• 제목/요약/키워드: design crisis

검색결과 329건 처리시간 0.029초

VAR분석을 활용한 금융위기 이후 서울 아파트 전세가격 변화 (A Study on the Seoul Apartment Jeonse Price after the Global Financial Crisis in 2008 in the Frame of Vecter Auto Regressive Model(VAR))

  • 김현우;이두헌
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제16권9호
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    • pp.6315-6324
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 2008년 금융위기 이후 부동산 정책에서 많은 비중을 차지하는 서울의 아파트 전세가격에 가계경제가 어떤 영향을 미치는지 2009년 1월부터 2013년 12월까지 자료를 이용하여 VAR모형을 통해 실증분석하였다. 서울의 전세가격에 미치는 가계경제변수들은 서울 아파트 매매가격, 소비자물가지수, 고용률, 실질GNI, 가계대출금액으로 구성하였다. 분석결과에 따르면, 서울 아파트 전세가격은 단기적으로 가계경제변수들에 영향력을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 가계경제변수들의 구조적 충격에 따른 서울 아파트 전세가격 변동의 상대적 기여도는 단기적으로는 서울 아파트 전세가격 자체 충격에 가장 큰 영향력을 받으며, 시간이 지날수록 가계변수들의 영향력이 커지는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구결과를 통해 가계경제를 이루는 어떤 요인들이 주택전세가격에 많은 영향을 미치는지 파악할 수 있어 향후 주택가격 안정화를 위한 정책수립에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

연관분석을 이용한 금융 상품 거래 동향의 빅데이터 분석 (Big Data Analysis of Financial Product Transaction Trends Using Associated Analysis)

  • 유재필;신현준
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제12권12호
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    • pp.49-57
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    • 2021
  • 최근 인공지능, 딥러닝, 빅데이터 등 4차 산업의 핵심 분야에 대한 관심이 커지면서 기존의 의사결정 문제를 전통적인 방법론의 한계점을 최소화하는 과학적 접근 방식이 대두되고 있다. 특히 이런 과학적인 기법들은 주로 금융 상품의 방향성을 예측하는데 사용되는데 본 연구에서는 사회적으로 관심이 높은 아파트 가격의 요인을 자기조직화지도를 통해 분석하고자 한다. 이를 위해 아파트 가격의 실질 가격을 추출하고 아파트 가격에 영향을 주는 총 16개의 입력 변수를 선정한다. 실험 기간은 1986년 1월부터 2021년 6월까지이며 아파트 가격의 상승 및 횡보 구간을 나눠 각 구간 별 변수들의 특징을 살펴본 결과, 상승 구간과 횡보 구간의 입력 변수의 통계적 성향이 뚜렷하게 구분되는 것을 알 수 있었다. 더불어 U1~U3 구간이 N1~N3 구간에 비해서 변수들의 표준편차가 상대적으로 크게 나왔다. 본 연구는 중장기적으로 상승과 하락이라는 큰 주기를 갖고 있는 부동산에 대해서 현재 시점의 현황을 정량적으로 분석한 것에 의미가 있으며 향후 이미지 학습을 통해 미래 방향성을 예측하는 연구에 도움이 되기를 기대한다.

국내 선물시장의 장기기억과 시장의 효율성에 관한 연구 (Long Memory and Market Efficiency in Korean Futures Markets)

  • 조대형
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.255-269
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    • 2020
  • Purpose - This paper analyzes the market efficiency focusing on the long memory properties of the domestic futures market. By decomposing futures prices into yield and volatility and looking at the long memory properties of the time series, this study aims to understand the futures market pricing and change behavior and risks, specifically and in detail. Design/methodology/approach - This study analyzes KOSPI 200 futures, KOSDAQ 150 futures, 3 and 10-year government bond futures, US dollar futures, yen futures, and euro futures, which are among the most actively traded on the Korea Exchange. To analyze the long memory and market efficiency, we used the Variance Ratio, Rescaled-Range(R/S), Geweke and Porter-Hudak(GPH) tests as semi- parametric methods, and ARFIMA-FIGARCH model as the parametric method. Findings - It was found that all seven futures supported the efficiency market hypothesis because the property of long memory turned out not to exist in their yield curves. On the other hand, in futures volatility, all 7 futures showed long memory properties in the analysis, which means that if new information is generated in the domestic futures market and the market volatility once expanded due to the impact, it does not decrease or shrink for a long period of time, but continues to affect the volatility. Research implications or Originality - The results of this paper suggest that it can be useful information for predicting changes and risks of volatility in the domestic futures market. In particular, it was found that the long memory properties would be further strengthened in the currency futures and bond rate futures markets after the global financial crisis if the regime changes of the domestic financial market are taken into account in the analysis.

민간주도 집단화 거버넌스 구축에 의한 노후산업단지 재생사업의 효과분석 - 공공주도 사업과의 비교를 중심으로 - (The Analysis of the effect of the Regeneration Project of the Decrepit Industrial Complex by the Private-led Aggregation Governance - Focusing on the comparison with the Public-led Project -)

  • 정현진;권영상
    • 대한건축학회논문집:계획계
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    • 제34권10호
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 2018
  • Being dealt in Alfred Weber's Theory of the location of Industries, a lot of economic benefits can be obtained through aggregation and clustering of industrial facilities, which derived to the development of industrial complexes in Korea. However, with the IMF economic crisis as well as various institutional changes, the framework of aggregation and clustering of industries is broken, which led to individual developments that took place without any consideration of surrounding industries. For reformation of these condition of industrial complexes, national government-led regeneration projects are being carried out currently. However, national government-led projects mainly focus on profitable projects such as officetel and hotel that are irrelevant to exist composition of industrial complexes which is usually manufacturing base industries and are unable to solve the fundamental problems of industrial complexes. Thus, a necessity of industry clustering is deduced through case analysis of actual private-led manufacturing industry cluster with governance and analysis of benefits on financial, spatial and environmental aspects. In addition, implications on the necessity follow base on factorial analysis on the benefit of clustering development than individual development as well as analysis on the measures taken for successful clustering.

회장루 보유자의 마음챙김명상을 접목한 회복탄력성 증진 프로그램 개발 및 효과 (Development and Evaluation of Resilience Enhancement Program Applying Mindfulness Meditation in Patients with Ileostomy)

  • 신지혜;최자윤
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제51권3호
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    • pp.334-346
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop a resilience enhancement program applying mindfulness meditation (REP-MM) and evaluate the effects of the program on post-traumatic stress (PTS), resilience, and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in patients with ileostomy. Methods: The REP-MM was developed by combining the resilience enhancement program with mindfulness meditation according to four patterns. The program was developed through identifying patients' needs, reviewing relevant literature, developing a preliminary program, and testing content validity and user evaluation. The participants were 55 patients with ileostomy. We conveniently assigned 27 patients to the experimental group and 28 to the control group. The study was conducted in conducted in a hospital from January 22 to May 30, 2019. The REPMM was provided to the experimental group, and conventional ileostomy care was provided to the control group using a nonequivalent control-group pretest-posttest design. Results: ANCOVA revealed that the levels of PTS (F = 321.64, p < .001), resilience (F = 111.86, p < .001), and HRQoL (F = 31.08, p < .001) in the experimental group were higher than those in the control group when comparing pretest to posttest changes. Conclusion: The REP-MM is effective in PTS, resilience, and HRQoL in patients suffering from post-stoma creation crisis. The REP-MM can induce positive self-recognition changes in patients with ileostomy through dispositional, situational, relational, and philosophical interventions. We suggest nurses reduce PTS and improve resilience and HRQoL in patients with ileostomy.

Acceptance and Effectiveness of Distance Learning in Public Education in Saudi Arabia During Covid19 Pandemic: Perspectives from Students, Teachers and Parents

  • Alkinani, Edrees A.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.54-65
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    • 2021
  • The movement control order and shutting down educational institution in Saudi Arabia has jeopardized the teaching and learning process. Education was shifted to distance learning in order to avoid any academic loss. In the middle of the Covid-19 crisis, there is a need to assess the full image of e-learning in Saudi Arabia. To investigate student and teachers' perception and acceptance, parents' attitudes and believes about distance education are the main goals of the study. The mix-method research design was employed to collect data. Three surveys were distributed to 100 students and 50 teachers and 50 parents from different educational institutions in Saudi Arabia, while semi-structured interviews were conducted with 10 parents. Random stratified and convenient sampling methods were adopted. Both descriptive and content analysis was conducted using SPSS25.0 and NVIVO software for quantitative and qualitative data accordingly. The findings showed that students are comfortable with remote education and are receiving enough support from schools and instructors but they think online education can't replace conventional face-to-face learning. Moreover, the results showed that teachers are having challenges in preparing online classes because of the development of conducting online classes and the lack of training. However, parents showed negative attitudes regarding the benefits and values of remote education and preferred conventional learning styles in elementary schools. Parents tended to reject and resist distance learning for several reasons: professional knowledge and lack of time to support their young kids in online classes, the shortcomings of e-learning, young children's inadequate self-regulation. Saudi parents are neither trained nor ready to use e-learning. The study provided suggestion and implications for teacher education and policymakers.

국내 모듈러 건축 프로젝트의 단계별 BIM 활용업무 분석 (An Analysis of BIM uptake in Each Phase of Modular Construction Projects in Korea)

  • 이웅균;이명도
    • 대한건축학회연합논문집
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2019
  • Building Information Modeling (BIM) and modular construction are regarded as important technologies that could contribute to overcoming the crisis faced by the construction industry. However, BIM uptake in current modular construction projects is limited. Moreover, there are no specific guidelines to support decision-making regarding the application of BIM in modular construction projects. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the possibility for BIM uptake in each phase of modular construction projects in Korea. Initially, the literature detailing on BIM uptake cases in modular construction projects was reviewed. The detailed work and activities for each phase of a modular project were analyzed via a questionnaire targeting domestic modular experts, to derive items requiring improvement due to errors or changes occurring in the actual project. Ten realistic BIM uptake items were derived, reflecting the results of literature review and expert interviews. Then, the BIM uptake items in each phase were analyzed in terms of necessity and efficiency via a second questionnaire using five-point Likert scales. Finally, the BIM utilization index (BIM UI) of the BIM uptake items was suggested as a priority measure. As a result, the BIM UI of "3D coordination" (U2), "design authoring and reviews for off-site fabrication" (U3), and "detailed 3D modeling for off-site fabrication" (U4), were assigned the highest priority. The results of this study can be used as guidelines to support decision-making regarding the application of BIM in modular construction projects.

The effect of beauty salon service quality on behavioral intention through perceived value : Gender, Regularity control effect

  • HWANG, Jin-Young;LIM, Sel-A;HONG, Pil-Tae
    • 한국프랜차이즈경영연구
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.17-29
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: As the untact culture has spread due to the recent COVID-19, the service industry as well as the beauty salon is shrinking. In order to overcome such a crisis in beauty salons, the lower dimension of beauty salon service quality is divided into servicescape, technical service, and employee service, and actions are taken with the 'perceived value of the customer' as a parameter. In this study, S-O-R(Stimulus-Organism-Response) theory was applied for customer-centered analysis, and gender and regularity were selected as moderator variables to add practical implications. Research design, data, and methodology: All constructs were measured using items developed and used in the previous study. A total of 261 questionnaires were collected online using NaverForm. The data were analyzed using factor analysis, correlation analysis, and measurement model analysis with SPSS 22.0 and AMOS 22.0. After testing the research model and hypothesis for the entire group, a multi-group analysis was conducted by dividing into male and female groups, regular customers, and non-regular customers. Results: First, this study showed that the service environment of beauty salon customers had a negative (-) effect on perceived utilitarian value, and the technical service and perceived hedonic value had a positive (+) effect on the customer's behavioral intention. Technical service and employee service had a positive (+) effect on perceived hedonic value, but perceived hedonic value did not affect customer's behavioral intention. Second, there is no statistically significant difference in each path between male and female groups. Third, there was a statistically significant difference between regular customers and non-regular customers, only the path that the servicescape influences the perceived hedonic value. Conclusion: According to the results of this study, technical service and utilitarian value should be considered in order to induce behavioral intention of customers, and technical service quality should be considered first. Also, operating a beauty salon requires a differentiated approach to the salon servicescape according to the ratio of non-regular and regular customers. The beauty salon servicescape generally showed negative practical value for non-regular customers, but positive for the Hedinic value for servicescape such as comfortable service and clean interior for regular customers.

Untact 시대의 효율적인 정부자금 지출을 위한 Consortium Blockchain과 Machine Learning 설계 (Consortium Blockchain and Machine Learning Design for Efficient Government fund expenditure in Untact Era)

  • 오락성;박대우
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.178-186
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    • 2021
  • COVID-19는 2019. 12. 중국에서 발생되어 전 세계로 전파되었다. COVID-19 확산으로 일상화되고 있는 Untact 문화는 사회전반으로 디지털 전환을 가속화하고 있다. 정부는 COVID-19 등 국가 위기상황 극복을 위하여 정부자금지출을 증가하고 있다. 이러한 정부자금을 효율적으로 집행하기 위해 정부와 정책 금융기관은 두가지 방안을 강구할 필요가 있다. 하나는 투명한 정부자금 집행 프로세스를 정립하는 것이고, 또 하나는 심사과정의 객관성을 확보하는 것이다. 본 논문은 이 문제를 해결하기 위하여 정부로부터 실수요자까지 이어지는 정부자금의 집행과정을 Consortium Blockchain으로 설계하고, 정책 금융기관의 내부 심사를 위한 Machine Learning 알고리즘을 설계하였다. 본 논문에서 제안한 연구자료는 정부자금 집행에 대한 향후 정부정책 방향 설정에 도움이 될 것이다.

코로나-19 팬데믹 상황에서 외식기업의 경영성과와 프랜차이즈의 역할 (The Role of Franchising on the Restaurant Firms' Performance during COVID-19)

  • 선경아;김승현
    • 한국프랜차이즈경영연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: COVID-19 has negatively influenced the financial performance of restaurant firms. Previous literature suggests that the franchising strategy effectively helps restaurant firms recover from difficult business conditions through various methods for expanding business size and enhancing business efficiency. According to risk-sharing theory, restaurant franchisors may minimize operational risks by sharing the risks with their franchisees. For instance, restaurant franchisors could generate more stable cash flow using franchise fees from their franchisees. However, research on the effect of franchise's risk reduction factor on business performance during pandemic is scarce. Thus, this study aims to examine the positive moderating effect of franchising between COVID-19 and restaurants' financial performance. Research design, data, and methodology: Panel data including financial information and franchising status of restaurant firms were collected for analysis. In order to control for unobserved firm-specific factors, generalized least squared estimation in fixed effects model was conducted. Huber-White robust standard errors were used to deal with heteroscedasticity issues. Results: It was found that COVID-19 pandemic has a negative effect on the restaurants' financial performance such as ROA (return on assets), ROE (return on equity), and PM (profit margins), which confirms the findings from existing literature. More importantly, results show that the degree of franchising has a positive moderating effect on the relationship between COVID-19 and financial performance of restaurant firms. This suggests that more active engagement in franchising may decrease negative impacts of COVID-19 on the restaurants' financial performance. Conclusions: The study supports existing literature related to risk-sharing theory, by confirming that pandemics, such as COVID-19, negatively affect financial performance of the restaurants. Furthermore, it was found that franchising strategy can help lessen negative impacts of pandemics on the firm performance. These findings can contribute to the franchise and restaurant management literature by suggesting the role of franchising in reducing business risks, thereby positively affecting financial performance. Moreover, this study offers business managers of franchisors and franchisees insights for utilizing franchising in restaurant risk management. Policymakers may also gain information on aiding restaurant firms during global crisis, such as COVID-19.