• Title/Summary/Keyword: dichotomous choice method

검색결과 110건 처리시간 0.024초

Semiparametric Evaluation of Environmental Goods: Local Linear Model Approach

  • Jeong, Ki-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.209-216
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    • 2003
  • Contingent valuation method (CVM) is a main evaluation method of nonmarket goods for which markets either do not exist at all or do exist only incompletely; an example is environmental good. A dichotomous choice approach, the most popular type of CVM in environmental economics, employs binary discrete choice models as statistical estimation models. In this paper, we propose a semiparametric dichotomous choice CVM method using local linear model of Fan and Gijbels (1996) in which probability distribution of error term is specified parametrically but latent structural function is specified nonparametrically. The computation procedures of the proposed method are illustrated with a simple design of simulations.

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이중양분선택법에 의한 한강 수변 경관의 가치 추정과 그 시사점 -지수지불의사 모형을 중심으로- (Valuation of Han River Waterside Landscape with a Double-bound Dichotomous Choice Model and Policy Implications: Focused on the Exponential Willingness to Pay Model)

  • 한택환;홍이석;박창석
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.179-214
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 한강 수계의 수변경관 및 생태계의 보전 가치를 이중양분선택법에 의한 조건부 가치평가법 (Contingent Valuation Method, CVM)을 사용하여 추정하였다. 음이 아닌 지불의사를 구하기 위해 지수지불의사 모형을 사용하였는데 이 모형이 특히 이중양분선택법에서 매우 중요한 것으로 분석되었다. 한강수계권역의 경관 및 생태계 보전에 대한 총 지불의사는 연간 약 7,055억원으로 추정되었다. 이는 한강 등 수계권역의 수변경관 및 생태계 보전을 위하여 필요한 예산규모가 더욱 확대될 필요성이 있음을 시사한다고 해석된다.

양분선택형 조건부가치측정(CV) 자료의 추정방법에 따른 지불의사금액의 변동성 연구 (Study on Variability of WTP Estimates by the Estimation Methods using Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Data)

  • 신영철
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 조기사망 위험 감소를 위한 지불의사금액에 대한 양분선택형 조건부가치측정(CV) 자료를 이용하여, 자의적인 모수적 분포(즉, 정규분포, 로지스틱분포, 로그정규분포, 지수분포)를 가정하여 도출하는 지불의사금액 대푯값(즉, 평균 내지 중앙값)의 변동성을 비교 검토하였다. 이를 위해 특정 모수적 분포라는 제약을 갖지 않는 Turnbull 비모수적 추정방법(nonparametric estimation method)에 의한 결과를 함께 비교 검토하면, 정책의사결정에서는 인정되기 어려운 수준의 WTP 대푯값들의 변동성이 확인되었다. 한편 Turnbull 비모수적 추정방법에 의한 WTP의 대푯값은 기본적으로 자의적 모수적 분포 가정에 의한 일종의 오지정 편의를 회피할 수 있다. 또한 Turnbull 비모수적 추정방법으로는 단일양분선택형 CV 자료이든 이중양분선택형 CV 자료이든 거의 유사한 추정치를 도출하고, 모수적 분포를 가정한 추정방법으로는 통계적으로 유의한 추정치를 얻지 못하는 상황에서도 통계적으로 유의한 추정치를 얻을 수 있는 강건성(robustness)을 보여주었다. 그러므로 양분선택형 CV 자료에서 특정 모수적 분포의 적합성을 판단하기 어려운 상황에서 자의적 모수적 분포의 가정에서 도출한 WTP의 대푯값들이 상당한 변동성을 보인다면, Turnbull 비모수적 추정방법에 의한 WTP의 평균 추정치가 정책의사결정에서 논란의 여지를 회피할 수 있는 비자의적이고 강건한 추정치가 될 수 있음을 확인할 수 있다.

여의도공원의 경제적 가치평가: 二段階 二選 假想價値推定法을 적용하여 (Economic Valuation of Yeido Park: Application of Double-Bounded Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Method)

    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.90-103
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    • 1998
  • The purposes of this study are to estimate the economic value and reasonable entrance fee of the Yeido Park, which is under construction in Seoul, by conduct the face-to-face interview. A total of 645 daults were selected by two stage cluster sampling. The senario was designed to meet the requirements for doubgle-bounded dichotomous choice CVM, and distributed with the photograph to epict and compare the current and suggested conditions. A donation vehicle and entrance fee were utilized to find the possibility of strategic behaviors and protest zero, and to make the data estimatable tfor interval censored survival analysis. Date was calibrated by the survival analysis to eleminate the 'fat-tail problem'. Weibull distribution was assumed as a baseline distrubution. The mean WTP of donation and entrance fee was ₩5,281 and ₩783, respectively. The economic value of this park was determined by aggregating the mean value, giving a total WTP for the population of ₩36,861,645,000. This economic value was composed with the use value and existence value. The calibrationi of the Weibull proportional hazard model showed that nearness to the park, age, intention to isit the park, and educational attainment were significant independent variable to influence an amount of donation.

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양분선택형 조건부가치측정법 응답자료의 실증적 쟁점분석 (A Critical Evaluation of Dichotomous Choice Responses in Contingent Valuation Method)

  • 엄영숙
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.119-153
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 조건부가치측정법(CVM)의 지불의사유도 방법으로 가장 많이 적용되고 있는 양분선택형 응답자료를 활용하여 WTP 함수의 추정과 편익의 측정단계에 쟁점이 될 수 있는 경제이론적 근거, 확률분포의 가정, 확률모형의 표기, 함수형태 그리고 편익의 범위 등 분석자의 입장에서 중요한 제요소들에 대해 이론적으로 검토하고 산림보존을 위한 가치추정 자료를 사용하여 실증적으로 분석하였다. WTP 함수를 선형으로 표기하는 한, 확률효용모형과 확률지출모형은 쌍대적 접근으로 해석할 수 있었고, 또한 확률모형의 오차항의 분포를 정규분포로 하든지 로지스틱분포로 가정하든지 계수들의 추정치와 이들을 사용하여 측정된 표본 WTP도 차이가 없었다. 그러나 이중양분선택모형은 WTP 함수 추정과 편익측정 결과는 두 CV 제시금액에 대한 응답이 같은 WTP 분포로 왔다고 보기 어려워 단일양분선택형 모형이 갖는 유인일치성이 약화되었다. 나아가서 WTP를 비음의 영역으로 제한하는 WTP 함수형태의 경우 척도모수가 클 경우 표본 WTP의 평균과 중앙값이 크게 다른 것으로 나타났다.

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이중경계 양분선택형 CVM을 이용한 DMB 데이터방송의 가치평가 (Valuing the DMB Data Broadcasting Services: An Application of Double-Bounded Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Method)

  • 김동주;신승도
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.153-176
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    • 2007
  • DMB data broadcasting has recently come into the spotlight as a platform for a new business opportunity and an application of various contents. This paper estimates the willingness to pay for the DMB data broadcasting services and explains the demand characteristics for TPEG, BIFS and BWS services, using the Double-bounded dichotomous choice Contingent Valuation Method. Consumers are willing to pay 2,039 Korean won for TPEG service and 1,612 Korean won for BIFS and BWS services per month, which corresponds to the market size 87.6 billion Korean won for TPEG and 195.2 billion Korean won for BWS and BIFS a year respectively. It is also found that the more consumers show usage intentions, have experiences in the similar services, and know of the DMB data broadcasting services, the more they are likely to pay for the DMB data broadcasting services.

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콤바인 무인주행기술의 경제적 가치평가 (Economic Value to Farmers for the Automatic Guidance Technology of Combine)

  • 이광석;최창현
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.363-370
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    • 2001
  • This study intended to estimate the willingness-to-pay amount by farmers for the automatic guidance technology of Combine. Contingent Valuation Method was employed for this estimation using survey data from 65 Combine using farmers. Based on the dichotomous choice model, farmers’willingness-to-pay for the automatic guidance technology was ranged from ₩4,772,000(median) to ₩5,268,000(mean). The estimated willingness-to-pay by the for the new technology was approximately one quarter of the average value based on the willingness-to-pay for the new technology was approximately one quarter of the average value of Combine in sample farms. This implies that there is an economic rationals for developing the new technology as long as it will be available with the cost less than the amount of estimated willingness-to-pay.

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Willingness to pay for eco-friendly products: case of cosmetics

  • Joung, Soon Hee;Park, Sun Wook;Ko, Yoon Jin
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.33-49
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    • 2014
  • Environmental concern has been an important issue for a few decades, and the extent of consumer demand for eco-friendly consumption has been increased. This study seeks to investigate consumers' willingness to pay (WTP) a premium for eco-friendly cosmetics. This study evaluates how much more a consumer is willing to pay for eco-friendly cosmetics and examines significant factors influencing consumers' WTP for eco-friendly cosmetics. Consumers' WTP is measured using four different ecofriendly cosmetics: low-priced skin care cosmetics, low-priced makeup cosmetics, high-priced skin care cosmetics, and high-priced makeup cosmetics. This study uses the contingent valuation method (CVM) to estimate consumer's WTP for eco-friendly cosmetics. Survey questions were designed using both dichotomous choice and payment card method of CVM. Through face to face interviews and on-line surveys, the data were collected from women between 20 and 49 years old residing in Seoul and Kyeonggi area, Korea, in May 2010. A total of 226 questionnaires (132 from interviews and 94 from on-line) were included for the analytical sample in this study. The data were analyzed using descriptive analysis, T-test and Log-Logit analysis. The findings are as follows: First, the WTP measured by dichotomous choice method was estimated using the Log-Logit analysis. The results showed that the estimated WTP for low-priced skin care cosmetics was 19,152 won, which was 27.7% higher than the reference price, 15,000 won. For low-priced makeup cosmetics, the estimated WTP was 18,524 won, and its green premium was 21.0%. The estimated WTP for high-priced skin care cosmetics was 59,128 won, which was 18.3% higher than the reference price, 50,000 won. For high-priced makeup cosmetics was 57,666 won, and its green premium was 15.3%. Second, the WTP measure by payment card method was estimated using descriptive analysis. The results showed that the respondents were willing to pay 17,955 won for low-priced skin care cosmetics, which was 19.7% higher than the reference price, 15,000 won and 17,595 won for low-priced makeup cosmetics, which was 17.3% higher than the reference price. For high-priced skin care cosmetics, the average WTP was 56,950 won which was 13.9% higher than the reference price, 50,000 won. For high-priced makeup cosmetics, the average WTP was 55,650 won, which was 11.3% higher than the reference price. Overall, the WTP was higher in order of low-priced skin care, low-priced makeup, high-priced skin care, and high-priced makeup. It means that consumers decide degree of premium based on the price and the attributes of eco-friendly products. Third, the findings showed that age, monthly income, and having children or not were statistically significant factors that influenced consumers' willingness to pay for eco-friendly cosmetics. Other explanatory variables such as education, marital status, job, purchase experience of eco-friendly products, and environmental concerns did not show any statistical significance. The major contribution of this study is the investigation of the value of green attributes of the products by using CVM. Unlike most previous researches, this research used two methods of CVM, the dichotomous choice and the payment card, so it enhanced the reliability of research. According to this study, consumers showed price sensitivity when they pay green premium. These findings can be used as useful information to establish marketing strategies for green cosmetics.

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도로 밀도에 따른 운전쾌적성 편익에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Benefit of Driving Amenity Based on Highway Density)

  • 조한선
    • 대한교통학회지
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.48-59
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 도로투자 사업으로 인한 편익 중 일반적으로 계상하고 있는 통행시간 절감 및 차량운행비용 절감 등 직접적인 편익 이외에 추가적으로 이용자입장에서 체감할 수 있는 도로 주행 중 운전쾌적성 편익을 산정하고자 운전쾌적성의 정의를 마련하였고 운전쾌적성 산정방법론을 개발하였다. 도로특성(도시부/지방부) 및 차량 밀도(차간거리)에 따른 이용자의 지불용의액을 CVM 방법 중 가장 최근에 활발히 활용되고 있는 이중양분선택형(double-bounded dichotomous choice)질문법을 활용하여 설문조사한 후 그 결과를 로짓모형에 적용하여 운전쾌적성 가치를 도출하였다. 도시부 및 지역간 도로에서 공히 지불용의액의 크기는 전반적으로 기존 차간거리가 짧을수록 큰 것으로 분석되었고, 도로의 차간거리 변화가 같더라도 사업 전의 차간거리와 사업 후의 차간거리에 따라 지불용의액이 다른 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 도로의 차간거리가 증가하더라도 기존 차간거리가 어느 정도인지에 따라 지불용의액이 다르게 나타나 지불용의액이 기존 차간거리에 영향을 받는 것으로 분석되었다.

케이블TV 방송 신제품의 잠재적 가치평가;조건부 가치측정법의 적용을 중심으로 (Using Contingent valuation Methods to Measure the Potential Demand for a New Cable Television Service)

  • 원중호
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.113-126
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this paper is to introduce and test an extension of dichotomous choice contingent valuation(DC-CV) methods of pre-test-market evaluation using the specific case of a cable telev-ision service. Specifically we used a double-bounded DC-CV approach. On the whole respondents accepted the contingent market and were willing to contribute a significant amount on average. This willingness varies according to individual characteristics and concerns about the service. It is concluded that the methods are potentially a useful tool for decision-makers in measuring the po-tential demand for a new cable television service and considering the provision of the service.

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