• Title/Summary/Keyword: difference-based regression model

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On study for change point regression problems using a difference-based regression model

  • Park, Jong Suk;Park, Chun Gun;Lee, Kyeong Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.539-556
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    • 2019
  • This paper derive a method to solve change point regression problems via a process for obtaining consequential results using properties of a difference-based intercept estimator first introduced by Park and Kim (Communications in Statistics - Theory Methods, 2019) for outlier detection in multiple linear regression models. We describe the statistical properties of the difference-based regression model in a piecewise simple linear regression model and then propose an efficient algorithm for change point detection. We illustrate the merits of our proposed method in the light of comparison with several existing methods under simulation studies and real data analysis. This methodology is quite valuable, "no matter what regression lines" and "no matter what the number of change points".

Simultaneous outlier detection and variable selection via difference-based regression model and stochastic search variable selection

  • Park, Jong Suk;Park, Chun Gun;Lee, Kyeong Eun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.149-161
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    • 2019
  • In this article, we suggest the following approaches to simultaneous variable selection and outlier detection. First, we determine possible candidates for outliers using properties of an intercept estimator in a difference-based regression model, and the information of outliers is reflected in the multiple regression model adding mean shift parameters. Second, we select the best model from the model including the outlier candidates as predictors using stochastic search variable selection. Finally, we evaluate our method using simulations and real data analysis to yield promising results. In addition, we need to develop our method to make robust estimates. We will also to the nonparametric regression model for simultaneous outlier detection and variable selection.

First Order Difference-Based Error Variance Estimator in Nonparametric Regression with a Single Outlier

  • Park, Chun-Gun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.333-344
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    • 2012
  • We consider some statistical properties of the first order difference-based error variance estimator in nonparametric regression models with a single outlier. So far under an outlier(s) such difference-based estimators has been rarely discussed. We propose the first order difference-based estimator using the leave-one-out method to detect a single outlier and simulate the outlier detection in a nonparametric regression model with the single outlier. Moreover, the outlier detection works well. The results are promising even in nonparametric regression models with many outliers using some difference based estimators.

Optimize OTDOA-based Positioning Accuracy by Utilizing Multiple Linear Regression Model under NB-IoT Technology (NB-IoT 기술에서 Multiple Linear Regression Model을 활용하여 OTDOA 기반 포지셔닝 정확도 최적화)

  • Pan, Yichen;Kim, Jaesoo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2020.07a
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    • pp.139-142
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    • 2020
  • NB-IoT(Narrow Band Internet of Things) is an emerging LPWAN(Low Power Wide Area Network) radio technology. NB-IoT has many advantages like low power, low cost, and high coverage. However low bandwidth and low sampling rates also lead to poor positioning accuracy. This paper proposed a solution to optimize positioning accuracy under the OTDOA(Observed Time Difference of Arrival) approach by utilizing MLR(Multiple Linear Regression) models. Through the MLR model to predict the influence degree of weather(temperature, humidity, light intensity and air pressure) on the arrival time of signal transmission to improve the measurement accuracy. The improvement of measurement accuracy can greatly improve IoT applications based on NB-IoT.

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A Robust Estimator in Multivariate Regression Using Least Quartile Difference

  • Jung Kang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2005
  • We propose an equivariant and robust estimator in multivariate regression model based on the least quartile difference (LQD) estimator in univariate regression. We call this estimator as the multivariate least quartile difference (MLQD) estimator. The MLQD estimator considers correlations among response variables and it can be shown that the proposed estimator has the appropriate equivariance properties defined in multivariate regressions. The MLQD estimator has high breakdown point as does the univariate LQD estimator. We develop an algorithm for MLQD estimate. Simulations are performed to compare the efficiencies of MLQD estimate with coordinatewise LQD estimate and the multivariate least trimmed squares estimate.

Probabilistic Model for Air Traffic Controller Sequencing Strategy (항공교통관제사의 항공기 합류순서결정에 대한 확률적 예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, Minji;Hong, Sungkwon;Lee, Keumjin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2014
  • Arrival management is a tool which provides efficient flow of traffic and reduces ATC workload by determining aircraft's sequence and schedules while they are in cruise phase. As a decision support tool, arrival management should advise on air traffic control service based on the understanding of human factor of its user, air traffic controller. This paper proposed a prediction model for air traffic controller sequencing strategy by analyzing the historical trajectory data. Statistical analysis is used to find how air traffic controller decides the sequence of aircraft based on the speed difference and the airspace entering time difference of aircraft. Logistic regression was applied for the proposed model and its performance was demonstrated through the comparison of the real operational data.

Performance study of propensity score methods against regression with covariate adjustment

  • Park, Jincheol
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.217-227
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    • 2015
  • In observational study, handling confounders is a primary issue in measuring treatment effect of interest. Historically, a regression with covariate adjustment (covariate-adjusted regression) has been the typical approach to estimate treatment effect incorporating potential confounders into model. However, ever since the introduction of the propensity score, covariate-adjusted regression has been gradually replaced in medical literatures with various balancing methods based on propensity score. On the other hand, there is only a paucity of researches assessing propensity score methods compared with the covariate-adjusted regression. This paper examined the performance of propensity score methods in estimating risk difference and compare their performance with the covariate-adjusted regression by a Monte Carlo study. The study demonstrated in general the covariate-adjusted regression with variable selection procedure outperformed propensity-score-based methods in terms both of bias and MSE, suggesting that the classical regression method needs to be considered, rather than the propensity score methods, if a performance is a primary concern.

An estimator of the mean of the squared functions for a nonparametric regression

  • Park, Chun-Gun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.577-585
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    • 2009
  • So far in a nonparametric regression model one of the interesting problems is estimating the error variance. In this paper we propose an estimator of the mean of the squared functions which is the numerator of SNR (Signal to Noise Ratio). To estimate SNR, the mean of the squared function should be firstly estimated. Our focus is on estimating the amplitude, that is the mean of the squared functions, in a nonparametric regression using a simple linear regression model with the quadratic form of observations as the dependent variable and the function of a lag as the regressor. Our method can be extended to nonparametric regression models with multivariate functions on unequally spaced design points or clustered designed points.

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Deletion diagnostics in fitting a given regression model to a new observation

  • Kim, Myung Geun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.231-239
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    • 2016
  • A graphical diagnostic method based on multiple case deletions in a regression context is introduced by using the sampling distribution of the difference between two least squares estimators with and without multiple cases. Principal components analysis plays a key role in deriving this diagnostic method. Multiple case deletions of test statistic are also considered when a new observation is fitted to a given regression model. The result is useful for detecting influential observations in econometric data analysis, for example in checking whether the consumption pattern at a later time is the same as the one found before or not, as well as for investigating the influence of cases in the usual regression model. An illustrative example is given.

Multivariate adaptive regression splines model for reliability assessment of serviceability limit state of twin caverns

  • Zhang, Wengang;Goh, Anthony T.C.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.431-458
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    • 2014
  • Construction of a new cavern close to an existing cavern will result in a modification of the state of stresses in a zone around the existing cavern as interaction between the twin caverns takes place. Extensive plane strain finite difference analyses were carried out to examine the deformations induced by excavation of underground twin caverns. From the numerical results, a fairly simple nonparametric regression algorithm known as multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) has been used to relate the maximum key point displacement and the percent strain to various parameters including the rock quality, the cavern geometry and the in situ stress. Probabilistic assessments on the serviceability limit state of twin caverns can be performed using the First-order reliability spreadsheet method (FORM) based on the built MARS model. Parametric studies indicate that the probability of failure $P_f$ increases as the coefficient of variation of Q increases, and $P_f$ decreases with the widening of the pillar.