about the proportion of garbage that is likely contaminated with FMD had a major positive influence on the risk, whereas conversion rate representing the size of a load had a major negative effect. This model was very useful in assessing the risk explored. However, the model also requires enhancements, such as the availability of more accurate data to verify the various assumptions considered such as FMD prevalence in a specific country, proportion of garbage which is recycled as feed, proportion of food discarded as garbage. Other factors including the effect of selection of animals for slaughter, ante- and post-mortem inspection, the domestic distribution of the smuggled products, and susceptible animals other than pigs, are need to be taken into account in the future model development.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제60권1호
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• pp.11-20
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• 2018

This study is to calibrate the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) water quality of SS (Suspended Solid), T-P (Total Phosphorus), and T-N (Total Nitrogen) by focusing on 2014~2015 drought periods and identify the important parameters. For Gongdo watershed ($366.5km^2$), the SWAT was calibrated for 2 cases of 2002~2006 normal year focusing calibration and 2014~2015 drought focusing calibration respectively. The parameters of N_UPDIS (Nitrogen uptake distribution parameter) and CMN (Rate factor for humus mineralization of active organic nutrients) played important roles for T-N calibration during drought periods. The SWAT SS, T-N, and T-P average $R^2$ (Coefficient of determination) results by focusing on 2014~2015 drought periods calibration showed 0.71, 0.65 and 0.62 while 2002~2006 normal year focusing calibration showed 0.63, 0.58 and 0.50 respectively. Also SWAT SS, T-N, and T-P model efficiency NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency) results by focusing on drought period (2014~2015) calibrated showed 0.76, 0.77, 0.87 respectively. Even though the SS, T-P parameters were unchanged during the calibration, the SS and T-P results were improved by the hydrological parameters (SCS-CN, SOL_K, SLSOIL) during the drought periods. The SWAT water quality calibration needs to be considered for the movement of SS and nutrients transport especially focusing on the drought characteristics.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제13권7호
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• pp.361-368
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• 2013

본 연구는 무등산 국립공원 방문객들의 인구통계학적 특성 및 사회경제학적 특성을 조사하여 공원방문객 수요증진을 위한 마케팅전략차원의 정보제공을 목적으로 수행되었다. 이 연구를 수행하기 위해서는 적절한 모형설정이 중요하다. 이른바 종속변수가 이산확률분포를 가진 이산형 변수일 경우, 연속확률분포의 자료 분석에 적합한 회귀모형을 설정한다면 추정치에 대한 심각한 오류가 발생하기 때문이다. 따라서 본 연구의 자료 분석은 포아송모델을 통해 수행되었으며, 자료의 특성이 과산포를 보였기 때문에 이를 고려할 수 있는 보다 적합한 모델로 음이항 포아송모델을 설정하여 최종적으로 파라미터를 추정하였다. 그 결과, 수요자의 연령, 직업, 방문선호계절, 동반유형, 주 5일 근무제 그리고 선호관광형태 등이 방문객 수요에 긍정적인 역할을 하고 있는 것으로 파악되었으며, 이 주요영향변수들을 바탕으로 국립공원 측에 핵심시장에 대한 특성과 그들을 위한 마케팅 전략 및 정보 등을 제공할 수 있었다.