• Title/Summary/Keyword: demand parameter

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The Development of Dynamic Forecasting Model for Short Term Power Demand using Radial Basis Function Network (Radial Basis 함수를 이용한 동적 - 단기 전력수요예측 모형의 개발)

  • Min, Joon-Young;Cho, Hyung-Ki
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.4 no.7
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    • pp.1749-1758
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    • 1997
  • This paper suggests the development of dynamic forecasting model for short-term power demand based on Radial Basis Function Network and Pal's GLVQ algorithm. Radial Basis Function methods are often compared with the backpropagation training, feed-forward network, which is the most widely used neural network paradigm. The Radial Basis Function Network is a single hidden layer feed-forward neural network. Each node of the hidden layer has a parameter vector called center. This center is determined by clustering algorithm. Theatments of classical approached to clustering methods include theories by Hartigan(K-means algorithm), Kohonen(Self Organized Feature Maps %3A SOFM and Learning Vector Quantization %3A LVQ model), Carpenter and Grossberg(ART-2 model). In this model, the first approach organizes the load pattern into two clusters by Pal's GLVQ clustering algorithm. The reason of using GLVQ algorithm in this model is that GLVQ algorithm can classify the patterns better than other algorithms. And the second approach forecasts hourly load patterns by radial basis function network which has been constructed two hidden nodes. These nodes are determined from the cluster centers of the GLVQ in first step. This model was applied to forecast the hourly loads on Mar. $4^{th},\;Jun.\;4^{th},\;Jul.\;4^{th},\;Sep.\;4^{th},\;Nov.\;4^{th},$ 1995, after having trained the data for the days from Mar. $1^{th}\;to\;3^{th},\;from\;Jun.\;1^{th}\;to\;3^{th},\;from\;Jul.\;1^{th}\;to\;3^{th},\;from\;Sep.\;1^{th}\;to\;3^{th},\;and\;from\;Nov.\;1^{th}\;to\;3^{th},$ 1995, respectively. In the experiments, the average absolute errors of one-hour ahead forecasts on utility actual data are shown to be 1.3795%.

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Experimental Analysis of Nodal Head-outflow Relationship Using a Model Water Supply Network for Pressure Driven Analysis of Water Distribution System (상수관망 압력기반 수리해석을 위한 모의 실험시설 기반 절점의 압력-유량 관계 분석)

  • Chang, Dongeil;Kang, Kihoon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.36 no.6
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    • pp.421-428
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    • 2014
  • For the analysis of water supply network, demand-driven and pressure-driven analysis methods have been proposed. Of the two methods, demand-driven analysis (DDA) can only be used in a normal operation condition to evaluate hydraulic status of a pipe network. Under abnormal conditions, i.e., unexpected pipe destruction, or abnormal low pressure conditions, pressure-driven analysis (PDA) method should be used to estimate the suppliable flowrate at each node in a network. In order to carry out the pressure-driven analysis, head-outflow relationship (HOR), which estimates flowrate at a certain pressure at each node, should be first determined. Most previous studies empirically suggested that each node possesses its own characteristic head-outflow relationship, which, therefore, requires verification by using actual field data for proper application in PDA modeling. In this study, a model pipe network was constructed, and various operation scenarios of normal and abnormal conditions, which cannot be realized in real pipe networks, were established. Using the model network, data on pressure and flowrate at each node were obtained at each operation condition. Using the data obtained, previously proposed HOR equations were evaluated. In addition, head-outflow relationship at each node was analyzed especially under multiple pipe destruction events. By analyzing the experimental data obtained from the model network, it was found that flowrate reduction corresponding to a certain pressure drop (by pipe destruction at one or multiple points on the network) followed intrinsic head-outflow relationship of each node. By comparing the experimentally obtained head-outflow relationship with various HOR equations proposed by previous studies, the one proposed by Wagner et al. showed the best agreement with the exponential parameter, m of 3.0.

Development and Application of the Catchment Hydrologic Cycle Assessment Tool Considering Urbanization (I) - Model Development - (도시화에 따른 물순환 영향 평가 모형의 개발 및 적용(I) - 모형 개발 -)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Jun;Jang, Cheol-Hee;Noh, Seong-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.203-215
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this study is to develop a catchment hydrologic cycle assessment model which can assess the impact of urban development and designing water cycle improvement facilities. Developed model might contribute to minimize the damage caused by urban development and to establish sustainableurban environments. The existing conceptual lumped models have a potential limitation in their capacity to simulate the hydrologic impacts of land use changes and assess diverse urban design. The distributed physics-based models under active study are data demanding; and much time is required to gather and check input data; and the cost of setting up a simulation and computational demand are required. The Catchment Hydrologic Cycle Assessment Tool (hereinafter the CAT) is a water cycle analysis model based on physical parameters and it has a link-node model structure. The CAT model can assess the characteristics of the short/long-term changes in water cycles before and after urbanization in the catchment. It supports the effective design of water cycle improvement facilities by supplementing the strengths and weaknesses of existing conceptual parameter-based lumped hydrologic models and physical parameter-based distributed hydrologic models. the model was applied to Seolma-cheon catchment, also calibrated and validated using 6 years (2002~2007) hourly streamflow data in Jeonjeokbigyo station, and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiencies were 0.75 (2002~2004) and 0.89 (2005~2007).

Design and Fabrication of Dual Band Antenna for LTE / LTE-A for Broadband Mobile Communication System (광대역 이동통신 시스템을 위한 LTE/LTE-A용 이중대역 안테나 설계 및 제작)

  • Kang, Sung-Woon;Oh, Mal-Geun;Kim, Kab-Ki
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.442-448
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, a microstrip antenna for LTE / LTE-A is designed and fabricated for a broadband mobile communication system. The proposed antenna is designed to have the characteristics of using FR-4 (er = 4.3), size of $40mm{\times}50mm$, and LTE / LTE-A frequency bands of 2.3 GHz and 2.5 GHz. 2014, and the simulation result shows that the gain is 2.391 dBi at 2.3 GHz and 2.566 dBi at 2.5 GHz. The S-parameter also showed a result of less than -10 dB (WSWR 2: 1) in the desired frequency band. The broadband mobile communication antenna has been miniaturized, high performance, and light weight, and an excellent and low cost system is continuously being developed, and a broadband mobile communication system is used by many people. Since LTE / LTE-A technology has been proposed according to the development of system and demand, it is expected that many users will design and manufacture antennas satisfying the above conditions and apply the applied technology.

Design of Dual Band Antenna for UWB / WAS for Wireless Local Area Communication (무선 근거리 통신을 위한 UWB/WAS용 이중대역 안테나 설계)

  • Kim, Gyeong-rok;Oh, Mal-geun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2018.10a
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    • pp.522-525
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we design a UWB / WAS microstrip antenna for wireless local high - speed communication. The substrate of the proposed antenna is FR-4 (er = 4.3) and its size is $30[mm]{\times}30[mm]$. It is designed to have characteristics that can be used in the frequency bands of 3.5 [GHz] and 5.2 [GHz], which are UWB / WAS frequency bands. The simulation was performed using CST Microwave Studio 2014. Simulation results show that the gain is 1.592 [dBi] at 3.5 [GHz] and 2.210 [dBi] at 5.2 [GHz]. The S-parameter also showed a result of less than -10 [dB] (WSWR 2: 1) in the desired frequency band. Microstrip antennas have been miniaturized, high performance, and light weight, and excellent and low cost systems are continuously being developed. In addition, many people use wireless local area network systems used in homes, companies, and public facilities. Since the UWB / WAS technology is proposed according to the development of the system and the demand increase, the antenna that satisfies the above conditions will be designed and the technology applicable to the system will be used more conveniently.

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Predicting blast-induced ground vibrations at limestone quarry from artificial neural network optimized by randomized and grid search cross-validation, and comparative analyses with blast vibration predictor models

  • Salman Ihsan;Shahab Saqib;Hafiz Muhammad Awais Rashid;Fawad S. Niazi;Mohsin Usman Qureshi
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.121-133
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    • 2023
  • The demand for cement and limestone crushed materials has increased many folds due to the tremendous increase in construction activities in Pakistan during the past few decades. The number of cement production industries has increased correspondingly, and so the rock-blasting operations at the limestone quarry sites. However, the safety procedures warranted at these sites for the blast-induced ground vibrations (BIGV) have not been adequately developed and/or implemented. Proper prediction and monitoring of BIGV are necessary to ensure the safety of structures in the vicinity of these quarry sites. In this paper, an attempt has been made to predict BIGV using artificial neural network (ANN) at three selected limestone quarries of Pakistan. The ANN has been developed in Python using Keras with sequential model and dense layers. The hyper parameters and neurons in each of the activation layers has been optimized using randomized and grid search method. The input parameters for the model include distance, a maximum charge per delay (MCPD), depth of hole, burden, spacing, and number of blast holes, whereas, peak particle velocity (PPV) is taken as the only output parameter. A total of 110 blast vibrations datasets were recorded from three different limestone quarries. The dataset has been divided into 85% for neural network training, and 15% for testing of the network. A five-layer ANN is trained with Rectified Linear Unit (ReLU) activation function, Adam optimization algorithm with a learning rate of 0.001, and batch size of 32 with the topology of 6-32-32-256-1. The blast datasets were utilized to compare the performance of ANN, multivariate regression analysis (MVRA), and empirical predictors. The performance was evaluated using the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean squared error (RMSE)for predicted and measured PPV. To determine the relative influence of each parameter on the PPV, sensitivity analyses were performed for all input parameters. The analyses reveal that ANN performs superior than MVRA and other empirical predictors, andthat83% PPV is affected by distance and MCPD while hole depth, number of blast holes, burden and spacing contribute for the remaining 17%. This research provides valuable insights into improving safety measures and ensuring the structural integrity of buildings near limestone quarry sites.

The Study of Influence on Reducing Exposure Dose According to the Applied Flat-panel CT in Extremity Bone SPECT/CT (상·하지 뼈 SEPCT/CT 검사에서 평판형 CT의 피폭저감 영향에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Ji-Hyeon;Park, Hoon-Hee;Lee, Juyoung;Nam-Kung, Sik;Son, Hyeon-Soo;Park, Sang-Ryoon
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine Technology
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: With the demand of SPECT/CT increasing, the interest in complex diagnostic information of CT is rising along with the expansion of various studies on potential performance value. But the study on reduction of exposure dose generated by CT is not being conducted enough. Therefore, in this study, the goal is to identify how much dose reduction exists when performing the extremity bone SPECT/CT using the flat-panel CT. Materials and Methods: The extremity bone SPECT/CT was performed with two equipments -BrightView XCT (Philips Healthcare, Cleveland, USA) and Brilliance 16 CT (Philips Healthcare, Cleveland, USA)-to identify the exposed dose and image quality resulted by changing scan parameter (mAs) applying for both equipment respectively. The noise value of image and spatial resolution were measured with AAPM CT phantom. Tube voltage (kVp) was fixed to 120 kVp, tube current (mAs) calculated at different mA (20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70, 80) was applied to both equipments respectively. DLP (dose length product) were calculated at the same distance at respective mAs. Also, we acquired images and % contrast with NEMA IEC body phantom to confirm the effect on image. The output of statistics was analyzed by SPSS ver.18. Results: Regarding AAPM phantom, the noise decreased as the tube current (mAs) increased and flat-panel had less noise than Helical CT. This difference increased at lower dose exposure. As to the evaluation of spatial resolution, we can differentiate the space up to 0.75 mm with both equipments. With scan parameter (mA) growing, the value of DLP increased up to 54-216 mGy cm at flat-panel CT and up to 177-709 mGy cm at Helical CT. Regarding NEMA IEC body phantom, same sphere with varied parameter (mA) shows that similar results. Conclusion: There is no significant differences of image quality in both flat-panel and Helical CT when the scan parameter (mA) is changed respectively. Moreover, we can identify the reduction of exposure dose and confirm %contrast analysis value with maintaining image quality. Therefore, at the extremity bone SPECT/CT requiring high spital resolution without the wide ROI, the flat-panel CT is considered to be more useful and it expected to result in the similar image quality with lower exposure dose compared to Helical CT. Additionally, through this study, we expect to help the reduction of the unnecessary exposure dose.

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Lattice Code of Interference Alignment for Interference Channel with 3 Users in CoMP (세 명의 사용자의 간섭 채널을 위한 협력 다중점 송수신(CoMP)에서의 격자(Lattice) 부호 간섭 정렬)

  • Lee, Moon-Ho;Peng, Bu Shi
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we introduce CoMP in 3GPP LTE-Advanced Release 11 to take care of shadowing effects appearing in cell-edge areas to meet rapidly increasing demand for high speed transmission and multi-media data. In order to mitigate interference, orthogonalizing is ideal but it is slightly difficult to be applied to real systems. Therefore, interference alignment and avoidance are used in practical applications. Interference alignment is a scheme enabling us to consider interference our friend not enemy. We show lattice codes in Gaussian channel achieve Shannon capacity where strong interference exists. In addition, we show the relationship between channel parameter a and DoF(Degree of Freedom) applying lattice codes to interference alignment for interference channel with three users.

Research on Factors Effecting on Learners' Satisfaction and Purchasing Intention of Educational Applications (학습자의 교육용 어플리케이션 활용 만족요인과 구매의도에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구)

  • Jang, Eun-Ji;Park, Yong-Suk;Lim, Keol
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.8
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    • pp.471-483
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    • 2012
  • The demand of using educational applications for 'smart' devices has recently increased. Accordingly, this study analyzed the satisfaction of educational applications and the factors which affect to purchase intention suggesting optimal development and use for the future. Based on searching for the theoretical background, the research model for the study was set: Appropriateness, interactivity, amusement and ubiquity were designated as independent variables, consumer satisfaction as parameter variable, and purchase intention as dependent variable. Through conducting structural equation modeling with the variables, the results showed that appropriateness, amusement and ubiquity had significant impacts on consumer satisfaction and purchase intention of educational applications. The results were expected to give suggestions as presenting guideline for educational application, improving mobile learning and vitalizing mobile contents.

Assessment through Statistical Methods of Water Quality Parameters(WQPs) in the Han River in Korea

  • Kim, Jae Hyoun
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.90-101
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    • 2015
  • Objective: This study was conducted to develop a chemical oxygen demand (COD) regression model using water quality monitoring data (January, 2014) obtained from the Han River auto-monitoring stations. Methods: Surface water quality data at 198 sampling stations along the six major areas were assembled and analyzed to determine the spatial distribution and clustering of monitoring stations based on 18 WQPs and regression modeling using selected parameters. Statistical techniques, including combined genetic algorithm-multiple linear regression (GA-MLR), cluster analysis (CA) and principal component analysis (PCA) were used to build a COD model using water quality data. Results: A best GA-MLR model facilitated computing the WQPs for a 5-descriptor COD model with satisfactory statistical results ($r^2=92.64$,$Q{^2}_{LOO}=91.45$,$Q{^2}_{Ext}=88.17$). This approach includes variable selection of the WQPs in order to find the most important factors affecting water quality. Additionally, ordination techniques like PCA and CA were used to classify monitoring stations. The biplot based on the first two principal components (PCs) of the PCA model identified three distinct groups of stations, but also differs with respect to the correlation with WQPs, which enables better interpretation of the water quality characteristics at particular stations as of January 2014. Conclusion: This data analysis procedure appears to provide an efficient means of modelling water quality by interpreting and defining its most essential variables, such as TOC and BOD. The water parameters selected in a COD model as most important in contributing to environmental health and water pollution can be utilized for the application of water quality management strategies. At present, the river is under threat of anthropogenic disturbances during festival periods, especially at upstream areas.