• Title/Summary/Keyword: distributed hydrological model

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Parameter and Modeling Uncertainty Analysis of Semi-Distributed Hydrological Model using Markov-Chain Monte Carlo Technique (Markov-Chain Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 준 분포형 수문모형의 매개변수 및 모형 불확실성 분석)

  • Choi, Jeonghyeon;Jang, Suhyung;Kim, Sangdan
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.373-384
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    • 2020
  • Hydrological models are based on a combination of parameters that describe the hydrological characteristics and processes within a watershed. For this reason, the model performance and accuracy are highly dependent on the parameters. However, model uncertainties caused by parameters with stochastic characteristics need to be considered. As a follow-up to the study conducted by Choi et al (2020), who developed a relatively simple semi-distributed hydrological model, we propose a tool to estimate the posterior distribution of model parameters using the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, a type of Markov-Chain Monte Carlo technique, and analyze the uncertainty of model parameters and simulated stream flow. In addition, the uncertainty caused by the parameters of each version is investigated using the lumped and semi-distributed versions of the applied model to the Hapcheon Dam watershed. The results suggest that the uncertainty of the semi-distributed model parameters was relatively higher than that of the lumped model parameters because the spatial variability of input data such as geomorphological and hydrometeorological parameters was inherent to the posterior distribution of the semi-distributed model parameters. Meanwhile, no significant difference existed between the two models in terms of uncertainty of the simulation outputs. The statistical goodness of fit of the simulated stream flows against the observed stream flows showed satisfactory reliability in both the semi-distributed and the lumped models, but the seasonality of the stream flow was reproduced relatively better by the distributed model.

Development of a distributed hydrological model considering hydrological change

  • Kim, Deasik;An, Hyunuk;Jang, Minwon;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.521-532
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    • 2018
  • In recent decades, the dry stream phenomena of small and medium sized rivers have been attracting much attention as an important social problem. To prevent dry stream phenomena, it is necessary to build an infrastructure that manages rivers. To accurately determine the progress of dry stream phenomena, it is necessary to continuously measure the discharge and other hydrological factors for small and medium sized rivers. However, until now, the flow data for small and medium rivers in Korea has been insufficient. To overcome the lack of supporting data for supporting rational decision-making in policy and project implementation, a short- and long-term hydrological model was developed that takes into consideration hydrological changes such as the increase of the impervious area due to urban development and groundwater pumping, the construction of a large-scale sewage treatment plant, the maintenance of stream-oriented rivers, etc. In the developed model, the distributed grid is represented by three layers: Surface flow, interflow, and groundwater flow. The surface flow and intermediate flow flowed along the flow direction, and the groundwater flow was calculated by a two-dimensional groundwater analysis model such that the outflow occurred in all directions without a specific flow direction. The effects of land use and cover on evapotranspiration and infiltration and the effects of multiple landscapes can be simulated in the developed model.

Application and Evaluation of Remotely Sensed Data in Semi-Distributed Hydrological Model (준 분포형 수문모형에서의 원격탐사자료의 적용 및 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Kyung-Tak;Park, Jung-Sool;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.144-159
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    • 2006
  • Hydrological models are tools intended to realistically represent the basin's complex system in which hydrological characteristics result from a number of physical, vegetative, climatic, and anthropomorphic factors. Spatially distributed hydrological models were first developed in the 1960s, Remote sensing(RS) data and Geographical Information System(GIS) play a rapidly increasing role in the field of hydrology and water resources development. Although very few remotely sensed data can applied in hydrology, such information is of great. One of the greatest advantage of using RS data for hydrological modeling and monitoring is its ability to generate information in spatial and temporal domain, which is very crucial for successful model analysis, prediction and validation. In this paper, SLURP model is selected as semi-distributed hydrological model and MODIS Leaf Area Index(LAI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) as Remote sensing input data to hydrological modeling of Kyung An-chen basin. The outlet of the Kyung An stage site was simulated, We evaluated two RS data, based on ability of SLURP model to simulate daily streamflows, and How the two RS data influence the sensitivity of simulated Evapotranspiration.

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An Optimization of distributed Hydrologic Model using Multi-Objective Optimization Method (다중최적화기법을 이용한 분포형 수문모형의 최적화)

  • Kim, Jungho;Kim, Taegyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the multi-objective optimization method is attemped to optimize the hydrological model to estimate the runoff through two hydrological processes. HL-RDHM, a distributed hydrological model that can simultaneously estimate the amount of snowfall and runoff, was used as the distributed hydrological model. The Durango River basin in Colorado, USA, was selected as the watershed. MOSCEM was used as a multi-objective optimization method and parameter calibration and hydrologic model optimization were tried by selecting 5 parameters related to snow melting and 13 parameters related to runoff. Data from 2004 to 2005 were used to optimize the model and verified using data from 2001 to 2004. By optimizing both the amount of snow and the amount of runoff, the RMSE error can be reduced from 7% to 40% of the simulation value based on the initial solution at three SNOTEL points based on the RMSE. The USGS observation point of the outflow is improved about 40%.

Applying Kalman Filter into a Distributed Hydrological Model for Real-time Updating and Prediction

  • Kim, Sun-Min;Tachikawa, Yasuto;Takara, Kaoru
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.220-224
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    • 2005
  • 칼만필터 알고리즘을 분포형 유출모형에 적용하였다. 관측 유량과 상태변수인 유역내 저류량을 갱신하고자 Q-S curve를 도입하였고, 갱신된 저류량과 모형에 의해 모의된 저류량의 비율을 유역 내 각 지점의 수위에 적용하므로써 분포화 된 상태변수를 효율적으로 갱신하였다. 갱신된 상태변수와 상태변수 오차의 시간갱신은 몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 모의하였다.

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THE CHEONGGYE-CHEON ESTORATION PROJECT AND HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE ANALYSIS

  • Kim, Hyeon-Jun;Yoon, Soo-Kil;Noh, Seong-Jin;Jang, Cheol-Hee
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.179-187
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    • 2005
  • This paper introduces the Cheonggye-cheon restoration project. The restoration project aims to revive the 600-year-old city of Seoul by recovering the historical heritage, guaranteeing safety from the deteriorated covering structures, creating the environment-friendly space, and revitalizing the neglected city centers. In order to understand the current hydrological cycle of the Chenggye-cheon watershed, the annual water balance of the region was calculated using the observed data including precipitation, runoff, water supply and sewage, and the changes in the groundwater level. The $2001{\sim}2002$ data were used to calibrate the WEP, and the $2003{\sim}2004$ data were used to verify the WEP. The calibration and validation results for the flood hydrograph how a reasonable value (at Majanggyo station, the R2 for the calibration period was 0.9, and that for the validation period was 0.7). According to the annual water balance of the Cheonggye-cheon watershed for 2004, the amount of surface runoff, infiltration, and evapotranspiration was 1,097mm, 216mm and 382mm, respectively, for an annual precipitation of 1,499mm. The application results from WEP, a distributed hydrological model, provide more detailed information of the watershed, and the model will be useful for improving the hydrological cycle in urban watershed.

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Flood Runoff Analysis of Multi-purpose Dam Watersheds in the Han River Basin using a Grid-based Rainfall-Runoff Model (격자기반의 강우유출모형을 통한 한강수계 다목적댐의 홍수유출해석)

  • Park, In-Hyeok;Park, Jin-Hyeog;Hur, Young-Teck
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.587-596
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    • 2011
  • The interest in hydrological modeling has increased significantly recently due to the necessity of watershed management, specifically in regards to lumped models, which are being prosperously utilized because of their relatively uncomplicated algorithms which require less simulation time. However, lumped models require empirical coefficients for hydrological analyses, which do not take into consideration the heterogeneity of site-specific characteristics. To overcome such obstacles, a distributed model was offered as an alternative and the number of researches related to watershed management and distributed models has been steadily increasing in the recent years. Thus, in this study, the feasibility of a grid-based rainfall-runoff model was reviewed using the flood runoff process in the Han River basin, including the ChungjuDam, HoengseongDam and SoyangDam watersheds. Hydrological parameters based on GIS/RS were extracted from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover, soil map and rainfall depth. The accuracy of the runoff analysis for the model application was evaluated using EFF, NRMSE and QER. The calculation results showed that there was a good agreement with the observed data. Besides the ungauged spatial characteristics in the SoyangDam watershed, EFF showed a good result of 0.859.

Assessment of Small Mountainous Catchment Runoff at Yongdam-dam Guryang (산지 소규모 유역의 유출 특성 평가-용담 구량천)

  • Kim, Seong-Goo;Chang, Hyung-Joon;Lee, Hyo-Sang
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.633-641
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    • 2018
  • The risk of disasters, such as floods and drought, has increased. Reliable hydrological data is important for analyzing the water resource and designing hydraulic structure to manage these risks. The Yongdam Guryang river catchment located in the central of Korea is the research catchment of K-water and UNESCO IHP, and the hydrological data, such as rainfall, runoff, evapotranspiration, etc. has been observed at the catchment. The aim of this study was to assess the runoff characteristics of the small mountainous catchment of Korea based on the observed hydrological data, and the Probability Distributed Model was applied as the Rainfall-Runoff Model at the Yongdam Guryang river catchment. The hydrological data was divided into the wet period from June to September and dry period from October to May according to data analysis. The runoff ratio was 0.27~0.41 in the wet period and 0.30~0.45 in the dry period. The calibration result by the Probability Distributed Model showed a difference in the calibrated model parameters according to the periods. In addition, the model simulated the runoff accurately except for the dry period of 2015, and the result revealed the applicability of the PDM. This study showed the runoff characteristics of the small mountainous catchment by dividing the hydrological data into dry and wet periods.

Development of Distributed Hydrological Analysis Tool for Future Climate Change Impacts Assessment of South Korea (전국 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 분포형 수문분석 툴 개발)

  • Kim, Seong Joon;Kim, Sang Ho;Joh, Hyung Kyung;Ahn, So Ra
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.2
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    • pp.15-26
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to develop a software tool, PGA-CC (Projection of hydrology via Grid-based Assessment for Climate Change) to evaluate the present hydrologic cycle and the future watershed hydrology by climate change. PGA-CC is composed of grid-based input data pre-processing module, hydrologic cycle calculation module, output analysis module, and output data post-processing module. The grid-based hydrological model was coded by Fortran and compiled using Compaq Fortran 6.6c, and the Graphic User Interface was developed by using Visual C#. Other most elements viz. Table and Graph, and GIS functions were implemented by MapWindow. The applicability of PGA-CC was tested by assessing the future hydrology of South Korea by HadCM3 SRES B1 and A2 climate change scenarios. For the whole country, the tool successfully assessed the future hydrological components including input data and evapotranspiration, soil moisture, surface runoff, lateral flow, base flow etc. From the spatial outputs, we could understand the hydrological changes both seasonally and regionally.

Modification of Spatial Grid Based Distributed Model Considering River Basin Characteristics (유역특성을 반영한 공간격자기반의 분포형모형 개선)

  • Park, Jin Hyeog;Hur, Young Teck
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.3D
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    • pp.431-436
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    • 2008
  • Recently, the rapid development of GIS technology has made it possible to handle a various data associated with spatially hydrological parameters with their attribute information. Therefore, there has been a shift in focus from lumped runoff models to distributed runoff models, as the latter can consider temporal and spatial variations of discharge. In this research, a distributed rainfall-runoff model based on physical kinematic wave for analysis of surface and river flow was used to simulate temporal and spatial distribution of long-term discharge. The snowfall and melting process model based on Hydro-BEAM was developed, and various hydrological parameters for input data of the model was extracted from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover and soil map. The developed model was applied for the Shonai River basin(532) in Japan, which has sufficient meteorological and hydrological data, and displayed precise runoff results to be compared to the hydrograph.